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#特朗普称坚定支持加密货币 Does this topic give a lot of confidence to the bulls? Every time the bulls try to bottom out, they lose. If they don't feel the pain, they won't know to turn back. Follow the trend, don't go against it. If you can't beat them, join them. What's the point of bottom fishing? Cost performance? Are you stubborn? Everything has collapsed, and funds are flowing out in billions. Are you going to be a bag holder? February 2026, if someone asks you to bottom fish, remember to get in a tank, directly fire, and blow off the roof of their house. What is the basis for bottom fishing? Are there any messages? Or does the data show anything? Is there? If not, what is the significance of your bottom fishing? Proving that the person is foolish and has too much money!
#BTC走势分析 This afternoon, a warning signal of an upcoming drop has already been issued in the group. This is not a prediction or a budget; it is a solid presentation of data. If you want to follow the trading or need strategies and teaching, click 👉策略分享群 👈 and you'll join the group.
#美国伊朗对峙 At this moment, February 4th, 17:33 The signs of a cryptocurrency crash have appeared again, with retail investors continuously pouring in funds, while the main players are continuously withdrawing their funds. Manage your positions well, Amen~ It is also possible that after the US stock market opens, it won't be quick, but it's coming soon.
#美国政府部分停摆结束 On the other hand, I analyze my small account.
团长red box follow me
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Bullish
#美国政府部分停摆结束 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Although the partial suspension has ended, which is quite positive, we have recently noticed that it's like being slapped first and then given a sweet date. Each time we prepare to short or go long for the long term, we end up giving back profits, or even getting stuck. In such cases, we need to analyze what the given news is trying to do; it's not just simple news, but rather a conspiracy of financial traps, making both shorting and going long uncomfortable, and it's hard to hold onto positions. In this situation, it’s better to engage in intraday trading. If one insists on long-term positions, they won't find the bottom or the top, and they won’t know what the next piece of news will be. If there’s a drop, it won't be a quick fall to the bottom, as capital needs to make arbitrage. If there’s a rise, it won't be quick either, because there hasn't been enough accumulation. This means the best market condition is sideways consolidation, where one can accumulate low and go long when prices dip. It's not suitable for holding long-term; if it’s spot trading, one can buy in batches to average the price.
#美国政府部分停摆结束 $BTC The U.S. government shutdown has ended, and Trump signed the funding bill, which has a significant impact on the cryptocurrency and financial markets. This shutdown was merely due to politicians failing to reach an agreement on the budget; non-core departments halted operations while core areas like finance and defense continued. The market panicked because the shutdown froze U.S. Treasury funds, and tightening liquidity led to the recent declines in BTC and ETH. Now that the shutdown is over, panic is easing, and the frozen funds will gradually be released, improving market liquidity. This is a short-term benefit for risk assets like cryptocurrencies and was key to last night's rebound from the lows. However, don’t be blindly optimistic; after the U.S. stocks warmed up, they closed lower, tech stocks plummeted, and gold and silver surged, indicating that big funds are still on the sidelines, and risk aversion has not completely dissipated. In terms of operations, there’s no need to panic in the short term; the rebound in BTC and ETH will continue. Hold the support and avoid making rash decisions; but also don’t chase highs. The Federal Reserve's policies and the pace of Treasury fund releases are variables, so it’s safer to take light positions and buy low. Adjust your positions during the rebound, and just follow the rhythm without panic or greed!
#BTC走势分析 According to Monday's market situation, many people believe that it has reached the bottom. So is this a trap for a pullback? Currently, looking at the inflow and outflow of funds, it is roughly the same as the situation of the sharp drop a few days ago. Retail investors are flowing in more, while the main forces are completely flowing out, creating a false impression of an increase. Retail investors are buying in droves, while the main forces are flowing out in large numbers. I still adhere to my principles: when there is sideways consolidation, that's when to buy the dip; but for now, trading in segments, doing some short-term longs and shorts is still viable, though the long-term outlook remains bearish.
#加密市场回调 When the big pancake and the second pancake were falling so badly, I always thought I wasn't shorting from the best position. Now the big pancake is 78000 and the second pancake is 2300. Is it time to short? Looking at the rebound, aren't you a bit hesitant? Short it, you have the highest position now, don't be timid. In the short term, continue to look for the big pancake around 74500 and the second pancake around 2160. In the long term, aim for breaking 70000 and breaking 2000!
#BTC何时反弹? Currently, BTC has fallen to around the miners' production cost. Many people may still be thinking about bottom fishing. The Nasdaq opened lower in pre-market trading, down about 1% at the moment. Regardless, it's still not advisable to bottom fish; chasing long positions halfway has a good cost performance. Let's continue to be bearish, everyone. Tonight, the US stock market will open, and we'll see how it goes. If you have short positions, make sure to hold on. If someone is trying to get you to bottom fish, you can give him two RPGs and bombard him. $BTC
#加密市场回调 Many giant whales and institutions have been liquidated, so when do we want to bottom fish and enter the market? Blindly entering the market will only lead to deeper traps, or even liquidation, resulting in a lonely bottom fishing. We can only wait until next week's market conditions are confirmed before entering, meaning that the market is still fluctuating and not continuing to decline. We should look for low points to enter rather than blindly entering when the bottom is uncertain. Even if you manage to catch the bottom, can you hold on to it? If you catch the bottom, you will still worry about profit retracement, and in the end, you will have to close your position. Instead of bottom fishing against the trend, it is better to follow the trend and continue shorting. Currently, ETH is seen near 2160 in the short term, BTC is seen near 74500 in the short term, and BNB is seen near 730 in the short term. The bear market has not ended; it has just been in a sideways consolidation for two months. $BTC
#BTC $BTC This time the black swan, I saw it at 77000, but it ended up at 75000, exceeding my expectations. Now many people are bottom fishing, and then facing liquidation. The price of Bitcoin is close to the cost of miners operating, and there's nothing we can do about it. The current international situation is like this: precious metals, US stocks, and cryptocurrencies are all experiencing declines. I suggest not to bottom fish. Why do I advise against bottom fishing? Because when you bottom fish, you don't know where the bottom is, and it takes a huge cost to find the lowest point, which is not cost-effective. Even if it stops falling, there will still be a downward inertia to continue falling slowly; it won't just stop suddenly. Right now, many whales and institutions have liquidated. At this time, if you go against the trend to bottom fish, do you think you have more strength than the institutions? When chasing after prices, it's better to get on board halfway and wait for the market to warm up before chasing; that can still be timely. The goal is to make a profit, not to find the highest and lowest points. Currently, I recommend continuing to short. The target for Bitcoin continues to look downward.
The market has been falling recently, directly breaking through the 80,000 mark, with over 270,000 people liquidated in 24 hours, causing widespread losses! The geopolitical situation is chaotic + Trump is imposing tariffs, coupled with ETF funds fleeing desperately, the bearish factors have directly suppressed the market.
Currently, there is slight support around 82,000, but the short-term trend remains weak and volatile. First, watch for support at 80,000; if it breaks, it's likely to head towards 70,000. Don't rush to buy the dip; if you have itchy fingers, try a small position with light holdings, but wait for a stable position before heavily investing. Keep your hands steady and don't get buried!
#黑天鹅 Gold, silver, Bitcoin, Ethereum, all are down, where has the money gone? The black swan event is coming, be clear-headed when buying the dip, let's chase the short position.
#ETH This time, Ethereum's outflow of funds is greater than Bitcoin's. Find a position to buy in batches. You need to let go of your anxieties. When it rises, look at 4000, when it falls, look at 2000. Be bold and confident to act. If there’s an opportunity to buy at the bottom, take it in small batches. This meeting leans slightly bearish, but the medium to long term outlook is bullish.
团长red box follow me
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Bullish
#ETH ETH is experiencing a frustrating fluctuation today! Stuck at the 3000 mark, unable to go up or down, and trading volume has decreased. Don't chase highs in the short term; hold onto your assets if it stays above 2950 and wait for a rebound. If it breaks below that, exit immediately. The initial resistance level to watch above is 3040. Overall, it's a bottoming pattern, so be patient and wait for direction!
Strategy invests 1.25 billion to increase BTC holdings against the trend, this operation is really impressive! Directly increasing the holdings to more than 680,000, with an average cost of only 75,000 dollars, and now at a price around 90,000 dollars, it's clearly an institutional-level opportunity to pick up chips💪
Don't think this is just a simple increase in holdings; they are relying on private placements to raise funds to buy coins. They dare to play like this because their cash flow can support it; this is the confidence of institutions! Currently, in the BTC market, retail investors' floating holdings have been largely washed out, with large funds locking in positions to support the price, directly sealing off the downside space. This increase in holdings is like giving the market a reassurance pill.
Of course, I have to mention the risks as well; Strategy is still at a floating loss, and the stock price hasn't risen yet. Whether they can continue to increase their holdings will depend entirely on cash flow; there are also MSCI rule issues that have not been resolved, so there may still be fluctuations in the short term. But looking at the long term, the proportion of institutional holdings is increasing, and BTC has long since transformed from retail speculation into a mainstream allocation. Now is the stage of consolidating the bottom and building strength.
Just keep an eye on two points going forward: first, whether ETF fund flows will return, and second, the holding direction of Strategy. As long as large funds do not let go, BTC will definitely see another big wave ahead; just hold onto those low-position chips and don't get shaken out!
#美联储利率决议 At 3 AM on January 29, tonight, the interest rate announcement and news conference will be released together. The current market expectation is that there is a 95.6% chance of maintaining the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75. The dovish pause is favorable, while the hawkish pause is unfavorable. It is estimated that there will be some fluctuations in the meeting. Let's prepare for the rollover tonight. If you want to know what is likely to happen, the center is leaning bullish.
Tokenized silver is on fire! The latest market value has reached over $400 million, with a 24h increase of 4.5% hitting a historical high. The core asset SLVon's monthly trading volume has surged by 1200%, and the number of holders has doubled. This wave of market momentum cannot be stopped🔥
The underlying logic is crystal clear: physical silver supply is in urgent demand, with China's export controls and global inventory at new lows, spot prices are skyrocketing to over $80 per ounce; the industrial demand from photovoltaics and new energy vehicles is fully engaged, accounting for over 55% of total silver demand, and the supply-demand gap is widening. Coupled with expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, funds are flooding into safe-haven hard assets, making tokenized silver the optimal solution—on-chain 24h trading, entry possible with small amounts, and instant cross-border settlement, far more appealing than traditional ETFs.
This is not a short-term speculation; it is a dual resonance of the RWA track and the bull market for precious metals! The liquidity of leading assets like KAG, XAGX, and SLVon continues to rise. Moving forward, focus on industrial demand and macro policies, and positioning accordingly is the right strategy.
The new safe haven in the cryptocurrency world, the benefits of tokenized silver mean that those who get in will reap the rewards!
#美联储利率决议 According to the market, this interest rate decision is very likely to be favorable. Currently, the yellow hair is inclined to raise, unlike Powell. The formation and content of this decision were all part of a pre-arranged script. Initially, some negative news was laid out, and before the news landed, the interest rate decision landed with favorable news. On one hand, the negative news misled and got people to sell; on the other hand, capital is analyzing the market. After raising the price, of course, there will be plans for selling. In the middle to late February, it is highly probable that favorable news will allow everyone to buy back the goods they sold at a high price.
#美国伊朗对峙 The yellow-haired person is unlikely to take action because the military expenses are significant. Last time, capturing the Maduro couple didn't cost too much, and the informant's reward was not given. This time, it's purely a show of deterrence; this action doesn't incur much military spending but can indeed raise gold prices. You should know that the world's gold reserves are in the hands of the yellow-haired person.