潇潇冷兵器
尊重趋势，技术永赚
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The next six months will be a year to witness history.
If you are also new to this circle (I got involved in October 2024), you may see trends beyond imagination.
If you are a long-term thinker, then Bitcoin is undoubtedly the most valuable and the only valuable asset in the crypto world. When looking at longer time periods, both positions in Bitcoin can be ideal entry points for spot purchases that can be held for years.
If you are also new to this circle (I got involved in October 2024), you may see trends beyond imagination.
If you are a long-term thinker, then Bitcoin is undoubtedly the most valuable and the only valuable asset in the crypto world. When looking at longer time periods, both positions in Bitcoin can be ideal entry points for spot purchases that can be held for years.
#HYPE Let's cut to the chase, there might be a significant dip coming.
Chart 1: Daily recap, the daily bottom is forming, after the MSB we retested the OB and held, executing an upward five-wave move. Currently, it looks like the five-wave sequence is complete, and we are beginning an ABC correction;
Chart 2: On the 1H level MSB, we may be at the peak of the B-wave rebound here, waiting for a retest to go short.
Chart 1: Daily recap, the daily bottom is forming, after the MSB we retested the OB and held, executing an upward five-wave move. Currently, it looks like the five-wave sequence is complete, and we are beginning an ABC correction;
Chart 2: On the 1H level MSB, we may be at the peak of the B-wave rebound here, waiting for a retest to go short.
When a lot of folks start to go long, even saying that the bull run is back, that's when you gotta watch out.
The analysis of #ETH is pretty spot on, but the bounce hit 786, which is a bit higher than expected, though it doesn't affect the trend.
Chart 1H4, continuing with the analysis, the bull's lifeline is at 2350. If the body breaks below that, it confirms a strong rebound from 1737, giving a solid opportunity to place a trend short. If it holds above that, we could see further gains, and possibly set new highs;
Chart 2H1, if the 1H support holds below or doesn't break at 2350, we’re still looking for a bounce. This is highly probable, but how high the bounce will go is still unknown; we can only take it step by step. The best strategy is to wait until Bitcoin reaches a good level before decisively cashing out and flipping to a short;
If there's a bounce, this is likely the last chance for a long position in over a month. After Bitcoin tops out, I will definitely hold my short positions and aim for the targets below.
Chart 1H4, continuing with the analysis, the bull's lifeline is at 2350. If the body breaks below that, it confirms a strong rebound from 1737, giving a solid opportunity to place a trend short. If it holds above that, we could see further gains, and possibly set new highs;
Chart 2H1, if the 1H support holds below or doesn't break at 2350, we’re still looking for a bounce. This is highly probable, but how high the bounce will go is still unknown; we can only take it step by step. The best strategy is to wait until Bitcoin reaches a good level before decisively cashing out and flipping to a short;
If there's a bounce, this is likely the last chance for a long position in over a month. After Bitcoin tops out, I will definitely hold my short positions and aim for the targets below.
潇潇冷兵器
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#ETH trend analysis
Figure 1 weekly chart, the closing wasn't good, the weekly closing is just below the high point of 2330, the downtrend has been confirmed;
Figure 2 daily chart, the current pattern is a false breakout of a flat-top triangle and has fallen back, the expectation is a pullback to the upper line followed by a continued decline;
Figure 3 H4, there is a 4H level FVG expected to be filled, a small-scale MSB appears here, which allows for a short position
Figure 4 H1, it depends on whether it's at 0.5 OB or 0.618 here, closely monitor the 15-minute level, and be ready to enter at any time,
Figure 1 weekly chart, the closing wasn't good, the weekly closing is just below the high point of 2330, the downtrend has been confirmed;
Figure 2 daily chart, the current pattern is a false breakout of a flat-top triangle and has fallen back, the expectation is a pullback to the upper line followed by a continued decline;
Figure 3 H4, there is a 4H level FVG expected to be filled, a small-scale MSB appears here, which allows for a short position
Figure 4 H1, it depends on whether it's at 0.5 OB or 0.618 here, closely monitor the 15-minute level, and be ready to enter at any time,
#SOL
Figure 1 SOLBTC is currently at a low point, and a rebound is expected here. So if Bitcoin is in the range of 78-81, SOL may catch up;
Figure 2 Daily chart, during this period, SOL has been relatively weak, remaining in the discount zone. The biggest expectation is to go up and hit RH. Based on the pattern, if it goes down from here, it won't be very balanced. It feels like there's something missing, but whether it can reach that point is unknown; we can only say it's an expectation;
Figure 3 H4, as long as the trend line is not broken and it doesn't fall below 82.5, we remain bullish. If it rebounds successfully at 82.5 with 4HOB, we will still look for buying opportunities;
Figure 4, H1, MSB hopes to provide an opportunity for a pullback to OB to enter more positions.
Figure 1 SOLBTC is currently at a low point, and a rebound is expected here. So if Bitcoin is in the range of 78-81, SOL may catch up;
Figure 2 Daily chart, during this period, SOL has been relatively weak, remaining in the discount zone. The biggest expectation is to go up and hit RH. Based on the pattern, if it goes down from here, it won't be very balanced. It feels like there's something missing, but whether it can reach that point is unknown; we can only say it's an expectation;
Figure 3 H4, as long as the trend line is not broken and it doesn't fall below 82.5, we remain bullish. If it rebounds successfully at 82.5 with 4HOB, we will still look for buying opportunities;
Figure 4, H1, MSB hopes to provide an opportunity for a pullback to OB to enter more positions.
#PEPE
Figure 1, the 4H is moving along a circular bottom, it is still unknown whether the next movement will follow the green line or the red line. If it follows the cup and handle pattern, there will be a significant increase afterwards;
Figure 2, 1Hmsb, if it bounces back and holds, we can go long. Initially, we look at 412 here, taking it step by step, and withdrawing in a timely manner.
Figure 1, the 4H is moving along a circular bottom, it is still unknown whether the next movement will follow the green line or the red line. If it follows the cup and handle pattern, there will be a significant increase afterwards;
Figure 2, 1Hmsb, if it bounces back and holds, we can go long. Initially, we look at 412 here, taking it step by step, and withdrawing in a timely manner.
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