Binance Square
Mister X777
78 Posts

Mister X777

xxxxx
3 Following
33 Followers
85 Liked
Posts
ยท
--
NVDA$NVDA.US Let's start with the uncomfortable part: using the conservative methods of this approach, NVDA appears to be priced for a decade of growth that no traditional discounted cash flow model can justify today. The current FCF Yield (~2.3%) is below its own 10-year Treasury (~4.9-5.0%) โ€” this isnโ€™t a technical detail; itโ€™s the market saying itโ€™s paying for duration, not for present cash. ## 0. Actual Data Collected โ€” NVDA | Issuer: Domestic (10-K/10-Q) | Date: 21/Sep/2026

NVDA

$NVDA.US Let's start with the uncomfortable part: using the conservative methods of this approach, NVDA appears to be priced for a decade of growth that no traditional discounted cash flow model can justify today. The current FCF Yield (~2.3%) is below its own 10-year Treasury (~4.9-5.0%) โ€” this isnโ€™t a technical detail; itโ€™s the market saying itโ€™s paying for duration, not for present cash.
## 0. Actual Data Collected โ€” NVDA | Issuer: Domestic (10-K/10-Q) | Date: 21/Sep/2026
NVDAUS-0.55%
ยท
--
Bullish
August payrolls strongly surprised: 162k jobs versus 55k expected, with unemployment stuck at 4.1%. That already changed the read on the U.S. labor market. Today, the CPI came out and reinforced the turnaround: the headline was in line (0.4% for the month, 3.4% in 12 months), but core came in hot, at 0.3% versus 0.2% expected, driven by services and the pass-through of the energy shock. Result: the market stopped discussing a cut and started pricing in ~85% odds that the Fed will raise by 0.25 percentage points at the 15โ€“16/09 meeting. The dollar and Treasuries react hawkishly, which pressures risk assets in the short term. For gold, I donโ€™t see a reason for panic or for euphoria. Higher yields weigh on it, but central bank demand and geopolitical risk keep the floor in place. Structural: bullish. Tactical, with the FOMC knocking on the door: maintain, without adding exposure until the decision comes out. #CPIWatch $BTC
August payrolls strongly surprised: 162k jobs versus 55k expected, with unemployment stuck at 4.1%. That already changed the read on the U.S. labor market. Today, the CPI came out and reinforced the turnaround: the headline was in line (0.4% for the month, 3.4% in 12 months), but core came in hot, at 0.3% versus 0.2% expected, driven by services and the pass-through of the energy shock.
Result: the market stopped discussing a cut and started pricing in ~85% odds that the Fed will raise by 0.25 percentage points at the 15โ€“16/09 meeting. The dollar and Treasuries react hawkishly, which pressures risk assets in the short term.
For gold, I donโ€™t see a reason for panic or for euphoria. Higher yields weigh on it, but central bank demand and geopolitical risk keep the floor in place. Structural: bullish. Tactical, with the FOMC knocking on the door: maintain, without adding exposure until the decision comes out.
#CPIWatch $BTC
ยท
--
Bullish
Microsoft: great business, not-so-great price. Azure grew 43% in the quarter and crossed US$100 billion in fiscal year revenue, commercial RPO rose 84% to US$678 billion, and Copilot has already surpassed 30 million paid seatsโ€”those operational numbers are real; itโ€™s not just an AI narrative. But the quarterโ€™s profit got a boost of US$3.2 billion from the investment in Anthropic, which wonโ€™t repeat, and capex surged 69% while free cash flow fell over the same period. The stock trades near US$495, with an FCF yield around 1.8%โ€”below the 10-year Treasury, which is paying almost 4.8% with no risk at all. That means the market is already pricing in several years of flawless execution. This isnโ€™t a bad stock. Itโ€™s an expensive one right now. If youโ€™re going to enter, enter gradually (DCA), not all at onceโ€”and check whether Azure can maintain its pace over the next 2 quarters before increasing your position. Not investment advice to buy or sell. Do your own analysis.$MSFTB
Microsoft: great business, not-so-great price. Azure grew 43% in the quarter and crossed US$100 billion in fiscal year revenue, commercial RPO rose 84% to US$678 billion, and Copilot has already surpassed 30 million paid seatsโ€”those operational numbers are real; itโ€™s not just an AI narrative.
But the quarterโ€™s profit got a boost of US$3.2 billion from the investment in Anthropic, which wonโ€™t repeat, and capex surged 69% while free cash flow fell over the same period. The stock trades near US$495, with an FCF yield around 1.8%โ€”below the 10-year Treasury, which is paying almost 4.8% with no risk at all. That means the market is already pricing in several years of flawless execution.
This isnโ€™t a bad stock. Itโ€™s an expensive one right now. If youโ€™re going to enter, enter gradually (DCA), not all at onceโ€”and check whether Azure can maintain its pace over the next 2 quarters before increasing your position.
Not investment advice to buy or sell. Do your own analysis.$MSFTB
ยท
--
Bullish
ETH is the only โ€œpositive majorโ€ in 2026 (+40% year), while the overall market remains below where it started.** BTC closed July near $63,000, +7% for the month โ€” but even so it wasnโ€™t the best performance among the large caps. Institutional flows in 2026 are still negative by about ~$5B accumulated, a legacy of the May/June shortfall. In other words: price is rising, but institutional money hasnโ€™t returned in the same proportion. This supports two opposing interpretations: (1) ETH is leading the technical recovery before the rest of the market confirmsโ€”something weโ€™ve already seen in the 2022 cycle; or (2) the rally is short-term liquidity without real flow backing, and more fragile than it seems. The risk for anyone following thesis 1: if negative flows donโ€™t reverse in August, ETHโ€™s โ€œleadโ€ could just be capital rotation, not fresh conviction entering the market. Do you agree that ETH is leading on fundamentals, or is it just less sold than the rest? $BTC $ETH
ETH is the only โ€œpositive majorโ€ in 2026 (+40% year), while the overall market remains below where it started.**

BTC closed July near $63,000, +7% for the month โ€” but even so it wasnโ€™t the best performance among the large caps. Institutional flows in 2026 are still negative by about ~$5B accumulated, a legacy of the May/June shortfall. In other words: price is rising, but institutional money hasnโ€™t returned in the same proportion.

This supports two opposing interpretations: (1) ETH is leading the technical recovery before the rest of the market confirmsโ€”something weโ€™ve already seen in the 2022 cycle; or (2) the rally is short-term liquidity without real flow backing, and more fragile than it seems.

The risk for anyone following thesis 1: if negative flows donโ€™t reverse in August, ETHโ€™s โ€œleadโ€ could just be capital rotation, not fresh conviction entering the market.

Do you agree that ETH is leading on fundamentals, or is it just less sold than the rest?

$BTC $ETH
ยท
--
Bullish
๐Ÿšจ What if the next big opportunity in the crypto market isnโ€™t in Bitcoin? Bitcoin is still the โ€œdigital goldโ€. ๐ŸŸ  But the real potential may be in projects building the next internet infrastructure: AI + blockchain, DeFi, asset tokenization, and digital payments. The question is: ๐Ÿ‘‰ Which cryptocurrency do you believe could multiply in value over the next 5 years? I want to see your guesses. ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘‡ #Crypto #Cripto #Bitcoin #Blockchain #Investimentos #Web3 $GOOGLB $HBAR
๐Ÿšจ What if the next big opportunity in the crypto market isnโ€™t in Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is still the โ€œdigital goldโ€. ๐ŸŸ 

But the real potential may be in projects building the next internet infrastructure: AI + blockchain, DeFi, asset tokenization, and digital payments.

The question is:

๐Ÿ‘‰ Which cryptocurrency do you believe could multiply in value over the next 5 years?

I want to see your guesses. ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘‡

#Crypto #Cripto #Bitcoin #Blockchain #Investimentos #Web3 $GOOGLB $HBAR
ยท
--
SPCX (SpaceX): is it time to buy? ๐Ÿš€ Current price: US$ 145โ€“156 Market value: ~US$ 1.9โ€“2.0 trillion The question every investor is asking is: with this pullback, has the stock become cheap? The numbers ๐Ÿ“Š Revenue 2025: US$ 18.67 billion ๐Ÿ“Š Adjusted EBITDA: US$ 6.58 billion ๐Ÿ“‰ 2025 operating loss: US$ -2.59 billion In Q1 2026: โ€ข Revenue: US$ 4.69 billion โ€ข Operating loss: US$ -1.94 billion โžก๏ธ In just one quarter, the company reported about 75% of all its 2025 operating loss. Three businesses, one single stock ๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ Starlink: main value driver, with an EBITDA margin near 64%. ๐Ÿš€ Space launches: operations close to breakeven, but historically volatile. ๐Ÿค– AI (xAI/X): the segment that dominates the narrative, yet it continues to expand losses. Does the valuation make sense? - P/E: negative - Dividends: does not pay - Implied EV/EBITDA: approximately 300xโ€“450x Current multiples reflect expectations of decades of growthโ€”not todayโ€™s financial results. My take โŒ Based on current fundamentals, it doesnโ€™t look like a cheap stock. If your thesis is to invest in SpaceXโ€™s long-term potential, do it with discipline: โœ… Limit the position to a small slice of your portfolio (2โ€“3%). โœ… Wait for the next results as a listed company. โœ… Track mainly the evolution of the AI segment. โš ๏ธ Another point to watch: the insidersโ€™ lock-up period starts being released at the end of July 2026, with the largest release expected on December 8, 2026, which could increase selling pressure. A strong narrative doesnโ€™t mean a cheap price. Over the long run, cash and execution are still the factors that matter most. $SPCXB
SPCX (SpaceX): is it time to buy? ๐Ÿš€

Current price: US$ 145โ€“156
Market value: ~US$ 1.9โ€“2.0 trillion

The question every investor is asking is: with this pullback, has the stock become cheap?

The numbers

๐Ÿ“Š Revenue 2025: US$ 18.67 billion
๐Ÿ“Š Adjusted EBITDA: US$ 6.58 billion
๐Ÿ“‰ 2025 operating loss: US$ -2.59 billion

In Q1 2026:

โ€ข Revenue: US$ 4.69 billion
โ€ข Operating loss: US$ -1.94 billion

โžก๏ธ In just one quarter, the company reported about 75% of all its 2025 operating loss.

Three businesses, one single stock

๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ Starlink: main value driver, with an EBITDA margin near 64%.

๐Ÿš€ Space launches: operations close to breakeven, but historically volatile.

๐Ÿค– AI (xAI/X): the segment that dominates the narrative, yet it continues to expand losses.

Does the valuation make sense?

- P/E: negative
- Dividends: does not pay
- Implied EV/EBITDA: approximately 300xโ€“450x

Current multiples reflect expectations of decades of growthโ€”not todayโ€™s financial results.

My take

โŒ Based on current fundamentals, it doesnโ€™t look like a cheap stock.

If your thesis is to invest in SpaceXโ€™s long-term potential, do it with discipline:

โœ… Limit the position to a small slice of your portfolio (2โ€“3%).
โœ… Wait for the next results as a listed company.
โœ… Track mainly the evolution of the AI segment.

โš ๏ธ Another point to watch: the insidersโ€™ lock-up period starts being released at the end of July 2026, with the largest release expected on December 8, 2026, which could increase selling pressure.

A strong narrative doesnโ€™t mean a cheap price. Over the long run, cash and execution are still the factors that matter most.
$SPCXB
ยท
--
๐Ÿšจ NVIDIA below P/E 30: opportunity or trap? For years, NVIDIA has traded at multiple high valuations due to its strong AI growth. For those investing with the long term in mind, a P/E below 30 could represent a much more interesting entry range, offering a more balanced relationship between price and growth potential. This doesnโ€™t mean the stock will automatically be a buy, but rather that the market may be pricing the company more attractively than it did during periods of euphoria. ๐Ÿ“Š Big companies rarely stay "cheap." The trick is to wait for the right price and have patience. ๐Ÿ’ฌ And you? Would you buy NVIDIA with a P/E below 30, or do you believe it deserves to trade with a permanent premium? $NVDAB
๐Ÿšจ NVIDIA below P/E 30: opportunity or trap?

For years, NVIDIA has traded at multiple high valuations due to its strong AI growth.

For those investing with the long term in mind, a P/E below 30 could represent a much more interesting entry range, offering a more balanced relationship between price and growth potential.

This doesnโ€™t mean the stock will automatically be a buy, but rather that the market may be pricing the company more attractively than it did during periods of euphoria.

๐Ÿ“Š Big companies rarely stay "cheap." The trick is to wait for the right price and have patience.

๐Ÿ’ฌ And you? Would you buy NVIDIA with a P/E below 30, or do you believe it deserves to trade with a permanent premium? $NVDAB
ยท
--
๐Ÿ“‰ SCPAX corrected... and now what? The price has already given back part of the rise, and many people are wondering: ๐Ÿค” Is it time to buy, or could it still fall more? The truth is that nobody can predict the exact market bottom. Those waiting for confirmation may end up paying more. If you enter too early, you need to be prepared for further drops. The important thing is to have a strategy, risk management, and invest only what makes sense for you. And you, what do you think? ๐Ÿ’ฌ Have you started building a position yet, or are you still waiting for a bigger drop?$SPCXB
๐Ÿ“‰ SCPAX corrected... and now what?

The price has already given back part of the rise, and many people are wondering:

๐Ÿค” Is it time to buy, or could it still fall more?

The truth is that nobody can predict the exact market bottom.

Those waiting for confirmation may end up paying more. If you enter too early, you need to be prepared for further drops.

The important thing is to have a strategy, risk management, and invest only what makes sense for you.

And you, what do you think?

๐Ÿ’ฌ Have you started building a position yet, or are you still waiting for a bigger drop?$SPCXB
ยท
--
$NVDAB $SPCXB at the beginning of a new story
$NVDAB $SPCXB at the beginning of a new story
Richard Teng
ยท
--
$1B+ AUM in equities. Done.

Thank you for trusting us. The journey doesn't stop here.
ยท
--
Bullish
The fear in the market is the discount the holder was hoping for. BTC fell 51% from the $126k ATH. Fear & Greed in 23 โ€” Extreme Fear. Miners operating below the cost of production. ETFs recording billions in outflows. And still: long-term holders have been accumulating +2,600 BTC per day for the last 3.5 months without stopping. They arenโ€™t afraid. Theyโ€™re buying everyone elseโ€™s fear. Fixed supply. Halving done. Institutional demand migrating to cold storage โ€” OTC desks at an all-time low. This isnโ€™t panic exiting. Itโ€™s quiet accumulation moving in. A fair price isnโ€™t bought at the top. Itโ€™s bought when everyone else wants to leave. This is not investment advice. Itโ€™s an observation from someone who studies the cycle. $BTC $SPCXB $NVDAB
The fear in the market is the discount the holder was hoping for.
BTC fell 51% from the $126k ATH. Fear & Greed in 23 โ€” Extreme Fear. Miners operating below the cost of production. ETFs recording billions in outflows.
And still: long-term holders have been accumulating +2,600 BTC per day for the last 3.5 months without stopping.
They arenโ€™t afraid. Theyโ€™re buying everyone elseโ€™s fear.
Fixed supply. Halving done. Institutional demand migrating to cold storage โ€” OTC desks at an all-time low. This isnโ€™t panic exiting. Itโ€™s quiet accumulation moving in.
A fair price isnโ€™t bought at the top. Itโ€™s bought when everyone else wants to leave.
This is not investment advice. Itโ€™s an observation from someone who studies the cycle.
$BTC
$SPCXB
$NVDAB
ยท
--
Bullish
๐Ÿš€ SCPX has shown strength after its launch and has already caught the market's eye. Even after this positive movement, many investors believe there's still room for a new recovery and a continuation of the bullish trend in the upcoming periods. ๐Ÿ“ˆ The market is all about cycles, and projects that deliver value usually find new growth opportunities. ๐Ÿ‘€ Now it's time to watch the next moves and the project's evolution. #SCPX $SPCXB
๐Ÿš€ SCPX has shown strength after its launch and has already caught the market's eye. Even after this positive movement, many investors believe there's still room for a new recovery and a continuation of the bullish trend in the upcoming periods.
๐Ÿ“ˆ The market is all about cycles, and projects that deliver value usually find new growth opportunities.
๐Ÿ‘€ Now it's time to watch the next moves and the project's evolution.
#SCPX $SPCXB
ยท
--
Strategy: Patience is the Ultimate Play โ€‹The market is showing some red today, but true holders know the secret isn't in timing the daily dipsโ€”it's in the #StrategyBTCPurchase. ๐Ÿ“‰โžก๏ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ€‹As the community is saying: โ€‹Stop trying to outsmart the market. The noise is temporary; the asset is generational. โ€‹Embrace the "Patience Strategy." Real gains aren't made in hours, but in the discipline of holding through the volatility. โ€‹When BTC is at $75k+, every percentage move feels big, but the long-term vision remains the same. Whether it's a "buy the dip" moment or a steady DCA day, stay grounded. โ€‹Are you sticking to the plan or letting the charts get to you? ๐Ÿ‘‡ โ€‹#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoStrategy #HODL #InvestingTips #Finance
Strategy: Patience is the Ultimate Play
โ€‹The market is showing some red today, but true holders know the secret isn't in timing the daily dipsโ€”it's in the #StrategyBTCPurchase. ๐Ÿ“‰โžก๏ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ
โ€‹As the community is saying:
โ€‹Stop trying to outsmart the market. The noise is temporary; the asset is generational.
โ€‹Embrace the "Patience Strategy." Real gains aren't made in hours, but in the discipline of holding through the volatility.
โ€‹When BTC is at $75k+, every percentage move feels big, but the long-term vision remains the same. Whether it's a "buy the dip" moment or a steady DCA day, stay grounded.
โ€‹Are you sticking to the plan or letting the charts get to you? ๐Ÿ‘‡
โ€‹#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoStrategy #HODL #InvestingTips #Finance
ยท
--
Bearish
๐Ÿš€ Crypto & the Future: Real World Asset Tokenization (RWA) Did you know that real estate, government bonds, and even commodities can now be tokenized on the blockchain? Thatโ€™s Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization โ€” one of the hottest trends in crypto right now. ๐Ÿ”น What changes? Traditional assets become digital, tradable, and divisible on a global scale. ๐Ÿ”น Why does it matter? Increased liquidity Access for retail investors Transparency through blockchain Strong institutional adoption (banks & funds) ๐Ÿ”น Opportunity or hype? RWA could bridge traditional finance and DeFi, unlocking trillions in value โ€” but regulation and real adoption are key. ๐Ÿ’ก RWA may be the missing link between crypto and traditional markets. #Crypto #Blockchain #RWA #Web3 #Investing ๐Ÿš€
๐Ÿš€ Crypto & the Future: Real World Asset Tokenization (RWA)
Did you know that real estate, government bonds, and even commodities can now be tokenized on the blockchain?
Thatโ€™s Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization โ€” one of the hottest trends in crypto right now.
๐Ÿ”น What changes?
Traditional assets become digital, tradable, and divisible on a global scale.
๐Ÿ”น Why does it matter?
Increased liquidity
Access for retail investors
Transparency through blockchain
Strong institutional adoption (banks & funds)
๐Ÿ”น Opportunity or hype?
RWA could bridge traditional finance and DeFi, unlocking trillions in value โ€” but regulation and real adoption are key.
๐Ÿ’ก RWA may be the missing link between crypto and traditional markets.
#Crypto #Blockchain #RWA #Web3 #Investing ๐Ÿš€
ยท
--
๐Ÿ’ต USD1: success or failure? In recent months, USD1 has been gaining attention as a dollar-linked alternative. The promise is clear: stability, security, and protection against currency devaluation. But is it really delivering on that promise? ๐Ÿ“ˆ Pros: โœ”๏ธ Pegged to the US dollar โœ”๏ธ Easy access โœ”๏ธ Growing market interest ๐Ÿ“‰ Cons & risks: โš ๏ธ Limited transparency at times โš ๏ธ Strong dependence on issuer trust โš ๏ธ Regulatory and liquidity risks ๐Ÿ‘‰ In the end, USD1 can be a success as a hedge tool, but it can also become a headache for those who invest without fully understanding the risks. ๐Ÿ’ฌ Whatโ€™s your take? Opportunity or trap? Drop your opinion below ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ”ฅ #USD1 $USD1 #Crypto #opinion
๐Ÿ’ต USD1: success or failure?
In recent months, USD1 has been gaining attention as a dollar-linked alternative. The promise is clear: stability, security, and protection against currency devaluation.
But is it really delivering on that promise?
๐Ÿ“ˆ Pros:
โœ”๏ธ Pegged to the US dollar
โœ”๏ธ Easy access
โœ”๏ธ Growing market interest
๐Ÿ“‰ Cons & risks:
โš ๏ธ Limited transparency at times
โš ๏ธ Strong dependence on issuer trust
โš ๏ธ Regulatory and liquidity risks
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the end, USD1 can be a success as a hedge tool, but it can also become a headache for those who invest without fully understanding the risks.
๐Ÿ’ฌ Whatโ€™s your take?
Opportunity or trap?
Drop your opinion below ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ”ฅ
#USD1 $USD1 #Crypto #opinion
ยท
--
Bullish
๐ŸŽฏ Did you know you can start in DeFi with less than R$50? ๐Ÿ’ธ Many people think that decentralized finance is only for those who have thousands of reais in crypto, but that's a MYTH. Today, with networks like Polygon, Base, or Arbitrum, you can: โœ… Swap tokens with almost zero fees โœ… Earn interest with stablecoins โœ… Participate in DeFi protocols without being a whale โœ… Learn and evolve with little risk ๐Ÿ’ก The most important thing? Start small, but start RIGHT. You learn, test, and gradually build up.
๐ŸŽฏ Did you know you can start in DeFi with less than R$50? ๐Ÿ’ธ

Many people think that decentralized finance is only for those who have thousands of reais in crypto, but that's a MYTH.
Today, with networks like Polygon, Base, or Arbitrum, you can:

โœ… Swap tokens with almost zero fees
โœ… Earn interest with stablecoins
โœ… Participate in DeFi protocols without being a whale
โœ… Learn and evolve with little risk

๐Ÿ’ก The most important thing? Start small, but start RIGHT.
You learn, test, and gradually build up.
ยท
--
Log in to explore more content
Join global crypto users on Binance Square
โšก๏ธ Get latest and useful information about crypto.
๐Ÿ’ฌ Trusted by the worldโ€™s largest crypto exchange.
๐Ÿ‘ Discover real insights from verified creators.
Email / Phone number
Sitemap
Cookie Preferences
Platform T&Cs