🎙️ US stocks went wild last night~~~ Micron's earnings report was insane~~~ a spike and rebound~~ US stocks dragged BTC down~~ Are we looking at a rebound today or will it keep dipping?~~ Market analysis~~~
It's blown up! The MIM stablecoin has de-pegged to $0.50, crashing 36.65% in just 24 hours!
Abracadabra's MIM, once the star stablecoin of DeFi Summer, is now straight-up chopped in half. The team urgently announced: raising interest rates across all Cauldrons and pausing Curve incentives, saying 'the de-pegging gives borrowers an incentive to pay back at a discount'—translation: we don't have reserves to back this up, we can only rely on the market to absorb the hit.
Does this script sound familiar? 2022 UST → 2025 USD0 → now MIM. Every bear market someone claims 'my stablecoin is different', and every time they get slapped in the face.
MIM is currently at $0.50 and still trending down. If it drops below $0.40, a liquidation spiral could kick off. CoinGecko data shows MIM's market cap is down to about $120 million, and the pools in DeFi lending protocols holding MIM as collateral are hanging by a thread.
The scale isn’t huge, but the signals are terrible—this bear market isn't over, and DeFi is still stepping on landmines.
Ethereum Foundation just laid off 20%! 54 people packed up and left, budget slashed by 40%. You heard it right, this isn't some startup, it's the Ethereum Foundation.
Let me be real: this is the standard script for a bear market. The foundation is out of cash—ETH holdings down to 209 million, the lowest in nearly 6 years.
What stings even more is that ETH spot ETFs have seen capital outflows for four consecutive days, with over $82 million leaving just yesterday. Institutional patience is wearing thin. Ethereum's in a tight spot: trying to be the world computer while L2 solutions are siphoning off mainnet transaction volume; aiming for value storage but BTC ETFs are miles ahead; and trying to build a DeFi ecosystem, while Solana's SpaceX tokenized stock trading holds 98% market share.
But I'm not entirely bearish. The layoffs at the foundation could be a good thing—way too bloated, it was high time for a trim. Vitalik has clarified five clusters, at least that's better than the previous muddle.
BTC isn't looking much better, sitting at 62582, down 4.4% over the last week. Wintermute suggests it might dip to 59000 in the short term; liquidity is just lacking this summer. BlackRock is still touting a 1%-2% allocation—institutions talk a big game about buying, but their wallets are waiting for lower prices.
Tonight's eyes are on the US stock market. Micron, Nvidia, PCE data. The crypto market doesn’t have much of a story on its own; it's just riding the macro waves. Don't get too caught up.
The MSUSD algorithmic stablecoin just crashed! It got unpegged and plummeted to $0.36, a 64% drop!
Here we go again with another algorithmic stablecoin, claiming "we have asset backing." Remember UST? They said the same thing back in the day. Panic selling has kicked in, and on-chain trading volume is skyrocketing.
On the same day, the Ethereum Foundation announced a 20% layoff, cutting 54 positions. Vitalik over there called it an "organizational restructuring," but the market isn't buying it—ETH dropped over 3% today.
One algorithmic stablecoin unpegged, and one Ethereum team downsizing. With these two pieces of news hitting at once, it's no surprise the market is spooked. The projects that are still alive are holding on, while the dead ones are being forgotten.
The Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 basis points, hitting a 31-year high. Don't be fooled by just 0.25%; this move is a sharp cut into the crypto market's undercurrents.
For the past decade, the yen has been the cheapest financing currency globally. Many institutions borrowed yen to swap for dollars to buy BTC, buy ETH, and scoop up all sorts of risk assets. This game is called arbitrage trading.
Now with Japan hiking rates and the Fed showing its hawkish claws, the interest rate differential is narrowing. The cost of borrowing yen to buy BTC just got pricier. Half of the global crypto liquidity flows through this hidden channel.
Hold off on adding to your positions during the Asian session. Let's wait for Tokyo to digest this wave before making any moves.
🎙️ June 18 - Pin Bar Pin Bar~~The Power of the Fed Meeting~~Yesterday's strategy was to short at 665 with a head position~~~We're getting close to that level now~~~