btc_searchforthebottom

#BTC_SearchForTheBottom
​Chinese Bitcoin miner Jiang Zhuoer predicted that the current bear market will bottom out between $42,000 and $44,000.
​This target represents an approximate 30% drop from Bitcoin's current price levels of around $60,700.
​His forecast is primarily based on MicroStrategy, the largest institutional holder of the cryptocurrency.
​The company's market net asset value (mNAV) ratio has fallen to 0.72, signaling deep market pessimism.
​An mNAV below 1 means investors value MicroStrategy at less than the actual Bitcoin it holds per share.
​This 0.72 reading closely approaches the previous bear market low of 0.7 hit in May 2022.
​Historically, Bitcoin's price reached its ultimate bottom six months after the mNAV reached its lowest point.
​Applying this historical time lag places the expected Bitcoin price bottom toward the end of 2026.
​Zhuoer also utilized a separate four-year cycle model that compares Bitcoin's price action to a bouncing ball.
​This model points to a bottom on October 31, proving more reliable for its timing than the exact price.
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#BTC_SearchForTheBottom
BTC and the Search for the Bottom
$BTC is currently in its macro bottoming phase following its late 2025 peak. The price has heavily tested the critical $58,000 - $60,000 psychological support zone, signaling aggressive institutional accumulation. From a technical and on-chain perspective, the ultimate market capitulation target sits between $50,000 and $55,000, aligning with the historical Realized Price ($53K-$54K) and a standard 55-60% cycle correction. Additionally, the MVRV Z-Score has dropped to deep-value territory, indicating that long-term holders are absorbing the sell pressure. Historically, this post-halving phase points to a definitive bottom forming between Q3 and Q4 of 2026. Given these structural indicators, attempting to perfectly time the exact bottom carries high risk. Instead, utilizing a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy within the $50,000 - $58,000 range offers the safest structural entry. This systematic accumulation prepares portfolios for the expected macro trend reversal and the next expansionary phase heading into 2027

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