Swipe Alpha / Look at the Dog-Breaking Before You Start: If you’re already trading with a Binance wallet, not binding an invitation code means you’re paying extra fees.
After binding: - Your wallet transaction fees are cut significantly (up to 30% currently) - Alpha, new coins, and on-chain transactions all use the same system - Takes just 10 seconds; it won’t affect your existing account
Manually enter the invitation code: SSSYYY Path: In the Binance app, tap “Wallet” at the top-right → “Invite Friends” → “Enter invitation code: SSSYYY”
Note 3 small things: 1. If you’ve bound someone else’s code, you usually can’t change it again—check first whether you have an inviter 2. Binding doesn’t mean you’ll automatically make money; it only helps you pay less 3. Before going offline every day, I’ll demonstrate it in my livestream—if you don’t get it, just watch the livestream
This isn’t project promotion; it’s my own way of saving on fees that I use.
September 28: Binance Alpha 30-day new token trading competition
DGAI current price is 1.01, with 24H trading volume of 18.56M, down 0.31%. FDV is 1.01B, with 18 days remaining.
CNPY price is 0.4059, down 5.88%. FDV is 227M, with 9 days remaining.
4Stock is 0.0110, 24H volume of 1.26M, a slight drop of 0.73%. FDV is 10.97M, with 11 days remaining.
APM is 0.00457, volume of 3.83M, down 7.21%. FDV is 45.74M, with 19 days remaining.
FLORK is 0.00679, volume of 310K, down 5.3%. FDV is 6.79M, with 4 days remaining.
TAC is 0.00154, volume of 620K, down 4.47%. FDV is 15.6M, with 6 days remaining.
GSTOCK is 0.0236, volume of 2.37M, down 5.65%. FDV is 23.26M, with 27 days remaining.
BREW is 0.0122, volume of 1.46M, down 6.71%. FDV is 12.17M, with 27 days remaining.
NES is 0.1641, volume of 700K, down 1.87%. FDV is 169M, with 12 days remaining.
CP is 0.0132, only 70K in volume, down 1.69%. FDV is 66M, with 6 days remaining.
Before you trade Alpha, take a look: If you’re already trading with a Binance Wallet, not binding a referral code means you’re paying more fees. After binding: - Wallet trading fees are reduced right away (up to 30% currently) - Alpha, new tokens, and on-chain trades all use the same setup - It takes just 10 seconds and won’t affect your existing account Manual input of referral code: SSSYYY Path: In the Binance App (top-right) “Wallet” → “Invite Friends” → “Enter referral code: SSSYYY”
Until now, I still think allocating a large position to BTC is the most稳妥 option. However, currently BTC isn’t dropping. As a leveraged version of Bitcoin, MicroStrategy should still have about 4x room to grow. If Bitcoin sets a new all-time high, MicroStrategy will have even greater potential.
If you want to be cautious, besides BTC there’s also the platform token BNB—both are good choices.
Also, for the U.S. stock market, I currently think these are relatively good: MicroStrategy, COIN, HOOD, CRCL
The “big pancake” missed this wave and I’m not in the mood to go live or interact anymore—I just want to lie flat!
The Superhero’s main source of income is the big pancake. If it can’t get on this round of the train, it’s basically like there will be no income for the next few years. Just thinking about it is terrifying!
So I’m also constantly looking in the primary market for a suitable target. I’m going small for pure gambling, and going big to bet on 10x returns~
In my shallow understanding, the upside from BTC dropping and then rising again is at most about 3.x times. And in the next round, I guess it’ll only be about double. The later it gets, the worse the cost-effectiveness.
Please let me put it this way about the big pancake: In bygone days, the swallows before the noble halls of kings and ministers could fly into ordinary households. But later on, it no longer belongs to someone like me— a small commoner who can play with it anymore! It’s only suitable for those big funds that can double.
These days I’ve also been setting up positions in US stocks, constantly comparing how to build the position so that we can make the most of those few “crumbs”—together we’ll push! 👏 Keep at it, young one
Today, continuing the DCA: $BTC at price: $84187.88, quantity: 0.00118
BTC is currently around 84,400. On Monday and Tuesday it surged to test 87,400; on Wednesday, after the PMI data came out, it was immediately dumped, breaking 85,000. On Thursday it bottomed at 82,800, with the Asian session pulling back slightly. ETH is around 2,680. The rally around 87,000 couldn’t hold. This round of short-covering has basically already run a good part of its course.
Macro: The 5-year U.S. Treasury yield has broken above 5% for the first time since 2007. The White House directly debunked the news, saying the diesel export ban story is false. TSMC’s contract manufacturing quotes have been raised again by 3%-6%. In the U.S., September services and manufacturing PMIs both hit multi-year highs. Costs are moving up alongside oil prices. Official Bahl commented that the risk of inflation meeting targets is rising, and further rate hikes are not ruled out. The U.S. dollar is above 101; the 10-year Treasury closed at 5.12%.
On Thursday, U.S. stocks had three straight sessions of decline for the Dow. During the day, news circulated that the U.S. and Iran are discussing a phased ceasefire. The idea is to reopen the strait in exchange for lifting the blockade. Stocks rebounded from the lows on the back of the news, but Treasury yields didn’t ease. The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.15 and the 30-year reached 5.45. Market pricing suggests the probability of another rate hike in October is close to 70%. Oil prices also show resilience. Another incident occurred in the strait where ships were attacked; Iran’s conditions haven’t changed. Brent holds above 106, while WTI is back to 95. There is talk of negotiations, but no agreement has been reached yet.
Crypto: Interest rates and oil are both rising, putting initial pressure on risk assets. The clear bill still hasn’t passed—don’t expect regulators to provide positive news to rescue the market. The rally on Monday was essentially premium unwinding plus short liquidations, not the start of a new uptrend.
Above 84,500 is the pressure level after this pullback. Once that breaks, watch 83,000 and then 81,000 on the downside. If oil keeps rising and Treasury yields don’t fall back, Monday’s market won’t look very good. Don’t max out your position all at once on Friday.
The above is only a recap of the market action and does not constitute any investment advice.
Night Session Review|Where Did We Go Wrong Today, and What to Watch Tomorrow
Where We Tripped Up: I previously thought 83,500 was a level that absolutely had to be defended as rebound support. But in the afternoon, price directly dipped to 82,874. That meant the short-term long positions shouldn’t have been stubbornly held. Later, I also predicted it would move to 81,000, but the market didn’t deliver. If you chased shorts, this pullback during the night session would be very likely to sweep your stop-loss.
What We Got Right: I didn’t chase longs when 87,283 attempted a second spike. I kept treating the 84,000–86,000 zone as resistance throughout, and I didn’t mistakenly assume this rebound was the start of a brand-new uptrend.
Market Data: Current price 84,494. Past 24-hour range: 82,874–84,944. The daily candle is slightly up 0.58%. 1-hour Moving Averages: MA5 at 83,871, MA10 at 83,889, MA20 at 84,089. During the night session, price has moved back above these three MAs. But this is just short-covering after the drop from 82,874. Trading volume is average, and the market structure is completely different from the earlier move that surged toward 87,000.
Tomorrow, focus on two things:
1. Whether BTC can hold steady above 83,870 and then break 85,000. Until it breaks, a rebound up to 84,944–85,000 is enough to reduce positions.
2. Whether spot markets have new money coming in to take over. Without incremental buy orders, anything above 84,500 should only be considered a repair move—don’t add to positions.
Remember today’s key levels: intraday low 82,874, and intraday high 84,944. Where exactly was your biggest loss point today? $BTC
Today on-chain meme coins are dropping hard, so there’s no new fake/backup position opened for now. My thoughts 🤔: 1. $PEPE —its current market cap is 1.767 billion. The low point returned to 1 billion in July. At the end of 2024, when Trump took office, the market cap surged past 10 billion. If you built the position in July, it would be exactly 10x from the high point.
2. The main position is still reserved for BTC. If it drops further, consider rotating some into PEPE to chase a potential 10x profit 💰
3. In the previous round, I went all-in on BTC and didn’t build any meme/alt positions. It was steady, but the upside was also capped pretty low. This round, I can make a small adjustment.
Liquidity|The ETF is still being bought, but the market has already smashed through 83,500. Two things need to be looked at separately
Spot: In the past couple of days, the BTC spot ETF has still seen large net inflows, with IBIT and FBTC leading the way. The medium-term buying is still there, so the 7-day performance remains +8.23%, and it hasn’t turned directly bad. Derivatives: The segment around 87,283 was a squeeze that pulled the price up. After coming down from the highs on the 1-hour chart, it moved sideways around 84,000 for half a day. In the evening, another red candle drove it down to 82,874. Current price is 83,098. MA5 is 83,873 / MA10 is 84,013 / MA20 is 84,175—all are overhead. In the short term, this is leverage liquidation, not a sudden disappearance of spot. On-chain: Over the last 7 days, realized net profit is about $5.1 billion. At the highs, people are cashing out, so a sharp pullback comes as no surprise.
Conclusion: ETFs can explain why the core trading range didn’t collapse straight down to a lower level; they can’t explain why 83,500 couldn’t be held. Treat the short term as a breakdown.
Strategy: For the medium term, still view things through the lens of inflows—don’t chase shorts right at around 83,000. For the short term, you absolutely can’t chase above 87,000 either. Consider the rebound zone of 84,000–86,000 as an area to reduce positions first. Next level to watch is 81,000. If it can’t reclaim the 83,870 moving average, then regard it as a weak repair. $BTC
Midday Watch|$ETH holds the 2,680 moving-average line; first see who breaks through
$BTC: Around 84,150, still trapped in the 83,500–86,000 range box, with a downward moving average pressing overhead. As for the special congressional meeting, there’s been no clear official stance yet—both bulls and bears are waiting. $ETH : Current price 2,675, 24h range 2,635–2,788. The spike-and-retrace follows the same framework as BTC; volume got hit hard on those bearish candles during the drop. MA5 2,680 / MA10 2,679 / MA20 2,691—price is staying below the 5-day line, and 2,700 hasn’t been reclaimed. $SOL: No standalone breakout with volume; it just follows Big Pie (BTC). Don’t chase.
Trigger conditions:
- $ETH reclaims 2,691–2,700 and holds, then rebound targets 2,725; BTC should simultaneously stand above 85,800 for the day to lean bullish. - $ETH breaks below 2,635; retest is lower—don’t pick it up mid-way. If BTC breaks below 83,500, altcoins should stop first. - Right now this is a weak rebound, not the second wave. Without volume breaking through the moving averages, reduce positions during the range; don’t add on a trend.
For those with multiple positions, pull back to a number and see whether leverage is still piling up around here.
$BTC Structure: After spiking to 87,283, the price is still being held below the moving averages. The key level is 83,500.
Position: Starting from around 81,000 on 9.21 and running up to 87,283. On the 1-hour chart, the spike and drop back are very steep; volume is concentrated on the few bearish candles during the decline, and there are clear signs of short-covering. Current price: 84,146. 24-hour range: 83,500.2–87,283.0. MA5 84,306 / MA10 84,335 / MA20 84,836. The three moving averages are overhead and pointing down; the rebound hasn’t reclaimed the 5-day line yet.
1. At the moment, we can only call it a weak rebound around 83,500. Only if price stands above 86,000 and closes firmly there can we talk about a second test of 87,400. 2. 83,500 is last night’s low and also the first line of defense for this pullback. If it breaks, look back toward 81,000—don’t catch falling “knives” in between. 3. The 7-day performance is still +9.59%, so the medium-term structure hasn’t been broken. But on the 1-hour chart, the sequence of lower highs and lower lows is continuous; first check whether the rebound can break through 84,800 with increased volume. Don’t judge just because the order book flickers green.
Trade plan: Stay sidelined unless you’re trading within 83,500–86,000.
- Hold 83,500; the weak-rebound target is 84,800–85,000, then watch where the moving averages cap price. - Reclaim 86,000, then add longs—don’t take a premature bet of 90k. - If 83,500 breaks, exit longs on the short term; next target is 81,000.
Where are you placing your stop-loss—below 83,500, or do you go straight to 81,000?
The special meeting is taking shape; BTC gives back part of its gains, but ETF buying demand remains
Today’s focus is the White House special meeting. Xi Jinping is on his state visit to the U.S.; the two sides will discuss trade, technology, AI, and geopolitical issues. The market is waiting for the readout of the meeting, and risk-asset sentiment could swing with the official comments.
Market action: BTC pulled back from around $87,000 yesterday, closing in the $84,000–$84,500 range, which liquidated some long leverage. The prior leg of the rally showed clear signs of short-covering; total market cap briefly returned to over $3 trillion, and altcoins rose about 13.5% over the week.
Analysis suggests that if spot buying keeps up, there may still be a test of $90,000, but open interest and funding rates are already elevated—leverage risk is heating up.
Flows: Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows have not stopped. Net inflows were nearly $1 billion on September 21 and about $715 million again on the 22nd, with IBIT and FBTC leading. Large inflows over multiple consecutive days indicate institutions are still adding positions. ETH ETFs also saw net inflows in the same period, but the scale was clearly smaller than BTC’s.
Near term, watch two things: whether the special meeting brings wording that is more conciliatory than expected—or more aggressive—and whether ETF inflows can continue after pullbacks. With leverage already piled up at high levels, volatility could be amplified.
The above is a synthesis of publicly available market data and does not constitute investment advice.
Overnight, this move in the market was driven by news—it's not the kind of setup suitable for adding to positions.
BTC is currently around 86,300. On Tuesday, it spiked to a high of 87,400, then pulled back; during the Asian session it’s been trading sideways in the 86,000–86,600 range. ETH is around the 2,760 mark. That big bullish candle from Monday is still there, but trading volume has clearly shrunk—don’t directly treat 87,000 as a confirmed breakout.
Oil prices are still digesting geopolitical risk premium. On Monday, WTI fell to around 92, and the market even considers the UN General Assembly as a diplomatic negotiation window. The strait has not truly resumed navigation. Saudi exports are rising again, but once the diesel restriction lands, supply of refined products could face new uncertainties.
Fed officials reiterated on Monday that they do not rule out further rate hikes; in the dot plot, the expected hike from that one meeting hasn’t been removed yet. As oil prices fall, the pressure for a December rate hike eases a bit. But if negotiations break down, oil prices could rebound and the whole market logic would flip again.
Today’s two key events: the Iranian president’s speech at the UN General Assembly, and the first readings of the U.S./Europe PMIs this evening. The window for a meeting between the U.S. and China leaders is also within the next few days. The Clear Act still hasn’t passed, so there’s no positive catalyst from the regulatory side. This time the coin price rally is driven by an improving market risk appetite + short-covering, not by any bill-related tailwind.
86,000 is the support step for this leg. If it breaks, look for 84,000 and then 81,000 below. Don’t chase the long upper wick candle at 87,400 during the day. No matter which speech or PMI data shows abnormal movement—if oil moves, the coin price will swing immediately in tandem.
⚠️ Market recap only—does not constitute investment advice. Cryptoassets are subject to extreme volatility; pay attention to risk control. #BTC #币圈早报
A token suddenly appeared in your wallet that you’ve never bought? Don’t rush to sell—this is basically a phishing “airdrop.”
If your wallet also mysteriously shows an “AI” token (or other knockoff coins) marked with a ⚠️ warning and valued at tens of thousands, then it’s a typical token poisoning/phishing airdrop: scammers send a transaction with a seemingly valuable coin to your address. They then wait for you to authorize, exchange, or sell it. Once you interact, your real assets may be transferred away.
The correct approach is just three steps: 1 When you see a token you’ve never bought, with a warning label, ignore it completely. Don’t click, don’t authorize, and don’t sell. 2 In your wallet settings, hide scam tokens so you don’t see them. 3 Regularly check with your authorization management tool and revoke any unnecessary permissions.
There’s no free pie in the sky—only traps fall!
A real airdrop won’t show up in your wallet out of nowhere, and it certainly won’t proactively give you high-value tokens. Don’t be tempted by cheap deals—keep your assets safe.
A token suddenly appeared in your wallet that you’ve never bought? Don’t rush to sell—this is basically a phishing “airdrop.”
If your wallet also mysteriously shows an “AI” token (or other knockoff coins) marked with a ⚠️ warning and valued at tens of thousands, then it’s a typical token poisoning/phishing airdrop: scammers send a transaction with a seemingly valuable coin to your address. They then wait for you to authorize, exchange, or sell it. Once you interact, your real assets may be transferred away.
The correct approach is just three steps: 1 When you see a token you’ve never bought, with a warning label, ignore it completely. Don’t click, don’t authorize, and don’t sell. 2 In your wallet settings, hide scam tokens so you don’t see them. 3 Regularly check with your authorization management tool and revoke any unnecessary permissions.
There’s no free pie in the sky—only traps fall!
A real airdrop won’t show up in your wallet out of nowhere, and it certainly won’t proactively give you high-value tokens. Don’t be tempted by cheap deals—keep your assets safe.