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UKong
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UKong

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2026 Q2 US stock tech & semiconductor earnings roundup (across all segments: cloud giants / compute chips / storage / equipment)First, get everything straight and unify the current picture: all of the major tech companies’ earnings reports have genuinely validated that AI compute demand is being concretely fulfilled. However, cloud providers have collectively raised capital expenditures sharply, with free cash flow under pressure. Upstream chip and storage vendors are seeing a broad-based rise in pricing, with profits continuing to reach record highs. Meanwhile, there is a clear split between the hot and cold segments across the upstream and downstream. ▶️ I. The four major global cloud giants (AI demand is being realized, but they’re wildly burning cash on infrastructure) 1. Alphabet (Google, released Q2 after-hours at 7.22) Total revenue was 119.8 billion, up 24% year over year. Total net profit was 112.1 billion (including unrealized gains on securities). The key highlight is Google Cloud. In a single quarter, revenue reached 24.768 billion, up 82% year over year. Operating profit was 8.814 billion, and the profit margin climbed to 35.6%. Enterprise AI orders directly propped up growth, and the pace of AI commercialization exceeded market expectations.

2026 Q2 US stock tech & semiconductor earnings roundup (across all segments: cloud giants / compute chips / storage / equipment)

First, get everything straight and unify the current picture: all of the major tech companies’ earnings reports have genuinely validated that AI compute demand is being concretely fulfilled. However, cloud providers have collectively raised capital expenditures sharply, with free cash flow under pressure. Upstream chip and storage vendors are seeing a broad-based rise in pricing, with profits continuing to reach record highs. Meanwhile, there is a clear split between the hot and cold segments across the upstream and downstream.
▶️ I. The four major global cloud giants (AI demand is being realized, but they’re wildly burning cash on infrastructure)
1. Alphabet (Google, released Q2 after-hours at 7.22)
Total revenue was 119.8 billion, up 24% year over year. Total net profit was 112.1 billion (including unrealized gains on securities).
The key highlight is Google Cloud. In a single quarter, revenue reached 24.768 billion, up 82% year over year. Operating profit was 8.814 billion, and the profit margin climbed to 35.6%. Enterprise AI orders directly propped up growth, and the pace of AI commercialization exceeded market expectations.
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Bullish
7.23 Global Market Morning News|The Dow Falls for 10 Straight Days, Setting a Record; Tech and Chips Rebound Broadly 1. Key Overnight U.S. Market Performance The three major indexes diverged sharply, with funds collectively rotating from traditional blue-chip sectors to technology growth. The Dow closed lower for 10 consecutive days, setting a record for the longest losing streak in history, with a total monthly decline of 2%. Only 12 of the 39 constituent stocks finished in the green. Consumer and finance bellwethers such as Visa, Home Depot, and Procter & Gamble led the decline. The S&P 500 edged up 0.25%, the Nasdaq rose 1.07%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged 3.09%. Tech leaders strengthened across the board: TSMC ADR, Nvidia, Apple, and Google all moved higher, as capital flowed back into the AI semiconductor theme. 2. Asia-Pacific Morning Trading Japan and South Korea opened significantly higher. A rebound in semiconductor sentiment lifted the indexes. In South Korea, the KOSPI opened up 2.48%, holding above 7,000. Samsung and SK Hynix rose. Japan’s Nikkei 225 opened up 1.4%, and intraday gains expanded to 2.12%. 3. Quick Snapshot of Yesterday’s A-Share Trading Overall trading was choppy and leaned weaker, with thinner volume and a strong wait-and-see mood. The Shanghai Composite, Shenzhen Component, ChiNext, and STAR Market 50 all closed lower. Only the CSI 300 inched up 0.09%. The offshore tech rebound did not yet transmit to domestic markets; investors are waiting for today’s industrial data release. Overseas reference: FTSE A50 night session +0.27%. Offshore RMB weakened slightly to 7.3228. 4. Commodities at a Glance Geopolitical factors provided a floor for crude oil, while gold saw profit-taking and pulled back from high levels. WTI crude rose 0.87%, and Brent crude rose 0.47%. Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran continued to support oil prices at elevated levels. On the COMEX, gold and silver fell in tandem. Spot gold dipped to a low of 4,099 USD. The main drivers for the decline were a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking by long positions. 5. Key Catalysts to Watch Today SpaceX will release its first-quarter earnings after going public on August 4 and hold an Investor Day. Starlink and Starship data are the market’s main focus. In July, institutional research visits on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board were concentrated on semiconductors, computing power, and AI applications. Medium- to long-term capital continues to build positions in the hardware sector. Today at 4:00 PM, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) will release core industrial data for the second quarter. Pay attention to the production and sales momentum of the manufacturing sector, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots. 6. Summary of the Main Trading Theme The global capital rotation is clear: investors have moved away from traditional consumer and finance blue chips, and have added exposure across markets to AI and memory chips. In the near term, key variables are concentrated in domestic industrial data and geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East. Crowding in the technology sector remains elevated, so volatility risks should be watched. $AAPL.US $GOOGL.US {stock_us}(GOOGL.US) {stock_us}(AAPL.US)
7.23 Global Market Morning News|The Dow Falls for 10 Straight Days, Setting a Record; Tech and Chips Rebound Broadly

1. Key Overnight U.S. Market Performance
The three major indexes diverged sharply, with funds collectively rotating from traditional blue-chip sectors to technology growth.
The Dow closed lower for 10 consecutive days, setting a record for the longest losing streak in history, with a total monthly decline of 2%. Only 12 of the 39 constituent stocks finished in the green. Consumer and finance bellwethers such as Visa, Home Depot, and Procter & Gamble led the decline.
The S&P 500 edged up 0.25%, the Nasdaq rose 1.07%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged 3.09%. Tech leaders strengthened across the board: TSMC ADR, Nvidia, Apple, and Google all moved higher, as capital flowed back into the AI semiconductor theme.

2. Asia-Pacific Morning Trading
Japan and South Korea opened significantly higher. A rebound in semiconductor sentiment lifted the indexes.
In South Korea, the KOSPI opened up 2.48%, holding above 7,000. Samsung and SK Hynix rose. Japan’s Nikkei 225 opened up 1.4%, and intraday gains expanded to 2.12%.

3. Quick Snapshot of Yesterday’s A-Share Trading
Overall trading was choppy and leaned weaker, with thinner volume and a strong wait-and-see mood.
The Shanghai Composite, Shenzhen Component, ChiNext, and STAR Market 50 all closed lower. Only the CSI 300 inched up 0.09%. The offshore tech rebound did not yet transmit to domestic markets; investors are waiting for today’s industrial data release.
Overseas reference: FTSE A50 night session +0.27%. Offshore RMB weakened slightly to 7.3228.

4. Commodities at a Glance
Geopolitical factors provided a floor for crude oil, while gold saw profit-taking and pulled back from high levels.
WTI crude rose 0.87%, and Brent crude rose 0.47%. Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran continued to support oil prices at elevated levels.
On the COMEX, gold and silver fell in tandem. Spot gold dipped to a low of 4,099 USD. The main drivers for the decline were a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking by long positions.

5. Key Catalysts to Watch Today
SpaceX will release its first-quarter earnings after going public on August 4 and hold an Investor Day. Starlink and Starship data are the market’s main focus.
In July, institutional research visits on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board were concentrated on semiconductors, computing power, and AI applications. Medium- to long-term capital continues to build positions in the hardware sector.
Today at 4:00 PM, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) will release core industrial data for the second quarter. Pay attention to the production and sales momentum of the manufacturing sector, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots.

6. Summary of the Main Trading Theme
The global capital rotation is clear: investors have moved away from traditional consumer and finance blue chips, and have added exposure across markets to AI and memory chips.
In the near term, key variables are concentrated in domestic industrial data and geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East. Crowding in the technology sector remains elevated, so volatility risks should be watched.

$AAPL.US $GOOGL.US
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Bullish
After Google’s earnings report came out, the stock price fell, but Micron and SK hynix—the chip makers—rose instead. The reason is simple: Google Cloud’s business boomed, with revenue far exceeding expectations, proving that AI compute demand is real. Orders were so plentiful they couldn’t even keep up, so they had to rent others’ computing capacity. So upstream hardware suppliers benefited steadily. But Google itself dropped, because to race to build out AI infrastructure, capital expenditures surged, causing free cash flow to turn negative for the first time—and it even needed to raise funds by issuing debt. Investors are worried that the investment is too large and the returns are too slow. The essence of this story is: cloud giants burn cash to expand infrastructure, while the upstream “shovel sellers” make a full pot of profit. As long as the giants can’t stop buying, hardware prosperity will still have momentum. But whether Google can keep up in model competitiveness is the key to whether this round of investment will end well. $GOOGL $MU {future}(MUUSDT)
After Google’s earnings report came out, the stock price fell, but Micron and SK hynix—the chip makers—rose instead.
The reason is simple: Google Cloud’s business boomed, with revenue far exceeding expectations, proving that AI compute demand is real. Orders were so plentiful they couldn’t even keep up, so they had to rent others’ computing capacity.
So upstream hardware suppliers benefited steadily.
But Google itself dropped, because to race to build out AI infrastructure, capital expenditures surged, causing free cash flow to turn negative for the first time—and it even needed to raise funds by issuing debt. Investors are worried that the investment is too large and the returns are too slow.
The essence of this story is: cloud giants burn cash to expand infrastructure, while the upstream “shovel sellers” make a full pot of profit. As long as the giants can’t stop buying, hardware prosperity will still have momentum.
But whether Google can keep up in model competitiveness is the key to whether this round of investment will end well.
$GOOGL $MU
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Article
As this chess game of South Korea’s storage industry goes on, it looks more and more like a high-stakes gamble with no way outSaying that South Korea is betting its life on it might be a bit exaggerated, but saying they’ve staked the fate of the nation isn’t far off at all. The country’s economic lifelines, its stock market weight, and the savings of ordinary people are all tied to these two ships—Samsung and SK Hynix. If the ship capsizes, there’s no lifeboat underneath. ▶️ An industrial chess match over how to re-distribute semiconductor profits in the United States This has to be traced back about forty years. Back then, the United States supported Samsung and SK Hynix, using Korean hands to topple Japan’s DRAM monopoly. After Japan’s semiconductor industry went under, Samsung and SK Hynix expanded all the way—so that today the two together account for the vast majority of global DRAM and NAND share. In particular, in high-end HBM, they’re even close to a monopoly. When the AI wave arrived, HBM became a necessity in the computing era. With Korean companies holding the pricing power, their profits began to grow explosively. The old tacit understanding that profits would obediently flow to American capital was broken.

As this chess game of South Korea’s storage industry goes on, it looks more and more like a high-stakes gamble with no way out

Saying that South Korea is betting its life on it might be a bit exaggerated, but saying they’ve staked the fate of the nation isn’t far off at all. The country’s economic lifelines, its stock market weight, and the savings of ordinary people are all tied to these two ships—Samsung and SK Hynix. If the ship capsizes, there’s no lifeboat underneath.

▶️ An industrial chess match over how to re-distribute semiconductor profits in the United States

This has to be traced back about forty years. Back then, the United States supported Samsung and SK Hynix, using Korean hands to topple Japan’s DRAM monopoly. After Japan’s semiconductor industry went under, Samsung and SK Hynix expanded all the way—so that today the two together account for the vast majority of global DRAM and NAND share. In particular, in high-end HBM, they’re even close to a monopoly. When the AI wave arrived, HBM became a necessity in the computing era. With Korean companies holding the pricing power, their profits began to grow explosively. The old tacit understanding that profits would obediently flow to American capital was broken.
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Bullish
On Tuesday, the storage sector launched a fierce rebound. A round of oversold repair directly pierced through pessimistic sentiment ▶️ Tuesday’s market picture On Tuesday, U.S. stocks in the storage space rallied across the board, with rebound strength far exceeding prior pessimistic expectations. The storage-specific ETF surged 10.91% in a single day. All individual stocks gained by double digits: SanDisk led with 14.27%, SK hynix rose 13.75%, Western Digital climbed 12.51%, Micron gained 12.17%, and Seagate jumped 11.14%. No companies lagged. This surge is not an isolated reaction by a few stocks. Instead, the entire storage sector synchronously saw money flow back in. It quickly pulled the sector that had fallen into bearish territory in the prior few days back into a repair uptrend, and the bullish follow-through strength is clearly visible. ▶️ Multiple real risks that constrain the continuation of the rebound First, this rally is merely a short-term replenishment by oversold capital. The amount of trapped shares from earlier periods is massive. Even with only a modest rebound in share prices, traders may quickly take profits and exit en masse. With no sustained increase in trading volume to provide support, the durability of the next wave of bullish capital is questionable. Second, the long-term pressure from new production capacity has not disappeared. Samsung and SK hynix have both announced large-scale expansion plans. New capacity is set to come online in a concentrated way around 2027. Once supply expands, the logic of current storage price hikes will quickly weaken. Third, macro risks remain persistent. U.S. Treasury yields are staying at high levels. Inflation and geopolitical developments can disrupt tech stock valuations at any time. Overvalued storage names are extremely sensitive to interest-rate fluctuations. Fourth, demand for storage on the consumer end has remained weak for the long run. The recovery in the smartphone and PC markets has not met expectations. Relying on the AI single-track to drive demand leaves little room for error. If AI capital expenditure growth slows, industry sentiment will deteriorate rapidly. $MU $SNDK $SKHY {future}(SKHYUSDT) {future}(SNDKUSDT) {future}(MUUSDT)
On Tuesday, the storage sector launched a fierce rebound. A round of oversold repair directly pierced through pessimistic sentiment

▶️ Tuesday’s market picture
On Tuesday, U.S. stocks in the storage space rallied across the board, with rebound strength far exceeding prior pessimistic expectations.
The storage-specific ETF surged 10.91% in a single day. All individual stocks gained by double digits: SanDisk led with 14.27%, SK hynix rose 13.75%, Western Digital climbed 12.51%, Micron gained 12.17%, and Seagate jumped 11.14%. No companies lagged.
This surge is not an isolated reaction by a few stocks. Instead, the entire storage sector synchronously saw money flow back in. It quickly pulled the sector that had fallen into bearish territory in the prior few days back into a repair uptrend, and the bullish follow-through strength is clearly visible.

▶️ Multiple real risks that constrain the continuation of the rebound
First, this rally is merely a short-term replenishment by oversold capital. The amount of trapped shares from earlier periods is massive. Even with only a modest rebound in share prices, traders may quickly take profits and exit en masse. With no sustained increase in trading volume to provide support, the durability of the next wave of bullish capital is questionable.
Second, the long-term pressure from new production capacity has not disappeared. Samsung and SK hynix have both announced large-scale expansion plans. New capacity is set to come online in a concentrated way around 2027. Once supply expands, the logic of current storage price hikes will quickly weaken.
Third, macro risks remain persistent. U.S. Treasury yields are staying at high levels. Inflation and geopolitical developments can disrupt tech stock valuations at any time. Overvalued storage names are extremely sensitive to interest-rate fluctuations.
Fourth, demand for storage on the consumer end has remained weak for the long run. The recovery in the smartphone and PC markets has not met expectations. Relying on the AI single-track to drive demand leaves little room for error. If AI capital expenditure growth slows, industry sentiment will deteriorate rapidly.

$MU $SNDK $SKHY
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Bearish
$DEXE Just two days ago, I saw the large holder HexTrust transfer 118 million units of the $DEXE token into two new wallets. The total value is about $4.22 million. Immediately after that, they moved these tokens into LBank. As of now, HexTrust still holds 460,000 tokens, worth approximately $15.59 million. And based on the on-chain data tracking just now, around 2:00 PM on the 20th, 12 new wallets were created, all associated with HexTrust. Within two hours, these wallets had received small sell-order test tokens in batches. Of those, 4.22 million tokens were already transferred to LBank. On the 21st, they started to cash out and harvest. HexTrust still has a lot of inventory on hand. This kind of liquidation-style dumping—it's best not to take the bait. {future}(DEXEUSDT)
$DEXE Just two days ago, I saw the large holder HexTrust transfer 118 million units of the $DEXE token into two new wallets. The total value is about $4.22 million. Immediately after that, they moved these tokens into LBank.

As of now, HexTrust still holds 460,000 tokens, worth approximately $15.59 million.

And based on the on-chain data tracking just now, around 2:00 PM on the 20th, 12 new wallets were created, all associated with HexTrust. Within two hours, these wallets had received small sell-order test tokens in batches. Of those, 4.22 million tokens were already transferred to LBank.

On the 21st, they started to cash out and harvest. HexTrust still has a lot of inventory on hand. This kind of liquidation-style dumping—it's best not to take the bait.
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Bullish
1.2 million people lining up and the market going bust: South Korean retail investors’ nationwide “gambling” finally collapsed Young people in South Korea put their life savings into AI chip stocks—only to have leveraged positions blow up, triggering a chain of circuit breakers and leaving 1.2 million people with nothing to show for it. It’s like a group of gamblers borrowing money to place bets, wagering on two stocks—Samsung and SK hynix—which account for 60% of the Korean stock market. Many bought “2x leveraged ETFs,” effectively borrowing another 1x to trade. When the stock price falls by 5%, the system forcibly sells to maintain the leverage ratio—further dragging the price down, triggering margin liquidations for more people who had borrowed to trade. This creates a “fall → sell → fall again” death spiral. Within just a few weeks, the South Korean stock market triggered circuit breakers 7 times—more than the total in the past 20-plus years. Financial instruments can amplify gains, but they can also instantly consume everything you have. Don’t wager your life and your fortune on the “gambling table.” $SAMSUNG $SKHY {future}(SKHYUSDT) {future}(SAMSUNGUSDT)
1.2 million people lining up and the market going bust: South Korean retail investors’ nationwide “gambling” finally collapsed

Young people in South Korea put their life savings into AI chip stocks—only to have leveraged positions blow up, triggering a chain of circuit breakers and leaving 1.2 million people with nothing to show for it.

It’s like a group of gamblers borrowing money to place bets, wagering on two stocks—Samsung and SK hynix—which account for 60% of the Korean stock market. Many bought “2x leveraged ETFs,” effectively borrowing another 1x to trade. When the stock price falls by 5%, the system forcibly sells to maintain the leverage ratio—further dragging the price down, triggering margin liquidations for more people who had borrowed to trade. This creates a “fall → sell → fall again” death spiral. Within just a few weeks, the South Korean stock market triggered circuit breakers 7 times—more than the total in the past 20-plus years.

Financial instruments can amplify gains, but they can also instantly consume everything you have. Don’t wager your life and your fortune on the “gambling table.”
$SAMSUNG $SKHY
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Article
The market is once again trading the idea of a Fed rate hikeRecently, the market has started trading a familiar topic again: will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates again? With oil prices rising, U.S. Treasury yields climbing, the dollar strengthening, and risk assets under pressure, funds began rapidly adjusting expectations. The market had just started pricing in a rate-cut cycle, but as energy price volatility increased and concerns about inflation warmed up, discussions about a 25-basis-point rate hike in September have once again returned to the center of market attention. Over the past few years, the Federal Reserve has become a core variable in global asset pricing. With every rise in oil prices and every time inflation data shows signs of backtracking, the market immediately thinks about whether monetary policy might need to pivot again.

The market is once again trading the idea of a Fed rate hike

Recently, the market has started trading a familiar topic again: will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates again?

With oil prices rising, U.S. Treasury yields climbing, the dollar strengthening, and risk assets under pressure, funds began rapidly adjusting expectations. The market had just started pricing in a rate-cut cycle, but as energy price volatility increased and concerns about inflation warmed up, discussions about a 25-basis-point rate hike in September have once again returned to the center of market attention.

Over the past few years, the Federal Reserve has become a core variable in global asset pricing. With every rise in oil prices and every time inflation data shows signs of backtracking, the market immediately thinks about whether monetary policy might need to pivot again.
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Article
Does Kimi K3 count as a second DeepSeek moment? The trading tape and industry reality are, in fact, two different things.Last Friday, the overall market index was directly hammered down. The main trigger on the trading screen was that earlier there had been too much capital crowded into semiconductors. Once the degree of crowding hit its peak, any small piece of news or movement would trigger a collective exit. The industry shock brought by the launch of Kimi K3 was also used by capital as an excuse for another round of killing valuations. Internally, the market has already started pricing the entire AI main theme using the idea of bursting the bubble. To be objective, at this stage K3’s overall capabilities haven’t yet reached the level of Claude Fable. But the pace of catch-up is clearly visible, and overseas top-tier vendors have genuinely started to feel the pressure. An OpenAI executive responsible for the strategy division specifically commented on Kimi K3, noting that the core insights are highly reference-worthy. He said he never expected that China could produce an open-source large model with such a complete specification. He also proposed that before deploying a high-capability model, a full risk assessment should be completed and only then should it be released externally. This approach is similar to the control logic used by leading model companies in the US. Fundamentally, it’s not merely a restriction from a stance perspective; it’s more of a set of upfront constraints based on the model’s capability boundaries and potential downstream risks. It’s enough to show that this K3 release has stirred quite a bit of commotion within overseas industry circles.

Does Kimi K3 count as a second DeepSeek moment? The trading tape and industry reality are, in fact, two different things.

Last Friday, the overall market index was directly hammered down. The main trigger on the trading screen was that earlier there had been too much capital crowded into semiconductors. Once the degree of crowding hit its peak, any small piece of news or movement would trigger a collective exit. The industry shock brought by the launch of Kimi K3 was also used by capital as an excuse for another round of killing valuations. Internally, the market has already started pricing the entire AI main theme using the idea of bursting the bubble.
To be objective, at this stage K3’s overall capabilities haven’t yet reached the level of Claude Fable. But the pace of catch-up is clearly visible, and overseas top-tier vendors have genuinely started to feel the pressure.
An OpenAI executive responsible for the strategy division specifically commented on Kimi K3, noting that the core insights are highly reference-worthy. He said he never expected that China could produce an open-source large model with such a complete specification. He also proposed that before deploying a high-capability model, a full risk assessment should be completed and only then should it be released externally. This approach is similar to the control logic used by leading model companies in the US. Fundamentally, it’s not merely a restriction from a stance perspective; it’s more of a set of upfront constraints based on the model’s capability boundaries and potential downstream risks. It’s enough to show that this K3 release has stirred quite a bit of commotion within overseas industry circles.
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Stock price breaks below the offering price, deep retreat as the short sellers intensively slam the market over 10 days $SPCX▶️ After one month of listing, the stock price undergoes a deep pullback, with risk re-evaluation occurring in both stocks and bonds. Just 30 days after completing what is the largest IPO in history, SpaceX’s overall market expectations flipped outright. The hype that earlier attracted capital is clearly fading. The stock’s intraday high from the earlier period was set at $225; within a short time it has fallen nearly 40%. This week, the market directly broke through the $135 IPO offering price. On Friday it dropped again by more than 5%, closing at $123.99—its lowest level since listing. All positions opened at the high end are now showing large unrealized losses. Risk repricing isn’t only reflected in the stock tape. Corporate bonds and credit default swaps are weakening in tandem; the entire asset chain is pricing in potential downside risks.

Stock price breaks below the offering price, deep retreat as the short sellers intensively slam the market over 10 days $SPCX

▶️ After one month of listing, the stock price undergoes a deep pullback, with risk re-evaluation occurring in both stocks and bonds.
Just 30 days after completing what is the largest IPO in history, SpaceX’s overall market expectations flipped outright. The hype that earlier attracted capital is clearly fading. The stock’s intraday high from the earlier period was set at $225; within a short time it has fallen nearly 40%. This week, the market directly broke through the $135 IPO offering price. On Friday it dropped again by more than 5%, closing at $123.99—its lowest level since listing. All positions opened at the high end are now showing large unrealized losses. Risk repricing isn’t only reflected in the stock tape. Corporate bonds and credit default swaps are weakening in tandem; the entire asset chain is pricing in potential downside risks.
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Article
A summary of last week’s Nasdaq market performance and a projection of the next 30 daysThis recent pullback in tech stocks is definitely something to be wary of, especially when even positive fundamental developments are met with selling. Clearly, the market’s logic is switching. ▶️Key recap of core trading days last week (July 13, 2026 - July 17) Last week, the Nasdaq experienced a notable wave of selling pressure, with capital clearly rotating across sectors. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by about 2.8% over the week, closing near 25,520 points, while the Nasdaq 100—more heavily weighted toward technology—drew down as much as 4%. 1. AI capex fatigue and valuation repricing: Even though TSMC and ASML delivered an outstanding Q2 report and raised their guidance, TSMC’s massive capital expenditure plans instead triggered market concerns about excess capacity and investment return prospects. This led to the classic “good news, then sold off” pattern. In addition, China’s large-scale models (such as Moonshot and Kimi) are closing in on U.S.-frontier model performance while costing less, further intensifying market anxiety about open-source competition and margin compression.

A summary of last week’s Nasdaq market performance and a projection of the next 30 days

This recent pullback in tech stocks is definitely something to be wary of, especially when even positive fundamental developments are met with selling. Clearly, the market’s logic is switching.
▶️Key recap of core trading days last week (July 13, 2026 - July 17)
Last week, the Nasdaq experienced a notable wave of selling pressure, with capital clearly rotating across sectors. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by about 2.8% over the week, closing near 25,520 points, while the Nasdaq 100—more heavily weighted toward technology—drew down as much as 4%.
1. AI capex fatigue and valuation repricing: Even though TSMC and ASML delivered an outstanding Q2 report and raised their guidance, TSMC’s massive capital expenditure plans instead triggered market concerns about excess capacity and investment return prospects. This led to the classic “good news, then sold off” pattern. In addition, China’s large-scale models (such as Moonshot and Kimi) are closing in on U.S.-frontier model performance while costing less, further intensifying market anxiety about open-source competition and margin compression.
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Bullish
Verified
$QQQ {future}(QQQUSDT) $SPY {future}(SPYUSDT) This round of the AI stocks’ big drop finally exposed many people’s true level. The S&P barely fell, but most of those who chased AI and tech stocks have already cut their losses. If you look down on the small returns from the index, in the end you often can’t even protect your principal. Stock picking isn’t just about choosing the right direction—you also need to buy low enough, keep the position size reasonable, and be able to withstand a mid-cycle drawdown of 30%—50%. If you miss any one of these, it’s hard to make money in the end. When markets are rising, everyone understands AI, storage, and semiconductors; but when things really fall, people don’t look at earnings reports, can’t figure out valuations, and can’t tell whether the underlying logic has changed—so they end up cutting their losses purely out of emotion. If you didn’t buy near a relative bottom, can’t tolerate a big drawdown, and don’t have the ability to research companies long-term, then you should avoid high-volatility tech stocks. For most ordinary people, the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq is the optimal solution. You don’t need to guess who the next ten-bagger stock will be, and you don’t have to worry every day that a company might suddenly crash—you can still benefit from the long-term growth of AI and U.S. tech. Admitting that you can’t beat the broader market isn’t something to be ashamed of. Saying you dislike index gains being slow, while actually chasing and selling on impulse all year long, and still failing to outperform even the S&P—now that’s the real awkward part.
$QQQ
$SPY
This round of the AI stocks’ big drop finally exposed many people’s true level.
The S&P barely fell, but most of those who chased AI and tech stocks have already cut their losses.
If you look down on the small returns from the index, in the end you often can’t even protect your principal.
Stock picking isn’t just about choosing the right direction—you also need to buy low enough, keep the position size reasonable, and be able to withstand a mid-cycle drawdown of 30%—50%.
If you miss any one of these, it’s hard to make money in the end.
When markets are rising, everyone understands AI, storage, and semiconductors; but when things really fall, people don’t look at earnings reports, can’t figure out valuations, and can’t tell whether the underlying logic has changed—so they end up cutting their losses purely out of emotion.
If you didn’t buy near a relative bottom, can’t tolerate a big drawdown, and don’t have the ability to research companies long-term, then you should avoid high-volatility tech stocks.
For most ordinary people, the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq is the optimal solution.
You don’t need to guess who the next ten-bagger stock will be, and you don’t have to worry every day that a company might suddenly crash—you can still benefit from the long-term growth of AI and U.S. tech.
Admitting that you can’t beat the broader market isn’t something to be ashamed of.
Saying you dislike index gains being slow, while actually chasing and selling on impulse all year long, and still failing to outperform even the S&P—now that’s the real awkward part.
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Article
Thoughts on High Volatility and Deleveraging in Korean StocksRecently, global attention has almost entirely focused on the extreme volatility in the Korean stock market: on the one hand, Hynix US-listed ADRs surged 27% in a single day, with the premium to the underlying shares once exceeding 50%; on the other hand, the local Korean market has undergone a brutal deleveraging, with millions of accounts hitting their liquidation lines. Korean stocks seem to have become a barometer for global storage—and even the entire technology sector. Today, let’s think about Korea’s high volatility and deleveraging. ▶️ The key driver of volatility is the rapid expansion of single-stock leveraged ETF products. In past discussions about market leverage, the focus was often on traditional margin financing and short selling. But in the current Korean stock market deleveraging, the real core is the sudden, explosive growth of single-stock leveraged ETF products.

Thoughts on High Volatility and Deleveraging in Korean Stocks

Recently, global attention has almost entirely focused on the extreme volatility in the Korean stock market: on the one hand, Hynix US-listed ADRs surged 27% in a single day, with the premium to the underlying shares once exceeding 50%; on the other hand, the local Korean market has undergone a brutal deleveraging, with millions of accounts hitting their liquidation lines.
Korean stocks seem to have become a barometer for global storage—and even the entire technology sector. Today, let’s think about Korea’s high volatility and deleveraging.
▶️ The key driver of volatility is the rapid expansion of single-stock leveraged ETF products. In past discussions about market leverage, the focus was often on traditional margin financing and short selling. But in the current Korean stock market deleveraging, the real core is the sudden, explosive growth of single-stock leveraged ETF products.
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Partly True
South Korea seems destined to be harvested by the “U.S. imperialists” once again $SAMSUNG {future}(SAMSUNGUSDT) $SKHYNIX {future}(SKHYNIXUSDT) The U.S. is demanding that Samsung and SK hynix build factories in the U.S. and share their excess profits. The logic is that U.S. companies purchase large quantities of South Korean semiconductors, directly driving profit growth for South Korean chip firms; therefore, the U.S. side also has the right to share in those profits. Just like when TSMC went to build factories in the U.S. back then. In the end, it resulted in the U.S. state assets gaining actual control of TSMC. These two just scrimped and saved the money they’d built up for shareholders and then used it like a wedding dress for someone else. I really don’t know what they’re thinking. The moment it’s time to distribute dividends, they play dead—one has a dividend yield of five per thousand, and the other one of one per thousand. What’s the difference between shareholders and doing charity?
South Korea seems destined to be harvested by the “U.S. imperialists” once again
$SAMSUNG
$SKHYNIX

The U.S. is demanding that Samsung and SK hynix build factories in the U.S. and share their excess profits.

The logic is that U.S. companies purchase large quantities of South Korean semiconductors, directly driving profit growth for South Korean chip firms; therefore, the U.S. side also has the right to share in those profits.

Just like when TSMC went to build factories in the U.S. back then. In the end, it resulted in the U.S. state assets gaining actual control of TSMC.

These two just scrimped and saved the money they’d built up for shareholders and then used it like a wedding dress for someone else. I really don’t know what they’re thinking. The moment it’s time to distribute dividends, they play dead—one has a dividend yield of five per thousand, and the other one of one per thousand. What’s the difference between shareholders and doing charity?
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【AI Main Theme Tracking】People are stunned! Funds hide in AAPL; storage and NeoCloud are hit hard againAI main theme cools down completely; people are stunned—no need to worry 🥹😭 Today the AI main theme has clearly entered a broad pullback and a high-volatility phase, with a concentrated deleveraging stage especially in the hardware supply-chain sector. Funds continue to avoid storage, compute power leasing, optical communications, and chip design, shifting instead toward relatively stable directions such as large tech platforms, AI software, and network security. ▶️1|Key watchlist: the downturn is driven by high-volatility segments Core targets are generally under pressure. NVDA, TSM, and ASML are down roughly 1% to 2%, still relatively resilient—although TSMC and ASML both have exceptionally strong earnings support, they are still inevitably under pressure;

【AI Main Theme Tracking】People are stunned! Funds hide in AAPL; storage and NeoCloud are hit hard again

AI main theme cools down completely; people are stunned—no need to worry 🥹😭
Today the AI main theme has clearly entered a broad pullback and a high-volatility phase, with a concentrated deleveraging stage especially in the hardware supply-chain sector.
Funds continue to avoid storage, compute power leasing, optical communications, and chip design, shifting instead toward relatively stable directions such as large tech platforms, AI software, and network security.

▶️1|Key watchlist: the downturn is driven by high-volatility segments
Core targets are generally under pressure. NVDA, TSM, and ASML are down roughly 1% to 2%, still relatively resilient—although TSMC and ASML both have exceptionally strong earnings support, they are still inevitably under pressure;
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Daily Options Rental Income Strategy|SpaceX First Breaks Below the Offering Price! Starship’s 13th Test Flight—Is It a Gold Setup Window or Should We Keep Hunting for Lows?▶️ Market sentiment barometer The three major U.S. stock indexes rose in sync on the previous trading day, and market risk appetite showed signs of recovery. However, SpaceX’s code SPCX.US stock price continued to weaken; during the session it briefly fell below its IPO offering price of $135.00. It closed at $135.27, down about $86 billion from its market-cap peak after listing. With only a month since listing and already nearing a possible break of the issue price, and given the high-volatility environment for individual stocks, it provides ample premium-spread opportunities for options seller strategies. ▶️ Key focus on a popular underlying: SPCX — Institutions are broadly bullish, offset by hedging against selling pressure from the lock-up expiration. On July 15, SPCX briefly traded below its $135 issue price during intraday trading, setting a new post-listing low. The current price is $135.27. It has retraced nearly 30% from its high point. The $135 level is a key psychological support; $140 is a near-term resistance. Options implied volatility remains elevated, and short-side capital has continued to increase.

Daily Options Rental Income Strategy|SpaceX First Breaks Below the Offering Price! Starship’s 13th Test Flight—Is It a Gold Setup Window or Should We Keep Hunting for Lows?

▶️ Market sentiment barometer
The three major U.S. stock indexes rose in sync on the previous trading day, and market risk appetite showed signs of recovery. However, SpaceX’s code SPCX.US stock price continued to weaken; during the session it briefly fell below its IPO offering price of $135.00. It closed at $135.27, down about $86 billion from its market-cap peak after listing. With only a month since listing and already nearing a possible break of the issue price, and given the high-volatility environment for individual stocks, it provides ample premium-spread opportunities for options seller strategies.
▶️ Key focus on a popular underlying: SPCX — Institutions are broadly bullish, offset by hedging against selling pressure from the lock-up expiration.
On July 15, SPCX briefly traded below its $135 issue price during intraday trading, setting a new post-listing low. The current price is $135.27. It has retraced nearly 30% from its high point. The $135 level is a key psychological support; $140 is a near-term resistance. Options implied volatility remains elevated, and short-side capital has continued to increase.
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I added to my position this round in SpaceX. Starlink’s potential is far beyond this valuation for now, and the de-restriction is actually the best time to get in.Yesterday I picked up my phone and saw a push notification about SpaceX falling three days in a row. My first reaction wasn’t to look at the candlestick chart—I went to check the de-restriction calendar. To be honest, this drop is driven by sentiment and de-restriction expectations—not by the Starlink cash-flow logic. If you’ve had $SPCX in your hands, or been watching $RKLB for a long time, this post is simply my own position thinking and response strategy. Purely my own ideas; not investment advice. ▶️ Core logic: This cut-off—actually releasing the restrictions—feels more like a final release of risk. SpaceX has fallen from $225 to $136 today—down nearly 40%, only one step away from the issue price. What is the market afraid of? It’s afraid of the selling pressure after shares are unlocked, afraid of another Rivian.

I added to my position this round in SpaceX. Starlink’s potential is far beyond this valuation for now, and the de-restriction is actually the best time to get in.

Yesterday I picked up my phone and saw a push notification about SpaceX falling three days in a row. My first reaction wasn’t to look at the candlestick chart—I went to check the de-restriction calendar.
To be honest, this drop is driven by sentiment and de-restriction expectations—not by the Starlink cash-flow logic. If you’ve had $SPCX in your hands, or been watching $RKLB for a long time, this post is simply my own position thinking and response strategy. Purely my own ideas; not investment advice.
▶️ Core logic: This cut-off—actually releasing the restrictions—feels more like a final release of risk.
SpaceX has fallen from $225 to $136 today—down nearly 40%, only one step away from the issue price. What is the market afraid of? It’s afraid of the selling pressure after shares are unlocked, afraid of another Rivian.
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Thoughts on the long-cycle value of memory storage after the Southbound double-long Hailsi crashThat moment when it opened yesterday was really hard to hold back. The Southbound double-long position in Hailsi (海力士) got hammered by over 30% intraday, and my account’s unrealized profit was basically wiped out. Today at the open it kept falling another 10%+, and the unrealized loss is just painfully eye-catching 😭. I believe a lot of friends holding this position are just like me—instantly felt anxious the moment the market opened, couldn’t stop refreshing the screen to look for bad news, and even started to wonder whether the logic behind the storage sector is completely no longer valid. When faced with this kind of violent pullback, panic and confusion are unavoidable. But precisely at times like this, you have to first suppress your emotions and calmly see what, behind the big drop, is actually at work.

Thoughts on the long-cycle value of memory storage after the Southbound double-long Hailsi crash

That moment when it opened yesterday was really hard to hold back. The Southbound double-long position in Hailsi (海力士) got hammered by over 30% intraday, and my account’s unrealized profit was basically wiped out. Today at the open it kept falling another 10%+, and the unrealized loss is just painfully eye-catching 😭. I believe a lot of friends holding this position are just like me—instantly felt anxious the moment the market opened, couldn’t stop refreshing the screen to look for bad news, and even started to wonder whether the logic behind the storage sector is completely no longer valid.
When faced with this kind of violent pullback, panic and confusion are unavoidable. But precisely at times like this, you have to first suppress your emotions and calmly see what, behind the big drop, is actually at work.
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Latest breakthrough from Circle to the Swift system: exploring changes and development in the world of new finance and traditional financeIn the past two days, there have been two very important developments regarding crypto assets and blockchain. The protagonists of the story are, respectively: Circle and the Swift system. 👉Circle As the issuer of USDC, they have just announced that they obtained a license from the U.S. National Trust Bank. In simple terms, Circle has been approved to establish a legitimate federal banking institution. Previously, when a user bought USDC, Circle had to hold $1 in cash in its back end— or, equivalently, U.S. Treasury securities. This money is the reserve. Since Circle itself is not a bank and does not have a bank under its umbrella, these reserves had to be deposited with relevant third-party licensed traditional banks.

Latest breakthrough from Circle to the Swift system: exploring changes and development in the world of new finance and traditional finance

In the past two days, there have been two very important developments regarding crypto assets and blockchain.
The protagonists of the story are, respectively: Circle and the Swift system.
👉Circle
As the issuer of USDC, they have just announced that they obtained a license from the U.S. National Trust Bank. In simple terms, Circle has been approved to establish a legitimate federal banking institution.
Previously, when a user bought USDC, Circle had to hold $1 in cash in its back end— or, equivalently, U.S. Treasury securities. This money is the reserve. Since Circle itself is not a bank and does not have a bank under its umbrella, these reserves had to be deposited with relevant third-party licensed traditional banks.
USDC-0.02%
CRCLonAlpha
CRCLUS+0.50%
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Below 2 Million Won: Behind KIS’s Forecast Cut—Is It a Cycle Turning Point or an Emotional Overreaction?$SKHYNIX July 13th feels quite surreal. SK hynix’s intraday trading saw it fall by more than 12%, breaking below 2 million won. Compared with the June peak, the pullback is close to 35%. What’s strange is that in the prior trading day, its ADR in the U.S. was only just listed for the first time—ending up with a gain of 12.8%—with subscription demand so strong it was almost crazy. On one side, Wall Street was beating drums and gongs; on the other, the stock price in Seoul’s local market kept collapsing. And in the same day, Korea Investment & Securities (KIS) also conveniently lowered its profit forecasts for SK hynix for 2026 and 2027. At face value, this storyline looks like a typical pattern: an ADR listing, earnings revisions downward, and storage stocks hitting a peak. The three things happen together—almost like “good news that has been fully priced in.” But if you break down KIS’s research note, you’ll find that the signal conveyed by this downgrade isn’t actually that SK hynix’s fundamentals have deteriorated. Rather, it’s that the industry’s profit-making model for memory/storage is switching gears. In plain terms, SK hynix is giving up some of the profit upside it could capture during the phase of explosive price surges, in exchange for more reliable revenue over the next three to five years. So what really needs discussion isn’t how much less the company earns this quarter, but how the market should price a business model whose profit peak is slightly lower yet lasts longer.

Below 2 Million Won: Behind KIS’s Forecast Cut—Is It a Cycle Turning Point or an Emotional Overreaction?

$SKHYNIX
July 13th feels quite surreal. SK hynix’s intraday trading saw it fall by more than 12%, breaking below 2 million won. Compared with the June peak, the pullback is close to 35%. What’s strange is that in the prior trading day, its ADR in the U.S. was only just listed for the first time—ending up with a gain of 12.8%—with subscription demand so strong it was almost crazy. On one side, Wall Street was beating drums and gongs; on the other, the stock price in Seoul’s local market kept collapsing. And in the same day, Korea Investment & Securities (KIS) also conveniently lowered its profit forecasts for SK hynix for 2026 and 2027.
At face value, this storyline looks like a typical pattern: an ADR listing, earnings revisions downward, and storage stocks hitting a peak. The three things happen together—almost like “good news that has been fully priced in.” But if you break down KIS’s research note, you’ll find that the signal conveyed by this downgrade isn’t actually that SK hynix’s fundamentals have deteriorated. Rather, it’s that the industry’s profit-making model for memory/storage is switching gears. In plain terms, SK hynix is giving up some of the profit upside it could capture during the phase of explosive price surges, in exchange for more reliable revenue over the next three to five years. So what really needs discussion isn’t how much less the company earns this quarter, but how the market should price a business model whose profit peak is slightly lower yet lasts longer.
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