ETH market, many people are restless, the increase is fierce, but there is anxiety in the heart, what if it continues to fall? Are you anxious?
#ETH走势分析 #以太坊升级 #以太坊ETF #ETH巨鲸增持 News:
If ETH breaks through 3000 US dollars, the liquidation amount of short positions on exchanges will reach 794 million! This is equivalent to a pile of explosives that can be ignited at any time. Once it breaks through, it may trigger a continuous short squeeze, leading to a rapid rise. However, if it falls below 2850 US dollars, the liquidation of long positions will reach 428 million, which will also trigger a panic sell-off.
Therefore, 3000 US dollars is not an ordinary threshold but a real “battle point” for both bulls and bears!
Technical Analysis:
From the one-hour candlestick perspective, ETH is currently quoted at 2958 US dollars, with a small resistance at 3049 US dollars above, and strong resistances at 3100 US dollars and 3149 US dollars further up.
On the support side, 2900 US dollars is a key level, and once it falls below, the market may return to 2794 or even 2731 to find a bottom.
The good news is: the MACD white and yellow lines have crossed above the zero axis, indicating that the short-term trend is relatively strong, and momentum is building.
But at the same time, pay attention to the “overbought phase” indicated in the chart, which shows that the rise has been too fast, and a brief pullback may occur at any time.
Opinion:
It is believed that tonight there is a high probability of first testing 3010 US dollars. The reason is simple: MACD golden cross + news liquidation amount double boost, the main force has the motivation to pull a wave of short squeeze market.
However, don’t rush to blindly chase!
If the surge is not accompanied by volume, it is very likely to be pushed back around 3100 US dollars, or even pull back to 2900 US dollars to confirm support.
If it falls below 2900 US dollars, then we need to guard against seeking a stronger bottom at 2800.
To summarize: whether it can hold above 3000 US dollars is the most critical signal tonight. If it holds firmly, the future market is worth looking forward to; if it does not hold, short-term positions should be reduced.
Operational suggestions
Aggressive:
If the market strongly breaks through 3049 and is accompanied by increased volume, consider following up with part of the position.
Conservative:
Continue to wait for signs of stabilization near 2913 before gradually adding positions.
Newbies remember:
Never go all-in! Tonight's volatility will be large, and the probability of spikes is high. Keep some bullets in hand to act at the real low point.
$ETH