Each round of bear-market scripts is basically the same: first eliminate retail investors, then target whales, and finally, in cooperation with a black swan, wipe out institutions. Don’t say it’s impossible. There are too many cases of big institutions targeting small ones. Those lunatics on Wall Street will do anything. Don’t say it’s only one or two small institutions—back then, Soros really used real money to attack the national banks of Southeast Asian countries, and even caused trouble in Hong Kong; it’s just that in the end the mainland government shut it down. So nothing is impossible. After striking a few institutions, then recreate a wave of public opinion to leave retail investors completely desperate—when you can finally buy in at the bottom, that’s the timing. If your capital is large enough, start dollar-cost averaging around the 60,000 level. Remember: DCA isn’t blindly buying every day. Instead, buy a fixed position whenever the price drops by 500–1,000 points—not that every day, regardless of price, with a rigid buy. For smaller capital, you especially need to plan in advance.
I see that the KOLs in the square aren’t analyzing BTC and ETH anymore— they’ve switched to stocks. Things like Micron, Hailisi, SanDisk, and so on. They think virtual currencies aren’t high-end, but do stock tokens have any “class”? In the end, in just about a month, led by Korean stocks, even including Musk’s big rocket—everything got slashed by a huge chunk. These KOLs last year bought the sh*tty knockoffs with their followers and made them lose money; this time they’re going around setting up every stock so they can keep harvesting the “grass.” The number of KOLs in the crypto space has already exceeded the number of followers, so it’s common to see two verified KOLs hanging around arguing and fighting for fans to build their personas. This whole circle is really rotten: project teams list the tokens and immediately dump the price; they repeatedly run control to harvest. LAB isn’t just one project—everyone is fantasizing about becoming rich overnight. And the result is that one batch of fresh “grass” after another is waiting to be harvested!
How to allocate a small-position portfolio for the next bull market
First, clarify whether you want stable returns or larger volatility to chase higher returns.
Below, I’ll explain how I plan to position for the next bull market.
Taking a total position of 8,000 USDT as an example:
1. My conservative allocation is to put it into ETH. I plan to buy around 2 ETH at about 1,300 USDT. 2. Buy Dogecoin with 1,400 USDT. 3. Buy around 4,000 USDT worth of high-momentum altcoins.
1. As long as ETH returns to 4,000+ (in the next bull market, it’s likely), then 2 ETH of the 8,000 USDT will break even, and regardless of how much the other altcoins rise, you’ll still be making money.
2. If ETH is still particularly weak in the next cycle, then Dogecoin acts as the second fallback to protect capital. Buy DOGE at around 0.05, hold for an expected 5–7x, take the middle—6x—profit, and you’ll break even with 8,400.
1 and 2 are to cover/protect the principal.
3 is to expand profits. Choose 3–5 high-beta altcoins to invest with 4,000 USDT, targeting 10x profits. (Altcoins are attack-style, high-volatility coins. This cycle, altcoins generally dropped 80–90%. While protecting your principal, you can be bold and bet on high-multiple returns.)
If things go smoothly, the 8,000 USDT cost can be recovered.
Iran again shuts the Strait of Hormuz, igniting an energy “black swan” as geopolitical tensions escalate. Global liquidity faces depletion! Macro risks surge! South Korea’s stock market moves first, with Japan following lower. When U.S. stocks open tonight, Bitcoin is expected to fall by about another 2,000 points. First, head to the 60,800 area to look for support.
Advice for small funds Don’t buy unless the price doesn’t drop deeply Don’t buy unless the price doesn’t drop deeply After so many years in the crypto world, I’ve learned one lesson: only those who can endure loneliness can wait for the flowers to bloom. Opportunities are always there—as long as you can endure loneliness. Larger funds may consider splitting purchases of Bitcoin for under 60,000, or doing DCA. For small funds, you may currently care more about altcoins. Although many people say “altcoins are dead.” And I find myself in an awkward position: my capital isn’t big, but it’s also not small. If I invest in Bitcoin, the returns may not be that impressive. So I’ll keep waiting a bit longer—until Bitcoin reaches my expected range: 2–3x leverage (i.e., a 2–3x return). If by next year it still hasn’t reached my expectations, then I’ll buy some established, mature, and stable mainstream altcoins from the community. A 2–4x return is enough.
Today I did a little one-by-one statistics. After more than five years of trading cryptocurrencies, most of the people around me lost money and left the market, and a small portion got deeply stuck. I personally didn’t lose money, but I only made a little bit of “cigarettes and alcohol” money. Although some people think wasting five years of youth, for me it’s actually not too bad. If I hadn’t been trading crypto, then either I would be a miserable office worker, or I would have failed at starting a business and be carrying loans. Life is for experience. Don’t put too much pressure on yourself. Recently I’ve summed up a few small experiences. Feel free for everyone to add more
1、Use leverage reasonably 2、Filter messages with higher accuracy 3、Risk control 4、Refuse high-interest loans 5、Don’t bet with money you can’t afford to lose 6、Don’t talk about trading crypto to anyone around you
Just venting about getting stuck with DYDX for two years. I bought at the peak of this bull run, did a few top-ups, but the price just kept dropping lower and lower. Now it's just sitting in my wallet, and I can't be bothered to check. The more I look, the more frustrated I get. Even with the price tanking, the project team still manages to keep pushing their narrative. I started with over 40, and now I'm down to just a bit over 2. What I made through luck has now been lost just as easily. It's all tears at this point 💧$DYDX
$H The project team is not trustworthy; they first harvested early network contributors, then maliciously manipulated the market to reap profits from retail investors, and later staged a scheme to steal tokens from investors. Can we blacklist this project ASAP and delist it quickly?
$H Let's dive deep into the recent pump of the meme coin H. After a wild surge in price, they dumped 249 million tokens, raking in a cool 3.13 million USD. Honestly, it's not surprising. The project team is shameless, deceiving early contributors with unfulfilled airdrop promises. Friends in the know should check out the early comments on their official Twitter – it's a sea of backlash. The project lead is throwing shade at community contributors instead of owning up, all while leveraging contributor traffic to raise funds and listing on various exchanges. They're playing the market hard to scoop up profits. We hope the official channels blacklist the H project team soon.
$BTC Black Swan incoming within six months, limit orders already set! This time gold, US stocks, and Bitcoin plummeting are all early warnings of the Black Swan, be cautious going long, be cautious going long. Don't talk about shorting; I can't handle that volatility, spot orders are set, just waiting.
$ZEC What privacy, what storage, what AI—it's all just selling stories. In the end, all those trying to ride the BTC and ETH wave will end up at zero, whether you believe it or not. SOL is no different. Remember when Auntie Coin's price once surpassed BTC? Now its daily trading volume is less than 10k USD. Those who were waiting for the third wave of YUAN are now stuck holding the bag.
Recently, I saw someone using a quantum computing model to short $BTC . In fact, if quantum computers really come into play, you shouldn't be worrying about Bitcoin's future first; you should check your own bank account, WeChat, Alipay, etc. Think about whether those simple password security measures are even riskier.
$LAB I've noticed a really weird phenomenon. When the coin price drops, everyone starts bashing the project team, the devs, and the market makers. But when the price goes up, are you still complaining? Is it just because you went short? Is it because you missed the rally? Or is it because you got liquidated and can't handle it? The funniest part is when the price surges and you get wrecked, you’re the one calling the cops! Bro, we’re all adults here, can we take responsibility for our actions? Is it only okay for you to make a profit? If you can't handle this kind of market mindset, maybe it's time to head back to stock trading; the crypto space isn't for you.
#ALLOAirdrop This year's frustrating trade was handed over to ALLO, with stable funding rates, so no hefty fees to pay. In the end, the whales violently spiked the price, shaking us out of our positions. Yes, no liquidation happened, we just got shaken out.
I'm curious about the source of the info regarding #astre seeking a 1500U airdrop. I didn't see anything on the official Twitter; are these folks just trying to generate buzz or what?
#RAVE This type of highly controlled currency will profit if you don't touch it. Very few people can buy chips at the true bottom. You might think you can short it with low leverage, but even if you don't get liquidated, the funding fees will be painfully high every hour. Stay away from the dream of getting rich quickly, stay away from demon coins.
With this news, Trump is already nauseating to the point of no return, maliciously manipulating the financial market. I predict that within 4 years of his term ending, there will only be three outcomes. First, assassination. Second, direct impeachment and forced resignation. Third, death from illness; as for what illness, those who understand will understand. By the end of 2024, everyone is hoping that Trump can bring revolutionary changes to the cryptocurrency world, but after taking office, he has been repeatedly harvesting profits. Post is here, welcome to dig the post.