🚨 $BTC Weekly Update: Eyes on the $94K Support Retest
Why $94K? This level has been acting as a solid horizontal support, aligning with previous swing highs from late 2025 and the base of the recent breakout. It's also near the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the broader uptrend from the $80K zone. As long as we hold above this on the weekly close, the bullish structure remains intact. We could see a bounce back toward $BTC $100K+ and potentially new ATHs if momentum picks up with positive macro cues (like ETF inflows or halving aftereffects still lingering).
But here's the flip side: If we close $BTC below $94K on the weekly, it's a classic Swing Failure Pattern (SFP). That would invalidate the recent lows and open the door for bears to take control, targeting a deeper correction down to $80K – a psychological round number and potential demand zone from earlier consolidation.
Volume has been tapering off during this sideways grind, which is typical before a big move. RSI is neutral around 50, no overbought signals yet, so plenty of room to run either way. Keep an eye on global risk sentiment too #btc #btcusdt #bitcoin #MarketPullback #BTCUpdate
ONCHAIN INSIGHTS
--
Bullish
🔥 $BTC FINALLY CLOSE ABOVE 94.5K 👀
As discussed many times earlier, the daily close Bitcoin above $94.5K serves as a powerful signal for reclaiming this resistance level.
Entry long $BTC : Placing a limit order at $94,123, with DCA at $90.9K and stoploss at $88.6K. Initial take profit at $98.6K.
Price Action Context: The price surged from around 0.044 to 0.167 (approx. +280%) in a short period, followed by a pullback to the current level. This is a healthy correction after a strong rally. The key support at 0.118 is critical; holding above it could lead to a continuation of the uptrend
The K-line data shows significant volume spikes during the rally, confirming strong buying interest. Recent candles have lower volume, suggesting a consolidation phase.
Capital Flow: Contract net inflow is positive over 24H (14,6M) and larger timeframes (3D: 36M), indicating strong institutional buying interest.
Spot net inflow is negative over 24H (-251K) and other periods, suggesting retail selling or profit-taking.
Short-term contract flows (5m: 502K, 15m: 928K) are positive, indicating recent buying pressure despite the price drop.
Entry longs $FHE : Ideal entry near the support level 0.118 USDT or on a breakout above 0.140 (MA5 level) with volume confirmation.
Alternatively, wait for a bullish reversal candle (e.g., hammer, engulfing) near support.
Stop-Loss: 0.114 if entering at 0.118, or 0.133 if entering higher
Target Price $FHE : Resistance at 0.157
Second target: next resistance zone at 0.181 #fhe #fheusdt #MindNetwork
🔥 $RONIN Bullish with consolidation near highs. But I'd go short on rejection of resistance on 1-hour timeframe trading.
Price Behavior & Key Levels:
The rally from 0.1460 to 0.2177 (+49%) is overextended.
Support: 0.1719 and 0.1711 (MA20) are critical; break below could trigger deeper correction.
Resistance: 0.1998–0.2000 (BOLL upper band psychological level) and 0.2227 (Key resistance at 0.2177 (24H high) rejected; price consolidated near 0.1904.
Volume & Price Action:
Recent 1H candles show declining volume (last candle: 34K vs. peaks of 100M+), indicating loss of bullish momentum.
Capital Flows:
Consistent net outflows in both spot and futures across all timeframes (1H: -1.42M USDT futures outflow). This suggests profit-taking and weakening bullish sentiment.
Entry short $RONIN : Short near 0.199–0.200 (BOLL upper band resistance) with confirmation from a bearish 1H candle (pin bar or engulfing).
Alternative: Short on break below 0.1719 (Support level) with volume.
Stop-Loss: 3–5% above entry (0.21 if shorting at 0.20 )
Target $RONIN : 0.1720 (Support zone MA20 confluence
Secondary target: 0.1440 (next support if bearish momentum accelerates. #ronin #roninusdt
🔥 $FHE Strong Bullish (Correcting from Overbought)
Massive volume spike (184.7M vs average ~50M) during the 32% rally indicates genuine buying interest. Recent 1H candles show declining volume during pullbacks, suggesting selling pressure is absorbed.
Capital Flows: Strong contract net inflows (11M USDT 24h) outweigh spot outflows (-117K USDT), indicating leveraged long positioning dominating market sentiment.
Entry long $FHE : Ideal entry zone: 0.125-0.130 (MA5/MA10 confluence)
Alternative entry: Break above 0.1487 (previous high) with volume confirmation
Secondary: 0.1745 (next resistance) if momentum sustains While the extreme overbought conditions warn of near-term correction, the powerful capital inflows, volume confirmation, and maintained bullish structure support continued upward movement after a healthy pullback. The 4H (+20.12%) and 24H (+39.76%) positioning changes indicate sustained accumulation.
RSI above 85 historically leads to 8-12% corrections in altcoins. Avoid chasing at current levels. #fhe #fheusdt #MindNetwork
🔥 $AXS Strongly Bullish (correcting from extreme overbought)
Price Action & Market Structure: The asset has experienced an explosive 65% rally, creating significant deviation from mean prices. The recent rejection at 2.203 (7.36% above current price) formed a clear resistance level. The 1h chart shows consolidation between 2.077-2.132 in the latest candle, suggesting equilibrium after the rally
Recent 1h candles show decreasing volume during the pullback from 2.203 high, suggesting profit-taking rather than aggressive selling.
Capital Flow: Strong net inflows over 24H (25.14M USDT) and 7D (17.82M USDT) indicate sustained buying interest. Short-term outflows (1H: -3.70M) suggest temporary profit-taking.
Entry long $AXS (Expect continuation after healthy pullback)
Ideal entry: 1.85-1.92 USDT (near MA5 and previous consolidation zone)
Aggressive entry: Current levels with tight stop (higher risk)
Stop Loss: 3.5% (1.98 USDT if entering at 2.05)
Target Levels $AXS : 2.32 (Resistance) The extreme overbought conditions (RSI >86) suggest high probability of near-term pullback. Wait for better risk-reward entries rather than chasing current prices. #axs #axsusdt #AxieInfinity
🔥 $BTR Bullish with short-term consolidation near resistance.
Recent 1h candles show declining volume during consolidation (last candle: 2.32M vs. earlier spikes up to 90M), suggesting a pause before potential breakout. The high volume during the initial rally (16.551% in 24h) confirms strong buying interest.
Capital Flow: Strong net inflows over 24h (5.57M USDT) and 7D (8.91M USDT), with significant inflows in shorter timeframes (e.g., 1H: 2.34M, 4H: 2.58M), indicating sustained buying pressure. This aligns with the bullish trend.
Entry long $BTR : Ideal entry on a pullback to support near Support level 0.0664 or a confirmed breakout above Resistance level 0.0729 with volume.
Aggressive traders may enter at current levels with tight stop-loss.
Stop-Loss: 3% below entry (0.0671 if entering at 0.0692)
Target Price $BTR Primary target: Resistance at 0.0765
Capital Flow: Consistent net inflows across short-term periods (5m to 24h) for both spot and contracts, reinforcing bullish sentiment. Notable 24h contract inflow (2.72M USDT) aligns with price appreciation.
Entry long $WLFI : Ideal entry near 0.169–0.170 (Support/Resistance confluence) or breakout above resistance zone 0.1721 with volume confirmation.
Avoid chasing above 0.173 (24h high proximity).
Stop-Loss: 3% below entry (0.164–0.165 range, aligning with Support level).
Target Price $WLFI : 0.180–0.182, targeting prior swing highs and Bollinger band extension. #wlfi #wlfiusdt #WorldLibertyFinancial
Price Action Context: Strong bullish engulfing pattern at 3230→3330 on massive volume 871K
Higher lows maintained above 3280 support
Current price action shows consolidation between 3315-3335, representing coiling before potential breakout
Recent hourly candles show declining volume during consolidation (60-120K range) compared to breakout volumes (500K+). This suggests healthy consolidation rather than distribution.
Capital Flow: Strong net inflows across all timeframes (5m: 152.8M, 1H: 218.1M, 24H: 272.6M) confirm institutional accumulation. Notable 3D outflow (-301.9M) suggests some profit-taking was absorbed effectively.
Entry long $ETH : Immediate entry: 3320-3325 (current range)
Alternative entry: Pullback to 3305-3310 (MA5 support)
Aggressive entry: Break above 3335 with volume confirmation
Stop-Loss: 3275 (Below key support 3284 and MA20 (3295)
Target Levels $ETH : Primary: 3385
Convergence of bullish MACD, MA alignment, and sustained capital inflows supports upward momentum. RSI overbought conditions are mitigated by strong institutional flow data. The 3315 resistance break would confirm next leg upward toward 3385. #eth #ethusdt #Ethereum
The recent candles show significant volume during the sell-off, confirming the strength of the downtrend. However, the most recent candles show diminishing volume, which can signal a potential slowing of selling pressure and a possible consolidation or minor bounce.
Capital Flow Data: The contract net flow data is overwhelmingly negative across most timeframes, especially the larger ones: -28.84M USDT (24H), -17.56M USDT (12H). This massive outflow from futures markets indicates a strong exodus of leveraged long positions and a buildup of short interest. The spot net flow is also negative (-11.34M USDT 24H), indicating selling pressure in the spot market as well. This confluence of negative flows across both spot and futures is a strong bearish indicator. The significant 3D and 5D positive inflows (35.54M, 71.71M) occurred earlier in the price rise and are now being unwound, adding to the selling pressure.
Entry Short $DASH : Consider entering a short position on a pullback towards the resistance level at 78.87 USDT, which aligns closely with the MA10 (77.00) and MA20 (81.20), offering a confluence resistance zone.
Alternatively, a break below the immediate support level 72.61 could be used for a short entry, confirming a resumption of the downtrend.
Stop-Loss: should be placed above the resistance level at 82.50 USDT (3.5% above the suggested entry zone near 78.87).
Target Price $DASH : The primary target is the support level at 69.72 USDT. The next major target would be next support at 66.35 USDT. #dash #DASHUSDT
Recent 1h candles show declining volume during pullbacks and increasing volume on upward moves, supporting bullish momentum.
Capital Flow: Short-term contract net inflows (5m to 4H) are significantly positive, indicating strong buying interest. However, 24H and 3D outflows suggest some profit-taking. Spot flows are positive in the short term but negative over 3D-7D, reflecting mixed sentiment but dominated by derivatives-driven demand.
Entry long $ETH : Enter on a pullback to 3290-3300 USDT (near MA support) or a breakout above 3315 USDT (Resistance level) with volume confirmation.
Stop-Loss: Set at 3270 USDT (below Support zone and MA20)
Recent candles show elevated volume during declines, confirming sell-side urgency. Weak volume on minor bounces suggests lack of buyer conviction.
Capital Flow: Consistent net outflows over 6H-24H (-16.8M to -18.7M USDT) align with bearish momentum. Short-term inflows (5M-1H positive) are insufficient to reverse sentiment.
Entry short $RIVER : Aggressive: Near current price 20.77 or minor bounce to 21.38 (Resistance level) with tight stop.
Conservative: Wait for retest of MA20 22.29 or Bollinger middle band for higher-probability short entry.
Stop-Loss: 3-5% above entry (e.g., 21.40 for aggressive entry, 23.40 for conservative entry).
🔥 $AXS Strong Uptrend (corrective pullback likely), I'd go long here on 1-hour timeframe
Recent 1h candles show declining volume during the rally, suggesting weakening momentum at current levels
Capital Flows: Consistent contract net inflows across all timeframes (5m: 1.4M, 24h: 6.96M) indicate strong institutional interest, while spot flows show more modest accumulation
Entry long $AXS : Ideal entry between 1.496-1.550 (Major Support Zone)
Stop Loss: 4% below entry price (Considering high volatility shown by ATR 0.058)
🔥$BTC Bearish consolidation but I'd go long for a scalp/short-term bounce on 1-hour timeframe
Reviewing the provided K-line data, the most recent candles show noticeably low volume. This aligns with the low volatility shown by the Bollinger Bands and signifies a lack of trader commitment and participation at current levels. Earlier today, a high-volume spike, accompanied a sharp price drop, indicating strong selling pressure was present. The current low volume suggests that selling pressure may have subsided, but it does not confirm buying interest has emerged.
Capital Flow Data: The contract capital flow data shows significant net outflows over the 12H (-180.65M) and 24H (-848.87M) periods. However, shorter timeframes (5m, 15m, 1H, 4H) show net inflows. This mixed picture suggests that while there has been a major exit of capital from BTC contracts recently, there are nascent signs of short-term inflows, potentially indicating a slowing of bearish momentum or a attempt to find a local bottom. The spot capital flow mirrors this pattern with significant 24H outflows (-64.66M) but recent small inflows on the 1H and 4H timelines.
Entry long $BTC : considered on a confirmed break and hold above the Resistance level (95396USDT), preferably with an accompanying increase in volume. Alternatively, a more aggressive entry near the key support cluster of Support level (95071) and next support (94861) could be attempted
Stop-Loss : below the support level 94700 USDT
Target Price $BTC : The primary target would be the resistance level at 95512 USDT. A more ambitious target would be a test of the next resistance at 95722 USDT or the 24h high 95763