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万倍狂人
122 Posts

万倍狂人

公众号:狂人聊趋势
Occasional Trader
1.8 Years
4 Following
753 Followers
500 Liked
Posts
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$BTC Over the weekend, prices slowly climbed to the resistance zone of $64.5k, only to face rejection before the W close. Below the black box, there's no strong bullish sentiment in the price action (PA), making it more likely to trigger the 4-hour demand zone. For any chance of short-term bullish momentum, prices need to break above the black zone marked by the trigger path.
$BTC Over the weekend, prices slowly climbed to the resistance zone of $64.5k, only to face rejection before the W close.

Below the black box, there's no strong bullish sentiment in the price action (PA), making it more likely to trigger the 4-hour demand zone.

For any chance of short-term bullish momentum, prices need to break above the black zone marked by the trigger path.
Partly True
The more I compare the current market trends to 2018, the more similarities I spot. Back then, $BTC broke below February's low in June, then went sideways, ultimately forming a higher low. I think we're witnessing a very similar process unfold right now. Compared to all the panic scenarios everyone's posting, those higher lows or double bottom patterns hold way more significance for me. #狂人聊趋势
The more I compare the current market trends to 2018, the more similarities I spot.

Back then, $BTC broke below February's low in June, then went sideways, ultimately forming a higher low.

I think we're witnessing a very similar process unfold right now.

Compared to all the panic scenarios everyone's posting, those higher lows or double bottom patterns hold way more significance for me. #狂人聊趋势
$DOGE tends to drift back to this $0.06 - $0.08 zone during bear markets, and usually sparks some kind of reaction. Clearly, this level has been tested back in February, but I think it's still worth keeping an eye on, especially since this local range is quite significant. #狂人聊趋势
$DOGE tends to drift back to this $0.06 - $0.08 zone during bear markets, and usually sparks some kind of reaction.

Clearly, this level has been tested back in February, but I think it's still worth keeping an eye on, especially since this local range is quite significant. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC Update (4H) We're seeing a bearish breakout from a symmetrical triangle, currently moving towards the 50% wick fill area of last week's candlestick, where there's some untested liquidity, along with a previously triggered long limit order. I still expect that long position to get filled. However, the risk on this position is only 0.25%, and it also acts as a hedge for my short, so it's essentially risk-free. While I'm leaning bullish for the remainder of this month, I still need confirmation of this bias, and a rebound from 60.7k will provide that confirmation. Losing 60.7k would open the door for lower prices, bringing 58.9k into view. Given that the daily trend shows signs of exhaustion, we're likely to hold the 60.7k-58.9k range and start to bounce back up. However, exhaustion doesn't always mean a reversal. Sometimes the market bleeds slowly downwards while hunting liquidity on both sides, leading to extreme volatility. This kind of price action typically occurs near major tops and bottoms. Considering we're approaching a macro bottom, a slow and choppy bleed down should not be ignored. If this scenario begins to play out, then the 54.5k-49k range will become the next downside target. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC Update (4H)

We're seeing a bearish breakout from a symmetrical triangle, currently moving towards the 50% wick fill area of last week's candlestick, where there's some untested liquidity, along with a previously triggered long limit order.

I still expect that long position to get filled. However, the risk on this position is only 0.25%, and it also acts as a hedge for my short, so it's essentially risk-free.

While I'm leaning bullish for the remainder of this month, I still need confirmation of this bias, and a rebound from 60.7k will provide that confirmation.

Losing 60.7k would open the door for lower prices, bringing 58.9k into view. Given that the daily trend shows signs of exhaustion, we're likely to hold the 60.7k-58.9k range and start to bounce back up.

However, exhaustion doesn't always mean a reversal. Sometimes the market bleeds slowly downwards while hunting liquidity on both sides, leading to extreme volatility. This kind of price action typically occurs near major tops and bottoms.

Considering we're approaching a macro bottom, a slow and choppy bleed down should not be ignored. If this scenario begins to play out, then the 54.5k-49k range will become the next downside target. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC is currently sweeping this area. If we can find support here in the next few hours, it should be bullish for going long. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC is currently sweeping this area.

If we can find support here in the next few hours, it should be bullish for going long. #狂人聊趋势
The sell wall at $ETH hasn't been broken yet. If the current sell wall gets taken out, the price is set to pump up to the 2000 USD level. #狂人聊趋势
The sell wall at $ETH hasn't been broken yet.
If the current sell wall gets taken out, the price is set to pump up to the 2000 USD level. #狂人聊趋势
$VVV , considering going short during backtesting? A clear distribution pattern formed at the historical highs. Three pushes to the same resistance level, accompanied by bearish divergence on the RSI. Classic exhaustion behavior. There’s still no clear structural breakout on the daily chart, so this trade carries higher risk, I know. But the price action is too clean to ignore. Sometimes, the cleanest setups don’t need all the confirmation signals. Therefore, this trade only risks 1%. #狂人聊趋势
$VVV , considering going short during backtesting?

A clear distribution pattern formed at the historical highs. Three pushes to the same resistance level, accompanied by bearish divergence on the RSI. Classic exhaustion behavior.

There’s still no clear structural breakout on the daily chart, so this trade carries higher risk, I know. But the price action is too clean to ignore.

Sometimes, the cleanest setups don’t need all the confirmation signals.

Therefore, this trade only risks 1%. #狂人聊趋势
Order Book $BTC shows an increase in OBs in the 50-55k low range over the weekend. The perpetual contract is heavy at the 61k level #狂人聊趋势 .
Order Book $BTC shows an increase in OBs in the 50-55k low range over the weekend. The perpetual contract is heavy at the 61k level #狂人聊趋势 .
$ONDO , this one needs to be on your radar. In my view, it might be setting up a macro trend for the coming months. The price has made a strong breakout from the accumulation phase back in May, and it's now holding firm in the breakout zone, supported by EMA and resonating with the annual opening level. The structure is shifting from distribution to expansion. I can see it trading above $1 in the near future. Simple moving averages provide clear invalidation points for trading. As long as it stays above them, the structure remains intact. Keep a close eye on it. #狂人聊趋势
$ONDO , this one needs to be on your radar. In my view, it might be setting up a macro trend for the coming months.

The price has made a strong breakout from the accumulation phase back in May, and it's now holding firm in the breakout zone, supported by EMA and resonating with the annual opening level. The structure is shifting from distribution to expansion.

I can see it trading above $1 in the near future.

Simple moving averages provide clear invalidation points for trading. As long as it stays above them, the structure remains intact.

Keep a close eye on it. #狂人聊趋势
$ETH Long-term roadmap update: Don’t let panic dictate your decisions The market is currently in full-on panic mode everywhere. But let me be crystal clear, selling in a panic is absolutely not a wise move. #ETH is trading close to $1700 today. In my view, the maximum downside from here is about $1,000. So I'm slowly accumulating ETH/USDT in the $1600–$1,000 range. No one knows the exact bottom, not me, not anyone, so trying to catch the perfect price is a losing game. Smart investors don’t try to catch the falling knife. They accumulate slowly and let time do its thing. I won’t give you a specific bottom prediction because, honestly, no one can do that. What I can tell you is that dollar-cost averaging in that range, rather than going all-in at once, is my strategy to always protect my position. If #ETH drops below $1,000 (if that really happens), I expect it to only last a few days. It would be a final liquidation move aimed at shaking out and scaring off retail traders. If it hits that level, I’ll be buying there too. Important note: this is just spot analysis. Please do not use this strategy for leveraged trading. Spot accumulation and leverage trading are two completely different games. A few years from now, I think you’ll be surprised looking back at these prices. It’s very likely ETH will surpass $10,000 in the long-term, and it could even hit $20,000. This pullback is not a reason for panic. In my view, the next altcoin season will arrive between 2026 and 2027. So we need to be patient and keep our cool until the end of 2027. Remember—big institutions are not foolish. They are buying billions of dollars worth of Ethereum during every pullback. Think with your head, not your emotions. The next 1–2 years can truly change our lifestyle, provided we hold strong and stick to coins with solid fundamentals and clean technicals. Also, let’s be realistic; many coins will go to zero. That’s why doing your own research (DYOR) before any investment is non-negotiable. #狂人聊趋势
$ETH Long-term roadmap update: Don’t let panic dictate your decisions

The market is currently in full-on panic mode everywhere. But let me be crystal clear, selling in a panic is absolutely not a wise move.

#ETH is trading close to $1700 today. In my view, the maximum downside from here is about $1,000. So I'm slowly accumulating ETH/USDT in the $1600–$1,000 range. No one knows the exact bottom, not me, not anyone, so trying to catch the perfect price is a losing game. Smart investors don’t try to catch the falling knife. They accumulate slowly and let time do its thing.

I won’t give you a specific bottom prediction because, honestly, no one can do that. What I can tell you is that dollar-cost averaging in that range, rather than going all-in at once, is my strategy to always protect my position.

If #ETH drops below $1,000 (if that really happens), I expect it to only last a few days. It would be a final liquidation move aimed at shaking out and scaring off retail traders. If it hits that level, I’ll be buying there too.

Important note: this is just spot analysis. Please do not use this strategy for leveraged trading. Spot accumulation and leverage trading are two completely different games.

A few years from now, I think you’ll be surprised looking back at these prices. It’s very likely ETH will surpass $10,000 in the long-term, and it could even hit $20,000. This pullback is not a reason for panic.

In my view, the next altcoin season will arrive between 2026 and 2027. So we need to be patient and keep our cool until the end of 2027.

Remember—big institutions are not foolish. They are buying billions of dollars worth of Ethereum during every pullback. Think with your head, not your emotions.

The next 1–2 years can truly change our lifestyle, provided we hold strong and stick to coins with solid fundamentals and clean technicals. Also, let’s be realistic; many coins will go to zero. That’s why doing your own research (DYOR) before any investment is non-negotiable. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC has shown a clearer structure after the recent dip. The spot CVD has started to recover, indicating that buyers are re-entering the market after the sell-off. Meanwhile, the open interest has sharply decreased, meaning that leveraged futures positions have been liquidated, and the market is shifting towards a healthier structure. In summary: Spot demand is recovering while futures leverage is being wiped out. If this trend continues, this price movement will be built on a more solid foundation. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC has shown a clearer structure after the recent dip.

The spot CVD has started to recover, indicating that buyers are re-entering the market after the sell-off.

Meanwhile, the open interest has sharply decreased, meaning that leveraged futures positions have been liquidated, and the market is shifting towards a healthier structure.

In summary: Spot demand is recovering while futures leverage is being wiped out. If this trend continues, this price movement will be built on a more solid foundation. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC All I've done is draw two simple lines on the chart. The plan has worked perfectly; I've been long since almost the bottom up to today. As long as we hold the 58k zone, the natural target is to hit the 70-75k range in the next few days. On the flip side, if those levels break, it won't change much for me: I'll just get another great entry opportunity around the 50k area. No complicated predictions, no magic. Just key levels, risk management, and patience. For me, that's all trading is about: keeping everything as simple as possible. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC All I've done is draw two simple lines on the chart.

The plan has worked perfectly; I've been long since almost the bottom up to today. As long as we hold the 58k zone, the natural target is to hit the 70-75k range in the next few days.

On the flip side, if those levels break, it won't change much for me: I'll just get another great entry opportunity around the 50k area.

No complicated predictions, no magic. Just key levels, risk management, and patience.

For me, that's all trading is about: keeping everything as simple as possible. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC Liquidation accumulating on both sides, targeting up to $65k and down to $57k. Right now, we’re waiting for a higher high or a lower low, so we can anticipate a sweep at $65k, or a continued bleed down to the $57k to $54k zone. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC Liquidation accumulating on both sides, targeting up to $65k and down to $57k.

Right now, we’re waiting for a higher high or a lower low, so we can anticipate a sweep at $65k, or a continued bleed down to the $57k to $54k zone. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC cleared most of the liquidity below during this drop. After a slow climb in April, we are now entering a significant flush. The largest liquidity cluster in this area is around $83,000, just above the local high. Below, the $60,000 region, which is the local low, clearly still has a fair amount of liquidity/stop-loss orders sitting beneath it. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC cleared most of the liquidity below during this drop.

After a slow climb in April, we are now entering a significant flush.

The largest liquidity cluster in this area is around $83,000, just above the local high.

Below, the $60,000 region, which is the local low, clearly still has a fair amount of liquidity/stop-loss orders sitting beneath it. #狂人聊趋势
✅1. Hyperliquid whales shift to a bullish stance ✅2. Bitfinex whales complete a buy of $BTC long positions 3. The negative premiums of Kimchi Premium and Coinbase Premium have disappeared The trend of increasing long positions of Bitfinex whales at $BTC has ended. What's left is for Kimchi Premium and Coinbase Premium to flip to positive premiums. #狂人聊趋势
✅1. Hyperliquid whales shift to a bullish stance
✅2. Bitfinex whales complete a buy of $BTC long positions
3. The negative premiums of Kimchi Premium and Coinbase Premium have disappeared
The trend of increasing long positions of Bitfinex whales at $BTC has ended.
What's left is for Kimchi Premium and Coinbase Premium to flip to positive premiums. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Perfect execution. We're currently at a major support level, and we need to hold it. I've re-entered a long position here, targeting qO (68.2k) for my take profit, and I'm also ready to short. When we hit qO, I'll circle back to this post.
$BTC

Perfect execution. We're currently at a major support level, and we need to hold it.

I've re-entered a long position here, targeting qO (68.2k) for my take profit, and I'm also ready to short.

When we hit qO, I'll circle back to this post.
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Spot trading volume issues Spot trading volume has just dipped below perpetual trading volume. This notorious signal is a bad omen, indicating that the recent bullish rebound shows signs of weakness. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC
Spot trading volume issues

Spot trading volume has just dipped below perpetual trading volume.

This notorious signal is a bad omen, indicating that the recent bullish rebound shows signs of weakness. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC Whale Wars, there's heavy order book pressure near the 62.2k low. Do you think it will hold or break down further? #狂人聊趋势
$BTC Whale Wars, there's heavy order book pressure near the 62.2k low.

Do you think it will hold or break down further? #狂人聊趋势
$BTC Although the downward liquidity is still relatively thin, two significant liquidity clusters have formed above the price. The first cluster is around the $68k zone, which still represents a meaningful level for a bearish retest. The second cluster is between $74k and $75k, right near the highs of the previous range. While there remains a technical possibility for BTC to enter this area as long as it stays within the current range, I don't believe that’s the most likely outcome. My primary scenario is to sweep the first liquidity cluster near $68k, followed by a continuation of the broader downtrend into the $60k zone. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC Although the downward liquidity is still relatively thin, two significant liquidity clusters have formed above the price.

The first cluster is around the $68k zone, which still represents a meaningful level for a bearish retest.

The second cluster is between $74k and $75k, right near the highs of the previous range.

While there remains a technical possibility for BTC to enter this area as long as it stays within the current range, I don't believe that’s the most likely outcome.

My primary scenario is to sweep the first liquidity cluster near $68k, followed by a continuation of the broader downtrend into the $60k zone. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC is currently trading around 64K, and the liquidity heat map shows the strongest upward target near 68K. This liquidity cluster could act like a magnet in the short term. On the downside, 61.5K–62K remains a key liquidity zone. The CVD is recovering, but the price hasn't reached the liquidity pool above. First target: 68K. #狂人聊趋势
$BTC is currently trading around 64K, and the liquidity heat map shows the strongest upward target near 68K. This liquidity cluster could act like a magnet in the short term.

On the downside, 61.5K–62K remains a key liquidity zone. The CVD is recovering, but the price hasn't reached the liquidity pool above.

First target: 68K. #狂人聊趋势
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