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Jimmie - Crypto Odds
78 Posts

Jimmie - Crypto Odds

Trader & Technical Analyst | 7 năm kinh nghiệm Fund Manager | FTMO Verified Trader
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Bullish
😱 Mr.Píp thought he was already a big fish, but when placed next to our Shark, it turns out he's just a small fry. In Crypto, seeing a few dozen or a few hundred million dollars makes money seem so abundant that you get tired of counting. But once in a while, looking at the wallets of those Shark guys makes you realize how deep this pond really is. People call them whales, but some buy BTC for investing, while others buy BTC like us—DCA and add another order. Sure, being rich comes with this, that. Fellow traders, we’re best staying on the shore watching the big fish splash around—otherwise, if it swishes its tail, boom, your account could be down 20% immediately, hahaha 😃
😱 Mr.Píp thought he was already a big fish, but when placed next to our Shark, it turns out he's just a small fry.

In Crypto, seeing a few dozen or a few hundred million dollars makes money seem so abundant that you get tired of counting. But once in a while, looking at the wallets of those Shark guys makes you realize how deep this pond really is.

People call them whales, but some buy BTC for investing, while others buy BTC like us—DCA and add another order.

Sure, being rich comes with this, that. Fellow traders, we’re best staying on the shore watching the big fish splash around—otherwise, if it swishes its tail, boom, your account could be down 20% immediately, hahaha 😃
🎙️ Mukbang All Market with Jimmie, let's go, guys!
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As promised on the live stream with everyone, I’d like to share with you the Bob Volman trading method that I collected from the early days when I first entered the market. This system has been used by many people and confirmed to have an edge in trading. A typical example is Nhat Hoai Trader. If you don’t have a trading system yet, you can learn from this system, and the most important part, as I always say, is money management. Wishing you smooth trading and lots of profits. Just message Thosansong and I’ll send it to you.
As promised on the live stream with everyone, I’d like to share with you the Bob Volman trading method that I collected from the early days when I first entered the market. This system has been used by many people and confirmed to have an edge in trading. A typical example is Nhat Hoai Trader.

If you don’t have a trading system yet, you can learn from this system, and the most important part, as I always say, is money management.

Wishing you smooth trading and lots of profits.

Just message Thosansong and I’ll send it to you.
BTC & GOLD TRADING PLAN 09/10/2026 BTC BTC has now returned to the 80K3 area, where the daily EMA34 is providing support. More importantly, the D1 price is still holding above 80K9. So for now, my Long plan targeting 9xK remains in place. I’ll stay on the sidelines and watch how price reacts around this area for a Long opportunity. If today’s D1 candle closes below 80K9, I’ll reconsider my Long outlook. In the short term, if BTC rebounds to the 82K6–83K area, I’ll still prioritize looking for a Short position. GOLD For Gold, I’ll wait for the 419x area to look for one final Short position. SL: 4209. If the stop-loss is hit, I’ll drop my Short outlook and wait for a new structure to reassess. SUMMARY BTC: - The Long toward 9xK remains valid as long as D1 holds above 80K9. - On a rebound to 82K6–83K: prioritize looking for a Short. - If D1 closes below 80K9: reconsider the Long outlook. Gold: - Wait to Short at 419x. - SL 4209. - If stopped out: drop the Short outlook. ⚠️ Risk warning: This is my personal view, not investment advice. Always set an SL, manage your capital, and don’t FOMO.
BTC & GOLD TRADING PLAN 09/10/2026

BTC

BTC has now returned to the 80K3 area, where the daily EMA34 is providing support.

More importantly, the D1 price is still holding above 80K9. So for now, my Long plan targeting 9xK remains in place.

I’ll stay on the sidelines and watch how price reacts around this area for a Long opportunity. If today’s D1 candle closes below 80K9, I’ll reconsider my Long outlook.

In the short term, if BTC rebounds to the 82K6–83K area, I’ll still prioritize looking for a Short position.

GOLD

For Gold, I’ll wait for the 419x area to look for one final Short position.

SL: 4209.

If the stop-loss is hit, I’ll drop my Short outlook and wait for a new structure to reassess.

SUMMARY

BTC:
- The Long toward 9xK remains valid as long as D1 holds above 80K9.
- On a rebound to 82K6–83K: prioritize looking for a Short.
- If D1 closes below 80K9: reconsider the Long outlook.

Gold:
- Wait to Short at 419x.
- SL 4209.
- If stopped out: drop the Short outlook.

⚠️ Risk warning:
This is my personal view, not investment advice. Always set an SL, manage your capital, and don’t FOMO.
🎙️ SIMPLE AND EASY-TO-UNDERSTAND PRICE ACTION
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QUANTUM COMPUTERS COULD BE BITCOIN’S NEXT NIGHTMARE 🧐 A Bitcoin and Ethereum security researcher has warned about the risk that quantum computers could one day break the security protecting BTC wallets. He also recommended that people holding BTC consider moving their assets to new wallet addresses whose public keys have never been exposed, to reduce the risk. There’s currently no evidence that quantum computers have broken Bitcoin’s security, but if the technology advances faster than the network can be upgraded, this could become a major problem. Those of you holding BTC for the long term should keep an eye on this. I’ve analyzed the risks and how to protect your wallet in more detail in my post on X. 👉 Read the full post on my X: https://x.com/thosansong/status/2108126803416187165
QUANTUM COMPUTERS COULD BE BITCOIN’S NEXT NIGHTMARE 🧐

A Bitcoin and Ethereum security researcher has warned about the risk that quantum computers could one day break the security protecting BTC wallets.

He also recommended that people holding BTC consider moving their assets to new wallet addresses whose public keys have never been exposed, to reduce the risk.

There’s currently no evidence that quantum computers have broken Bitcoin’s security, but if the technology advances faster than the network can be upgraded, this could become a major problem.

Those of you holding BTC for the long term should keep an eye on this. I’ve analyzed the risks and how to protect your wallet in more detail in my post on X.

👉 Read the full post on my X: https://x.com/thosansong/status/2108126803416187165
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Bearish
BTC & GOLD TRADING PLAN 08/10/2026 BTC BTC has now fallen to the lower boundary of the daily sideways range. On the H1 chart, price is consolidating between 82.7K and 83.6K after a sharp drop. So today, I won’t rush to predict the direction. I’ll wait for price to break out of this consolidation range before following the move. Scenario 1: If H1 breaks and closes above 83.6K → favor Long. Target: 84.3K. Scenario 2: If H1 breaks and closes below 82.7K → favor Short. Target: 81.7K. => Today, wait for H1 to break either boundary, then trade in that direction. GOLD Yesterday, Gold fell right into the 4,060 area, as in the previous scenario, then bounced back. My view for today has not changed: I’ll continue to favor looking for Short positions. I’m currently waiting for price to retrace to the 4,160–4,170 area to observe its reaction and look for a Short entry. Expected SL area: 4197. If price continues to hold below this area and a strong rejection signal appears, I’ll still favor trading in the downward direction.
BTC & GOLD TRADING PLAN 08/10/2026

BTC

BTC has now fallen to the lower boundary of the daily sideways range.

On the H1 chart, price is consolidating between 82.7K and 83.6K after a sharp drop. So today, I won’t rush to predict the direction. I’ll wait for price to break out of this consolidation range before following the move.

Scenario 1:
If H1 breaks and closes above 83.6K → favor Long.
Target: 84.3K.

Scenario 2:
If H1 breaks and closes below 82.7K → favor Short.
Target: 81.7K.

=> Today, wait for H1 to break either boundary, then trade in that direction.

GOLD

Yesterday, Gold fell right into the 4,060 area, as in the previous scenario, then bounced back.

My view for today has not changed: I’ll continue to favor looking for Short positions.

I’m currently waiting for price to retrace to the 4,160–4,170 area to observe its reaction and look for a Short entry.

Expected SL area: 4197.

If price continues to hold below this area and a strong rejection signal appears, I’ll still favor trading in the downward direction.
🎙️ DXY RISES, BTC/XAU BOTH CRASH!!!
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BTC & GOLD TRADING PLAN 07/10/2026 BTC BTC has pulled back and is now approaching the lower boundary of the daily range. For scalping, I prefer to wait for price to rebound to the 84K3–84K6 area to look for a Short position, targeting the 82K area. For swing trading, I wouldn’t prioritize chasing a Short at the current price. Instead, I’d wait for BTC to approach the 81K–82K area. If price shows a good reaction, this is the area I’ll watch for a Long position. My long-term outlook remains unchanged: BTC could still continue moving toward the 9xK area. GOLD For gold, my view remains to favor Shorts. My near-term target is the 406x area. If selling pressure remains strong and this level breaks, the next target will be the 396x area. For now, I’m not looking to catch a bottom. I’ll continue waiting for rebounds to look for Short positions in line with the trend. In summary: BTC: Favor trading the range—wait for a rebound to Short in the short term, or wait for a deeper move to 82K to look for a swing Long. Gold: Maintain a Short bias, targeting 406x and then 396x.
BTC & GOLD TRADING PLAN 07/10/2026

BTC

BTC has pulled back and is now approaching the lower boundary of the daily range.

For scalping, I prefer to wait for price to rebound to the 84K3–84K6 area to look for a Short position, targeting the 82K area.

For swing trading, I wouldn’t prioritize chasing a Short at the current price. Instead, I’d wait for BTC to approach the 81K–82K area. If price shows a good reaction, this is the area I’ll watch for a Long position.

My long-term outlook remains unchanged: BTC could still continue moving toward the 9xK area.

GOLD

For gold, my view remains to favor Shorts.

My near-term target is the 406x area. If selling pressure remains strong and this level breaks, the next target will be the 396x area.

For now, I’m not looking to catch a bottom. I’ll continue waiting for rebounds to look for Short positions in line with the trend.

In summary:
BTC: Favor trading the range—wait for a rebound to Short in the short term, or wait for a deeper move to 82K to look for a swing Long.
Gold: Maintain a Short bias, targeting 406x and then 396x.
SCAMMED OUT OF 1.5 BILLION VND BUYING USDT OTC This case has been making the rounds over the past few days. According to the victim, the group initially made seven ordinary OTC trades with them to build trust, involving amounts ranging from 30 to 500 million VND. But there was one detail: they insisted that the victim create a new imToken wallet in the car and use that wallet to receive the money. A camera had been secretly installed in the car to record the 12-word seed phrase used to recover the wallet. On July 7, after the young man handed over 1.5 billion VND in cash and received more than 60,493 USDT, all the USDT in the wallet was transferred out to another wallet. The cash had also been taken away. The victim later tracked them down to Nha Trang and, together with two witnesses, detained someone accused of being involved and handed them over to the police. This person reportedly admitted to installing a hidden recording device to obtain the 12-word recovery phrase. Their conversation was recorded, but the person was later released into their family’s custody because there was “insufficient evidence to prosecute.” For now, this case consists only of allegations from one side, and there has been no final conclusion, so we’ll have to wait and see what the authorities find. But if you often buy or sell USDT OTC, be careful. Recently, the Ministry of Public Security also mentioned USDT black markets in connection with major money-laundering cases, with some trading hubs handling $7–10 million a day. USDT is increasingly being used to move funds quickly across multiple wallets and countries, making them harder to trace. When dealing with large sums, just split them into smaller P2P transactions to stay safe.
SCAMMED OUT OF 1.5 BILLION VND BUYING USDT OTC

This case has been making the rounds over the past few days. According to the victim, the group initially made seven ordinary OTC trades with them to build trust, involving amounts ranging from 30 to 500 million VND. But there was one detail: they insisted that the victim create a new imToken wallet in the car and use that wallet to receive the money.

A camera had been secretly installed in the car to record the 12-word seed phrase used to recover the wallet. On July 7, after the young man handed over 1.5 billion VND in cash and received more than 60,493 USDT, all the USDT in the wallet was transferred out to another wallet. The cash had also been taken away.

The victim later tracked them down to Nha Trang and, together with two witnesses, detained someone accused of being involved and handed them over to the police. This person reportedly admitted to installing a hidden recording device to obtain the 12-word recovery phrase. Their conversation was recorded, but the person was later released into their family’s custody because there was “insufficient evidence to prosecute.”

For now, this case consists only of allegations from one side, and there has been no final conclusion, so we’ll have to wait and see what the authorities find.

But if you often buy or sell USDT OTC, be careful. Recently, the Ministry of Public Security also mentioned USDT black markets in connection with major money-laundering cases, with some trading hubs handling $7–10 million a day. USDT is increasingly being used to move funds quickly across multiple wallets and countries, making them harder to trace. When dealing with large sums, just split them into smaller P2P transactions to stay safe.
🎙️ SIFTING THROUGH THE SAND, LOOKING FOR TRADES, GUYS!!!
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🎙️ GOOD MORNING, FELLOW TRADERS
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TRADING PLAN FOR 08/10/2026 BTC BTC is still moving within the 82,000–87,000 sideways range and holding above the ascending trendline. Therefore, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. However, with U.S. bond yields rising and the DXY continuing to find support, I expect BTC to make another corrective move toward 84,500. When the price reaches this area, we’ll watch how it reacts at the trendline: - If the price holds around 84,500 and clear buying pressure emerges, we can continue looking for opportunities to go Long. - If the price breaks below the trendline and a candle closes below it to confirm the break, BTC could correct further toward the lower boundary of the sideways range. GOLD Like BTC, gold is under pressure from the strength of the DXY. Therefore, my outlook still leans toward gold continuing to decline. Key target areas to watch: - Near-term target: 406x - Further target: 397x Prioritize waiting for the price to rebound to a resistance area and for clear selling pressure to emerge before looking for a Short position. Don’t chase the price down after a steep decline or when the R:R ratio is no longer favorable. *Disclaimer: The content above is intended only to share my personal outlook and trading plan and is not investment advice. Everyone should do their own research, manage their capital, and take responsibility for their trading decisions.*
TRADING PLAN FOR 08/10/2026

BTC

BTC is still moving within the 82,000–87,000 sideways range and holding above the ascending trendline. Therefore, the short-term bullish structure remains intact.

However, with U.S. bond yields rising and the DXY continuing to find support, I expect BTC to make another corrective move toward 84,500.

When the price reaches this area, we’ll watch how it reacts at the trendline:

- If the price holds around 84,500 and clear buying pressure emerges, we can continue looking for opportunities to go Long.
- If the price breaks below the trendline and a candle closes below it to confirm the break, BTC could correct further toward the lower boundary of the sideways range.

GOLD

Like BTC, gold is under pressure from the strength of the DXY. Therefore, my outlook still leans toward gold continuing to decline.

Key target areas to watch:

- Near-term target: 406x
- Further target: 397x

Prioritize waiting for the price to rebound to a resistance area and for clear selling pressure to emerge before looking for a Short position. Don’t chase the price down after a steep decline or when the R:R ratio is no longer favorable.

*Disclaimer: The content above is intended only to share my personal outlook and trading plan and is not investment advice. Everyone should do their own research, manage their capital, and take responsibility for their trading decisions.*
BLAST GOES FROM $2 BILLION TVL TO SHUTTING DOWN $BLAST was once one of the hottest L2s last season, with over $2 billion in assets deposited in its ecosystem at one point. Now it’s announced it’s shutting down because it isn’t making enough money to cover operating costs. Blast used to attract users with a pretty appealing model: deposit ETH or stablecoins, and your assets could earn yield automatically. Add in airdrops, points, and the like, and a ton of money poured in. But the problem is, lots of deposits don’t necessarily mean lots of people are actually using the platform. A blockchain that wants to last is a lot like a company. It needs great apps → users → transactions → revenue. Blast managed to bring in capital, but didn’t build enough to make users stick around and keep using it long term. As a result, its TVL has fallen from over $2 billion to just around $32 million. Revenue wasn’t enough to cover costs, so it’s shutting down. This is something you should keep in mind if you hold altcoins. A compelling story, big funds, and lots of capital raised don’t guarantee a project will last. It needs real users and a way to make money—that’s what gives it greater long-term potential.
BLAST GOES FROM $2 BILLION TVL TO SHUTTING DOWN

$BLAST was once one of the hottest L2s last season, with over $2 billion in assets deposited in its ecosystem at one point. Now it’s announced it’s shutting down because it isn’t making enough money to cover operating costs.

Blast used to attract users with a pretty appealing model: deposit ETH or stablecoins, and your assets could earn yield automatically. Add in airdrops, points, and the like, and a ton of money poured in.

But the problem is, lots of deposits don’t necessarily mean lots of people are actually using the platform.

A blockchain that wants to last is a lot like a company. It needs great apps → users → transactions → revenue. Blast managed to bring in capital, but didn’t build enough to make users stick around and keep using it long term.

As a result, its TVL has fallen from over $2 billion to just around $32 million. Revenue wasn’t enough to cover costs, so it’s shutting down.

This is something you should keep in mind if you hold altcoins. A compelling story, big funds, and lots of capital raised don’t guarantee a project will last. It needs real users and a way to make money—that’s what gives it greater long-term potential.
🎙️ WHERE WILL BTC GO THIS WEEK?
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START-OF-WEEK TRADING PLAN BTC BTC’s weekly candle closed green and above the W-timeframe Key Level. So my medium-term outlook remains unchanged: the overall trend still favors the upside. However, on the H4 timeframe, price is moving back to test the former resistance zone at 86,700–87,100. Given DXY’s current strength, I think BTC may not rise immediately and could see another corrective move first. So at the current resistance zone, I’ll prioritize watching the price reaction for a short-term Short setup. If BTC breaks through the resistance zone, closes an H4 candle to confirm the breakout, and holds above it, I’ll abandon the Short scenario and continue following the uptrend, with targets around 93,000–96,000. GOLD As I mentioned during yesterday’s livestream, given DXY’s current bullish structure, I expect gold still has room to correct. Gold’s nearest downside target is the 406x zone. If selling pressure remains strong, price could move lower toward the 396x zone. So my outlook still leans toward the Short side. However, I’ll prioritize waiting for price to retrace to resistance and show a confirming sell signal, rather than chasing the price after a steep decline. *Disclaimer: The content above is for sharing my personal views and trading plan only; it is not investment advice. Everyone should do their own research, manage their capital, and take responsibility for their trading decisions.*
START-OF-WEEK TRADING PLAN

BTC

BTC’s weekly candle closed green and above the W-timeframe Key Level. So my medium-term outlook remains unchanged: the overall trend still favors the upside.

However, on the H4 timeframe, price is moving back to test the former resistance zone at 86,700–87,100. Given DXY’s current strength, I think BTC may not rise immediately and could see another corrective move first.

So at the current resistance zone, I’ll prioritize watching the price reaction for a short-term Short setup.

If BTC breaks through the resistance zone, closes an H4 candle to confirm the breakout, and holds above it, I’ll abandon the Short scenario and continue following the uptrend, with targets around 93,000–96,000.

GOLD

As I mentioned during yesterday’s livestream, given DXY’s current bullish structure, I expect gold still has room to correct.

Gold’s nearest downside target is the 406x zone. If selling pressure remains strong, price could move lower toward the 396x zone.

So my outlook still leans toward the Short side. However, I’ll prioritize waiting for price to retrace to resistance and show a confirming sell signal, rather than chasing the price after a steep decline.

*Disclaimer: The content above is for sharing my personal views and trading plan only; it is not investment advice. Everyone should do their own research, manage their capital, and take responsibility for their trading decisions.*
🎙️ LOOK BACK AT LAST WEEK'S TRADING RESULTS
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🎙️ NEW FARM FIGHTING WITH JIMMIEEE
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The previous round was a whole series of drama involving Johnny Đặng. Khoa had publicly said he spent $100K buying DBZ tokens. After that, the two sides went at it in a big fight—one that anyone in crypto from 2021 probably still remembers. For those who don’t know, back then there were people who scrutinized on-chain data and claimed that a wallet related to Khoa Pug once spent over $500K buying BabyDoge. Then there was also information that he made over $700K from Diamond Coin. I’m only keeping these figures as community-retrieved info; whether Khoa’s actual wallet and his exact profit/loss were truly that amount hasn’t been clearly confirmed. But Khoa is smart in the sense that, from way back, he’s always been pretty good at covering his retreat when talking about money. And you’ve got to admit, this guy’s content-making thinking is genuinely sharp. He knows what viewers want to watch, knows how to build a story, and knows when to flex and when to play the underdog. His travel videos and reviews are compelling—that’s not something that happens randomly just because someone’s been doing YouTube for so many years and still keeps millions of followers. Straight up: this guy has the knowledge and the mindset. It’s not just him picking up a camera and eating somewhere to review it. He deserves the credit.
The previous round was a whole series of drama involving Johnny Đặng. Khoa had publicly said he spent $100K buying DBZ tokens. After that, the two sides went at it in a big fight—one that anyone in crypto from 2021 probably still remembers.

For those who don’t know, back then there were people who scrutinized on-chain data and claimed that a wallet related to Khoa Pug once spent over $500K buying BabyDoge. Then there was also information that he made over $700K from Diamond Coin. I’m only keeping these figures as community-retrieved info; whether Khoa’s actual wallet and his exact profit/loss were truly that amount hasn’t been clearly confirmed.

But Khoa is smart in the sense that, from way back, he’s always been pretty good at covering his retreat when talking about money. And you’ve got to admit, this guy’s content-making thinking is genuinely sharp. He knows what viewers want to watch, knows how to build a story, and knows when to flex and when to play the underdog.

His travel videos and reviews are compelling—that’s not something that happens randomly just because someone’s been doing YouTube for so many years and still keeps millions of followers.

Straight up: this guy has the knowledge and the mindset. It’s not just him picking up a camera and eating somewhere to review it. He deserves the credit.
🎙️ WHAT SCRIPT FOR NONFARM TONIGHT?
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