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In half a year, turning ten thousand into fourteen thousand sounds exaggerated, but there's nothing mysterious about it; it's just honing this craft day by day.

Today, I am sharing some of my insights that I have kept to myself; if you understand them, at least you can avoid some losses.

Quick rises and slow falls are mostly just market consolidation.

When prices are surging, but pullbacks are sluggish, don’t panic and sell at a loss.

Usually, it’s the big players trying to scare you into selling cheap shares.

When it truly peaks, the rhythm is reversed:

A sudden surge in volume, followed by an instant plunge, leaving you no time to react.

After a sharp drop, if the rebound lacks strength, don’t try to catch the bottom.

If it falls hard and rebounds weakly, it means the funds are fleeing.

When you see those soft, small rebounds, don’t think, "After such a big drop, it must be at the bottom"; thinking this way, nine times out of ten, you’ll fall into a pit.

The main players won’t give you a second chance to escape comfortably.

High volume at high levels doesn’t necessarily mean disaster; low volume at high levels is truly dangerous.

If there’s still trading volume at the top, it indicates that both bulls and bears are still fighting, and the market might still fluctuate.

What’s truly deadly is when the volume suddenly disappears—that means the main players have stopped and are no longer playing, and what follows is often stagnant waters.

If there’s a sudden increase in volume at the bottom, don’t get overly excited.

A single day of huge volume doesn’t mean it’s taking off; often, it’s just a trap to get you in.

What you need to look for is continuous, gentle increases in volume after some fluctuation; that’s when someone is quietly building their position.

Don’t let a single day of false excitement throw off your rhythm.

Ultimately, volume is the thermometer of market sentiment.

K-lines are just the result; volume is the cause.

Low volume means no one is playing; high volume means funds are moving.

Pay close attention to changes in volume, so you can sense which way the wind is blowing ahead of time.

The last point, and the hardest one: no strategy is better than having a strategy.

When it’s time to stay in cash, do so; when it’s time to act, don’t hesitate.

Don’t chase highs, don’t panic sell, keep your mind clear.

This principle sounds simple, but very few can actually do it.

The crypto world has never lacked opportunities; what it lacks is the patience and clarity to see through.

You’re not slow to learn; you might just still be wandering in the fog.

Follow the right rhythm, don’t fumble around, and slowly you will understand the tricks of this market.@顶级带单飞哥

Contracts are a thing that can, in the blink of an eye, be paradise, but in the next second, you might fall into hell.

I remember the first time I encountered contracts, with eight thousand dollars in hand, I impulsively went for a hundred times leverage.

As a result, the market wavered slightly, and in fifteen minutes, half of my position was gone.

That day, sitting in front of the screen, my heart felt like it was about to jump out of my throat, watching those red numbers flash continuously; I was completely dazed.

It was at that moment that I truly understood that liquidation is not an accident; it's just the market's first lesson for newcomers, and a relatively gentle one at that.

Since then, I have never dared to underestimate this market again.

All the dreams of getting rich overnight have faded; placing orders is no longer based on heartbeat, but on reason.

Slowly, I realized that contracts are not about gambling on size, but rather an art of controlling risk on the edge of a blade.

I have seen too many brothers who, after making a little profit, thought they were destined to win, only to lose everything in a few days; there are also those who lost money and became red-eyed, staying up all night staring at the market, eventually consumed by their own anxiety.

In fact, they haven't figured it out; those who really know how to play are mostly waiting — spending seventy percent of the time in cash, observing, and when that thirty percent opportunity arrives, they dare to enter with heavy positions and seize a tidy profit.

Just like last year when I played the SOL wave, I didn't focus on complex indicators but kept an eye on the Bollinger Bands.

A narrowing is a build-up of strength; a widening indicates that an opportunity is coming.

I entered in batches near the lower band, with stop-loss set at the previous low, and by the end of three weeks, I had multiplied my investment thirty times. It wasn't that I could predict the market trend; it was discipline that allowed me to keep up with the rhythm.

Now, I hold a few iron rules firmly in my heart, unmovable:

A single loss must not exceed 2% of the principal, at most two trades a day, and once floating profit reaches 50%, immediately withdraw the principal.

It sounds rigid, but it's this rigidity that has allowed me to survive in this market until now.

The market is never short of those who dare to charge; what it lacks are those who can survive.

If you are still being driven by emotions, being led by the market, it's better to pause for a moment and catch your breath. If you want to double your investment, first learn to avoid liquidation.

The abyss has always been at your feet, but the path you should take has already been illuminated for you.

Is it really not easy to make money with counterfeits now?

Actually, it's very simple; it's just that you don't know how!

Everyone knows that $LIGHT $RIVER these coins will mostly go to zero in the long run, but right now, many traders are relying on controlling the market to repeatedly harvest profits, especially enjoying the trick of inducing short positions—using high funding rates to make you afraid to go short, or waiting until you short before driving the price up.

In this kind of situation, inaction has become the best strategy.

You watch it perform, watch it rise, watch the high rates, but don't easily enter the market.

The traders draw the charts just for you to see; once you take action, you fall into their script.

Control your hands and understand clearly before acting. The market is theirs, but the capital is yours.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #中美贸易谈判

In a bear market, it's not that you can't make money; it's that making money becomes particularly frustrating.

The current trend of Bitcoin is often hovering below the MA200 and MA50, and as soon as it tries to rise, it draws a resistance line, only to be pushed back down after a brief spike.

For those trading in spot markets, it's even more excruciating. When prices rise, they drag their feet, but when they fall, they do so without hesitation, leading to losses.

The past couple of years in the bull market were so straightforward; you could close your eyes and jump in, and you'd still be in profit.

But now?

It's all over the place, looking like a breakout, and as soon as you chase it, you get trapped.

It looks like it's about to collapse, and as soon as you cut your losses, it bounces back up.

This kind of market is the most torturous, leading some to think:

Why not find a weak copycat and open a low-leverage short position?

But it's really not that simple.

It's just like the stock market crash of 2015; even if the market is terrible, there are always a few stocks that hit the daily limit up.

If you short those crazy coins, you can get crushed in just a few days.

The market at this stage is just repeatedly tormenting you.

Suddenly, a big bullish candle appears out of nowhere. You think the trend is on your side, but it slowly drifts back down to where it started, and then it begins to consolidate, frustrating you further.

Suddenly, it drops sharply, you panic and cut your losses, but it gradually recovers.

Back and forth, it shatters your instinct to trade in the right direction.

By the time you're thoroughly worn out and have lost your confidence, you see those around you trading gold or playing with AI stocks, all of them thriving.

You grit your teeth, liquidate your position, and decide you'll never touch this cursed thing again.

— Often, this is when a bull market quietly returns.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向

A few days ago, the altcoins were still rallying and drawing Christmas trees, but in the past two days, they started drawing doors.

Yesterday was $TAKE , today is the bull head, and after that, I don't know which coin will perform next.

To put it bluntly, in this kind of market, not only do retail investors want to have a good year, but the big players want to have a prosperous year even more.

Funds are shifting back and forth; when they rise, it feels like a benefit, and when they fall, it feels like a roller coaster.

The rise list is lively for sure, but the traps are particularly numerous.

When dealing with altcoins, especially at this kind of juncture, one must stay alert.

It's better to run steadily than to rush; if you're not careful, it might not just be a matter of making a little more or less, but you might end up with nothing left.

The excitement can be observed, but the wallet must be kept tight.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #比特币与黄金战争

A while ago, a friend came to me, and he wasn't doing too well.

With an initial capital of 200,000 U, only 5,000 remained in the end.

I went through his trading records, and the issues were actually quite typical.

Dozens of trades a day, and the transaction fees ate up most of the profit.

He started daydreaming at the first sign of profit and stubbornly hoped for a miracle when faced with a drawdown, until liquidation arrived.

I only asked him one question: Are you trading or gambling?

He fell into the same traps as many others:
Obsessed with one-minute candlesticks thinking he could get rich, but in reality, he was just working for the exchange;

Using 'faith' to numb himself about losing trades, only to wake up when forced liquidation hits;

Seeing popular altcoins and couldn't help but go all in, often resulting in total loss.

My advice was simple, just three things:

Only look at timeframes above four hours to reduce unnecessary noise;

Strictly manage positions, and stop losses must be executed;

Turn discipline into muscle memory, not just following emotions.

Later we adjusted our pace together, although we missed quite a few fluctuations, we also firmly captured several decent market movements.

Five months later, he told me his account had returned to 200,000 U.

On the path of trading, if you blindly stumble, it's easy to stray further away.

If you also find yourself stuck in similar traps, maybe it's time to change your pace and move forward in a steadier way.

The next step in the layout is already on the way. Do you want to join me in making this journey a little longer?

Weakening, but Aave's fundamentals remain unchanged

It still firmly sits at the top of lending, with an annual revenue of nearly $900 million, already at a bank-level scale on-chain

The industry is transforming, with real yields and sustainable models becoming key

Aave's advantage lies in its transparency and stability, and its simple savings application is opening doors for traditional capital

Short-term fluctuations are inevitable, but it has already positioned itself at the center of a new narrative:

DeFi is shifting from a concept to usable, profitable real products

If the price continues to adjust, it may be an opportunity to position in spot

What matters is whether it can support the arrival of the next wave of mainstream capital
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #中美贸易谈判

$ZRX This old coin relies on the spot market to push up prices and looks quite impressive. Many people are buying in the spot market, and large investors are mainly bullish, which is a solid funding push.

However, even though the coin price is rising, those playing contracts and chasing prices have started to be cautious, and there may even be some quietly hedging risks.

This situation often means that the upward trend will enter a period of fluctuation.

Either the price has risen too quickly and needs a break, or the market makers are pulling the spot while opening short positions to lock in profits, playing it relatively safe.

So don’t rush to chase just because the spot is rising.

Wait for market sentiment to stabilize, or for the coin price to pull back and stabilize before considering it, which will be more prudent.

Most old projects have a foundation, but the short-term rhythm still needs to see when both bulls and bears can reach an agreement.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察

If your principal is not even two thousand U, I have to be honest:

What you should be thinking about now is not getting rich quickly, but how to survive.

Two years ago, I had a friend

who started with fifteen hundred and in four months reached thirty-two thousand.

He didn't experience any liquidation or collapse, with almost zero drawdown.

It wasn't due to miraculous operations, but rather three simple methods, taken to the extreme, yet they were also extremely stable.

First, the money must be divided.

Going all in is digging a pit for yourself.

I had him split that fifteen hundred into three parts:

Five hundred for day trading, at most one trade a day, get in and get out;

Five hundred for swing trading, only act when the timing is right, otherwise stay in cash;

The last five hundred is for emergencies, do not touch it even if the sky falls.

Remember, as long as you have bullets left, you will always have the chance to turn things around.

Second, only eat the fattest meat.

Do not touch sideways markets, stay in cash if the direction is unclear.

80% of the time, the market is in a garbage phase, moving around is just giving fees to the exchange.

Only enter when the trend is clear and support and resistance are defined.

Market opportunities are not available every day, but your principal must be present every day.

Third, solidify the rules.

Set a stop-loss at 2%, cut it if it hits, do not hesitate.

When profits reach 4%, first reduce half of the position to lock in profits.

If total account profits exceed 20% of the principal, immediately transfer out 30% to your pocket.

The most crucial rule: never average down when in a loss.

Do not gamble, do not hold, do not fantasize about "what if it comes back?"

These rules may not be exciting, but they can help you avoid most pitfalls.

What was the result? Now his account has long exceeded one hundred thousand U.

More importantly, he no longer has to stay up all night watching the market; he spends just a few minutes each day checking key levels, trading when necessary, and resting when needed.

If you want to turn things around, remember this sentence:

As long as the principal is alive, you have the qualification to talk about doubling.

Diversifying, waiting for opportunities, controlling positions—these things may not sound sexy, but they can save you three years of detours.

In the crypto space, the fastest route is often to learn to slow down first @顶级带单飞哥

Having read too many stories of liquidation, most of the time it's not about how harsh the market is, but how one loses their composure.

Fans grew from 1000 to 10000, the hardest core endorsement isn't about how much was earned, but about not experiencing liquidation along the way.

There’s nothing mysterious about the strategies behind this; it’s just three iron rules tested with money, and today I’m laying them out for you.

First, learn to diversify your positions.

Don't bet your life on a single play. That one thousand, we split into three parts:

One part for day trading, take profits when they're there, never get too attached;

One part for swing trading, patiently waiting for opportunities, and when you act, aim for the big gains;

And another part is the base position, steadfast and unmovable.

In this market, only those who survive have the right to sit at the table.

Second, learn to be a hunter.

Most of the time in the crypto space is wasted time, with sideways movements and noise all around.

Many people perish here — frequently making moves, eroding their capital.

Our strategy is simple: wait.

If the trend doesn’t come, hold your position;

When the trend arrives, only pounce on the juiciest piece.

Once profits exceed twenty percent, immediately withdraw thirty percent of the profits; what’s in your pocket is what counts.

Third, use rules to discipline yourself.

Emotions are the death knell for retail investors.

You must set cold, hard discipline for yourself: when the stop-loss line is hit, cut your position without blinking;

When the take-profit line is hit, reduce your position without greed.

The biggest taboo is adding to a losing position; that’s not averaging down your cost, that’s digging your own grave.

The essence of making money is to let capital roll within rules, rather than being led by your greed and fear.

From one thousand to ten thousand, there are no secrets.

It’s just about locking in risks and letting profits run on their own.

The market is always there, but your capital can't withstand too many whims.

This kind of coin, when it cools down, it cools down

Before, the excitement was all false, now the market can be seen at a glance: the rebound is weak, and the selling pressure is heavy

I started shorting from the break of 0.13, and the market was very accommodating, directly dropping below 0.118, easily making 1000 dollars

Don't think about catching the bottom now, this kind of obscure altcoin with no heat is only suitable for shorting on rebounds, absolutely don't reach out to catch the falling knife
#美联储回购协议计划 #加密市场观察

$BEAT This plate can make money, but it's really not much

The dealer will wash it, always setting traps in unexpected places

Will it be pulled up again later?

Looking at the way this wave is pulling the plate, the dealer doesn't seem to want to give up on this plate

From the launch until now for about a month, every rise has actually broken previous highs

4.5 dropped to around 1.4, it looks fierce, but if you look closely at the low points of each pullback, they almost all hover around this area

The market needs liquidity, and the coin price is the same

This coin has trading volume, has topics, and has people chasing it, only then can there be room for harvesting

There are people losing in this, so there must be people making money

It's all about the game, relying on one's own skills

Just talking about the segment from 4.5 down, the funding rate alone is enough for the dealer to profit

If you haven't figured out its rhythm and temperament, it's best not to force a confrontation

If you can't understand the road, it's better to detour first

There are so many coins in the market, finding one that you can understand may be more reassuring
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

This round of decline feels really comfortable, but unfortunately it came a bit suddenly, and I couldn't keep up with the rhythm.

Ambush is a task that requires patience; waiting for the wind is more stable than chasing it.

Next, I'm preparing to ambush the counterfeit; I want to follow Lai!!!
#美联储回购协议计划 #加密市场观察 #中美贸易谈判

$PLAY This mini-game currency is similar to platforms like WeChat and Douyin mini-games.

The concept is somewhat interesting, but the market cap is very small, with a total value of less than $30 million, making it easy to be manipulated by funds.

There is now a clear danger signal: the funding rate is relatively high, and there are many people going long. It has already overheated in the short term, combined with a weakening of short-term performance, and it could pull back at any time.

These small coins have large fluctuations, rising quickly and falling just as fast. Don't chase the highs; if you want to play, you can wait for it to drop a bit before looking again.

Never go in heavily; it's best not to use leverage. With such coins, you can easily get stuck at the peak.
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #美联储FOMC会议

$BEAT The market has reached this point, and we need to be clear: the range of 1.8-2.0 is a critical position for the bulls. If this position cannot be held, it won't be a gradual decline anymore; it will be a rapid downward movement.

Yesterday, I mentioned the high probability of a halving, and there was reason behind it.

Given the current situation, those seeking stability can completely take the profits from short positions around 2, pause, and observe.

Don’t just think about catching the whole fish tail; the key is to see clearly whether this support can hold.

If it holds, we can discuss it again; if it breaks, then it’s a different story.

Remember, critical positions are often just a layer or two of window paper; it’s calm before it’s broken, and once it’s broken, it’s a whole new world.

Right now, all eyes should be focused on the contest around 1.8-2.0.
#美联储回购协议计划 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

$BETA Can the small support withstand the big trend? The wave has already exited

Looking for an opportunity to enter the market, target halved

Ethereum's current trend is a bit complex, and it's clearer to watch a few key positions.

If it can break above 3020 with volume, you can consider going long on the right side, but if the price pulls back and breaks this position, you must stop-loss and exit.

Currently, 2996 has been broken with volume, and it is weak in the short term; you can consider going short, but make sure to set a stop-loss.

On the downside, if it can hold around 2940 on a pullback, you can try going long, but stop-loss below 2905.

If it can stabilize above 3001 on the hourly chart, look upwards to the 3032 to 3060 range.

When approaching 3060, if there is a clear resistance, you can short one position, with a stop-loss above 3103.

There is an opportunity for a spike around 2863; when it gets there, you can set up a long position, but if it closes below 2817, you must stop-loss.

Currently, the 4-hour level doesn't look great; if 2963 can't hold, look down to 2912 and 2853.

On the chart, the triangular support has been broken once; although an attempt to reclaim it was made, it was unsuccessful, and it now looks a bit like an M-top.

The neckline is around 2970; if it breaks below here again, the pullback may truly begin, and support must be looked for below.

Only if it returns to above 3017 can the downward momentum be reversed.

In short, the key long and short positions now depend on these levels; break one side and follow that side, don't hold onto positions.
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #比特币流动性

The market is really experiencing a uniform decline, even leading stocks like $AAVE have been dragged down

Although the news about team conflicts is a bit demoralizing, thinking about it, AAVE's fundamentals in the lending sector are still solid, and its competitive advantage is deep. The current price is much more attractive than before.

I think if it goes down further, we can start to pay attention. If it stabilizes, it could be a good area for positioning.

The advantage of spot trading is that you don't have to fear sharp price drops. As long as you can hold on, when market sentiment warms up, these hard-core projects often rebound more strongly.

However, we still need to be cautious and not rush into full positions; it's safer to build positions gradually.

A decline is an opportunity, but don't use up all your bullets at once; leave some room for potential fluctuations. In short, a good project dropping is not something to panic about, but don't go against the trend head-on.
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

The idea of the second pancake is very simple

The price breakthrough with volume above 3009 can be followed on the right side; if it drops back, then stop loss

Conversely, if the volume drops below 2995, then follow short on the right side, also with a proper stop loss

If it pulls back to around 2936 and confirms effective support, you can add one more position; if it breaks 2885, then stop loss

If it stabilizes above 3029 on the hourly level, look up to 3061 and 3132

Pay special attention to the position at 3132, if given the opportunity, you can short one position; stop loss at the breakthrough of 3181

If you want to ambush on the left side, consider around 2862; if it breaks 2812, then exit

The upper pressure levels are 3029, 3061, and 3132. The lower supports are 2970, 2937, and 2885

If it breaks below 2970 on the 4-hour level, look down to 2933 and 2900. Now the second pancake has already broken through the previous high of 3029, showing a higher high

In the short term, as long as the pullback does not break 2937, it will continue to surge upwards
#比特币流动性 #ETH走势分析