claimyourreward

Today's Summary

Total trades: 34
Winning trades: 29
Losing trades: 5
Success rate: 85.29%

Strong result today. We continue with the same discipline and risk management. 📈
$BULLA

$SOL

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🌿Let your true self settle, patiently wait for the right moment, and calmly set out for every journey📊
Fluctuations in the market are normal—keep your inner rhythm steady, without panic or haste🕊️
Stick to your own pace, filter out the noise around you, and slowly build strength✨
Time will not fail those who persist with a focused heart💎

The road ahead is long—keep loving what you do, and move forward freely☀️

#交易心理

#狗狗币上涨15%

#1688家族family

$SNDK Roseenblatt Securities' first coverage gives a buy rating and positive outlook, with a target price of 2400. In the long term it may go there, but in the short term it's unlikely. After a rally like this, it surely has to pull back—being short is the way to go! Comment for a big red envelope!!!

🧧🧧The world won’t let down every bit of earnestness; it’s just that some rewards need to take a detour to reach you.

$BTC Don’t get too worked up. Every country is raising interest rates. South Korea may raise further, and the U.S. could also raise again by year-end. This rally could be the last rebound after global central banks tighten policy—big sell-off isn’t far off!

Deutsche Bank warned that the eventual interest rate level could exceed expectations. Global central banks have entered a synchronized tightening phase. According to Deutsche Bank strategist Henry Allen, over the past two weeks the Fed, the ECB, and the Bank of Japan have all raised rates, marking the start of a global, synchronized monetary tightening cycle. However, the market may be underestimating how high rates will ultimately go and how long high rates will last. Deutsche Bank listed four factors: Brent crude is around $100 per barrel, suggesting commodity price pressure remains; after being hit earlier, central banks have become more sensitive to inflation; the S&P 500 is near its historical high and credit spreads have tightened, indicating that financial conditions are still relatively loose; and a historical precedent— in 2022, investors initially expected the Fed to raise rates by 200 basis points, but the actual increase exceeded 400 basis points. The bank noted that a more aggressive rate-hiking cycle does not necessarily mean a stock-market crash. As long as economic growth stays strong, corporate earnings can offset valuation pressure.

Concentration level: do not disturb

Today’s Perspective: Has this Bitcoin rally really ended the bear market?

On September 21, ahead of the U.S. stock market open, Bitcoin suddenly gained momentum, jumping about 5% in nearly two hours—rising from $81,000 to break through $85,000. This breakout has come a bit abruptly, but in fact, there were already signs.

In recent weeks, many traders and analysts have reached a consensus: the crypto bear market is basically over.

- “First set 10 big targets” was said at the end of August and early September: once it holds above $80,000, it’s aiming at $100,000. Now that you’re on board, it’s not too late—$100,000 may even arrive earlier than expected.
- Doctor Profit pointed out that BTC has broken above the 50-week moving average (around $78,700). If this week’s close can hold above it, it would basically confirm the start of a new bull cycle, with targets looking toward $88,000.
- PlanB also confirmed that after BTC holds above the 50-week moving average, the next target is the 100-week moving average (around $89,000)—signaling an end to the bear market.
- Jiang Zuoer is relatively cautious, believing it may first test the $83,000–$84,000 resistance zone before pulling back, but he’s not bearish—he says he will continue holding ETH.
- Killa thinks this bear market has already turned less severe, and a bottom may have formed. A drop to $50,000 is unlikely. The next step, in his view, is $88,000.

My take is more direct:

Technically speaking, breaking through and holding above the 50-week moving average is indeed an important signal. Historically, this is often the key level where the medium-term trend turns bullish. With volume supporting the rally, it suggests money is genuinely flowing back in. After the short-term push to $85,000, the $88,000–$90,000 range will likely be the next clear resistance. A pullback is inevitable, but the depth is probably limited.

More importantly, it’s about sentiment and liquidity. Earlier, the market kept wrestling with the question of whether this was a “false breakout.” Now multiple voices are turning bullish at the same time, and the pressure on sidelined capital to chase will only grow. Of course, we’re not at a fully “irrationally euphoric” stage yet—talking about $100,000 is still a bit early—but in terms of direction, I’m inclined to believe the bear market has already passed and we’re entering a transitional phase of range-bound upside.

For my own trading: I won’t chase. I’ll wait for a pullback to key support before considering adding. Betting it all at once (all-in) is too risky—staging the entries is more prudent.

What do you think about this move? Is it confirming the start of a bull market, or is it another bull trap? Feel free to share your thoughts.