In the crypto world, I’ve been fighting and struggling for about 10 years—making money at times, losing at times. I’ve done everything from ICOs and shitcoin/hobby coins to mining. I’ve gone through three bull-bear cycles. I’ve summarized countless operations of my own, and in the end, the only reliable way to make steady profits is: simple, brutal, and obvious to anyone—: Buy during the bear market, sell during the bull market—no risk of loss, guaranteed profits. A bull market usually lasts 6 months to 1 year, while a bear market usually lasts 1 to 2 years. One full bull-bear cycle is 3 to 4 years. Seize the opportunity, and earn at least 50%+ returns in each bull market cycle—enough to outperform all kinds of wealth-management products, stocks, and fund returns. Because this 50%+ profit is definitely something you can earn, with zero uncertainty.
This rebound did come quickly, but I don't think it's time to feel comfortable buying the dip yet.
The market just bounced off support around 1900. Short-term sentiment has improved somewhat, but this rebound hasn't truly reversed the broader weakness. Liquidations over the past 24 hours have already exceeded $1.6 billion, with both longs and shorts getting flushed out, and ETH, BTC, and SOL have all seen significant pullbacks. #黄仁勋辞任CEO,英伟达战略走向受关注 What I'm more concerned about now isn't how much the market has rebounded, but whether it can hold above these levels. $ETH : 1940—1945 $BTC : 69200—69000 $SOL : 80.5—50 These are the areas I'll be watching closely next. If the rebound reaches resistance but sustained buying fails to materialize, I'd still lean toward looking for opportunities to short at higher levels rather than rushing to go long. #AnthropicIPO认购达约6倍,或创上市融资纪录 Especially now that the market has just gone through a major round of liquidations and sentiment is still unstable, the most likely thing is a brief bounce followed by another leg down. Don't rush in just because you see a bullish candle; wait for the direction to become clear before acting. 这波反弹,你们觉得是真正止跌了,还是下跌中途的一次喘息?
$ZEC Does a rebound mean the trend has reversed? Don’t rush to buy the dip in this rally!
ZEC has rebounded recently, and many people have started to think that the bottom is in, or even that a new rally is about to begin.
I’m not so optimistic.
First, let’s look at the broader market. BTC and ETH are still relatively weak, and the market as a whole hasn’t shown any clear signs of a reversal. I think it’s too early to conclude that the entire market has bottomed based solely on ZEC’s short-term rebound. #比特币现货ETF年内净流出15.6亿美元 Technically, I’m paying closer attention to the 940–950 range for ZEC. This is a key area to watch in the short term. If the rebound fails to break through this range decisively, the price could continue to pull back, with the next level to watch around 850.
My view is this: a rebound doesn’t mean a reversal, so don’t rush to go long just because of a few bullish candles. What really matters is whether the price can break through resistance on strong volume, and whether BTC can stabilize at the same time. #加密美股齐跌,下轮反弹的驱动力在哪? Is this rebound the start of a new rally, or just a brief pause on the way down?
$ETH The short-term outlook remains bullish! I recently opened a long position in ETH around 1925, and price action is now starting to meet expectations. Although some investors are still selling, the buying support after a short-term pullback is worth watching. #AnthropicIPO认购达约6倍,或创上市融资纪录 Focus on two levels next: First target: 1940 Second target: 1980
As long as ETH can hold around 1925 in the short term, there is still a chance of a continued rebound. #加密美股齐跌,下轮反弹的驱动力在哪? My strategy is simple: first look for 1940, then 1980 if that level is broken. Don’t chase the price blindly, and manage stop-losses and position size strictly.
$1000PEPE : Near the major players' cost zone—is a bottom reversal opportunity emerging? $1000PEPE has recently become worth watching closely.
Based on the current price action, after an earlier catch-up decline of around 30%, the price has begun to show signs of stabilizing and rebounding.
A few signals worth noting: The price is gradually approaching the major players' average cost zone, and selling pressure may be easing. Compared with the earlier decline in line with the broader market, it is now beginning to show some independent momentum. A double bottom with long lower wicks has appeared on the 4-hour chart, suggesting short-term buying support. The daily chart is gradually forming a stepwise upward structure, and trading volume has also started to pick up recently.
In my opinion, what matters most about $1000PEPE right now isn't how much it has risen in the short term, but whether it can truly hold above the bottom zone.
If trading volume continues to increase and the 4-hour structure remains upward, the next rebound rally may be worth looking forward to.
Of course, bottoming signals don't mean a reversal is confirmed. When trading contracts, it's especially important to manage position size, and blindly taking a large position is not recommended. 你们觉得1000PEPE这次是真的筑底,还是又一次短线反弹?
$牛来 and $PONS haven't really taken off along with BTC lately. Of course, this is mainly because they had risen so much earlier; short-term profit-taking has become concentrated, and the market needs time to digest it.
Based on the current price action, both coins have pulled back noticeably. Niu Lai has fallen more, while PONS has held up relatively well.
However, a short-term pullback doesn't mean the rally is completely over. The key is whether they can hold support and attract funds back in. #黄仁勋辞任CEO,英伟达战略走向受关注 My take: don't rush to chase coins that have already risen too much. First, see which ones can stop falling and stabilize. The real opportunities often come after sentiment cools down.
$STX I’m not very bullish on this move. The rebound looks more like an opportunity for bears to re-enter. I entered a short position around 0.2815, with a stop-loss at 0.29 and a take-profit at 0.26.
At this point, some people might be wondering: why go short?
First, look at the candlestick chart. Since STX fell from around 0.32, its price action has remained weak, with the lows continuing to move lower. It also failed to reclaim 0.3 after breaking below it. The rebound has clearly lacked strength, which suggests there is still considerable selling pressure overhead.#AnthropicIPO获约6倍超额认购
Next, look at the futures data. Over the past 24 hours, STX has fallen by around 8.4%, with trading volume exceeding $10 million. Open interest has also dropped from around 22 million coins to roughly 21.48 million. The price is falling while open interest is declining, suggesting that a lot of capital is pulling out and that bulls are clearly under pressure.
Another interesting figure: the proportion of short accounts has climbed to around 64%, while longs account for just 36%. Market sentiment has turned decidedly bearish, suggesting fewer and fewer people are going long. #STX What I’m paying closer attention to is how positions are changing among major players. Rising volume on the way down, alongside falling open interest, suggests the market is reshuffling positions between bulls and bears, with some bulls forced to exit. But bears shouldn’t blindly chase the move either. The short ratio is already quite high, and a sudden rebound triggering a short squeeze is still possible.
My plan remains the same: short around 0.2815, with a stop-loss at 0.29 and a target of 0.26. As long as the price doesn’t hold above 0.29, my short thesis won’t change. #黄仁勋辞任CEO,英伟达战略走向受关注
$SXT In-Depth Look: Futures Open Interest Is Recovering—Are Major Players Repositioning? 📊 I’ve been keeping an eye on SXT lately. Looking at the 4-hour candlestick chart alongside futures market data, I’ve spotted a few signals worth watching.
📈 1. Price action After declining earlier, SXT has recently started to rebound, with its price gradually moving higher. The area around 0.0100 is an important resistance level. A breakout on strong volume could open the door to further short-term gains; if volume doesn’t keep up, there’s a risk of a pullback after the rally.
🔍 2. Changes in futures market activity Open interest is currently around $5.28 million, up 5.52% over 24 hours. Futures trading volume has reached $10.97 million, up 81.22%. Trading volume has expanded significantly, while open interest is also recovering, suggesting that traders are once again competing for positions. The funding rate is around -0.1152%, indicating relatively strong bearish sentiment. If the price continues to rise, short covering could follow.
💰 3. Are major players changing positions? Open interest fell earlier but has recently started to rise again, suggesting the market may be entering a new round of position turnover. However, it’s too early to tell whether major players are accumulating or whether both bulls and bears are simply opening new positions. Spot market flows and further changes in open interest will need to be monitored. Also, 81.71 million SXT are expected to be unlocked on December 8, representing about 1.63% of the total supply. This is a potential source of selling pressure to keep an eye on.
4. Why am I interested in Space and Time? Rather than focusing solely on price speculation, I care more about a project’s practical applications. Space and Time focuses on Proof of SQL, using zero-knowledge proofs to make query results verifiable. It has room to grow in AI, finance, and on-chain applications. The project recently launched Space and Time Enterprise for businesses, further expanding the use of verifiable data in AI and finance.
My take: SXT is showing signs of renewed capital activity, but it’s too soon to conclude that major players have finished accumulating. In the short term, the key level to watch is 0.0100 and whether the price can hold above it. I’ll also be watching to see whether spot capital continues to flow in. I’d rather wait for confirmation from capital flows and price action than chase the rally just because the price has bounced. #SXT #Spaceandtime @SpaceandTime
Is Arthur Hayes moving money into OTC platforms? This could be interesting.
I just came across an on-chain update: in the span of just 10 minutes, Arthur Hayes transferred 1 million USDC to Flowdesk and another 2 million USDC to Galaxy Digital, for a total of 3 million USDC.
Worth noting: just half a month ago, Hayes sold at least $49.25 million worth of various altcoins. At the time, many tokens in the market went on to fall by another 15%–30%.
After making large sales, he’s now transferred 3 million USDC to OTC platforms. This move is definitely worth watching.
Personally, I’m more inclined to see it as a potential signal that he’s positioning capital. After all, following a market correction, the prices of some high-quality assets have changed significantly. If capital really does start flowing back in, market sentiment could shift.
But let’s be clear: transferring funds to an OTC platform doesn’t mean he’s already bought anything, and it certainly doesn’t prove he’s buying the dip. The key things to watch next are whether there are any follow-up purchases and whether more large inflows appear on-chain.
The moves of big players are often worth studying, but there’s no need to blindly follow a single transfer into the market. What do you think—is Arthur Hayes positioning ahead of the next market rally, or simply moving funds around? #黄仁勋再被曝与下属婚外情,或遭董事会罢免 #山寨币热点
Over the past few days, I’ve started paying close attention to $INTC . Personally, I’m bullish in the short term!!! The key reason I’m bullish this time isn’t simply Intel-specific news; it’s that the overall rhythm of the U.S. stock market is beginning to change.
Recently, U.S. tech stocks and the AI sector saw a series of pullbacks, with many popular stocks becoming clearly oversold. The U.S. market has recently begun a technical recovery, and the semiconductor sector was among the first to rebound. I’ve noticed that market risk appetite is improving, and some investors are also shifting their focus from major cryptocurrencies to U.S. tech stocks. This rotation in sentiment is worth watching. #英特尔 Looking at INTC itself, it fell from around 130 to a low of 50. After a steep short-term decline, it has now rebounded to around 61, while the 4-hour RSI has recovered to around 56. The oversold recovery is already showing some signs of strength.
In addition, CoreWeave’s results have helped revive the AI data center sector, providing a boost to sentiment in the semiconductor sector. Intel’s rebound this time is largely following the sector’s recovery.
Today’s trading suggestion: go long near 61, take profit at 66, and set a stop-loss at 邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟(2年级).
The main trade this time is a recovery rally driven by an oversold rebound in U.S. stocks and capital rotation. This does not mean INTC’s long-term downtrend has reversed. Keep your position size under control, with a stop-loss at 57.
Personally, I think the areas worth watching next aren’t just $BTC and $ETH ; this turnaround in the U.S. tech sector could also bring new opportunities. For INTC, 66 is the initial target. After that, we’ll see whether it can make a stronger move. #Anthropic拒绝延期IPO,本周路演估值几何? #Zcash自9月以来首次跌破1000美元
$BTC Is this wave of selling about to push sentiment to its limit? Recently, I’ve started paying close attention to one indicator: BRS
BRS is now at 95, just one step away from 100. Based on its historical performance, this level often suggests that market panic has been largely flushed out, and the chances of a short-term rebound may be increasing.
Looking back at the 2018 bear market, several notable rebound lows occurred when BRS was close to 100 and then started to fall. #Zcash自9月以来首次跌破1000美元 So right now, I’m less focused on how much further prices could drop and more on when BTC will show genuine signs of bottoming out.
Of course, BRS nearing 100 doesn’t mean the bottom is in, let alone that the bull market is over. You can watch for an oversold bounce in the short term, but the broader trend still needs to be assessed alongside trading volume, fund flows, and price structure.
My take: there’s no need to panic blindly, but don’t rush to buy the dip either. Be patient and wait for the market to give a signal. Opportunities often go to those who are prepared.
$KORU —there’s finally an opportunity! I’ll lead the charge on this one for the guys!!! I’ve been keeping an eye on KORU lately. After taking another look at the contract data and the 4-hour chart today, I’m still personally leaning bullish, with an initial target of $9.20.
First, the fundamentals: KORU is the Direxion Daily South Korea Bull 3X ETF, and South Korea’s semiconductor sector is an important source of support. SK Hynix’s third-quarter revenue recently topped 100 trillion won, while demand for HBM and servers continues to grow. South Korea’s semiconductor exports rose sharply year over year in October. On November 10, the KOSPI also rebounded noticeably, with Samsung and Hynix both gaining strength. #CPI高于预期,美股与BTC再度承压
Next, the contract pool: the screenshot shows about $44.99 million in short positions versus about $6.36 million in long positions, so shorts are clearly dominant. The current price is around $8.24, while the average short entry price is about $8.81. If the price keeps rising, some shorts may be forced to cover, potentially driving the rebound further.
Technically, $KORU has fallen all the way from above $23, hitting a low of $6.09. It is now back above the short-term moving averages, and the 4-hour RSI has recovered to 58.9, suggesting short-term momentum is improving. #Anthropic拒绝延期IPO,本周路演估值几何? My plan: first watch resistance near $9. If the price holds above that level on strong volume, then look toward $9.20. Below, keep a close eye on the $7.50–$7.20 zone; consider going long only if the price retests and holds there. If support breaks, reassess.
What I’m watching this time is whether South Korea’s semiconductor fundamentals, returning capital, and concentrated short positions can all combine to drive the move. #英伟达Q3财报将至:能否化解市场疑虑?
That said, note that open interest has fallen by about 8.23% over the past 24 hours. The rise may also be partly due to short covering, so we can’t yet conclude that major players have turned fully bullish. KORU is a 3x leveraged product, so volatility is high—don’t blindly take on a large position.
The multiple long positions I gave my followers this morning, $SOXL , have once again validated my 90% win rate! I’d just finished breakfast this morning and was having a smoke when I took a quick look at the market. I noticed that $SOXL had formed a base on the 4-hour chart, with volume picking up. Mr. Yan decisively notified his followers at 10:55 to go heavily long on this coin with 500U. #合约挑战
My followers are currently in position and sitting on 754u in unrealized profits. Mr. Yan’s target is still 68. If anything unusual happens, I may exit early. The market has now started a strong uptrend. #CPI高于预期,美股与BTC再度承压 This proves my 90% win rate is no exaggeration!!!
I’ve already started positioning for my next intraday short-term trade. If you want to get in early, join 我的群组 北大青鸟(2年级) #SOXL
$SOXL I think this rebound still has room to push higher. Looking at the 4-hour chart, SOXL has gradually rebounded from around 38.8 to above 61. Short-term moving averages are starting to turn upward, and trading volume has also picked up, suggesting that money is flowing back in. #CPI高于预期,美股与BTC再度承压 Looking at the derivatives data, net inflows totaled $88.8 million over the past 24 hours. Over the past 7 days, there have been few periods without net inflows, indicating that short-term buying pressure has strengthened. However, fund flows over the past 30 days remain relatively strong, so for now I’m treating this as a rebound and won’t chase the price blindly. #Anthropic拒绝延期IPO,本周路演估值几何? My strategy is simple: enter long positions in stages around 60, with a first target of $65 and a stop-loss at $55. As long as the price holds around 60, there’s still room for another short-term push higher. If it breaks above 65 with volume picking up, I’ll consider the potential for further gains.
This time, I’m not trying to capture the entire move in one go. I’ll manage my position size and stop-loss carefully, and take the profits I can get along the way. #英伟达Q3财报将至:能否化解市场疑虑?