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🧧Congrats to the crew for hitting the trade in the right direction, keep an eye on those TP levels I shared.
🔸 Wishing you all a great evening.$BTC
#Pada_Research $BTC
🔸 Wishing you all a great evening.$BTC
#Pada_Research $BTC
See translation
$BTC đóng nến D khá đẹp nên plan sẽ như sau:
🔸 Buy now: 653xx dca: 650xx - 64500.
🔸 TP: 67000. SL: 63900.
$ETH Buy chung với BTC.
- Một số tin tức buổi sáng:
🛢️ Dầu / Năng lượng
• War risk insurance Hormuz bốc lên 10% – kỷ lục từ đầu xung đột 🚨
• Chevron đóng Petronius (vịnh Mỹ) vì bão Bertha, gián đoạn sản lượng
💱 FX / Tiền tệ
• Mỹ đe đòn thuế 50% với Canada từ 19/8 vì xe hơi – CAD ôm tim 📉
🌍 Địa chính trị
• Mỹ nã đòn thứ 10 liên tiếp vào Iran, nhắm năng lực Hormuz 🔥
• Saudi liên quân mở chiến dịch Bab el-Mandeb, sẵn sàng đánh trả Houthi
• Thượng viện Mỹ sắp trình dự luật trừng phạt Nga – rủi ro nguồn cung dầu.
#Pada_Research
🔸 Buy now: 653xx dca: 650xx - 64500.
🔸 TP: 67000. SL: 63900.
$ETH Buy chung với BTC.
- Một số tin tức buổi sáng:
🛢️ Dầu / Năng lượng
• War risk insurance Hormuz bốc lên 10% – kỷ lục từ đầu xung đột 🚨
• Chevron đóng Petronius (vịnh Mỹ) vì bão Bertha, gián đoạn sản lượng
💱 FX / Tiền tệ
• Mỹ đe đòn thuế 50% với Canada từ 19/8 vì xe hơi – CAD ôm tim 📉
🌍 Địa chính trị
• Mỹ nã đòn thứ 10 liên tiếp vào Iran, nhắm năng lực Hormuz 🔥
• Saudi liên quân mở chiến dịch Bab el-Mandeb, sẵn sàng đánh trả Houthi
• Thượng viện Mỹ sắp trình dự luật trừng phạt Nga – rủi ro nguồn cung dầu.
#Pada_Research
U.S. President D. Trump orders the U.S. War Department to “open the gates of hell” against Iran’s IRGC, “crush attacks” … after 2 American soldiers were killed in Jordan while intercepting Iranian IRGC missiles and drones launched into a Middle Eastern country outside this Gulf region!
Large-scale airstrikes by U.S. forces across the Middle East against IRGC terror targets are taking place throughout Iran’s territory!
Meanwhile, the latest reports show signs that a coup may be brewing in Iran… Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has been placed under undisclosed house arrest! … as the Iranian government wants to negotiate in search of peace, but IRGC terrorism and its so-called holy-war axis want war and continue to indiscriminately bombard across the Middle East!
Israel and a host of Gulf countries are on high alert and ready to take part in the war!
The White House and the U.S. State Department are urging American citizens to leave the Middle East immediately!
#Pada_Research
Large-scale airstrikes by U.S. forces across the Middle East against IRGC terror targets are taking place throughout Iran’s territory!
Meanwhile, the latest reports show signs that a coup may be brewing in Iran… Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has been placed under undisclosed house arrest! … as the Iranian government wants to negotiate in search of peace, but IRGC terrorism and its so-called holy-war axis want war and continue to indiscriminately bombard across the Middle East!
Israel and a host of Gulf countries are on high alert and ready to take part in the war!
The White House and the U.S. State Department are urging American citizens to leave the Middle East immediately!
#Pada_Research
Feed-Creator-efeaaa20f:
thế mày giết hàng triệu nguời dân vô tội của iran thì ai mở của địa ngục cho cả dòng họ nhà mày hả trum
💵 Long-term Bitcoin holder reduces selling pressure
- On-chain data shows that the group of investors holding Bitcoin for 1–2 years has significantly reduced their sell volume after a period of market correction.
- Some analysts see this as a positive sign, indicating that the profit-taking pressure from long-term holders is gradually weakening compared with previous months.
🦄 Uniswap considers expanding the fee-collection mechanism
- The Uniswap community is voting on a proposal to expand the fee-collection mechanism across multiple pools of Uniswap v4.
- The proposal also includes applying this model on the Robinhood Chain. The vote is expected to run until July 26.
📌 Notable point: Despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Bitcoin has remained stable as selling pressure from long-term holders gradually eases. Meanwhile, the market continues to wait for new signals from the Fed, while the DeFi ecosystem still maintains active development with upgrade proposals from Uniswap.
#Pada_Research
- On-chain data shows that the group of investors holding Bitcoin for 1–2 years has significantly reduced their sell volume after a period of market correction.
- Some analysts see this as a positive sign, indicating that the profit-taking pressure from long-term holders is gradually weakening compared with previous months.
🦄 Uniswap considers expanding the fee-collection mechanism
- The Uniswap community is voting on a proposal to expand the fee-collection mechanism across multiple pools of Uniswap v4.
- The proposal also includes applying this model on the Robinhood Chain. The vote is expected to run until July 26.
📌 Notable point: Despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Bitcoin has remained stable as selling pressure from long-term holders gradually eases. Meanwhile, the market continues to wait for new signals from the Fed, while the DeFi ecosystem still maintains active development with upgrade proposals from Uniswap.
#Pada_Research
Partly True
🌍 Geopolitics
• Iran fires missiles hitting a US ship in the Indian Ocean—tensions in the Strait of Hormuz peak 🚨
• Iran: shifts to full-scale attacks if the US continues bombardment 💥
• The US launches further strikes: 5 explosions in Yazd, 3 civilians killed in Hormozgan 🔥
🛢️ Oil / Energy
• WTI for August rises to 82.49 (+4.48%)—supply fears from Hormuz drive fuel prices 📈
• CFTC: Spek long WTI increases by +11.7k lots to 252.8k lots—the bulls fight hard 🛢️
🥇 Gold / Metals
• OTC gold breaks 4000 USD (+0.5%)—a new all-time high in the rush for safe-haven assets 🥇
• CFTC: net long COMEX gold up 4.3k to 119k lots—money flows into safe havens 📈
• OTC silver surges to 53 USD—tight liquidity, extremely volatile ⚡
🏦 Monetary Policy
• FedWatch: 85.6% hold rates unchanged in July, 51.2% raise by 25bp in September 🏦
#Pada_Research
• Iran fires missiles hitting a US ship in the Indian Ocean—tensions in the Strait of Hormuz peak 🚨
• Iran: shifts to full-scale attacks if the US continues bombardment 💥
• The US launches further strikes: 5 explosions in Yazd, 3 civilians killed in Hormozgan 🔥
🛢️ Oil / Energy
• WTI for August rises to 82.49 (+4.48%)—supply fears from Hormuz drive fuel prices 📈
• CFTC: Spek long WTI increases by +11.7k lots to 252.8k lots—the bulls fight hard 🛢️
🥇 Gold / Metals
• OTC gold breaks 4000 USD (+0.5%)—a new all-time high in the rush for safe-haven assets 🥇
• CFTC: net long COMEX gold up 4.3k to 119k lots—money flows into safe havens 📈
• OTC silver surges to 53 USD—tight liquidity, extremely volatile ⚡
🏦 Monetary Policy
• FedWatch: 85.6% hold rates unchanged in July, 51.2% raise by 25bp in September 🏦
#Pada_Research
🌍 Geopolitics
• The US launches a second round of attacks on Iran, targeting Hormozgan, Sistan, and Khuzestan 🚨
• The US fires at the oil tanker Belma heading toward Kharg, tightening the blockade of Hormuz 🔥
• The IRGC declares the next phase: destroying US military facilities in the region ⚠️
🛢️ Oil / Energy
• WTI breaks above $80, Brent rises to $86 after a new escalation 📈
• The US strengthens the blockade of Hormuz; oil tankers are fired upon—supply freezes
• IEA: Hormuz must reopen within weeks, otherwise a global energy crisis
🥇 Gold / Metals
• XAU rebounds strongly to $4080, ignoring pressure from yields 🥇
🏦 Monetary Policy
• CME Fed: 88.8% expect rates to stay unchanged in July; pressure to cool down 📊
💱 FX / Currency
• The USD index falls 0.43%; the JPY keeps sliding to 165 before Japan intervenes 💱
• South Korea estimates it will use the stabilization fund to buy USD from SK Hynix ADR to avoid KRW fluctuations
#Pada_Research
• The US launches a second round of attacks on Iran, targeting Hormozgan, Sistan, and Khuzestan 🚨
• The US fires at the oil tanker Belma heading toward Kharg, tightening the blockade of Hormuz 🔥
• The IRGC declares the next phase: destroying US military facilities in the region ⚠️
🛢️ Oil / Energy
• WTI breaks above $80, Brent rises to $86 after a new escalation 📈
• The US strengthens the blockade of Hormuz; oil tankers are fired upon—supply freezes
• IEA: Hormuz must reopen within weeks, otherwise a global energy crisis
🥇 Gold / Metals
• XAU rebounds strongly to $4080, ignoring pressure from yields 🥇
🏦 Monetary Policy
• CME Fed: 88.8% expect rates to stay unchanged in July; pressure to cool down 📊
💱 FX / Currency
• The USD index falls 0.43%; the JPY keeps sliding to 165 before Japan intervenes 💱
• South Korea estimates it will use the stabilization fund to buy USD from SK Hynix ADR to avoid KRW fluctuations
#Pada_Research
$BTC all economic news that supports the rebound uptrend despite the escalation of conflicts pushing oil prices higher.
👉 Long/short plan (short-term):
🔸 Entry: 64039 - 63839.
🔸 SL: if it breaks through 62K.
🔸 TP: 67-68K. At this point, we will temporarily stop monitoring.
$ETH enter the trade when BTC matches.
🎉 Wishing everyone success!
#Pada_Research
👉 Long/short plan (short-term):
🔸 Entry: 64039 - 63839.
🔸 SL: if it breaks through 62K.
🔸 TP: 67-68K. At this point, we will temporarily stop monitoring.
$ETH enter the trade when BTC matches.
🎉 Wishing everyone success!
#Pada_Research
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said he would make inflation a "thing of the past" and stressed that the Fed's top priority is to steer monetary policy in the right direction to restore price stability.
Warsh criticized the Fed's previous policy framework for allowing inflation to run above the 2% target, saying this was a mistake that has kept inflation elevated for years.
He also assessed that the U.S. economy is still growing steadily and believes that the wave of investment in AI will help boost productivity, thereby easing inflation pressure in the long term.
However, Warsh's message indicates that the Fed is still leaning toward the scenario of keeping interest rates high for an extended period.
#Pada_Research
Warsh criticized the Fed's previous policy framework for allowing inflation to run above the 2% target, saying this was a mistake that has kept inflation elevated for years.
He also assessed that the U.S. economy is still growing steadily and believes that the wave of investment in AI will help boost productivity, thereby easing inflation pressure in the long term.
However, Warsh's message indicates that the Fed is still leaning toward the scenario of keeping interest rates high for an extended period.
#Pada_Research
🔥CPI 🇺🇸
📊 CPI this month 🇺🇸: 3.5% | Forecast: 3.8% | Previous: 4.2%
📊 Core CPI this month 🇺🇸: 2.6% | Forecast: 2.9% | Previous: 2.9%
Sudden CPI drop is great for Crypto. Brothers, close all Sell orders nhé.
#Pada_Research $BTC
📊 CPI this month 🇺🇸: 3.5% | Forecast: 3.8% | Previous: 4.2%
📊 Core CPI this month 🇺🇸: 2.6% | Forecast: 2.9% | Previous: 2.9%
Sudden CPI drop is great for Crypto. Brothers, close all Sell orders nhé.
#Pada_Research $BTC
The time has come to win the “Battle of Hormuz” and ensure freedom of navigation
President Donald Trump is right when he declared that the “ceasefire” order with Iran failed, and that the top priority now is to force Iran to permanently open the Strait of Hormuz.
The United States should use every necessary measure to secure freedom of navigation, while diplomacy is only an additional option. Iran has proved its promises untrustworthy: after reaching a preliminary agreement, it continued to attack merchant vessels and announced that it would close the strait.
The main goal is not for the United States to control or charge fees, but to ensure that international commercial ships can travel safely in international waters, with no country granted a monopoly or imposed tolls.
Iran claims it has the right to control the Strait of Hormuz, but the United States and its allies argue that this is a vital international shipping lane, where more than 20% of the world’s oil is transported. A blockade of Hormuz could seriously affect the global economy.
The United States’ blockade of Iranian ports and its continued airstrikes are part of a pressure strategy, but Washington should not turn the role of protecting freedom of navigation into a practice of charging tolls.
Finally, the United States should increase military pressure, strike key targets of the Iranian authorities, and make it clear to Tehran that good faith can only be demonstrated through action: opening the Strait of Hormuz for the long term before any further negotiations.
#Pada_Research
President Donald Trump is right when he declared that the “ceasefire” order with Iran failed, and that the top priority now is to force Iran to permanently open the Strait of Hormuz.
The United States should use every necessary measure to secure freedom of navigation, while diplomacy is only an additional option. Iran has proved its promises untrustworthy: after reaching a preliminary agreement, it continued to attack merchant vessels and announced that it would close the strait.
The main goal is not for the United States to control or charge fees, but to ensure that international commercial ships can travel safely in international waters, with no country granted a monopoly or imposed tolls.
Iran claims it has the right to control the Strait of Hormuz, but the United States and its allies argue that this is a vital international shipping lane, where more than 20% of the world’s oil is transported. A blockade of Hormuz could seriously affect the global economy.
The United States’ blockade of Iranian ports and its continued airstrikes are part of a pressure strategy, but Washington should not turn the role of protecting freedom of navigation into a practice of charging tolls.
Finally, the United States should increase military pressure, strike key targets of the Iranian authorities, and make it clear to Tehran that good faith can only be demonstrated through action: opening the Strait of Hormuz for the long term before any further negotiations.
#Pada_Research
Compilation of some information for the day for you guys!
🛢️ Oil / Energy
• OPEC in June cuts its forecast for 2026 oil demand growth to 0.78 million bpd (from 0.97 mbpd)
• Kuwait sharply reduces its August crude oil selling prices, offering a $5 per barrel discount for Asia (vs a $5.25 premium)
• Iran lifts the ban on exporting petrochemical products, but still restricts industrial grease and sulfonic acid
• Iran & Russia are about to finalize a natural gas deal—energy giants to collaborate
• Nigeria’s June crude oil production hits 1.56 million bpd, exceeding OPEC quotas, the highest in 74 months
⛽ Other Energy
• LNG flows through Hormuz are paralyzed; Kpler: 0 vessels pass through from 11/7, impacting Qatar & the UAE
🌍 Geopolitics
• The UK lists Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization, summons the Iranian ambassador to “talk”
• Yemen says it carried out airstrikes on Sana’a airport to prevent Iranian aircraft from landing, blaming Saudi Arabia for breaking the ceasefire
• Iran says “Hormuz cannot be passed because of the US’s hostile actions”; Trump says “the US will operate and charge fees for the strait”
🏦 Monetary Policy
• Germany’s 10-year government bond yield rises by 2.4bp to 3.0585%, the biggest weekly jump since June, driven by surging oil + inflation
• Speculation: the BoE could be more hawkish if oil prices rise; market pricing shows a 28% chance of further rate hikes by year-end
💱 FX / Currency
• The dollar benefits from safe-haven demand & expectations of a hawkish Fed; MUFG warns it will flop if core CPI is weak
• ECB banking center: overnight deposits are still huge at €2,037 billion, liquidity signals “extreme surplus”
🥇 Gold / Metals
• India’s gold imports in June are just $1.97 billion, less than expected (affecting buying demand)
• The EU bans purchases, importing & transshipping gold from Sudan, tightening supply sources further.
#Pada_Research
🛢️ Oil / Energy
• OPEC in June cuts its forecast for 2026 oil demand growth to 0.78 million bpd (from 0.97 mbpd)
• Kuwait sharply reduces its August crude oil selling prices, offering a $5 per barrel discount for Asia (vs a $5.25 premium)
• Iran lifts the ban on exporting petrochemical products, but still restricts industrial grease and sulfonic acid
• Iran & Russia are about to finalize a natural gas deal—energy giants to collaborate
• Nigeria’s June crude oil production hits 1.56 million bpd, exceeding OPEC quotas, the highest in 74 months
⛽ Other Energy
• LNG flows through Hormuz are paralyzed; Kpler: 0 vessels pass through from 11/7, impacting Qatar & the UAE
🌍 Geopolitics
• The UK lists Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization, summons the Iranian ambassador to “talk”
• Yemen says it carried out airstrikes on Sana’a airport to prevent Iranian aircraft from landing, blaming Saudi Arabia for breaking the ceasefire
• Iran says “Hormuz cannot be passed because of the US’s hostile actions”; Trump says “the US will operate and charge fees for the strait”
🏦 Monetary Policy
• Germany’s 10-year government bond yield rises by 2.4bp to 3.0585%, the biggest weekly jump since June, driven by surging oil + inflation
• Speculation: the BoE could be more hawkish if oil prices rise; market pricing shows a 28% chance of further rate hikes by year-end
💱 FX / Currency
• The dollar benefits from safe-haven demand & expectations of a hawkish Fed; MUFG warns it will flop if core CPI is weak
• ECB banking center: overnight deposits are still huge at €2,037 billion, liquidity signals “extreme surplus”
🥇 Gold / Metals
• India’s gold imports in June are just $1.97 billion, less than expected (affecting buying demand)
• The EU bans purchases, importing & transshipping gold from Sudan, tightening supply sources further.
#Pada_Research
Week 3 outlook for $BTC
🔸 BTC today closed a W & D candle in a rather bad way, so this week’s plan is still to wait to Sell on the rise:
🔸 Entry 63-64000.
🔸 TP: 61000-60000 or 55000 (if H4 closes below 60k with volume)
💡 The U.S.–Iran conflict is escalating further, driving inflation up, while yields on U.S., Japan, Germany, U.K. bonds... are all increasing, showing that the economy is rather weak. There is little hope for Crypto to rise in the long term at this time.
#Pada_Research
🔸 BTC today closed a W & D candle in a rather bad way, so this week’s plan is still to wait to Sell on the rise:
🔸 Entry 63-64000.
🔸 TP: 61000-60000 or 55000 (if H4 closes below 60k with volume)
💡 The U.S.–Iran conflict is escalating further, driving inflation up, while yields on U.S., Japan, Germany, U.K. bonds... are all increasing, showing that the economy is rather weak. There is little hope for Crypto to rise in the long term at this time.
#Pada_Research
💡 Keep fighting on!
🔴 Iran's Supreme Joint Military Command: The U.S. Army has carried out a "blatant act of aggression" targeting several areas in southern Iran, and the armed forces will respond with a "destructive" retaliation to U.S. attacks.
Nhận định đầu tuần !
As per the plan we agreed on 64, just sit tight and wait for the profit! $BTC
#Pada_Research
🔴 Iran's Supreme Joint Military Command: The U.S. Army has carried out a "blatant act of aggression" targeting several areas in southern Iran, and the armed forces will respond with a "destructive" retaliation to U.S. attacks.
Nhận định đầu tuần !
As per the plan we agreed on 64, just sit tight and wait for the profit! $BTC
#Pada_Research
🛢️ Oil / Energy
• OPEC+ officially increases quotas by 18.8k barrels/day from 8/8, meeting again on 2/8 📈
• Iran shifts 6 ships off the Oman route—an apparent move to prepare a retaliatory strike 🚨
🌍 Geopolitics
• Israel shelling Lebanon, captures the high ground of Shebaa Farms—new escalation 🔥
• Netanyahu declares the “Yellow Line” Lebanon buffer zone—no Gaza rebuilding if weapons remain ⚠️
• Cargo ships attacked off the coast of Yemen—Houthi forces continue hunting 🛳️
• Iran–Qatar resume sea trade after 5 months, easing tensions locally 🕊️
🏦 Monetary Policy
• Fed minutes suddenly turn hot because Walsh is less talkative—markets read the signature from the June minutes 📜
#Pada_Research
• OPEC+ officially increases quotas by 18.8k barrels/day from 8/8, meeting again on 2/8 📈
• Iran shifts 6 ships off the Oman route—an apparent move to prepare a retaliatory strike 🚨
🌍 Geopolitics
• Israel shelling Lebanon, captures the high ground of Shebaa Farms—new escalation 🔥
• Netanyahu declares the “Yellow Line” Lebanon buffer zone—no Gaza rebuilding if weapons remain ⚠️
• Cargo ships attacked off the coast of Yemen—Houthi forces continue hunting 🛳️
• Iran–Qatar resume sea trade after 5 months, easing tensions locally 🕊️
🏦 Monetary Policy
• Fed minutes suddenly turn hot because Walsh is less talkative—markets read the signature from the June minutes 📜
#Pada_Research
$BTC Sell now and Dca at 62300.
TP: 57-53K
The Non-Farm report is out:
🇺🇸 WARNING SIGNS IN THE US LABOR MARKET
In June, the US economy only added 57,000 jobs—far below expectations of 114,000. This is a clear sign of weakening.
The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.2% (forecast 4.3%), but it came with a downward revision to May data by -43,000 jobs.
→ The labor market is in an unstable state: figures are weaker than expected, and past data has been downgraded. The Fed will need to consider carefully before deciding on interest rates. Is this the first sign of a recession?
#Pada_Research
TP: 57-53K
The Non-Farm report is out:
🇺🇸 WARNING SIGNS IN THE US LABOR MARKET
In June, the US economy only added 57,000 jobs—far below expectations of 114,000. This is a clear sign of weakening.
The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.2% (forecast 4.3%), but it came with a downward revision to May data by -43,000 jobs.
→ The labor market is in an unstable state: figures are weaker than expected, and past data has been downgraded. The Fed will need to consider carefully before deciding on interest rates. Is this the first sign of a recession?
#Pada_Research
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