Sniper杰克
504 Posts
Sniper杰克
全市场交易员（AI｜美股｜A股｜Crypto｜黄金） 交易培训 追求盈亏比和胜率 X:@Jz888666
Frequent Trader
3.4 Years
35 Following
6.0K+ Followers
1.7K+ Liked
Posts
All
Quotes
Videos
Live
PINNED
BTC Bear Market Bottom Speculation
This speculation is based on the logic that BTC has experienced three major ups in the past.
Right now, we're witnessing the formation of the third downtrend.
As shown in the chart, BTC's first drop was from 126K to 80K, a decline of 36%.
The second drop was from 97K to 59K, a decline of 38.8%.
So, let's assume the third drop for BTC isn't finished yet.
If we follow the 1:1 logic based on candlestick patterns, a 36% drop would put BTC at 53K.
A 38.8% drop would bring BTC to around 50K.
If the market conditions shift, there could be slight deviations.
Thus, my speculation for the bottom of BTC lies around 50K, give or take 3K.
This corresponds to a price range of 47K - 53K.
If it hits this zone, I'm going to buy BTC and hold for the next bull market peak.
This speculation is based on the logic that BTC has experienced three major ups in the past.
Right now, we're witnessing the formation of the third downtrend.
As shown in the chart, BTC's first drop was from 126K to 80K, a decline of 36%.
The second drop was from 97K to 59K, a decline of 38.8%.
So, let's assume the third drop for BTC isn't finished yet.
If we follow the 1:1 logic based on candlestick patterns, a 36% drop would put BTC at 53K.
A 38.8% drop would bring BTC to around 50K.
If the market conditions shift, there could be slight deviations.
Thus, my speculation for the bottom of BTC lies around 50K, give or take 3K.
This corresponds to a price range of 47K - 53K.
If it hits this zone, I'm going to buy BTC and hold for the next bull market peak.
PINNED
Enter the chat room to learn about the exclusive commission of 20%.
币安聊天室
币安聊天室
2025-2026 all year
The rise and fall of cryptocurrencies and stocks
Suppose you invested $100,000 one year ago to buy BTC
You now have $66,000 left
Bought NVIDIA now worth $130,000
Bought Micron now worth $850,000
The rise and fall of cryptocurrencies and stocks
Suppose you invested $100,000 one year ago to buy BTC
You now have $66,000 left
Bought NVIDIA now worth $130,000
Bought Micron now worth $850,000
Is there anyone who longed ETH in the 4500-4700 range
then caught the bounce to long again in the 3200-3400 zone
and finally went long at 2200-2300?
If you're one of those chosen ones, drop a like!
then caught the bounce to long again in the 3200-3400 zone
and finally went long at 2200-2300?
If you're one of those chosen ones, drop a like!
BTC is building up for one last dip
After this drop, we're entering deep bear mode
Things are likely to get tougher from here
But there's only one goal
And that is to DCA!!! DCA!!! DCA!!!
After this drop, we're entering deep bear mode
Things are likely to get tougher from here
But there's only one goal
And that is to DCA!!! DCA!!! DCA!!!
BTC breaking the 60k mark
Support zone around 57,500
If the market gets extreme
Could dip to the 53,800-55,000 range
Support zone around 57,500
If the market gets extreme
Could dip to the 53,800-55,000 range
The upgraded version of Amazon's ZOOX robot taxi is here
They've revamped the seats, headrests, and touchscreen
Aiming to enhance passenger comfort
Just think about how fast AI is evolving
According to the supply chain logic, this falls under the physical layer of AI
In the coming years, these stocks are definitely going to moon.
They've revamped the seats, headrests, and touchscreen
Aiming to enhance passenger comfort
Just think about how fast AI is evolving
According to the supply chain logic, this falls under the physical layer of AI
In the coming years, these stocks are definitely going to moon.
I've been pretty much bearish on gold since late May.
You could say I've caught three significant dips in gold.
Maybe it's luck,
or maybe it's skill,
probably a bit of both.
Anyway, my feel for the gold market is definitely improving.
You could say I've caught three significant dips in gold.
Maybe it's luck,
or maybe it's skill,
probably a bit of both.
Anyway, my feel for the gold market is definitely improving.
To excel in investing and trading
You need to have qualities like Munger
Extreme patience
Extreme honesty (facing mistakes)
Lifelong reading
Achieving unity of knowledge and action
You need to have qualities like Munger
Extreme patience
Extreme honesty (facing mistakes)
Lifelong reading
Achieving unity of knowledge and action
The dollar has broken out of the range
Next up, it's likely the dollar will be strong
Risk markets are looking weak
Next up, it's likely the dollar will be strong
Risk markets are looking weak
The gold bull market has completely ended
The right side of the movement is quite clear now
Forget about the big bullish trend
It's time to switch to playing the long rebounds and choppy market conditions.
The right side of the movement is quite clear now
Forget about the big bullish trend
It's time to switch to playing the long rebounds and choppy market conditions.
Sniper杰克
·
--
BearishGold might be on the brink of a major drop
I'm here to scoop up some spot
Core assessment:
The moving averages are about to form a death cross
The minor structure continues to slide down
The trend line has been effectively suppressing
Among these three, the most critical is the moving averages forming a death cross
The last time a death cross formed during a bull market consolidation was in '13
After that, gold dropped all the way into a bear market lasting about five years
Perhaps we are on the eve of something similar
If it forms
Gold will only have two types of movements
One is an oversold rebound
The other is a continuous choppy decline
The judgment is made
What's important is whether there’s an opportunity to short
I’m waiting for some signals
If I go long, I will only scoop up spot around 3400-3600
Not using leverage for now
I’ll explain in the next post why I’ll be looking to buy in this zone!
#XAU
I'm here to scoop up some spot
Core assessment:
The moving averages are about to form a death cross
The minor structure continues to slide down
The trend line has been effectively suppressing
Among these three, the most critical is the moving averages forming a death cross
The last time a death cross formed during a bull market consolidation was in '13
After that, gold dropped all the way into a bear market lasting about five years
Perhaps we are on the eve of something similar
If it forms
Gold will only have two types of movements
One is an oversold rebound
The other is a continuous choppy decline
The judgment is made
What's important is whether there’s an opportunity to short
I’m waiting for some signals
If I go long, I will only scoop up spot around 3400-3600
Not using leverage for now
I’ll explain in the next post why I’ll be looking to buy in this zone!
#XAU
Gold might be on the brink of a major drop
I'm here to scoop up some spot
Core assessment:
The moving averages are about to form a death cross
The minor structure continues to slide down
The trend line has been effectively suppressing
Among these three, the most critical is the moving averages forming a death cross
The last time a death cross formed during a bull market consolidation was in '13
After that, gold dropped all the way into a bear market lasting about five years
Perhaps we are on the eve of something similar
If it forms
Gold will only have two types of movements
One is an oversold rebound
The other is a continuous choppy decline
The judgment is made
What's important is whether there’s an opportunity to short
I’m waiting for some signals
If I go long, I will only scoop up spot around 3400-3600
Not using leverage for now
I’ll explain in the next post why I’ll be looking to buy in this zone!
#XAU
I'm here to scoop up some spot
Core assessment:
The moving averages are about to form a death cross
The minor structure continues to slide down
The trend line has been effectively suppressing
Among these three, the most critical is the moving averages forming a death cross
The last time a death cross formed during a bull market consolidation was in '13
After that, gold dropped all the way into a bear market lasting about five years
Perhaps we are on the eve of something similar
If it forms
Gold will only have two types of movements
One is an oversold rebound
The other is a continuous choppy decline
The judgment is made
What's important is whether there’s an opportunity to short
I’m waiting for some signals
If I go long, I will only scoop up spot around 3400-3600
Not using leverage for now
I’ll explain in the next post why I’ll be looking to buy in this zone!
#XAU
BTC is currently on the sidelines
There's a heavy resistance at 65600
This range has shown significant reactions
There’s also some support below
This spot is a conflict zone
So we’re waiting for a solid setup
Not every position needs to be traded
Without a good risk-reward ratio
Patience is the best strategy
#BTC
There's a heavy resistance at 65600
This range has shown significant reactions
There’s also some support below
This spot is a conflict zone
So we’re waiting for a solid setup
Not every position needs to be traded
Without a good risk-reward ratio
Patience is the best strategy
#BTC
BTC Short-Term Market Analysis
Currently, BTC is influenced by the US-Iran negotiations.
BTC shifted from a downturn to an uptrend this morning.
It's currently at a critical price level.
If BTC can break above the red box at 65500,
it will likely move towards the 69500-70500 range.
Reaching this level would also present a good shorting opportunity.
If it fails to break above 65500,
it will continue to set new lows.
Early July should be a key turning point.
#BTC走势分析
Currently, BTC is influenced by the US-Iran negotiations.
BTC shifted from a downturn to an uptrend this morning.
It's currently at a critical price level.
If BTC can break above the red box at 65500,
it will likely move towards the 69500-70500 range.
Reaching this level would also present a good shorting opportunity.
If it fails to break above 65500,
it will continue to set new lows.
Early July should be a key turning point.
#BTC走势分析
Drew a chart showing the BTC bear market bottom and the general trend for the next bull run.
Let's verify this later.
Let's verify this later.
Assuming BTC really hits around 50K, should I go all in for the dip?
In my last post, I mentioned analyzing BTC's current downtrend structure.
If the third drop isn’t finished yet,
then I’m looking at a bottom range
roughly between 47K and 53K.
But there's a position sizing issue here.
Just because it drops to this level doesn’t mean I’ll go all in.
I’ll likely buy in with 2 layers around 53K,
3 layers around 50K,
and keep 5 layers waiting for signals to appear.
I’m looking for the following three signals:
First, is there a massive liquidation?
Second, is there emotional panic?
Third, does the structure stabilize at key areas?
If all three show up, I’ll throw my remaining position in.
Next post will share
What to do if BTC drops below 47K?
In my last post, I mentioned analyzing BTC's current downtrend structure.
If the third drop isn’t finished yet,
then I’m looking at a bottom range
roughly between 47K and 53K.
But there's a position sizing issue here.
Just because it drops to this level doesn’t mean I’ll go all in.
I’ll likely buy in with 2 layers around 53K,
3 layers around 50K,
and keep 5 layers waiting for signals to appear.
I’m looking for the following three signals:
First, is there a massive liquidation?
Second, is there emotional panic?
Third, does the structure stabilize at key areas?
If all three show up, I’ll throw my remaining position in.
Next post will share
What to do if BTC drops below 47K?
Log in to explore more content