花解周期

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Profit from put encryption

Profit from call metal

Double peaks piercing the ear

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Friends on Discord ask me what books to read.

I recommended:

“Options, Futures & Other Derivatives”

“The Wealth of Nations” (Adam Smith)

“Game Theory”

“Currency Wars”

“The Times”

Why did I recommend these books?

Although many people in the crypto world trade perpetual contracts, I suspect most of them don’t really know about options, futures, derivatives, and their usual purposes—nor the standard combinations/strategies. This book is a foundational textbook for modern derivatives, and it’s used as a teaching text in many universities. It’s basically an “intro to the basics” level read.

The core of “The Wealth of Nations” is that when people chase profit, the market naturally generates a set of market rules—whether it’s “inferior coin driving out good” or “common prosperity.”

The core of game theory is that markets are jointly shaped by the participants. Constraints and interactions lead to outcomes that are not truly win-win, but instead “the big fish eat the small fish.”

“Currency Wars” is about macroeconomics: how hundreds of years of monetary hegemony shapes and dominates markets.

From the most original land wars of the Spring and Autumn period,

to the oil wars after World War II,
to the economic wars of the future—

the essence is still the struggle for monetary hegemony.

Wars, macro policy, rate cuts/raises, shrinking/expanding balance sheets—these in themselves are tools to maintain one’s own monetary hegemony.

Once you understand these, you can more or less get why when market conditions accelerate, it’s always easy for news catalysts to appear.

For example, last year’s Iran–Iraq war, or interest rate hike/cut cycles.

At its core, it’s about maintaining the monetary hegemony of hegemonic countries.

If you’re interested, take a look. It doesn’t really help much for short-term trading.

Long-term, it can help you build and refine your macro trading system.

Xiao Lin’s “The Times” is—well—I’m a fan of Xiao Lin. I’m supporting her. She’s a really interesting soul.

dyor~

(tips: These books have nothing to do with me. I didn’t receive any endorsement fees either. I just read them myself and thought they were pretty good, so I’m recommending them. If money is tight, you can consider buying on PDD or Xianyu (idle fish). If you have enough funds, buy the正版/official editions.)

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

The 3rd market-turn: it dropped as expected—where does BTC go from here?

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Opened short-term crypto puts
Mid-term metals calls

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Gold and Silver:

Silver: The daily line structure is full, and the internal segments are also full.

A perfect setup: double middle pivots + 3rd sell making a new low divergence.

Pay special attention to the 2-buy after the V-shaped drop through the 3rd sell and the subsequent pullback.

Gold, however, is a bit different:
Double middle pivots + 3rd sell without making a new low, turning into a 2-buy.

The relative trading is a little more complex, but it’s also about waiting for a type resembling the V-through-3rd-sell “secondary buy” (類二買).

Once there is a 30min 2-buy or a type resembling a secondary buy,
what you’re really playing is the 30min chart’s structure type, while the daily chart trend is upward.

dyor~

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

near：

After a driven center divergence
the reverse pen directly breaks below the center

Sell on the 2nd rebound

At least 3 to 3 strokes up and down, even 5

Forming a daily chart pullback

After the daily pullback bottoms, you can still continue buying~

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Oh, accept the loss with condolences

Shanghai–Kunming Expressway, Huaihua section

A major accident

The power of this Jin Nixing + Fire Ming is starting to become more apparent

We recommend everyone to avoid going to crowded places as much as possible during this holiday

Safety first

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Astrological System:

October 3 is a very special day

Venus enters retrograde in Scorpio, focusing on the financial markets—especially turning points in commodities markets

Mercury square Pluto—some messy, complicated news is disturbing the markets

Fire splits into three parts: the turning point for crude oil

Fire trine Pluto (dividing the heavens): a turning point for gold

Sun-Moon square, Moon-Saturn square—market sentiment is pessimistic (the market turning point may coincide with the holiday, so it can be brought forward or pushed back by 1–2 working days)

From a societal perspective, in this period there is a very high probability of a mass death or a bloody incident

My advice: around the National Day holiday, try to avoid crowds, stay home, rest well, and study well—happy, healthy days every day

dyor~

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

As mentioned earlier, the gold price showed up around 4222 with a third sell

Last night, I also mentioned this on Discord

After the third sell, there are two possible scenarios

The first is the black-line move: after the third sell, a bearish divergence appears with a new low

The second is the yellow-line move: after the third sell, it doesn’t make a new low and instead turns into a second buy

At the moment, it looks like the market has chosen the yellow-line path

So how do we get involved?

The pullback after the third sell—i.e., the “near-type second buy”—is an excellent entry opportunity

Did you understand?

What are you talking about?

Saying it’s exactly what we expected

Usually, the 9th segment upgrade means something big is coming

Wait for a major market move

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Taking a walk outside feels ridiculously great

A friend told me: I heard you guys had an earthquake?

I said: Huh? I didn’t feel a thing

Did everyone in Yunnan feel the tremor?

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Gold:
Yesterday evening, during a live stream, they said there is a 30-minute rebound expectation here, so we sell 3 for 30 minutes.

Rebound expectation: 4190-4222

Focus on whether this level can form a top fractal.

At the next level down, whether there is a sell 2.

After sell 3, is it going down to make a new low divergence, or a buy 2 without making a new low?

It’s been 24 hours.

The 30-minute sell 3 for the rebound has already appeared.

If you’re betting on the rebound short-term, you can撤咯~

They say: like, favorite, comment, and share—easy money will roll in~

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Horse in front or horse in back?
Has the 2026 crude oil schedule been predicted correctly in full based on what was forecast in 2025?

On May 4, 2025, in a YouTube public post, it was written:

Crude oil
Price rises in May √
Falls in June–July √ 1
Bottoms in February; price “almost breaks through 55,” actual 54.8 √
Surges around Feb. 20 √
Peak point 110–130, actual 119 √

For details, please check the YouTube video from a year ago

So for the next episode, whose annual forecast will we do?

Which market and which underlying asset are you all most eager to see an annual forecast for?

Share your thoughts in the comments~

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Before the horse or after the horse?

Did oil’s 2026 rhythm match the full predictions for 2025?

May 4, 2025

youtube public post said:

Oil

Price rises in May √
Declines in June–July √

Bottoming in December; price seemingly breaks out above 55, but the actual was 54.8 √

A surge around February 20 √

Highest point 110–130; actual 119 √

For details, see the YouTube video from a year ago

So for the next issue, whose annual forecast will we do?

In the comments, choose the variety everyone cares about most, and we’ll also make predictions like this—time + price.

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

BTC：

October 3rd is a relatively major turning-point day

Based on the structure

Here, after doing a 30-min nine-segment upgrade central pivot

we break down

and the timing also happens to be around the 3rd

dyor~

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Yesterday I reminded my friends that the crude oil turned bad a bit
I drew a picture
I can only say it's exactly the same

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Community friends who went long on crude oil domestic and overseas futures and got trapped at a high level around 98-100

They did two rounds of T
Overseas futures made money and they exited

Domestic futures told him the structure has gone bad—take a small loss and get out

Overall: a small loss

Much better than getting wiped out at the beginning

May the world be free of being stuck

Source: @Cycle_King1913 on X

Fools everywhere
More than half the square