A historical timing pattern in #Bitcoin cycles is getting attention again. • Dec 2017 ATH → ~395 Days → Jan 2019 Bottom • Nov 2021 ATH → ~395 Days → Dec 2022 Bottom If the same structure repeats: • Oct 2025 ATH → ~395 Days → Possible Bottom Around Nov 2026 Bitcoin markets often follow cyclical timing patterns driven by liquidity, sentiment, and macro conditions. While no pattern guarantees the future, many traders are watching this timeline closely as a potential window for the next cycle bottom. $BTC Catch the move 👇🏻
BTC is still trading inside a rising wedge on the 4H chart.
After the NFP-driven pump, BTC wicked into the $87,300 area and rejected from the upper wedge resistance.
Resistance: 🔴 $87,800–$88,000
A confirmed breakout with a daily close or 2 consecutive 4H closes, followed by a successful retest, would invalidate the wedge and could open the path toward $90K+.
If we get some volatility later on today, I could see one of these two scenarios playing out.
With price currently pushing back into the range highs, we could see a rejection from somewhere around here that sends price back towards the Friday low. This is where we could see a potential sweep followed by another bounce.
The other possible scenario is that BTC keeps pushing higher into the $86k region first to fill 50% of the wick I’ve been talking about before potentially rotating lower again.
Both of these scenarios could offer some nice scalping opportunities.
A push into the $86k region could set up a decent short if we get a clear rejection there. However, a sweep of the triple highs around $87k is still very possible, so proper stop placement would be important here.
If price, on the other hand, sweeps the Friday low and reclaims it right away, I could see a continuation long play out.
Either way, both scenarios would still keep BTC range bound for now, as I expect the more decisive move to follow next week.
Yesterday’s daily candle left behind quite a large wick to the upside.
Whenever BTC prints a wick like this, it often tends to get filled by at least 50%, as violent moves like these usually leave behind a lot of liquidity, which price then comes back to, to sweep.
Therefore, I believe it is likely that price retests the range highs once more before potentially continuing lower towards the range lows.
From there, we could see a short deviation below these lows followed by a quick reclaim before price continues its broader uptrend.
However, I believe it’s more likely that we continue ranging for a little longer first, engineering more liquidity on both sides before that happens.
After all, price has only been consolidating between $83k and $87k for roughly two weeks now, while ranges like this can easily persist for several weeks before we eventually get a confirmed breakout.