币圈十二叔

Seeing the bounce of $SOMI so strong is really quite surprising—I hope it keeps going up!

I really see how strong the $MU ’s Q4 performance for fiscal year 2026 is this time: revenue surged to $54.23 billion, up 379% year over year—well above expectations of $50.45 billion;
EPS was $33.42, also beating expectations of $31.16.
The company’s revenue guidance for Q1 of fiscal year 2027 is set at $60 billion to $63 billion, which is also above the market expectation of $56.77 billion.
Once a black swan hits, a single strategy gets directly blown up. In my portfolio, I keep the overall leverage capped at within 2x equity, hold the core positions through the cycle, and the homepage can stay in sync with the live trading record.

Bullish on MUU before tonight’s earnings report $MU / $MUU 。
The market had originally expected the pace of price increases to slow down, but DRAM contract prices still rose 13%–18% quarter-over-quarter.
Wall Street expects $31.45, while the company’s guidance is only $31, so the bar for expectations is not that high.
It has already beaten expectations four straight times, with an average upside of 21%.
The risk is that FQ4 is 14 weeks, while FQ1 is only 13 weeks—so if the cycle isn’t adjusted, the $5 billion guidance actually translates to about $4.64 billion.
No single strategy can capture every kind of market—this is the essence of the market. My multi-strategy matrix puts the right people in the right battles, with offense and defense covered. It’s more comfortable than going all-in. There’s a link on the homepage.

$PLUME Right now, the key to watch is $0.018183 — the 4-hour EMA25. It’s only about 2.4% away from the current price of $0.01863. I’m not chasing this leg. I’ll wait for a pullback and the support/resumption signal before going long. If it breaks below $0.0173, I’ll admit I’m wrong.

4-hour EMA5 $0.018946 > EMA25 $0.018183 > EMA60 $0.017356. The daily EMA5 is also above EMA25, so the trend hasn’t turned bad. The issue is that RSI7 is already at 77.3, and the daily RSI7 is also high at 72.9. Chasing has clearly worse odds than waiting for a pullback.

The sentiment side actually gives longs a bit of room: the 24h total funding rate is -0.0184% (the shorts are paying); the long/short ratio is 1.3095; the big-holders’ position ratio is 3.3984—both are leaning bullish. OI/market cap is around 19.5%, so the market is still in a fairly active battleground, but it hasn’t reached the point where you can blindly chase.

BTC is mostly ranging. Meanwhile, ALL is down 1.56%—$PLUME ’s move has independent strength. The futures have been listed for 558 days; I won’t gamble on early-new listings’ liquidity effects—price confirmation matters more.

📈 Direction: Long
💰 Entry reference: $0.0182; after a pullback to the 4-hour EMA25, enter again when you see consolidation/support
🛑 Stop loss: $0.0173; if it breaks below the 4-hour EMA60, exit
🎯 Take profit 1: $0.0195; if it hits the prior high area, take some off first
🎯 Take profit 2: $0.0200; prior high integer level—if it can’t hold, reduce position size

You can hold the trend, but don’t get reckless when RSI is high. If you disagree, say so—I’m the type (Uncle Shi) who likes having my views slapped in the face by the data.

Are you standing at $0.0182 for a pullback-and-hold, or are you seeing $0.0173 break down and turn weaker? Pick one.

$PLUME #技术分析 #十二叔
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But for now I mainly still look bullish on $PHA (Phala) cable work, haha.
The single-rhyme direction is too dependent on luck. My US stock strategy uses tools like SQQQ to absorb volatility with a low position size; if it should be short, then I’ll short. It doesn’t interfere with my crypto strategy—there’s a live-trading entry point on the homepage.

Not to mention the decline in NAND market share, the shortage of DRAM supply sounds like an even more important thing to focus on.
Next, I’ll keep a close eye on $MU to see how this trend evolves.
What I’m shorting with is a multi-factor scoring engine based on dynamic RSI thresholds—not calling trades off gut feeling. How it runs in live trading can be seen directly on the homepage.

Brothers, $BTC is currently trading at 83,472. The 4h range has pulled back by 0.72%; over the last 3 candles, it’s only down 0.12%. This suggests that the sell pressure after the rally is easing, but it still hasn’t reclaimed the strong zone. On the upside, first look at 85,600, then the daily high at 87,385. On the downside, 82,500 is the short-term lifeline—if it breaks, it could pull back toward 80,000. The daily chart is still up 7.98%, and the trend hasn’t turned bad. The most recent contract traded about $461 million, and volume is still acceptable, but the chase-buy value isn’t that great.

$ETH is currently trading at 2,688. The 4h chart is basically moving sideways. Over the last 3 candles, it’s up 0.75%, but the daily chart has risen 12.44%—the strength is clearly higher than $BTC . 2806 is the key resistance, while 2634 is short-term support. MetaMask Staking will exit the Ethereum validators, and combined with the transfer of 133,000 ETH from related wallets, short-term sentiment will definitely be amplified. Don’t directly equate the news with an immediate sell-off.

The “super altseason” expectation is heating up, but the real prerequisite is that $BTC holds steady and capital keeps spreading out. My take: as long as BTC doesn’t break 82,500 and ETH doesn’t break 2,634, pullbacks should still be seen as bullish. Once it breaks down with rising volume, reduce positions first—don’t try to fight the trend at the top. “Don’t be afraid—just do it,” but the mindset isn’t about dying on a hard hold 👍

#比特币 #以太坊 #Uncle Twelve
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I really think Micron’s earnings report is solid: revenue $54.23B, EPS $33.42—both beat expectations;
Gross margin is 87%, also higher than the 86% guidance.
For next quarter, revenue guidance is $61.5B and EPS is $38.15, also significantly above expectations.
For the chain of $MU , $SNDK , $STX , market expectations still need to be revised upward.
My funds will automatically move from weakening strategies to strong-performing modules—tightening in headwinds and adding more in tailwinds. The drawdown protection floor is dynamic.
There’s a live-trading entry on the homepage.

I’m bullish on $BERA : after forming a converging triangle in July, it broke upward. It then took 12 days to reorganize and backtest the 50 EMA.
0.36 is the resistance level, and it’s the more reasonable next testing area.
You can scale in at 0.21–0.225; if you’re more aggressive, you can also enter at market price;
after reaching TP2, move the stop-loss to the entry price.
My setup isn’t about forcing a single strategy: short the “Dragon” to harvest overheated conditions, go long on the leading one to catch the subsequent rally; trade volatility in the US market; and hold BTC/ETH/SOL long-term as a core position. When the market regime switches, the funds automatically rebalance. Just follow along from the homepage.

$GTC funding rate 24h cumulative +0.0600%. The longs are currently paying protection fees to the shorts, but that doesn’t mean a top is immediately in sight. My conclusion is very clear: go long, don’t chase the current price—wait for the pullback to find support.

Long-to-short ratio in the account is 2.2744, and the big-holder positioning ratio is 1.3387. Market participation on the exchange is clearly skewed bullish. Crowding is a risk, not a short signal. The 4H EMA5/25/60 is still a bullish alignment, and the daily EMA5 is also standing above EMA25—so the trend hasn’t broken yet. However, the daily RSI14 has already reached 62.3, and $GTC is strengthening against the whole market’s -1.24%. Strong is strong, but the odds of chasing higher prices are already decreasing.

I’ll wait for a pullback to around $0.091, and then look for signs of support before going long. If it breaks below $0.087, it means this strength didn’t get followed through—I’ll admit it and exit.

For the upside, first look at $0.105. If it continues to break out on increased volume, then look at the previous high at $0.120. Don’t be afraid—just do it. But don’t treat the protection fee like free fuel.

📊 Direction: Go long
💰 Entry reference: $0.091; after the pullback, re-enter only if the 4H close regains and holds above
🛑 Stop loss: $0.087; if it breaks below, admit the mistake and exit
🎯 Take profit 1: $0.105, as the first resistance target
🎯 Take profit 2: $0.120, to challenge the prior high in the range

Discipline isn’t hype—it’s practice made in your wallet.

When it comes to you: will you go long after the pullback at $0.091, or will you switch and admit the trend failed after a break below $0.087? Choose one.

$GTC #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve
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Just a reminder: memory gross margins nearing 90% only really benefit memory companies like $MU , $SNDK , and $SKHY . They’re squeezing everything they can out of this boom, but innovation is coming, and I’m positioning into the chip name that looks ready to shake things up.
The leading-stock strategy is that potential must be greater than 5 before you go long; slaying the dragon is shorting when the enthusiasm is already overextended. The rules are clear and straightforward—no guesswork. If you want to follow, go to my profile.

I’m going to focus next on $NVDA , $MU , and $AVGO : there’s a funding logic behind AI infrastructure, storage demand, and custom chips.
Multiple sh*tty data-center connectivity businesses and multiple sh*tty AI accelerator plays are also on my watchlist.
I’m not chasing the shares that turn green on the screen—I’m looking at where AI money is actually going.
What I fear most is manually holding the bag and chasing the wrong direction. The scoring system automatically triggers shorting for names that are “heat-exhausted.” Index short sellers are also part of the process; machine discipline, no emotions. Go to my profile to see the live trades.

Brothers, September 30th closing report: total P&L is 0 USD, win rate is 0%, and there were 0 trades for the whole day.

Across three dimensions—public domain, private domain, and signals—everything is 0 profit, 0 wins. The US stock strategy and the altcoin strategy also didn’t trigger any trades, so yesterday there wasn’t the most aggressive strategy, and there wasn’t the most satisfying or painful single trade.

Some people see being in cash and get itchy, insisting on finding a trade to prove they’re trading. But Uncle Twelve thinks that if there are no signals, you don’t act—that’s also discipline. The market opens every day, but it doesn’t mean it delivers money every day. Position management isn’t always about being fully invested; waiting is also part of the strategy.

There’s no profit to chase, and there’s no stop-loss that needs to be executed. Today, keep watching the trend, and only act when certainty appears. Don’t be afraid—go ahead and do it. But don’t do it just to trade; don’t act randomly for the sake of acting. 👍

#每日战报 #十二叔 #make_money
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I feel that the small-cap market is truly different now. $ONE and $MOVR both show that there is still plenty of room for ecosystem rotation. The key is choosing the right timing and going with the trend.
The leader-trading method says: only go long when the potential is greater than 95% to start. As for the “slaying the dragon” approach, if the heat has been overstretched, you short. A clear set of rules—no guesswork. If you want to follow, go to my profile.

I see that as the $MON 11 month unlock approaches, selling pressure may push the price down to $0.06.
I’m shorting based on a multi-factor scoring engine driven by RSI thresholds, not gut feelings. How it runs in live trading is directly visible on the homepage.

I see $BERA /USDT leaning bullish at this level. Enter around 0.2087. Initial targets to watch are 0.2100, 0.2200, and 0.2300, then further look at 0.2417. Place the stop loss at 0.2000.
The market moves fast—keep watching as you go, and gradually take profits.
Chasing rallies or selling in panic, or trading based on news and following the crowd, is too easy to get treated as liquidity. I only trade when my quant system signals trigger—no FOMO. Want to sync with my live trades? Check my profile.

In my October buy list, I’ll start by looking at $SNDK , $LITE , and $STX , and I’ll also include two more storage-related stocks.
The demand for AI isn’t just for chips—it also includes memory, storage, and high-speed connectivity between machines.
My momentum strategy ranks stocks by combining multiple factors, and these five therefore made it onto the list.
The quant answer is simple: disciplined execution + backtest validation + risk that stays under control. I don’t rely on luck—the system checks for me. For the live trading, go to my profile and tap once.

RSI hasn’t hit overbought yet, but $NIL still surged 15.41% in a single day: I’m bullish, but I won’t chase the current price. I’m only waiting for a pullback to stabilize around $0.068819. If it breaks below $0.06, I’ll admit defeat.

The sentiment is a bit conflicted: the funding rate is +0.0300%, with longs paying; the long/short ratio is only 0.5608—there aren’t many shorts accounts, but they’re not insignificant either. Meanwhile, the big holders’ position ratio is 1.7883. Also, OI is 38M versus market cap 43M, which means heavy leverage participation. Once direction becomes clear, volatility won’t be small.

Technically, on the daily chart, EMA5=0.088328 is still above EMA25=0.068819, so the trend’s foundation hasn’t broken. But on the 4-hour chart, EMA5=0.086865, EMA25=0.089466, and EMA60=0.095937—short-term price hasn’t regained the strong zone. BTC is down 0.23% in 24h, and the broader market is down 1.26%. $NIL is relatively strong against the trend, but it also means you shouldn’t blindly chase.

📊 Direction: Go Long
💰 Entry reference: $0.068819, enter after a pullback stabilizes
🛑 Stop-loss: $0.06; if it breaks, exit
🎯 Take-profit 1: $0.095937, first look at the 4h EMA60
🎯 Take-profit 2: $0.15, resistance zone near the prior high

There are quite a few short accounts, and they may not be able to stop the whales’ direction. But at the current price, the odds aren’t good enough—I’ll wait for the pullback. I won’t pay the market a premium for chasing highs.

Will you buy as price pulls back around $0.068819, or will you go along with the shorts after a break below $0.06? Pick one.

$NIL #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve
NIL I’m still watching this one. If you want to follow along with the trades, come check me out on my Binance homepage and follow the copy trades too.
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I’ve noticed that the overall market hasn’t seen any particularly obvious movement over this period; in the past 6 hours, $BTC fell 0.18%, to $83,412.
My earlier bullish assessment on $SKHYNIX is still playing out as expected: the entry price was 1,290.75, and it’s now 1,326.75, up 2.79%.
Most retail traders lose money not because they can’t get the direction right, but because they can’t control their impulses. I have this backtested system with fully automated stop-loss, 7×24 monitoring with no missed orders. If you want to check it out, head to my profile to watch along with me.

To be honest, both sides are using Phala. I think buying $PHA right now is more suitable, right?
Long-term holding in the low range for BTC/ETH/SOL as your core portfolio, and using Dragon Slayer / Dragon Hunter to harvest the more volatile assets. The combination can enjoy Beta over the long term while keeping drawdowns under control. The entry point for my real portfolio is on my homepage.