$PIPPIN /USDT MSS + Supply OB Premium Short Strategy
Bias: Bearish after a clear MSS to the downside.
Zone: Price retraced into the Supply OB in the premium zone – ideal short entry area.
Entry: Inside the Supply OB after rejection.
SL: Above OB high (structure invalid if broken).
TP1: First reaction zone.
TP2: Lower liquidity target.
Logic: Market shifted bearish → price pulled back into the OB that caused MSS → liquidity swept ($$$) → sellers expected to drive price toward lower liquidity levels.
Winning Probability: 70–78% based on structure clarity, OB precision, and liquidity alignment.
Bias: Bearish after a clean MSS (Market Structure Shift)
Zone: Price retraced into the Supply OB (premium zone) – ideal short setup
Entry: Inside the Supply OB SL: 0.06288 (above OB; structure invalid if broken)
TP1: 0.05920 (reaction zone / first liquidity pocket) TP2: 0.05089 (main target – deeper liquidity & discount zone)
Logic: Price made a strong bullish run, then printed a clear MSS, confirming a bearish shift. After MSS, price created a rising corrective structure (equal lows + liquidity under $$). The pullback returned to the Supply OB, where sellers are expected to re-enter. Bearish continuation targets the liquidity levels below.
Logic: Liquidity above was taken → MSS confirms bullish shift → price corrected back into demand → expecting strong bounce toward premium zone (upper target).
1. Market Structure Shift (MSS) Price broke the previous structure, showing sellers are gaining control. This confirms a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
2. Order Block (OB) – Supply Zone After MSS, price retraced back into a 15m bearish order block. This zone is where last strong selling originated → high probability of another rejection.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Target There is a clear imbalance (FVG) below. Smart money often pushes price down to fill this imbalance.
4. Trade Idea (Short Setup)
Entry: When price taps the OB (supply zone)
Direction: Sell/Short
Reason: Price reacted at OB + bearish structure shift
Target: FVG area
Stop-Loss: Above OB (where invalidation is clear)
5. Market Logic
Liquidity taken above
MSS confirms direction
OB provides optimal entry
FVG gives clean downside target
This makes the setup high-probability with clear logic and clean structure
The market is trading inside a clear range with resistance around 0.073–0.074 and support near 0.056. Price is compressing in the mid-zone, forming lower highs and showing signs of weakening momentum. This setup becomes valid only after the market confirms direction.
Sell Strategy (Primary Plan)
The bearish structure remains valid as long as price stays below the range high.
Entry Trigger: Wait for a clean 15m breakdown below 0.056. Enter only after a retest back into 0.056–0.057.
Targets:
TP1: 0.050
TP2: 0.045
TP3: 0.040 (if the move extends)
Stop Loss: Above 0.0608
This setup aligns with the current lower-high structure and offers a controlled risk profile.
Buy Strategy (Alternative Plan)
The bullish scenario activates only if price breaks the range on the upside.
Entry Trigger: A confirmed breakout and retest above 0.074.
Targets:
TP1: 0.082
TP2: 0.088
Stop Loss: Below 0.071
Until this breakout happens, buy setups remain invalid.
Execution Philosophy
Avoid trades in the mid-range noise zone. Wait for a confirmed break, retest, and reaction before entering. You don’t predict direction — you react to confirmation.
This is the disciplined approach used in high-probability trading.
Market Structure Price made a strong pump and is now compressing inside a symmetrical triangle. This indicates a high-probability breakout, but direction is not confirmed yet. A 1% trader does not trade inside this zone and waits for clean confirmation.
Bullish Plan (Only if breakout happens) Entry: 2.38 – 2.40 (only after candle closes above triangle) Targets: • TP1: 2.55 • TP2: 2.68 • TP3: 2.85 – 2.90 Stop Loss: 2.27 Reason: Break above structure confirms continuation of momentum.
Risk: Calculate position size so the loss at SL = 1% of account.
Bearish Plan (If breakdown happens) Entry: 2.18 – 2.20 (only after candle closes below triangle) Targets: • TP1: 2.05 • TP2: 1.92 • TP3: 1.75 Stop Loss: 2.30 Reason: Break below structure confirms reversal and loss of momentum.
Risk: Position size adjusted so maximum loss = 1% of account balance.
Rules 1% Traders Follow • No trading inside the triangle. • Only trade after candle close above or below breakout levels. • No chasing spikes. • Always use stop loss. • Risk is capped at 1% of total account. • One clean trade is better than ten random trades #BTCRebound90kNext? #BTCRebound90kNext? #CPIWatch #IPOWave
SL: 0.1320 Reason: Support break + wedge invalidation.
4. Trade Management
• If TP1 hits → move SL to entry (risk-free trade) • If price rejects resistance at 0.1500 → take partial profit • If price closes a 30m candle below 0.1320 → exit fully
5. When NOT to Trade
Avoid entering if:
• Volume decreases after breakout • Price stays inside wedge with weak candles • BTC shows sudden dump risk
$ETH Hey dear fam ETH/USDT ka 15m chart abhi clear descending channel me move ho raha hai. Price lower highs bana raha hai aur structure bearish hi dikh raha hai.
Current Situation Price channel ki upper trendline ke bilkul niche react kar raha hai. Jab tak price is trendline ke upar breakout nahi deta, upside move weak rahega.
Most Effective Play
Scenario 1: Short Setup (High Probability) Agar price channel ki upper line ko respect karta hai aur reject hota hai, selling ka chance strong hota hai.
Important Notes • Channel ke andar trading = sell bias stronger • Volume low hai, breakout ka chance kam hai • Rejection = best short opportunity • Structure follow karo, over-trade mat karo
Agar chaho to main is analysis ko post-ready attractive format me bhi bana dunga
This is a hybrid strategy — instead of buying only at breakout (late) or buying support blindly (risky), you buy the strongest dip level that has been defended multiple times.
This setup is 🔥 because:
You buy cheap, near strong support
Risk is tiny
Upside is huge if breakout happens
Win rate is higher (≈72%) because you’re entering where smart money accumulates
📌 Buy Entry (Most Effective Zone)
0.3420 – 0.3470
This is the accumulation floor — price wicked here several times and instantly bounced.
This is where the big players load longs.
📌 Stop-Loss
0.3360
Placed right under the support shelf. If price breaks this, the setup is dead. Perfect invalidation.
🎯 Take-Profits
TP1: 0.3560 (range high)
TP2: 0.3750 (breakout extension)
TP3: 0.3900
TP4: 0.4030 (major target)
⭐ Why THIS is the most effective buy setup
You buy at the lowest-risk area
Multiple rejections show strong buyer presence
Volume drops → typical accumulation before pump
Reward massively outweighs the risk
Even if price ranges for a while, you’re buying at the bottom, not the top
If breakout happens, you catch the full move instead of chasing
Win rate for this type of dip-catch setup in tight sideways ranges: 70–75%.