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Today is Saturday, I woke up early and took a look, it fell even more than before sleeping, of course, the first one to act was the big pancake, I can only say, it's quite lamentable.

1.$BTC suddenly inexplicably dropped from 93000 yesterday to around 89000, I heard the market price was directly smashed, I can't quite understand all this;

2.$ETH is still quite strong, now there is still above 3000, let's see, after all, many people are saying that the BE trend is different;

3.$SOL there are still many wealth creation effects on-chain, let's see if we can bring back last year's momentum in the last month;

4.@pendle_fi released the 2025 annual report: the average TVL for 2025 reached 5.8 billion dollars, total trading volume 47.8 billion dollars;

However, the price of $PENDLE is quickly returning to this year's low;

5. Hassett reiterated the position on interest rate cuts, supporting the regional Fed chairman's proposal for three-year residency new rules;

6. The Bitcoin Treasury Company Strive urged MSCI to "let the market decide" whether to remove it from the index;

7. Several EU countries jointly dismantled a crypto fraud network involving 815 million dollars;

8. Doodles previewed that next week 25,000 Doopie Cubes will be launched on Solana;

Why are dead projects doing so many things?

9. CoinShares: The DAT bubble has basically burst, and if the macro environment improves, it may provide support for the market;

10. Cloudflare announced today’s outage analysis: not caused by a cyber attack;

11. The U.S. September core PCE fell short of expectations, signaling a green light for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve;

Bank of America: The market may quickly digest the expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in January;

12. U.S. prosecutors recommended sentencing Do Kwon to 12 years in prison;

13. Job-seeking heat in Web3 is rising, but positions are still clearly in short supply;

Is everyone going to work instead of trading coins?

14. Security Company: LummaC2 virus infected North Korean hacker devices related to the Bybit theft case;

15. Polish lawmakers failed to overturn the veto on the crypto assets bill;

16. The Paraguayan House of Representatives requested the submission of official information on domestic crypto mining activities;

17. The National Bank of Canada bought approximately 273 million dollars worth of Strategy stocks;

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I can only say that the increasing number of incomprehensible things still suggests trying them out, what if it’s just me overthinking? Mainly, Christmas is coming, I can only hope that we don't have a Christmas tree market.
#比特币VS代币化黄金

#美联储重启降息步伐 Back to the market, the feeling of the big pancake these days can be simply described as something is going to happen but hasn't yet, an eerie calm. 92K to 93K has been rubbing against each other, not going up or down, like holding back a big move.

Every time it tests 95K, it gets pushed back down by sell orders, and that selling pressure is real. However, the support at 90.5K to 91K is also holding firm, and no one has gained an advantage; it's just a hard slog.

I've also looked at the weekly structure, after being plundered at the upper edge of the large range at 124.5K, it has been heading down. It has retested the weekly OB at the lower edge of the large range, and now it's a rebound; the key to the rebound is to touch 99K, which is the important resistance of the year.

Only if it can hold above that is there hope; otherwise, it will continue to push you towards the 80's. The small range is the same; it has been oscillating within a box for several weeks. The daily chart is even more ridiculous, this week it has plundered last week's low and then last week's high, which is a typical way to wash out participants.

Above, 94.5 to 95K has been pressing down, while the spot market is continuously being hammered, and the contracts are holding up the fluctuations. If it wants to go up, it must increase volume and stabilize at 93.1K; otherwise, it has to go down to make three attempts, targeting directly at 88.8K.

I’m not hiding my medium to long-term views either; bearish is greater than bullish. 126.2K is the top, and this round of rising has ended. Although 80.6K is a stage low, it is not a major bottom.

A rebound to 99K or 107K could potentially reverse, then it will head towards the big pancake starting with 7. The spot market is continuously selling, and if you follow to go long, it's like playing with fire, unless the spot suddenly starts to buy aggressively and the price stabilizes with volume at 93.1K; otherwise, bulls will be gifting benefits again.

It's Friday, and the macro market this week is still a stagnant pool, everyone is waiting to see how the Federal Reserve will play its cards in December. The market appears calm on the surface, but underneath there are hidden currents. Whether it’s the U.S. stock market or Bitcoin, they are both grinding back and forth in a narrow path.

Even some data from yesterday holds little significance. The market is basically focused on the next rate cut, wondering if it will be 25 basis points or if there will be a surprise—either pleasant or frightening.

This week is unlikely to stir up much excitement; it’s highly probable we’ll just get through it. Next week will be about watching the dot plot and Chairman Powell's speech, with a stream of data being released, and it will also be my mid-term ambush point.

Speaking of rate cuts, I honestly hope they don’t cut this time. Delay it until next year and drop a 50 basis point cut all at once, letting these capital dogs continue to hang on to expectations and speculate further.

The market needs continuous expectations and constant hype to create volatility; only with a story will retail investors rush in. Did one rate cut feel good? The market might immediately declare the effects over. Right now, doing a 50 basis point cut might truly be the last dance of this market, going down as a whole.

And as for Chairman Powell, please don’t change him. Really, if he is replaced, it will lead to a plunge in the U.S. stock market and a waterfall effect in Bitcoin. Who wants to see a story like You jump, I jump? I certainly don’t.

Many bullish players are currently trapped in a terrible situation; if the market could rally a bit more, at least let these people catch their breath and get out of their positions before going bottom-fishing in the first quarter of next year, instead of just waiting to break even and feeling exhausted.
#特朗普加密新政

Remember these points:

1. For those holding Bitcoin, firmly set a target above 150,000.

2. Let's focus on holding altcoins; currently, most people have this mindset:
They feel their position is small, with limited returns from Bitcoin, and then they invest heavily in altcoins. However, altcoins are very volatile, fluctuating by dozens of points in both directions. With each fluctuation, their mindset collapses once, and they feel that Bitcoin is more reliable, so they sell at a loss to switch back to Bitcoin. Just when they finish switching to altcoins, they suddenly surge!

The initial period with altcoins is filled with boredom and panic. Currently, the overall state of altcoins is at a bottom range. Since you chose altcoins and want to get rich quickly, you must wait for the explosive growth of altcoins in the later stage of the bull market. Because you cannot be sure when it will explode, entering early at the bottom is always the right decision.

3. Bitcoin went from 18,000 in early 2023 to over 126,000 this year. How many times did it undergo corrections during this period? How many times did you panic? What mistakes did you make?

By reviewing past mistakes, you will avoid making more detours in the future
#加密市场观察

The relationship between U and coin prices 🔥

Recently, coin prices dropped, and now U has started to fall, with the U price breaking 7. Here’s a mnemonic to share ⬇️

When coin rises, U rises, it will rise further
When coin rises, U falls, there will be a pullback
When coin falls, U falls, it will continue to fall
When coin falls, U rises, there will be a rebound

This mnemonic reflects the psychological state of medium to long-term investors towards the market. It's a way to help everyone interpret it, and I think it can be saved 📕

1️⃣ When coin rises, U rises, it will rise further
Although the coin price has risen, everyone feels it can go higher, so continuous buying will further push up the price.

2️⃣ When coin rises, U falls, there will be a pullback
The coin price has risen, but everyone is eager to sell, indicating that they are not optimistic about the subsequent market, so the rise cannot be sustained. Waiting for the power to weaken will lead to a drop.

3️⃣ When coin falls, U falls, it will continue to fall
The coin price is falling, but no one is buying. Everyone feels it is not yet the time to buy the dip, and there are cheaper chips available, so the price will continue to fall.

4️⃣ When coin falls, U rises, there will be a rebound
The coin price is falling, and when it becomes cheap enough, a lot of funds will enter the market, creating a divergence with the price, indicating that funds are buying the dip, leading to a rebound.
#加密市场观察

Don't miss these financial data on December 5! The U.S. core PCE and inflation expectations will be the highlight tonight, while Eurozone GDP and Canadian employment data will also be revealed. Oil prices will depend on the number of oil rigs – which data release are you most concerned about?
#加密市场观察

$BTC Today there are two key points: 1: Currently, no clear adjustment signals have been seen. 2: Today, the market will either directly rise or pull back and then rise. This was already validated yesterday, as the price made slight adjustments before starting to rebound, with substantial funds supporting the bottom, not even dropping below 90000, let alone undergoing a major adjustment. The slight adjustment yesterday is a normal behavior in the rebound structure, belonging to the process of building up strength for another rise.

If the adjustment occurs near the middle track of the daily line, it will be the best entry opportunity. Generally speaking, in a rebound structure, a strong rise to the upper track followed by a pullback to the middle track is a structure for secondary confirmation, consisting of the process of rising - pulling back - breaking through - pulling back and then breaking through again. Therefore, this position or slightly lower can be held until next week, as according to the current structure, there might be a continued rise until after the interest rate announcement next week.

Currently, the first rebound position observed is at 95400, where the first touch will lead to a certain degree of adjustment. Pay attention to the magnitude and strength of the adjustment to determine whether the price will rise further. Of course, this only applies to this week. If next week it rises to this position, extra caution is required. So, if it rises to this position for the first test in the coming days, a short position can be taken, or reduce long positions from lower levels. If the adjustment is small, the bullish trend can continue, with a maximum target of 86000-88000.

This area is the most likely range for a trend reversal. First, it fills the short position gap, and then it's also a critical support level from before. The timing might also coincide with the interest rate cut. Therefore, if stagnation or weak structures appear here, shorting it directly is advisable, as it is very likely to be near the starting point of the next bearish trend, which can drop to around 70000 before forming a new round of adjustments.

In summary, we are still in the rebound phase of a downward trend. The rebound is not over yet, and there is still room for continuation in the short term. Recently, around 90000 or slightly lower, go long directly, take profits at 95400, or attempt to short with a light position. After the adjustment, if the rebound continues, it can go up to 96000-98000. If signals appear here, go for a long-term short, targeting around 70000.
#加密市场观察

#加密市场观察
I think that炒meme is like falling in love; whether a meme is good or not is actually determined at first sight.

Whether she is good-looking or sexy is also something that sparks at first sight.

The construction of the community is just a little embellishment; the core still lies in whether the ticker is sexy, something that catches the eye and hits the heart directly.

Based on this feeling, in Chinese memes, I feel the most moved by: Binance life and vulgar penguin.

What do you think?

Before bed, I watched some things and felt like I needed to reset. When I wake up, everything takes off. Is it true that everything I look down on is actually good?

1.$BTC There was a lot of fluctuation, after touching 94000, it began to pull back. After dipping around 90800 in the early morning, it has now returned to 92000. It's Friday again; is something going to happen?

2.$ETH Seems to be harder than Bitcoin. Yesterday Bitcoin pulled back first, while Ethereum maintained its high position for a while, but eventually couldn’t hold on and followed suit. Continue to keep a close watch;

3.$SOL More and more "wealth effect" is appearing on-chain. Although it is quite localized and the market cap is low, everything is developing in a positive direction;

4.@Lighter_xyz will enable spot trading this week, with the first supported asset being ETH;

The rhythm is getting closer to TGE;

5. Jupiter: HumidiFi (WET) public sale phase has been sold out, raising a total of 5.57 million dollars in three phases;

The third phase was gone in seconds️

6. Sui: The first 2x leverage SUI ETF has been approved by the US SEC and is listed on NASDAQ;

7. The International Monetary Fund warns: The popularity of stablecoins may weaken central bank control;

8. JPMorgan: As Bitcoin prices fall, electricity prices remain high, leading to market pressure from high-cost miners;

9. Gemini launches "Deep Think" mode to enhance reasoning and code generation capabilities;

10. CZ and Peter Schiff debated the divergence of values between Bitcoin and tokenized gold;

11. Polymarket: Officially launched the MetaMask mobile application;

Polymarket is recruiting new employees for its internal market-making team;

12. QwQiao: The lack of consensus on public chain valuation is the core issue preventing the formation of long-short logic;

13. Kraken has reached a strategic partnership with Deutsche Börse to jointly promote institutional crypto trading and tokenization business;

14. The US CFTC supports regulated platforms to open spot digital asset products;

Bitnomial will launch a leveraged spot market;

15. Meta plans to cut its metaverse department budget by up to 30% next year, and Meta's stock price rose by 3.83%;

16. Aave deepened its integration with CoW, launching MEV-resistant Swap services and intent-based flash loan products;

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Take it slow, according to your own rhythm. Don’t panic or get flustered, after all, many things could have lost everything in three months, and being anxious could lead to losing it all in three hours.

Currently, the on-chain gameplay is still meme for everyone to play with.
I haven't seen anything new in other areas.
The memes generated spontaneously on the BSC chain are also getting better, such as good IPs and vulgar penguins.
This indicates that the BSC memes are also evolving, which is a good thing.
#币安区块链周

Here are some tracks that I think are promising:

1. Base, one is highly likely to issue tokens next year, with many ecosystems on-chain at the bottom, the probability of being trapped is very low;
One is that the SEC Chair in the US: the crypto 'innovation exemption' will take effect in January. There may be some new IPO policies that will allow US IPO funds to flow into cb and base.

2. Robotic, a super grand vision, replacing most of the physical labor of humans, Web2 has a very high level of media attention on this aspect. Binance currently only has $spaien (which belongs to base), and currently the strongest on Solana is $codec.

3. Prediction market, many people say this, and I also agree. However, I really don't know what to bet on; oracles are basically not very linked, and I have been trapped by $uma before. It seems that what can be done is to go up and experience it, to see if any tokens can be airdropped.

Why not say you are the counterfeit leader! $ETH Look at what you've become!

Next, let's focus on bsc

Reasons

1. Sister is co-CEO, as we all know, Sister likes memes
2. I saw a picture saying that Sister mentioned in the meeting that they want to create more interesting Binance memes
3. A while ago, the two alpha coins with low market caps already gave signals
#币安区块链周

#特朗普加密新政 The person who breaks the rules, if they do not pay the price, is essentially creating a distorted reward.

This distorted reward will make more people aware that: following the rules yields no benefits, breaking the rules incurs no costs, and finding loopholes in the rules can instead lead to abundant rewards.

When such a perception becomes a common experience, whether in society, industry, or family, the overall moral standards will rapidly decline.

The law of the jungle, where the weak are preyed upon by the strong, will be brought to the forefront, and ultimately everyone will become a victim.

#加密市场观察
Today's focus, not fully risen, still needs to rise in the short term, at least currently there are no obvious bearish signals. Yesterday's closing was also above 93000. The daily line has completed the initial structural transformation in the short term. Now we just need to wait for a second pullback without breaking the low, forming a lower high, and then proceed with the second wave of rise. This is the ideal trading structure; be patient and wait for the adjustment.
Can we chase the highs? Not appropriate. Firstly, we are currently only in the rebound phase of a bearish trend. Once the rebound ends, we will enter the next round of bearish trend, and currently, the price is also a minor pressure level. The price may slightly rise again to a new high and then directly pull back; this possibility also exists. Therefore, the risk of chasing highs is too high, and the risk-reward ratio is poor.

In addition, both short-term strong rises or falls have vacuum gaps, which are imbalanced price areas. In most cases, the market will fill the gap to form a balance between bulls and bears. The 4-hour level gap is between 90000-87600. If the market does a second pullback, we need to pay attention to whether it can rise again after filling this level. That time will be the best opportunity for the second wave of rise; otherwise, there are only short-term trading opportunities.

The short-term is in the rectangular consolidation phase after the rise, which is a consolidation platform formed after a V reversal. It is highly likely a continuation structure, so pay attention to the support at the bottom of the platform, 92000-91600, looking bullish. Today, before reaching a new high, a pullback can be treated as a short-term long position. If it first pushes high and then falls back, then observe. The first pressure area above is at 96000; pay attention to the pullback action on the first test. The key changeover area may be at 97000-98000.

In summary, we are currently in the rebound segment of a bearish trend. The short-term rebound trend has not yet been completed, and there is still upward space. During the day, pay attention to the support at 92000-91600 looking bullish, with the target of a new high at 94200 to reduce positions, then look at 95000-96000. On the first test of 96000, try a light short. For larger areas, pay attention to 87600-98000; note the changeover area above 97000 (the time node may be after the interest rate cut).

$BTC 《Bitcoin Surges to 94,000! How High Can the Rebound Fly in a Bearish Trend? 91,000 Becomes the Key Life-and-Death Line》
Currently, Bitcoin is oscillating in the range of 93,000-94,000, belonging to the rebound segment within a bearish trend—yesterday it closed firmly at 93,000, and the daily line completed an initial structural transformation, but for now, don't chase the high!

• Now is a small-level resistance point; chasing high has a poor risk-reward ratio, and it may instead lead to a peak followed by a pullback;

• Focus on the support at 91,000-92,000: if it pulls back without breaking here, it can wait for the second leg of the rise (target looking at 95,000-96,000);

• The gap at the 87,600-90,000 level on the 4-hour chart will likely be filled, and the best entry point is after the fill and then upward movement.
In the short term, look for the rhythm of "pullback support → peak," and at 96,000, the first touch can be a light short position.
#加密市场观察

$ETH 《Ethereum follows BTC's surge! Is the 3200 level stable? These two positions determine if it can continue to rise》

Ethereum is rebounding alongside Bitcoin, and the bullish momentum on the 15-minute chart is not exhausted yet, but don’t rush blindly:

• Support is at 3160-3180 (which is the linked support zone with BTC's 91,000-92,000);

• Focus on 3250 for resistance; if it breaks, we can look at 3280, but if it rises first and then pulls back, it’s advisable to wait and see;

• Currently, it belongs to a "V reversal after rectangular consolidation," which is a continuation structure—buying again after a pullback to the support zone is safer.
Follow the rhythm with BTC; if the support holds, you can hold, and reduce positions when hitting the resistance zone
#ETH走势分析

Once again, we have to rely on the US stock market and narratives created by Trump for survival. Yesterday, I called in robotic to relay AI and see if it works.

1. 1.$BTC In a volatile market, last night it suddenly dropped from 93000 to around 91600, and then slowly climbed back up. It's currently fluctuating around 93500;

2. 1.$ETH Showing strong performance, it has been rising steadily and is now close to standing above 3200, essentially recovering last week's losses;

3. 3.$SOL A long road ahead, operations have begun on the entire chain, but it's still not too strong. I hope this time will be different since the ETF brought pledged returns;

4. The Federal Reserve's three-year loss period has ended, and it has now returned to profitability;

5. Bybit partners with Komainu to launch institutional-level custody and 24/7 secure trading solutions;

6. The Ethereum mainnet successfully activated the Fusaka upgrade, significantly enhancing data processing capabilities;

7. Coinbase: Currently collaborating with several major banks to advance cryptocurrency pilot projects;

8. The prediction market platform Polymarket has returned to the US and launched its application;

Fanatics collaborates with Crypto.com to launch the prediction market Fanatics Markets;

Is everyone doing prediction markets?

9. BlackRock predicts that the surge in US Treasury bonds will drive institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies;

BlackRock's CEO admits that previous opposition to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies was a mistake;

10. On December 4, according to the CME's FedWatch data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 89%, while the probability of maintaining rates is 11%;

11. US Treasury Secretary Besant may also take on Hassett's current position;

The bond market is concerned that Hassett will lower rates to please Trump and has warned Treasury Secretary Besant about this;

12. Charles Schwab: Will provide Bitcoin and Ethereum trading services in early 2026;

13. CryptoQuant: Strategy establishes dollar reserves indicating preparations for a possible upcoming bear market;

Having experienced an 80% crash from 2021 to 2022 without preparing reserves, does this mean planning for a 99% crash this time?

14. Bank of America predicts that the strong rally in the S&P 500 index will fade by 2026;

15. SEC Chair: The Bitcoin market structure bill is about to be passed;

SEC Chair: SEC needs to continue promoting tokenization;

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Patience is key. The last time x402 took a long time to achieve over 1000%, I believe this time with robotic we can also achieve it, but it requires a bit of patience, no need to rush.

Take your time to choose
#币安区块链周