welinkbtc

$BTC Sharing a classic long-term macro on-chain indicator for Bitcoin:

STH-RP to TMMP Ratio
Short-term holder realized price vs. real market average price ratio

This indicator clearly reflects the tug-of-war between market short-term speculative heat and the fair value of the broader market.

Current core data:
-BTC current price vs. short-term cost:
Both figures are currently around 77.4K.
This means that short-term investors who entered the market in recent months are overall at the breakeven point.
-Ratio trend:
The current ratio is 0.8998, and both the 7-day and 30-day moving averages are showing a downward trend.

On-chain data indicates that the cost basis for short-term holders is converging towards the real market average price,
indicating that the market is in a phase of de-leveraging and cleaning out weak hands.

Looking back at history, when this ratio spikes, it usually corresponds to a phase of market overheating;
and when it drops below the 0.75 red line (historical bottoms in 2015, 2018, and 2022), it signals the establishment of an absolute bear market bottom.

Currently, this ratio is around 0.9, a relatively neutral to low position,
and the trend is still heading downward.

This indicates that the market's blind optimism has been effectively suppressed,
and positions are going through a thorough turnover.

At the breakeven point where short-term holders are seeing no profits and even starting to feel anxious,
this often becomes a key window for choosing a direction.

Stay patient and watch for further crossovers of the cost line.

#链上数据 #welinkBTC $BTC

MicroStrategy shorted $BTC

Let’s break down why MicroStrategy sold BTC so you can get a grip on the risks involved

• STRC is a "bearish put option". It converts fixed income demand into BTC buying pressure. When mNAV > 1x, it's smooth sailing, but when it dips below 1x, it gets sketchy

• Key threshold: If mNAV stays below 1.0x for 4 consecutive weeks, the flywheel effect will trigger a passive downward spiral within 3 months

• Saylor is caught in a triple bind: raise dividends, pause payments, or sell BTC to cover STRC dividends

So in the short term, this is going to shake up the market.

#welinkBTC $BTC

In May, the on-chain capital flow reminds us that,
application revenue is actually more important than the narrative.

Solana leads all blockchains with a whopping $91 million in app revenue,
Hyperliquid follows closely with $53 million,
and Ethereum comes in third with $52 million.

Capital continues to flow towards ecosystems that actively generate fees for users rather than just betting on future adoption rates.

#welinkBTC $BTC $BNB

Last month's creator rewards have dropped in.
Thanks 🙏 to the collaborating project teams and agency supporters.
Kneeling in gratitude 🙇
Let's keep building together.

In this bear market,
finding a few reliable project teams
and continuing to build together is the way to go long-term.
At least I can still earn some creator collaboration income each month.
I'm truly grateful for the support from all the project teams.

Now, I’m seriously introducing a few of my new roles.
Now I am:

Billionlive @Billion_Global Genesis Host 🎩

Parti @Particle Network
Safepal @SafePal
Surf @Surf
Grvt @grvt_io
Standx @StandX
And other project ambassadors 🥷🏻

1️⃣ Parti is a leading player in chain abstraction, mainly focusing on cross-chain wallets, UX pro exchanges, and the upcoming RWA universal trading layer Dapp;
2️⃣ Safepal is primarily developing hardware and software wallets, alongside the launched iban Swiss bank card service;
3️⃣ Surf is currently the hottest web3 chatgpt AI application, boasting over 3700+ pro annual subscribers; those who've tried it know it's fantastic!
4️⃣ GRVT is a hybrid perpetual contract exchange combining off-chain centralized order books with on-chain ZK settlement, a one-stop wealth management platform;
5️⃣ StandX is a perpetual contract DEX that allows users to trade with margin while earning yields—finance and trading all in one!

6️⃣ Billionlive is a real-time trading live streaming platform, aiming to create a TikTok-style prediction market platform, where you can watch videos while making trading predictions.

🎉 Thanks again to all the brothers for your attention and support.
Let’s work hard to meet at the next peak.

Next up, there’s another long-term collaboration project,
waiting to reveal some good news.

$BNB $BTC
Everything is interconnected, digital is king｜
For more latest activities, follow #welinkBTC
Binance Square Gold V certified creator｜
Parti, Safepal, Surf, Grvt, Standx project ambassadors｜
Billionlive Genesis Host｜
Focusing on Web3, chain games, AI, AirDrop investment opportunities 🫙 monitoring 100 crypto experts across the network 🔥 Let's ride through the bull and bear markets together $BNB

Predicting the market @trylimitless S3 airdrop claim

Gateway
http://limitless.exchange/claim

$BTC #welinkBTC

The on-chain money flow in May reminds us once again,
that app revenues are more important than the narrative.
Solana chain is leading all blockchains with app revenues of $9.1 billion,
followed by Hyperliquid with $5.3 billion,
then Ethereum comes in third with $5.2 billion.
Capital continues to flow towards ecosystems that generate active user fees instead of merely betting on future adoption rates.
#welinkBTC $BTC $ETH

Institutional buying of Bitcoin $BTC is happening at a pace 4 times that of its production.

Since the ETF launch,

only 435,000 Bitcoins have been mined—but institutions have scooped up 1.63 million,
almost 4 times the new supply.

Currently, 12.7% of the circulating supply is held by institutions—2.56 million Bitcoins, up from just 921,000 at launch.

Wall Street is draining the floating exchange rate.

#welinkBTC $BTC

My crypto buddy has been diving into AI Web for over a year now,
I didn't expect him to rake in $40,000 in a single month.
This post of his is definitely worth a read, it's worth its weight in gold (USD).

I have to admire his strong exploratory skills and unwavering patience.
I took the time to go through his review,
and my biggest takeaway isn’t that he made a lot,
but that he has developed a method that ordinary folks venturing abroad can execute and reference.

He actually took a long route at first.
He tried video platforms, Douyin, Kuaishou, live streaming sales, Xiaohongshu, and app development.
Only after a while did he confirm that AI Web is the direction that suits him best.

I think the most important point in his review is:
newbies shouldn't always think they can figure out what to do just by analyzing.
A lot of times, your understanding isn’t enough to support your decision-making.
The real answer is simple:
take action first, make mistakes, and gather feedback.

So how do you find demand?
His method is straightforward and effective:
check the rankings, observe mature products,
daily record demands and pain points,
and keep an eye on new models, new terms, and new opportunities.
Over time, he has built up a demand pool of over 100.
But not every idea is worth pursuing.
When judging the validity of a demand, you can repeatedly ask yourself:
What kind of people, in what scenario, are willing to spend how much to solve what problem?
The clearer you can answer this, the more reliable the demand.

When creating products, he emphasizes three principles:
keep it simple and user-friendly,
first create an MVP,
and clearly state that the product only does one thing.
Many people jump in wanting to create an all-in-one solution, but often end up not mastering anything.
The truly effective path usually starts from a singular point.
In terms of traffic, what's most important for newbies isn’t to immediately pursue large-scale reach.
Instead, they should focus on breaking their first sale.

If the website's conversion rate is around 0.5% to 1%,
then the primary goal is actually:
to acquire 200 to 300 targeted users first.
In the beginning, he mainly relied on these channels for a cold start:
Reddit, YouTube, navigation sites, community posts, plus SEO.
The core thought process is very practical:
whatever channel brings in traffic first, use that.
Don’t lock yourself into a single platform.

#welinkBTC $BNB $BTC

Big news!

Binance #binance app has been updated to the latest version, and switch to Traditional Chinese.

This time, Binance has launched 8,000 US stocks!

It's all big plays!

Binance will also support Securities Lending (FPSL) services,

launching on June 4.

The full payment Securities Lending (FPSL) service will officially open on June 4, 2026.

This service allows users to lend their fully owned qualified securities assets to market participants,

and earn extra yield through lending.

#welinkBTC $BNB

Hey fam,

The last round of BillionLive points has been updated!

I racked up an extra 3260 points compared to last week.

I’m currently sitting at 1.35w+ points now.

Make sure to check it out!

Here are the ways to earn points:
① Trading and Copying
Get in on trades and predictions, follow the streamers to make your moves.
② Content Creation
Drop your insights and analysis in the square, become a streamer and keep the live content rolling.
③ Live Room Interaction
Watch the streams and get involved, tip or support your favorite streamers.
④ User Growth
Invite friends to join the platform, spread the word on Twitter and other social media.

Currently, Billion has two events you can join:
1) Weekly Creator Incentive Program
Every week there’s a $666 reward pool + genesis points up for grabs. We’re already in the twelfth round, and the reward pool will keep increasing. Just apply through the official platform’s event center.

2) Points System Launch
Get involved by watching, chatting, tipping, and participating in discussions – you’ll have a chance to earn some points back. The more points you rack up, the bigger the airdrop rewards!

BillionLive, as the all-in-one social trading hub on the X Layer,

will fully support creators, utilizing Exchange OS to explore more market applications in live formats, truly connecting content, trading, and predictions.

Trading and predictions shouldn’t just be cold, hard order books,

they can totally come to life in the streaming rooms: with streamers providing real-time insights, users can jump in and interact, turning every brilliant idea into actionable trades and predictions.

Catch the live streams, play the predictions, join at #Billionlive
Portal
https://app.billion.live/invite/FHVI22

Eco Contribution,
Every interaction you make is valuable: contributing every prediction, trade, and position taken can accumulate points. Engaging by watching, chatting, tipping, and participating in discussions are all valuable interactions, with chances to earn points back; the more points, the bigger the airdrop rewards.

#welinkBTC $BNB

Heard this is the go-to setup for Gen Z,
I'm feeling pretty bullish about it.
What’s your setup like?

Banks:
Wise, N26, ZA Bank, Airstar, HSBCHK, OCBC
Mediums:
Visa, Mastercard
CEX:
Binance, OKX, Bitget, Bybit
Wallets:
MetaMask, SafePal
AI Models:
Codex, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, grok
Social:
X, YouTube, Reddit
Communication:
Telegram, Discord, Signal

#welinkBTC

$BTC The Fibonacci extension levels are gradually shifting down,
currently hovering around the $36,000 mark.

In light of the current market conditions,
we need to pay close attention to the primary indicator (Level 1 deep blue line) on the charts.
Historical cycles show that
it has demonstrated a very high accuracy when predicting the absolute bottoms of previous cycles.

Looking at the historical data,
whether it was $181.29 in January 2015,
$3,000 in December 2018,
or $16,800 in June 2022,
the market bottom always saw a significant trend reversal after touching or closely following that line.

Key support: Around $36,000 is the bottom defense line validated by multiple historical cycles.
Comparison data: This level is slightly below the current realized market cap low of around $42,500.

#welinkBTC

$BTC #Bitcoin - Is the Four-Year Cycle Over?🤔

Cycle 1 (2011 - 2014)

2011 - Buy in
2012 - HODL
2013 - Sell out
2014 - Bear Market

Cycle 2 (2015 - 2018)
2015 - Buy in
2016 - HODL
2017 - Sell out
2018 - Bear Market

Cycle 3 (2019 - 2022)

2019 - Buy in
2020 - HODL
2021 - Sell out
2022 - Bear Market

Cycle 4 (2023 - 2026)
2023 - Buy in
2024 - HODL
2025 - Sell out
2026 - Bear Market (and here we are)

Cycle 5 (2027 - 2030)
2027 - Buy in
2028 - HODL
2029 - Sell out
2030 - Bear Market

So far,
the four-year cycle is still on track,
everything is unfolding perfectly as planned.

If this structure holds,
2027 will be the next major accumulation window.
#welinkBTC

Check out the latest on-chain metrics for $BTC
$BTC
By observing the latest realized price ratios for Bitcoin in the short and long term, we find the current market is at a critical juncture worth noting.

Core Data
Short-term holder cost line: $77.4K
Current BTC price: $77.5K
Long-term cost floor: $31.2K
Current ratio and trend: 2.47, showing a downward trend

BTC price is closely aligned with short-term cost,
currently, the coin price is right around the average buy-in cost for short-term holders.
This suggests that the funds entering recently are overall at breakeven,
which will inevitably lead to intense chip turnover and a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.

The seven-day trend of the current ratio continues to decline, indicating low risk.

Considering historical cycles, it shows that the market is healthily digesting prior gains.
The current price action is far from the extreme overbought conditions seen at the tops of historical bull markets,
leaning more towards a continuation adjustment within the cycle.

Overall, the current on-chain chip structure remains healthy,
with a solid long-term bottom.
In the short term, keep a close eye on the key support level of $77.4K.

#welinkBTC $BTC

Let’s break down the current projects I'm interacting with, all of which I've been following for a while.

① Social Apps
conso, BillionLive, firefly, X, Binance Square

In the web3 space, Twitter and Binance Square go without saying. Whether building accounts or establishing IPs, it's crucial to keep posting daily and stay connected to the industry;

conso is becoming my go-to TG alternative in web3, and it's really picking up steam in creator economies;

BillionLive is a fresh streaming platform, still going strong with more than three streams a week. Chain betting, prediction games, and live trading are solid options;

② Prediction Markets and Perpetuals
polymarket, predictfun, grvt, standx, nado

In terms of prediction markets, we’re basically left with poly and predictfun. The World Cup is just around the corner, so prediction markets should heat up nicely.
Polymarket is the leader, with strong airdrop expectations circulating. Right now, I’m only into BTC’s 5-minute price predictions;
predictfun has integrated with the Binance wallet, and it’s gaining traction, making it good for some hedging opportunities;

In the perps arena, with the hype surrounding the leader hitting new highs, interest is definitely picking back up;
grvt has launched an exclusive campaign in partnership with Binance Wallet, offering a 40% points bonus and a chance to split $100k in trading rewards;
standx and nado are on my watchlist, once you’re on the pirate ship, you’ve got to ride it till the end;

③ AI Applications and Bots
surf, donut, deeptradex, CreaoAI

surf is currently the go-to web3 AI tool, doing daily research, checking crypto encyclopedias and pulse, and searching for Alpha airdrop info. I’ve got 50k Surf points now, ranking in the top 500, so I’m sticking with it;

donut and CreaoAI allow for AI strategy-based trading;

deeptradex lets you grab a daily $50 trial bonus, and any profits are yours to keep, losses aren’t a big deal;

④ Mobile Apps:
fomo, liquid, dreamcash, coinpilot, share

Liquid has officially completed a new round of financing worth $18 million, while FOMO has launched a new Web interface!

There's still a lot to play around with every day, isn’t there!

#welinkBTC $BTC
$BNB

Bitcoin's current price is sitting at $76,810,
and the on-chain key indicator — the Median Realized Price — has now risen to $72,670, giving us a ratio of about 1.05.

The Median Realized Price represents the median price at which Bitcoin was last moved across the network.
Unlike the average, which can be skewed by extreme trades,
the median does a better job of reflecting the typical investor's average cost basis in the market.

Right now, the charts are sending two major signals:
First, there's clear bottom support.
The current price is close to the $72,670 cost line.
Looking back at historical trends, this median benchmark often forms strong support consensus during bullish cycles.
The 1.05 ratio indicates that the market is only slightly in profit overall,
with selling pressure being relatively limited.

Second, the value center is steadily rising.
The current median cost has increased by 26.6% from a year ago at $57,382, and it has even jumped 121% from four years ago at $32,879.
This shows the long-term accumulation of Bitcoin's network value and the strengthening of underlying consensus.

As it stands, the $72,600 mark is a key battleground for bulls and bears in the near term.

$BTC #welinkBTC

$HYPE shorting

The four-hour chart just triggered a death cross

Some are already in the red

Wake up, collect your gains, just manage your stop-loss

Short, short, short

#welinkBTC

Hey bros
5 tools, 5 paths to reclaim your funds
Pick up the forgotten cash from the blockchain, one transaction at a time.

An entry point dedicated to helping you "recover" your losses.
One-click to retrieve Solana account rental fees, detect unclaimed airdrops across the network, and export forgotten app balances.
Every address can bring back real cash.

①Privy
The forgotten embedded wallet
A lightweight wallet behind social logins.
Every dApp generates an independent wallet for you,
where you often have leftover Gas and small tokens.
Log in with one click to check it out.
Portal
https://home.privy.io/

②Drops
Airdrop unclaimed detection tool
Just paste your address in, and instantly see how much USD in airdrops this wallet has yet to claim,
and which ones have expired.
The simplest and most straightforward recovery tool.
Portal
https://www.drops.bot/dashboard/

③Solana Rent
Retrieve idle token account rent
Every time you receive a new token, Solana automatically opens an account and locks a portion of rent.
Even if the tokens have been sold out, the deposit is still on-chain.
Close the empty account to get it all back.

④Sablier
Flow payments and vesting contracts
Venture shares, salaries, and airdrops are often distributed in a "second-by-second unlocking" manner.
If you’ve participated in early projects or held equity,
you might have tokens that are currently unlocking waiting to be claimed.
Portal
https://app.sablier.com/vesting

⑤Magna
Institutional token distribution platform
Many DAOs, foundations, and Web3 companies use Magna to manage token vesting.
If you're an early contributor, advisor, or seed round investor,
be sure to check your Portfolio.
Portal
https://app.magna.so/portfolio

#welinkBTC $BNB