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老朝奉研究院
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老朝奉研究院

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The Old Dynasty Research Institute is officially open to the public, welcome everyone to follow us. Old Dynasty Research Institute: Insight into cycles, discover value. Trading fee 20% off with invite code: LCFYJY DM to join the VIP group. {future}(BTCUSDT)
The Old Dynasty Research Institute is officially open to the public, welcome everyone to follow us.
Old Dynasty Research Institute: Insight into cycles, discover value.
Trading fee 20% off with invite code: LCFYJY DM to join the VIP group.
Recently, ETH’s performance has become noticeably more active compared with the earlier period. Not only has the price continued to rebound, but market attention has also started to pick up again. However, what’s more worth focusing on right now isn’t how much the price has risen in the short term, but whether this rebound can continue to receive funding support. If trading volume can remain strong going forward and market sentiment keeps improving, ETH’s outlook may turn more positive than it did in the earlier period. At this stage, it’s more suitable to keep monitoring changes in the order book rather than jumping to conclusions just because there’s been a short-term rally. For ETH, the follow-through in volume and the market’s funding activity remain key areas to watch closely. #ETH
Recently, ETH’s performance has become noticeably more active compared with the earlier period. Not only has the price continued to rebound, but market attention has also started to pick up again.
However, what’s more worth focusing on right now isn’t how much the price has risen in the short term, but whether this rebound can continue to receive funding support. If trading volume can remain strong going forward and market sentiment keeps improving, ETH’s outlook may turn more positive than it did in the earlier period.
At this stage, it’s more suitable to keep monitoring changes in the order book rather than jumping to conclusions just because there’s been a short-term rally. For ETH, the follow-through in volume and the market’s funding activity remain key areas to watch closely.
#ETH
I recently noticed that the trend of $JCT has started to become more active. Not only has the price broken out of the previous consolidation range, but the trading volume has also noticeably increased compared to before, suggesting that the market is beginning to pay attention to this level. However, there’s no need to jump to conclusions yet. After many coins see a surge in volume, they often go through a round of disagreement: some can continue to strengthen, while others see the enthusiasm fade quickly. So rather than focusing on how much it rose in a single day, what matters more is whether there is continued capital participation afterward. For now, $JCT has already entered the spotlight. Next, we mainly need to see whether the trading volume can remain active and whether the price action will provide new signals. If the trend continues to cooperate, then we can consider whether it’s worth paying further attention. #JCT
I recently noticed that the trend of $JCT has started to become more active. Not only has the price broken out of the previous consolidation range, but the trading volume has also noticeably increased compared to before, suggesting that the market is beginning to pay attention to this level.
However, there’s no need to jump to conclusions yet. After many coins see a surge in volume, they often go through a round of disagreement: some can continue to strengthen, while others see the enthusiasm fade quickly. So rather than focusing on how much it rose in a single day, what matters more is whether there is continued capital participation afterward.
For now, $JCT has already entered the spotlight. Next, we mainly need to see whether the trading volume can remain active and whether the price action will provide new signals. If the trend continues to cooperate, then we can consider whether it’s worth paying further attention.
#JCT
Every day, new coins appear on the gainers leaderboard, but the magnitude of the price increase alone cannot indicate whether a market cycle has the potential to be sustained. After the price rises, whether the trading volume continues to expand, whether open interest changes in sync, and whether new catalysts emerge in the market—these data often reflect the subsequent development of the trend more accurately. If the price keeps rising but market participation does not show a clear increase, such a situation usually needs further observation rather than drawing conclusions too quickly. Conversely, for some coins that are not leading on the gainers list, if trading volume begins to expand, open interest gradually increases, and new news catalysts are added on top, they are often more worth monitoring. The gainers leaderboard is more like an entry point for spotting opportunities. What ultimately determines whether it’s truly worth continued attention is the market’s subsequent data and how capital performs. #OI
Every day, new coins appear on the gainers leaderboard, but the magnitude of the price increase alone cannot indicate whether a market cycle has the potential to be sustained.
After the price rises, whether the trading volume continues to expand, whether open interest changes in sync, and whether new catalysts emerge in the market—these data often reflect the subsequent development of the trend more accurately. If the price keeps rising but market participation does not show a clear increase, such a situation usually needs further observation rather than drawing conclusions too quickly.
Conversely, for some coins that are not leading on the gainers list, if trading volume begins to expand, open interest gradually increases, and new news catalysts are added on top, they are often more worth monitoring.
The gainers leaderboard is more like an entry point for spotting opportunities. What ultimately determines whether it’s truly worth continued attention is the market’s subsequent data and how capital performs.
#OI
Markets see different fluctuations every day, but not every rise or fall is worth getting involved. Often, the market looks lively—prices move quickly and it’s easy to feel the urge to enter. But without clear trading logic and risk control, frequent participation can instead lead to more invalid trades. In real trading, judging whether the current opportunity is worth the risk matters more than trying to find the next opportunity. Some setups are better to wait for confirmation before entering; you might miss the initial part of the move, but you can also avoid a lot of uncertainty. Trading doesn’t have to be done every day—keeping the right rhythm is also part of trading. #交易分析 #ETH
Markets see different fluctuations every day, but not every rise or fall is worth getting involved.
Often, the market looks lively—prices move quickly and it’s easy to feel the urge to enter. But without clear trading logic and risk control, frequent participation can instead lead to more invalid trades.
In real trading, judging whether the current opportunity is worth the risk matters more than trying to find the next opportunity.
Some setups are better to wait for confirmation before entering; you might miss the initial part of the move, but you can also avoid a lot of uncertainty. Trading doesn’t have to be done every day—keeping the right rhythm is also part of trading.
#交易分析 #ETH
$BTC Recently after a rebound, it has returned to around 64,000. The current price is already not far from the previous high area. Judging from the order book, during the rebound there hasn’t been any obvious expansion in trading volume. Although market sentiment has somewhat recovered, whether funds will continue to push the market higher needs to be observed by how the volume changes in the future. Right now, the key area to watch on the upside is around 64,600. If there is a subsequent breakout and the trading volume increases in sync, it would indicate strong market absorption. If the price repeatedly consolidates at the high level and the volume remains insufficient, then short-term pullback pressure should be taken into account. For market conditions approaching a critical level like this, the performance after a breakout is more valuable for reference. Whether the price can hold above the level, and whether market funds continue to follow through, is more important than the breakout itself. #BTC
$BTC Recently after a rebound, it has returned to around 64,000. The current price is already not far from the previous high area.
Judging from the order book, during the rebound there hasn’t been any obvious expansion in trading volume. Although market sentiment has somewhat recovered, whether funds will continue to push the market higher needs to be observed by how the volume changes in the future.
Right now, the key area to watch on the upside is around 64,600. If there is a subsequent breakout and the trading volume increases in sync, it would indicate strong market absorption. If the price repeatedly consolidates at the high level and the volume remains insufficient, then short-term pullback pressure should be taken into account.
For market conditions approaching a critical level like this, the performance after a breakout is more valuable for reference. Whether the price can hold above the level, and whether market funds continue to follow through, is more important than the breakout itself.
#BTC
When making contracts, I don’t simply decide the trading direction based on whether the funding rate is high or low. However, this data serves as a reference for me to observe market sentiment. Usually there are two situations where I pay close attention to the funding rate. First, when the funding rate remains at a relatively high level for a sustained period. This suggests that bullish sentiment is concentrated in the market. Then it’s important to combine it with price action and trading volume to judge whether the market is truly strong or whether the sentiment is already overheated. Second, when the funding rate shows a clear change. If market sentiment shifts quickly, the funding rate may also experience significant fluctuations. In this case, it can help you observe changes in long/short power. That said, the funding rate is always only an auxiliary indicator and will not be the sole basis for opening a position. What truly determines the trade is the price structure, trading volume, and key levels. #资金费
When making contracts, I don’t simply decide the trading direction based on whether the funding rate is high or low. However, this data serves as a reference for me to observe market sentiment.
Usually there are two situations where I pay close attention to the funding rate.
First, when the funding rate remains at a relatively high level for a sustained period. This suggests that bullish sentiment is concentrated in the market. Then it’s important to combine it with price action and trading volume to judge whether the market is truly strong or whether the sentiment is already overheated.
Second, when the funding rate shows a clear change. If market sentiment shifts quickly, the funding rate may also experience significant fluctuations. In this case, it can help you observe changes in long/short power.
That said, the funding rate is always only an auxiliary indicator and will not be the sole basis for opening a position. What truly determines the trade is the price structure, trading volume, and key levels.
#资金费
$BTC This rebound has returned to the vicinity of the previous high. We’re now at a relatively critical point. From the chart, this rally has a fairly complete rhythm. However, as the price keeps approaching the previous high, what’s more worth watching next is not the price itself, but whether the trading volume can continue to expand. If a subsequent breakout is accompanied by increased volume, the trend will be healthier. If volume remains low, then it’s worth watching for the possibility of consolidation at the high level or even a pullback to confirm. At this point, it isn’t suitable to focus only on whether the price rises or falls. More importantly, we should observe how the market reacts to this level—whether there is sustained follow-through after the breakout. #BTC
$BTC This rebound has returned to the vicinity of the previous high. We’re now at a relatively critical point.
From the chart, this rally has a fairly complete rhythm. However, as the price keeps approaching the previous high, what’s more worth watching next is not the price itself, but whether the trading volume can continue to expand. If a subsequent breakout is accompanied by increased volume, the trend will be healthier. If volume remains low, then it’s worth watching for the possibility of consolidation at the high level or even a pullback to confirm.
At this point, it isn’t suitable to focus only on whether the price rises or falls. More importantly, we should observe how the market reacts to this level—whether there is sustained follow-through after the breakout.
#BTC
Today I made a short position of $KAITO . After the price broke below a key level, there wasn’t any clear rebound continuation/engagement. Once I confirmed the trend was weak, I entered the trade following the move. I took profits as planned after capturing a segment of the pullback, without trying to gamble for the remaining potential upside/downside. This trade didn’t aim to capture an entire move; getting profits within my area of understanding is already enough. There are new opportunities in the market every day. Instead of trying to make profit on every wave, it’s better to execute each trade well. Recently, I’ll also share some of my trading records and observations of the market screen. Feel free to exchange ideas with me. #KAITO
Today I made a short position of $KAITO . After the price broke below a key level, there wasn’t any clear rebound continuation/engagement. Once I confirmed the trend was weak, I entered the trade following the move. I took profits as planned after capturing a segment of the pullback, without trying to gamble for the remaining potential upside/downside.
This trade didn’t aim to capture an entire move; getting profits within my area of understanding is already enough. There are new opportunities in the market every day. Instead of trying to make profit on every wave, it’s better to execute each trade well.
Recently, I’ll also share some of my trading records and observations of the market screen. Feel free to exchange ideas with me.
#KAITO
Many people study market trends every day, look for opportunities, but rarely take the time to seriously calculate their own trading costs. For example, in my own case, I’m not a high-frequency trader. I occasionally trade contracts, and over the course of a year, the trading fees alone come to nearly 100U. For people with higher trading frequency, or those who often participate in trading competitions and activities that boost trading volume, this cost could be even higher. Usually, each fee doesn’t feel like much, but over the year, it actually adds up to a considerable expense. Market conditions change every day, but trading costs occur with every single trade. Many people spend a lot of time researching entry points, yet very little time optimizing trading costs. In the long run, reducing trading costs—even a little—also means improving your real returns. Trading costs aren’t something you can see every day like market movements, but over the long term, they do affect your returns. I’ve also researched quite a few ways to reduce trading costs; they can definitely save some money. If I get the chance later, I’ll organize and share more.
Many people study market trends every day, look for opportunities, but rarely take the time to seriously calculate their own trading costs.
For example, in my own case, I’m not a high-frequency trader. I occasionally trade contracts, and over the course of a year, the trading fees alone come to nearly 100U.
For people with higher trading frequency, or those who often participate in trading competitions and activities that boost trading volume, this cost could be even higher. Usually, each fee doesn’t feel like much, but over the year, it actually adds up to a considerable expense.
Market conditions change every day, but trading costs occur with every single trade. Many people spend a lot of time researching entry points, yet very little time optimizing trading costs. In the long run, reducing trading costs—even a little—also means improving your real returns.
Trading costs aren’t something you can see every day like market movements, but over the long term, they do affect your returns. I’ve also researched quite a few ways to reduce trading costs; they can definitely save some money. If I get the chance later, I’ll organize and share more.
Recently, market hot spots have been switching more frequently, and it has become more difficult for individual projects to continuously attract capital. The hot topic that people were discussing yesterday may have been replaced by a new project today; the market is essentially looking for new trading directions almost every day. Behind these changes is the fact that market capital is currently more inclined toward short-term speculation. Hot spots tend to rapidly gather attention and quickly expand trading volume in a short time. Then, the funds start flowing into new projects, and the number of cryptocurrencies that can genuinely sustain the hype is becoming smaller. As a result, many current market trends show a particular feature: prices rise very fast, but the time left for the market to react and for participants to get involved is getting shorter. For this kind of hot-spot market, the参考 value of simply looking at price increase is no longer as high as before. Instead of focusing on how much it is up today, what is worth watching is whether trading volume can continue to expand, whether the market discussion heat can be sustained, and whether the funds continue to remain in the market. These factors often determine whether a trend has staying power more than one or two large bullish candles. #BTC
Recently, market hot spots have been switching more frequently, and it has become more difficult for individual projects to continuously attract capital. The hot topic that people were discussing yesterday may have been replaced by a new project today; the market is essentially looking for new trading directions almost every day.
Behind these changes is the fact that market capital is currently more inclined toward short-term speculation. Hot spots tend to rapidly gather attention and quickly expand trading volume in a short time. Then, the funds start flowing into new projects, and the number of cryptocurrencies that can genuinely sustain the hype is becoming smaller. As a result, many current market trends show a particular feature: prices rise very fast, but the time left for the market to react and for participants to get involved is getting shorter.
For this kind of hot-spot market, the参考 value of simply looking at price increase is no longer as high as before. Instead of focusing on how much it is up today, what is worth watching is whether trading volume can continue to expand, whether the market discussion heat can be sustained, and whether the funds continue to remain in the market. These factors often determine whether a trend has staying power more than one or two large bullish candles.
#BTC
$US Recent price action has started to become active again. $US In the earlier stage, it fell steadily from 0.027 all the way down to around 0.0026, going through a fairly thorough adjustment. Recently, as trading volume has noticeably increased, the price has moved back to around 0.02 and market attention has started to pick up as well. However, after spiking higher today, it quickly pulled back, which also suggests that there is still selling pressure overhead, and short-term volatility may remain relatively high. What I care about more than how much it can rise in the short term is whether, after this breakout with increased volume, the capital can continue to stay in the market. If trading volume can remain active and the price base continues to move upward, I will keep tracking it. In my day-to-day updates, I will also continuously share the coins I’m watching, my trading ideas, and my review/recap notes. If you’re interested, feel free to message me for discussion, or join the homepage group chat to discuss together. #US
$US Recent price action has started to become active again.
$US In the earlier stage, it fell steadily from 0.027 all the way down to around 0.0026, going through a fairly thorough adjustment. Recently, as trading volume has noticeably increased, the price has moved back to around 0.02 and market attention has started to pick up as well. However, after spiking higher today, it quickly pulled back, which also suggests that there is still selling pressure overhead, and short-term volatility may remain relatively high.
What I care about more than how much it can rise in the short term is whether, after this breakout with increased volume, the capital can continue to stay in the market. If trading volume can remain active and the price base continues to move upward, I will keep tracking it. In my day-to-day updates, I will also continuously share the coins I’m watching, my trading ideas, and my review/recap notes. If you’re interested, feel free to message me for discussion, or join the homepage group chat to discuss together.
#US
$BTC when it fell to around 57,000, the market mostly discussed risk and further declines; after it rebounded to above 62,000, people who talked about gains and new highs began to increase gradually again. This isn’t really about who is right or wrong—market sentiment simply tends to change with price movements. In many cases, price moves first, and only then do market views gradually form a consensus. Looking back, it seems each market cycle repeats a similar process. Instead of guessing whether the market will rise or fall next, what I care about more is whether this current stretch of行情 is something I’m willing to participate in and can understand. My usual trading strategy, coin/token analysis, and post-trade review notes are all shared in the group chat. If you’re interested in exchanging ideas or following along, you can send me a private message, or you can directly join the group chat from my profile. #BTC
$BTC when it fell to around 57,000, the market mostly discussed risk and further declines; after it rebounded to above 62,000, people who talked about gains and new highs began to increase gradually again.
This isn’t really about who is right or wrong—market sentiment simply tends to change with price movements. In many cases, price moves first, and only then do market views gradually form a consensus. Looking back, it seems each market cycle repeats a similar process.
Instead of guessing whether the market will rise or fall next, what I care about more is whether this current stretch of行情 is something I’m willing to participate in and can understand. My usual trading strategy, coin/token analysis, and post-trade review notes are all shared in the group chat. If you’re interested in exchanging ideas or following along, you can send me a private message, or you can directly join the group chat from my profile.
#BTC
$BTC This rebound, which started around 57,700 and climbed all the way back above 62,000, actually isn’t weak in terms of price performance. However, when I watch the market these days, one fairly clear change is that although the price is still consolidating near the highs, the trading volume has begun to drop noticeably. At least from where things stand now, market sentiment hasn’t warmed up in sync with the price rally. This kind of market is often not easy to trade. On the one hand, the trend hasn’t finished yet; on the other hand, the risk-reward for chasing in is no longer as comfortable as it was earlier. Instead of continuing to guess the direction, what I’ve been paying more attention to lately is whether new capital will come in afterward. My usual trading strategy, coin analysis, and post-trade review records will all be shared in the group chat as well. If you’re interested in exchanging ideas or following along, you can send me a private message, or you can directly join the group chat link in my profile. #BTC
$BTC This rebound, which started around 57,700 and climbed all the way back above 62,000, actually isn’t weak in terms of price performance.
However, when I watch the market these days, one fairly clear change is that although the price is still consolidating near the highs, the trading volume has begun to drop noticeably. At least from where things stand now, market sentiment hasn’t warmed up in sync with the price rally.
This kind of market is often not easy to trade. On the one hand, the trend hasn’t finished yet; on the other hand, the risk-reward for chasing in is no longer as comfortable as it was earlier. Instead of continuing to guess the direction, what I’ve been paying more attention to lately is whether new capital will come in afterward.
My usual trading strategy, coin analysis, and post-trade review records will all be shared in the group chat as well. If you’re interested in exchanging ideas or following along, you can send me a private message, or you can directly join the group chat link in my profile.
#BTC
$ETH Spot ETF capital flows have recently not stopped. According to publicly available data, $ETH Spot ETF capital flows have still been maintaining net inflows recently, and the cumulative net inflow has already exceeded $10 billion. However, looking at price performance, $ETH hasn’t broken out into an independent uptrend as many people expected; the overall market still seems cautious. Of course, capital inflows and price increases don’t necessarily move in sync. Instead of focusing on every short-term fluctuation, I’m more concerned about whether, if capital continues to flow in, ETH will gradually find its own rhythm. In addition, some trading strategies, coin analysis, and my recap notes are all shared in the group chat. If you’re interested in exchanging ideas or following trades, you can message me privately, or you can directly join the group chat from the homepage. #ETH
$ETH Spot ETF capital flows have recently not stopped.
According to publicly available data, $ETH Spot ETF capital flows have still been maintaining net inflows recently, and the cumulative net inflow has already exceeded $10 billion. However, looking at price performance, $ETH hasn’t broken out into an independent uptrend as many people expected; the overall market still seems cautious.
Of course, capital inflows and price increases don’t necessarily move in sync. Instead of focusing on every short-term fluctuation, I’m more concerned about whether, if capital continues to flow in, ETH will gradually find its own rhythm.
In addition, some trading strategies, coin analysis, and my recap notes are all shared in the group chat. If you’re interested in exchanging ideas or following trades, you can message me privately, or you can directly join the group chat from the homepage.
#ETH
$ALLO From around 0.08, it was pushed up to 0.56—the gain is already approaching nearly sevenfold. After several consecutive days of pullback, today it once again pulled out a large bullish candle, which suggests that there is still capital participating at this level. At the moment, around 0.25 is an important support area for this pullback. After reclaiming above 0.35, what’s worth paying attention to next is whether it can once again challenge the 0.4–0.45 zone. Besides the chart itself, the recent Binance Wallet ALLOX activity has also brought some new attention to the project. However, compared with the initial launch stage, trading volume has dropped quite a bit, and market sentiment is gradually returning to rationality. I personally participated a little in this kind of strong coin earlier, but I won’t chase it up now. If there are any new developments with ALLO in the future, I’ll continue to monitor it. My usual trading strategy, coin analysis, and recap records will all be posted in the group chat. If you’re interested in chatting together or following the trades, you can DM me or directly join the group chat via my profile. #ALLO
$ALLO From around 0.08, it was pushed up to 0.56—the gain is already approaching nearly sevenfold. After several consecutive days of pullback, today it once again pulled out a large bullish candle, which suggests that there is still capital participating at this level.
At the moment, around 0.25 is an important support area for this pullback. After reclaiming above 0.35, what’s worth paying attention to next is whether it can once again challenge the 0.4–0.45 zone. Besides the chart itself, the recent Binance Wallet ALLOX activity has also brought some new attention to the project. However, compared with the initial launch stage, trading volume has dropped quite a bit, and market sentiment is gradually returning to rationality.
I personally participated a little in this kind of strong coin earlier, but I won’t chase it up now. If there are any new developments with ALLO in the future, I’ll continue to monitor it. My usual trading strategy, coin analysis, and recap records will all be posted in the group chat. If you’re interested in chatting together or following the trades, you can DM me or directly join the group chat via my profile.
#ALLO
$ETH From the low on Monday at 1547, it climbed all the way to last night’s high of 1725, accumulating +11.5% over a few days. Now it’s consolidating around 1703. The trigger was a massive miss in U.S. employment data—June added only 57,000 jobs, half of the forecast. Why would weak jobs data make crypto rise? The Fed is watching inflation and employment. When employment weakens, it signals the economy is slowing, reducing the pressure for the Fed to hike again. Crypto is a risk asset—when rate-hike expectations cool off, money is more willing to flow back. Macro-driven rebounds usually come fast and are also easy to give back. This +11.5% move is mainly concentrated in these two days, and the volume looks decent in comparison. But technically, 1700 is the level that needs to hold in the near term. At the moment, it looks more like a “data correction/adjustment,” not a trend reversal yet. Before chasing higher, first see whether it can hold 1700. Don’t try to predict direction in the short term—watch the volume at next week’s open for confirmation. #ETH
$ETH From the low on Monday at 1547, it climbed all the way to last night’s high of 1725, accumulating +11.5% over a few days. Now it’s consolidating around 1703. The trigger was a massive miss in U.S. employment data—June added only 57,000 jobs, half of the forecast.
Why would weak jobs data make crypto rise? The Fed is watching inflation and employment. When employment weakens, it signals the economy is slowing, reducing the pressure for the Fed to hike again. Crypto is a risk asset—when rate-hike expectations cool off, money is more willing to flow back.
Macro-driven rebounds usually come fast and are also easy to give back. This +11.5% move is mainly concentrated in these two days, and the volume looks decent in comparison. But technically, 1700 is the level that needs to hold in the near term. At the moment, it looks more like a “data correction/adjustment,” not a trend reversal yet. Before chasing higher, first see whether it can hold 1700. Don’t try to predict direction in the short term—watch the volume at next week’s open for confirmation.
#ETH
Verified
$XLM Over the past two months, it has already seen two waves of pump-and-dump rallies. The first wave: at the end of May, it surged from 0.15 to 0.298, almost doubling. The second wave: mid-June, it rebounded from 0.14 to 0.24. Now it’s at 0.198, sitting in the middle zone between the two waves. The core narrative behind the rallies hasn’t changed—Open USD is a stablecoin settlement network being promoted by 140+ companies, with XLM as one of the technology partners. RWA + stablecoins are the two strongest narratives for H2. As long as this big direction hasn’t been disproven, $XLM has a chance to be revisited by fresh capital again and again. The breakout entry points for both waves were in the 0.14–0.15 range, which is a useful reference for the low. The current level at 0.198 is slightly above the middle. Looking downward, 0.17 is short-term support; if it breaks further, watch whether it can hold around 0.15. Those looking to position themselves may consider scaling in—for example, take a portion at 0.17, add more at 0.15, and reassess if it breaks below 0.14. Once the next wave of catalysts comes, you’ll have a base position ready. #XLM
$XLM Over the past two months, it has already seen two waves of pump-and-dump rallies. The first wave: at the end of May, it surged from 0.15 to 0.298, almost doubling. The second wave: mid-June, it rebounded from 0.14 to 0.24. Now it’s at 0.198, sitting in the middle zone between the two waves.
The core narrative behind the rallies hasn’t changed—Open USD is a stablecoin settlement network being promoted by 140+ companies, with XLM as one of the technology partners. RWA + stablecoins are the two strongest narratives for H2. As long as this big direction hasn’t been disproven, $XLM has a chance to be revisited by fresh capital again and again.
The breakout entry points for both waves were in the 0.14–0.15 range, which is a useful reference for the low. The current level at 0.198 is slightly above the middle. Looking downward, 0.17 is short-term support; if it breaks further, watch whether it can hold around 0.15. Those looking to position themselves may consider scaling in—for example, take a portion at 0.17, add more at 0.15, and reassess if it breaks below 0.14. Once the next wave of catalysts comes, you’ll have a base position ready.
#XLM
$ZBT rose 61% in two days $ZBT jumped from a low of 0.098 two days ago to a high of 0.158 yesterday; in two days it rose 61%. It’s now back around 0.143 after pulling back 10% from the high. Trading volume has clearly expanded: during those two days of the rally, volume surged to 50M+ in a single day. ZEROBASE is infrastructure for zero-knowledge proofs and privacy computing. Simply put, it enables on-chain operations to “prove that they’re valid but you can’t see the details,” used in scenarios like staking, login, and real-world asset yield. The direct reason for the recent pump was the announcement of a partnership with Binance Pay, riding the narrative of “large-scale crypto payments adoption.” Next to watch two things. First, whether 0.14 can hold—if it stays above with volume, the rally can continue, indicating there’s follow-through. Second, whether volume can sustain 3–5 days after the pump. This kind of small-cap coin fears a volume-less sideways move the most: if volume dries up, the earlier run-up usually retraces about half. The ZK sector itself doesn’t have any new narrative; for $ZBT to keep going, we’ll need to see whether there’s any substantive progress following the Binance Pay partnership. #ZBT
$ZBT rose 61% in two days
$ZBT jumped from a low of 0.098 two days ago to a high of 0.158 yesterday; in two days it rose 61%. It’s now back around 0.143 after pulling back 10% from the high. Trading volume has clearly expanded: during those two days of the rally, volume surged to 50M+ in a single day.

ZEROBASE is infrastructure for zero-knowledge proofs and privacy computing. Simply put, it enables on-chain operations to “prove that they’re valid but you can’t see the details,” used in scenarios like staking, login, and real-world asset yield. The direct reason for the recent pump was the announcement of a partnership with Binance Pay, riding the narrative of “large-scale crypto payments adoption.”

Next to watch two things. First, whether 0.14 can hold—if it stays above with volume, the rally can continue, indicating there’s follow-through. Second, whether volume can sustain 3–5 days after the pump. This kind of small-cap coin fears a volume-less sideways move the most: if volume dries up, the earlier run-up usually retraces about half. The ZK sector itself doesn’t have any new narrative; for $ZBT to keep going, we’ll need to see whether there’s any substantive progress following the Binance Pay partnership.
#ZBT
$BTC Today it fell to 57,758, a new recent low. In just a week, it has dropped all the way from 63,209. The Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 11—one tier lower than yesterday. Today several things are weighing on $BTC at the same time. Federal Reserve Chair Warsh’s remarks did not send a “rate cut” signal; the market is worried there may be more rate hikes. US employment data came in stronger than expected, and the dollar strengthened accordingly—this drags down crypto, an asset that doesn’t earn interest. On top of that, Europe’s newly effective MiCA regulations and all the regulatory discussions at Davos further tightened sentiment. $BTC has broken below 60,000 multiple times within a week, showing that this key level no longer provides effective support. 60,805 was support before but has now turned into resistance. Whether the 58,000 area can hold is what we’ll watch next. For the short term, I won’t pre-judge direction—first, watch tonight’s US stock market close and trading volume. #BTC
$BTC Today it fell to 57,758, a new recent low. In just a week, it has dropped all the way from 63,209. The Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 11—one tier lower than yesterday.
Today several things are weighing on $BTC at the same time. Federal Reserve Chair Warsh’s remarks did not send a “rate cut” signal; the market is worried there may be more rate hikes. US employment data came in stronger than expected, and the dollar strengthened accordingly—this drags down crypto, an asset that doesn’t earn interest. On top of that, Europe’s newly effective MiCA regulations and all the regulatory discussions at Davos further tightened sentiment.
$BTC has broken below 60,000 multiple times within a week, showing that this key level no longer provides effective support. 60,805 was support before but has now turned into resistance. Whether the 58,000 area can hold is what we’ll watch next. For the short term, I won’t pre-judge direction—first, watch tonight’s US stock market close and trading volume.
#BTC
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