tinfed

BofA: The Fed could raise rates by more than 5%, investors should prepare mentally.

Bank of America strategists believe investors should be prepared for the possibility that the Fed could raise interest rates to above 5%, given that the market currently expects an additional three rate hikes of 0.25 percentage point each. The market is currently pricing in the Fed raising rates three more times, each by 0.25 percentage point. If this scenario occurs, the federal funds rate could move toward around 4.5% - 4.75%.
However, BofA strategists believe the “neutral” rate could return to the highs previously seen in the 2022-2023 rate-hiking cycle. At that time, the Fed raised the interest rate range to 5.25% - 5.5% in July 2023. Using the measure that BofA applies, this rule suggests the federal funds rate should be around 5.3%.
$BTC $AKE $RAYSOL
#TinFed

Background: The Fed decides to raise interest rates by another 0.25 percentage points in October

U.S. inflation: Headline CPI in August was around 3.7%, core PCE at 3.4%, higher than the previous forecast. The Fed expects inflation to return to the 2% target level in 2029.

Labor market: The unemployment rate stays at 4.1%, while the number of new jobs increases strongly, indicating the economy can withstand higher interest rates.

Energy pressure: Oil and energy prices rise due to conflicts in the Middle East and fighting with Iran, increasing the risk of a “second-round effect” on transportation costs, goods, and services.
#TinFed

🔥 #TinFed The probability of the Fed raising rates is up to 89% — so why hasn't BTC crashed?

Markets have essentially priced in a 25bp rate hike at the September FOMC. So why hasn't BTC been dumped?

Because the market doesn’t just trade the question of “whether rates will be raised or not”—it also trades what the Fed will say afterward.

📊 I’m watching 3 things:
① 77K
This is an important defense zone.
If 77K holds, I’m not going bearish yet—just because I expect high rate-hike odds.

② 80K
This is the level the Bulls need to reclaim.
Break 80K with volume → sentiment could improve significantly, with the next targets at 82K–83K.

③ The post-FOMC message
This is the part I care about most.
If the Fed raises 25bp but its statement isn’t as hawkish as the market fears, then the “bad news has already been priced in” could instead become a catalyst for BTC.
On the other hand, higher rates + a hawkish tone → be careful with repricing pressure.

🍑 My plan is very simple:
• 77K holds → keep observing the Bulls
• 80K breakout → look for 82K–83K
• 82K–83K holds firm → reopen upside space
• Lose 77K → shift to defense in the short term

I’m not panicking because of the 89% figure, and I’m not FOMO-ing because BTC is rebounding.
Wait for the data. Wait for the FOMC. Wait for price confirmation.
No guessing bottoms. No chasing tops.

Personal opinion only, not investment advice. Capital management always comes first.

Waller is leaning toward keeping interest rates unchanged at the Fed meeting on September 16, if August inflation continues to cool.

Compared with July, Waller’s stance has become less hawkish. With the U.S. economy and labor market still in good shape, he will focus on inflation data to make a decision.

The CPI 🇺🇸 for August on September 11 will be a key marker:
• Continuing to move closer to the 2% target -> Keep interest rates unchanged.
• Higher than expected -> Slightly raise interest rates.

The probability of the Fed raising interest rates in September has already dropped from 66% → 54%.$
#TinFed

Strong factors impacting the market this time: Fed hawkish + yields rise + BTC ETF reverses.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh sent a fairly “hawkish” signal, saying that if inflation does not move quickly toward the 2% target, the Fed may have to raise interest rates.
After a streak of 9 sessions of net outflows, the US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded approximately $201.8 million in net redemptions.
Pi, meanwhile, is relatively more stable than BTC. Expectations for the Protocol 27/Mainnet upgrade are providing psychological support for the price. At present, PI’s liquidity remains quite low $BTC #45NgayTuDoTaiChinh #TheoDõiFOMC #TinFed $BNB $ETH

🔥 Fed vs. Your Portfolio: The Inflation Nightmare! 🔥
The latest US data dropped a bomb! Core PCE inflation hit 3.3% and GDP price index vọt lên 6.4%! 🤯 Translation? US inflation is stickier than gum on your shoe, and the economy is overheating.
What does this mean?
🏦 The Fed: Will keep interest rates high for longer (or forever at this rate). No easy cuts!
📉 Stocks & Crypto: High rates hate tech stocks and crypto. DXY goes 🚀, while BTC and Gold feel the pressure.
What’s the play, traders?
❌ Stop FOMOing: Don't chase the crazy wick volatility.
🛡️ Lower Leverage: Use strict Stop Losses. Slippage will ream your account!
⏱️ Wait it out: Let the market swallow the news before jumping in.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
Survive the Fed chaos with code VINHTOCDO or click: https://www.binance.com/register?ref=VINHTOCDO
#TinFed #TheoDõiFOMC #PCEData #FedRate #VINHTOCDO
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

The Fed just dropped the FOMC minutes and boy, it’s a total drama! 🎭
Old news from July 29: rates held at 3.50%-3.75% after a tense 9-3 split vote (3 hawkish members literally begged for a rate hike to fight that stubborn AI-fueled inflation). New Chair Kevin Warsh even wants to cut down meeting schedules because apparently, 8 times a year is too much stress.
BUT WHO CARES?! While Kevin Warsh and the Fed were acting super hawkish, BTC magically pumped past $69K and ETH crossed $2.1K! 🚀 Plot twist of the century.
What should traders do? Don't fight the Fed, but don't fight the green candles either. Manage your risk, keep your eyes on the chart, and breathe!
Not financial advice.
Trade with me on Binance! Use code VINHTOCDO or join here: https://www.binance.com/register?ref=VINHTOCDO
#TinFed #TheoDõiFOMC #FOMCWatch #FOMC #VINHTOCDO
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

The Federal Reserve just released the minutes from the FOMC meeting, man… this is a full-on production! 🎭
Old news from July 29: the rate was set at 3.50%-3.75% after a tense vote of 9-3 (where three hawkish members literally demanded a rate hike to fight that stubborn inflation fueled by AI). Even the new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, wants to cut the meeting schedules because what seems to be 8 times a year is causing too much strain.
But who cares?! While Kevin Warsh and the Federal Reserve were acting extremely hawkish, the BTC price exploded in a magical burst and pushed past $69K, and ETH broke above $2.1K! 🚀 The plot of the century.
What should traders do? Don’t fight the Fed, but also don’t fight the green candles. Manage your risk, watch the chart, and take a breath!
Not financial advice.

Please follow up

#TinFed #theodõifomc #FOMCWatch #FOMC
$BTC

Important news points to note this week:

*14–20/9/2026, converted to Vietnam time (UTC+7). This is a very important week for crypto, because three major variables — the Fed, the CLARITY Act, and the BoJ — are all compressed into a few days.
The key thing I’m especially watching: the market is currently leaning toward the possibility of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points, after U.S. inflation came in hotter than expected; Reuters reported that Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have raised their expectations for a 25 bp Fed hike in September, with about an 87% probability.

🔥 Schedule of important events — Vietnam time
*16/9 – ~01:15 🇺🇸 The U.S. Senate begins procedures/voting related to the CLARITY Act
*16/9 – 19:30 🇺🇸 U.S. Retail Sales for August
*17/9 – 01:00 🇺🇸 Fed announces its rate decision
*17/9 – 01:30 🇺🇸 Fed press conference + Dot Plot/SEP
*17/9 🇬🇧 Bank of England rate decision
*18/9 – ~09:30 🇯🇵 BoJ rate decision
*18/9 – 19:00 🇺🇸 Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
🔴 Fed — the most important event of the week
The official FOMC schedule of the Federal Reserve
The Fed meets on 15–16/9, with the decision at 14:00 ET on 16/9, and the press conference at 14:30 ET. Converted to Vietnam time:

01:00 AM on 17/9: rate decision
01:30 AM on 17/9: press conference
It also includes the Summary of Economic Projections / Dot Plot.

⏰ Two time windows I will especially avoid FOMO
01:00–02:30 AM on 17/9
Fed + Dot Plot + press conference
This could be an area of extremely high volatility.

Don’t just look at the first candle and conclude the trend.

19:30 on 16/9 → 02:30 on 17/9
This is a "super session":
Retail Sales → CLARITY aftermath → Fed → Dot Plot → Press Conference
$🥰🥰🥰
Wishing you all sharp judgment to make decisions before trading and win big this week!!!!
#TinFed #TheoDõiFOMC

$BTC 4H. Update the BITCOIN price before the FOMC meeting on 16/9.

The expected interest rate increase is 0.25. Up to 86.2%

As in the plan I mentioned the day before, BTC should pull back the “wick” and break the order at 76k, then move up. Right now, BTC is at 76.7K.

I still hope BTC. If it can hold the RANGE 75k5 as mentioned in the plan the other day.

If 75k5 breaks down to the 0.5 fib level, then it’s 73k2.

Remember: raising the rate isn’t necessarily bad, but the subsequent price action could get pretty uncomfortable.
Fellows should protect their positions.

Not investment advice #BTC #TinFed #Wyckoff

Floor for home twice and still can’t cut it so now I have to hold it again 🥸🥸
The pressure from the Fed’s news is too much, it could collapse at any time. Hope the price goes up again so I can get out before the 15th 😥😥😥$ETH #TinFed #TinFed #TheoDõiFOMC #BitcoinSurpasses$79K

$XAU GOLD IS MISSING MOMENTUM AFTER A SHARP DROP 📉
After falling more than 1% in the previous session, gold is still struggling to regain its upward momentum.
As of September 7, spot gold is down 0.85%, to around $4,392.82 per ounce, while the December futures contract is also down 0.84%, to $4,439.21.
The main pressure comes from U.S. employment data coming in stronger than expected. This forces the market to reassess the Fed rate outlook.
According to the CME FedWatch, the probability of a Fed rate hike at the September 15–16 meeting is currently 58.4%, up from around 55% before the employment data was released.
The issue is that gold is an asset that does not generate yield. The higher the interest rates, the less attractive holding gold becomes. Money tends to flow toward assets offering better returns.
Right now, $4,400 is an extremely important price zone to watch. 👀
Holding above $4,400: the buyers may return.
Staying below $4,400: selling pressure could still maintain its advantage.
Not only gold—other precious metals are also in the red:
Silver: -1.01%
Platinum: -0.71%
Palladium: -0.26%
In summary: U.S. data is stronger than expected. The Fed may continue to take a firm stance, and gold has not yet found the momentum to rebound. The $4,400 mark will be the area to pay special attention to in the short term. 📊 #45NgayTuDoTaiChinh #TinFed #TheoDõiFOMC

📊 Crypto Market Analysis – 05/09/2026

Market Overview

After a strong recovery at the end of August, the crypto market is entering a consolidation phase. Bitcoin has still retained most of its earlier gains despite short-term profit-taking pressure. ETF inflows and expectations around the Fed’s monetary policy continue to be the market’s main drivers.

Bitcoin (BTC)

* BTC has been fluctuating around the 78,000 – 82,000 USD range in recent days.
* The key resistance zone is currently at 82,800 USD.
* If this level is broken successfully, the next target could be 90,000 USD.
* On the downside, strong support is at 75,500 USD, and deeper support is at 71,800 USD.

Ethereum (ETH)

* ETH is benefiting from ETF inflows and the recovery of the DeFi ecosystem.
* Capital inflows into Spot ETH ETF funds in the US have remained positive for many consecutive sessions.
* If BTC continues to hold above 80,000 USD, ETH has the potential to outperform in the coming weeks.

Altcoin & Memecoin

* BTC Dominance remains high, indicating that capital is still favoring Bitcoin over altcoins.
* Solana and memecoin ecosystems are still attracting attention, but there are no strong signs of Altseason yet.
* Quality memecoins with large communities may still rise better than the general market if BTC maintains its uptrend.

Key factors to watch next week

1. US CPI report on 11/9.
2. The Fed meeting in mid-September.
3. Progress of crypto-related bills in the US.
4. BTC and ETH ETF inflows.

Short-term outlook

🟢 Trend: Slightly bullish to neutral.

🟢 Positive scenario:

* BTC stays above 80,000 USD.
* Breakout above 82,800 USD → heading toward 90,000 USD.
* Altcoins begin attracting capital again.
#TheoDõiFOMC #45NgayTuDoTaiChinh #TinFed
$AMZNB $TSMB $$BNB

🇺🇸 Kevin Hassett said that the reason for the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged is "very strong."

#TinFed

#TheoDõiFOMC #TinFed #45NgayTuDoTaiChinh
$BTC
Good news for the US economy and support for the dollar
$XAU and BTC have both reacted to this news
Activate SHORT $BTC everyone
Entry 80k-81k
TP: 60k-50k

🚀 CRYPTO MARKET DAY 01/09/2026

📊 Bitcoin is trading around the 78,000 USD range, continuing to maintain an uptrend structure after a strong rebound at the end of August. Institutional money flow is still the main driver of the market; however, pressures from macroeconomic factors and expectations regarding the FED interest-rate policy are making investors more cautious. (Fortune⁠)

🔥 The Fear & Greed Index remains in the Greed zone, indicating fairly optimistic market sentiment. Altcoins have started showing signs of attracting capital back, but BTC Dominance is still high, meaning Bitcoin remains the focal point of the market. (MEXC⁠)

💎 Notable points:
• BTC holds firmly above a key support zone.
• ETH continues to show strength better than many other Altcoins.
• Capital is focusing on major ecosystems such as Solana and tokens with AI and DeFi narratives.
• This week, the market will closely watch U.S. economic data and expectations ahead of the upcoming FED meeting. (Reuters⁠)

⚠️ Short-term scenario:
If BTC stays stable above the 78K USD zone, the market is likely to continue its accumulating uptrend, creating opportunities for Altcoins. Conversely, if the key support zone is lost, short-term profit-taking pressure may emerge.

☕ Wishing everyone an effective September with trading!
Don’t FOMO — manage your capital well and always have a plan before entering any trade.
#45NgayTuDoTaiChinh #TinFed
# $BTC $BNB

📊 Crypto market analysis for 29/08

Market overview
After a strong rally over the past 1–2 weeks, the market is now moving into a short-term correction phase. Bitcoin has reached the 80,000–81,300 USD range before strong profit-taking appeared. Market sentiment still leans positive in the medium term, but there are signs of caution in the short term.

Bitcoin (BTC)

* BTC has gained more than 25% this month and is testing the psychological resistance level at 80,000 USD.
* Near-term support: 78,000 – 79,000 USD
* Strong support: 75,000 – 76,000 USD
* Resistance: 81,300 – 83,000 USD
* If it holds above 78,000 USD, the chance to continue targeting 83,000 USD is still there.

Ethereum (ETH)

* ETH has outperformed BTC in the recent recovery cycle, rising nearly 30% in just one week.
* Capital is returning to Layer 1 and DeFi ecosystems.
* If BTC stabilizes, ETH may continue to lead the Altcoin market.

Altcoins & Memecoins

* Speculative capital is still active on Solana.
* High-quality memecoins with large communities continue to attract funds, but many smaller tokens have started correcting 15–30% after the FOMO phase.
* This is a time to prioritize capital management rather than chasing green candles.

Macroeconomic factors

* Remarks at the Fed’s Jackson Hole event have made the market concerned about the possibility of high interest rates staying elevated for longer—or even rising further. This creates short-term pressure on risk assets like crypto.
* However, Bitcoin ETF flows remain relatively positive and are supporting the medium-term trend.

Outlook for the next 24H

#45NgayTuDoTaiChinh #TinFed #TheoDõiFOMC $BTC $BNB