Menjadi Trader

Fear is not a weakness… as long as the fear is still healthy.
Fear of violating one's own system, fear of careless entries, fear of entering due to emotions, and fear of revenge on the market.
Directed fear actually becomes the brake that saves traders from foolish decisions.
Many think that courage leads to success, but it is actually the right kind of fear that allows a trader to survive the longest in the market.

Harvard University's investment portfolio surprised the public after official SEC data showed that the most prestigious university in the US now holds Bitcoin worth US$443 million, far exceeding its gold allocation of only US$235 million.

This move triggered a response from Bitwise CIO, Matt Hougan, who urged the market to truly digest Harvard's decision. According to him, Harvard's decision to allocate a 2:1 larger portfolio to Bitcoin compared to gold is a significant signal of a change in strategy for global institutions.

Harvard is known to invest through BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) for crypto exposure, while its gold position is managed through State Street Global Advisors' SPDR ETF.

What is even more interesting, Bitcoin has now become the largest asset in Harvard's portfolio, even surpassing giant stocks such as:

Microsoft: US$322 million

Amazon: US$235 million

Alphabet (Google): US$157 million

Harvard's move further emphasizes the trend of large institutions that are starting to shift their focus from gold to Bitcoin as a modern store of value.

Stay tuned for more market updates and analyses.
#becomingatrader #cryptonews #bitcoin #harvard #etfbitcoin #institutionalinvestor

This week has a high potential to trigger volatility, especially in AUD, USD, CAD, GBP, and cryptocurrencies that are highly correlated with global sentiment. The main focus is on the RBA and FOMC, two events that could significantly move the market.

The post by US President Donald Trump has once again sparked a stir. Through his official account on Truth Social, Trump wrote the word “$BIG” while discussing the issue of college sports—and immediately made the market speculate.

In the post, Trump highlighted internal issues in college sports, but the use of the symbol “$BIG” led market players to associate it with the possibility of launching a new token. Usually, the code $ is used as a code for tradable assets.

So far, there has been no specific clarification regarding Trump's intent. However, the mention of that ticker is enough to trigger discussions among stock and crypto investors, who continue to monitor whether this move is just a coincidence or an early signal of a new digital project.

Stay tuned for the latest news and analysis.
#becomingatrader #cryptonews #cryptoindonesia #trumpnews #big

BTC Insights

Summary
Bitcoin continues to show volatility amid significant institutional and macro developments. There is strong momentum from the adoption side, but technical pressures and market sentiment remain obstacles.

1. Institutional Surge
Inflow from institutions continues to strengthen, supported by broader integration in the global financial sector.

2. Market Decline
Technical indicators point bearish amid high liquidations and increasing investor concerns.

3. Regulatory Advancements
New pilot programs in the US and international banking adoption strengthen the legitimacy of digital assets.

Positive

1. Institutional inflows increase
Digital asset funds recorded inflows of 716 million dollars in the last two weeks, with Bitcoin receiving 352 million dollars. This indicates that institutional confidence remains strong.

2. Widening adoption
BPCE Bank in France will open Bitcoin trading access for two million retail users. On the other hand, Ruya Bank in the UAE has launched Sharia-compliant trading services, adding to the global adoption reach.

3. Regulatory push
The US CFTC has launched a pilot program allowing Bitcoin to be used as collateral in the derivatives market, accelerating acceptance at the regulatory level.

Risks

1. Technical reversal towards bearish
MACD falls below the signal line and the price is below the middle Bollinger Band line, indicating a weakening momentum change.

2. Extreme market fear
The Fear & Greed Index is at level 20, indicating extreme fear among investors and high selling pressure.

3. Wave of liquidations
Liquidations of over 316 million dollars in the last 24 hours, mostly from long positions, indicate market deleveraging and increased short-term volatility.

Community Sentiment

Market discussions show a mixed outlook. Some see a bearish structure and strong resistance in the 91,500–92,000 area, while others relate the current conditions to historical patterns that are often followed by price appreciation.

$XRP OUTLOOK

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$OL OUTLOOK

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I limit my total loss to only $1 per setup.
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BTC Insights

Summary
Bitcoin recorded a significant price surge after breaking the 91,000 level, driven by a combination of technical momentum, massive accumulation, and increasing institutional interest. However, volatility and macro factors remain major risks.

1. Price Surge
BTC successfully broke through 91,000 and showed solid strengthening momentum.

2. Market Dynamics
Increased demand from institutions and accumulation by large wallets have tightened supply.

3. Volatility and Macro
Rapid price movements coupled with global macro risks keep the market conditions unstable.

Positive

1. Strengthening Technical Momentum
MACD has crossed above the signal line with a continuously increasing positive histogram, indicating potential continuation of the upward trend.

2. Rising Institutional Demand
Large French banks have started offering crypto trading, ETF inflows remain stable, and institutional support continues to rise.

3. Supply Pressure
Large wallets have accumulated around 88,000 BTC since November, plus over 25,000 BTC has exited exchanges, indicating tightening supply.

Risks

1. Macroeconomic Concerns
Yen carry trade unwinding could potentially trigger significant sell-offs in risky assets.

2. Extreme Volatility
Futures liquidation of 144 million in one hour confirms high risk for high-leverage positions.

3. Overbought Conditions
RSI 6 at 78.23 and RSI 12 at 69.88 indicate the market may be overheated and prone to short-term corrections.

Community Sentiment

The majority of the community remains optimistic after BTC rose above 90,000, although some remain cautious about volatility and potential retracement.

BTC Outlook

Summary
Bitcoin has weakened significantly, influenced by a combination of institutional fund outflows, bearish technical pressure, and declining retail buying interest. Here are the main points:

1. Sharp Price Drop, The BTC decline is confirmed by bearish technical signals and dominant selling volume.

2. Varied Institutional Actions, ETFs have seen outflows, but on the other hand, whales appear to be actively accumulating.

3. Weakened Market Sentiment, Realized losses have increased and retail buying intentions have decreased, adding pressure to the market.

Positive Side

1. Whales Start to Re-enter
Whales and sharks accumulated 47,584 BTC throughout December, ending the previous distribution phase, a pattern that has historically often appeared before a new upward trend.

2. Confidence from Fidelity
Fidelity CEO Abigail Johnson personally holds Bitcoin and describes it as an important long-term savings instrument in Fidelity's future roadmap.

3. Support from Sovereign Wealth Funds
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink confirmed that several sovereign wealth funds are buying BTC during the correction and intend to hold it for the long term.

Main Risks

1. Strengthening Bearish Technicals
BTC fell below $90,000 with MACD and EMA affirming strong bearish momentum, accompanied by significant selling volume.

2. High ETF Outflows
BlackRock's IBIT ETF recorded outflows of $2.7 billion in the last five weeks, including $113 million on December 4, a clear sign of decreasing institutional interest in the short term.

3. Market Pressure & Declining Buying Intentions
Realized losses are at their highest since the post-FTX era, indicating significant pressure on short-term holders, while buying interest from US investors has decreased.

Community Sentiment

Current market sentiment is quite mixed: some anticipate a deeper decline, while others see this correction as an accumulation opportunity for the long term.

Hello profit guys, enough to buy chicken noodles

The financial and crypto markets are entering the most dynamic December in the last three years. A number of major catalysts are emerging almost simultaneously and have the potential to drastically change the direction of the market.

The main factors currently in the spotlight:

The halt of the quantitative tightening (QT) program and the possibility of a 90 percent interest rate cut.

President-elect Trump is said to announce a new Federal Reserve Chair.

The Fed injected $13.5 billion to stabilize the banking sector.

Vanguard, with a total of $11 trillion in assets under management, has finally opened access to Bitcoin ETFs and crypto assets.

The Bank of Japan released a $185 billion stimulus that sparked debate: a signal of panic or a great opportunity?

This December will be decisive for the market's direction.
Will we witness a year-end rally or just selling pressure ahead of the holidays?

Clearly, only prepared investors will profit. Those who arrive late will be left behind.

Stay tuned for updates and market analysis to stay ahead.
#becomingatrader #cryptoindonesia #marketupdate #santarally

The Fusaka upgrade brings significant changes for Ethereum. Transactions are now much faster, costs are lower, and all of this happens without a major hard fork. This upgrade makes the network more efficient, scalable, and ready to face the increasingly crowded crypto ecosystem.

With the fundamental performance of Ethereum improving, a big question arises:
Does this make Ethereum superior to Layer-2, or does it actually strengthen the position of L2 as a complement that will become increasingly important?

Some parties believe this upgrade provides a strong foundation for the L2 ecosystem, while others see it as Ethereum's step to reclaim the stage from external scaling solutions.

What do you think?

Stay updated on blockchain technology and market analysis.
#becomingatrader #cryptoindonesia #ethereumupdate #ethnews #layer2 #cryptomarket

$EIGEN OUTLOOK

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I limit my total loss to only $1 per setup.
Tutorial to limit the loss:
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$FARTCOIN OUTLOOK

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Total loss I limit to only $1 per setup.
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Yudo Sadewa, son of Finance Minister Purbaya, expressed an optimistic view that there will be no bear market and Bitcoin could reach 160,000 dollars by 2026. This view sparked debate as many analysts see the market cycle still in effect.
Is this target realistic or too optimistic? It all comes down to how we read the cycle, liquidity, and market adoption.

Follow Become a Trader for other insights that are more objective.

#becomeatrader #Bitcoin #BTC

Kim YoungHoon, the man with the highest IQ in the world, stated that the current Bitcoin rebound is just the beginning phase. Seeing the market starting to recover, he revealed that he buys Bitcoin every day without stopping.

"I am buying Bitcoin every day," Kim wrote on platform X on Wednesday (03/12).

He also emphasized that this week has the potential to be the start of a massive bull market. That confidence emerged after Binance founder, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), stated that there will still be more record high prices for Bitcoin in the future.

According to Kim, this momentum is not too late to observe; it is just beginning to form.

Follow Become a Trader for daily market updates and crypto analysis.
#becomeatrader #cryptonews #bitcoin #marketupdate

BTC Insights

Summary
Bitcoin has recorded a significant rise in the last 24 hours, driven by strong institutional interest and strengthening technical indicators. However, some signals indicate the need for caution regarding potential short-term corrections.

1. Institutional Push
Solid ETF inflows and the increasing connection of Bitcoin to the traditional financial ecosystem are driving the price increase.

2. Strong Technical Signals
Bullish crossovers on the EMA and consistently rising MACD momentum mark a strengthening uptrend.

3. Potential Correction
RSI entering overbought territory and pressure experienced by miners could trigger price adjustments in the near future.

Positive Aspects

1. Consecutive ETF Inflows
Spot Bitcoin ETF in the US has recorded net inflows for five consecutive days, led by BlackRock's IBIT, which absorbed $119.66 million, indicating strong institutional confidence.

2. Solid Bullish Trend
Short-term EMA is above medium and long-term EMA, while the MACD histogram continues to strengthen, a combination indicating a stable uptrend.

3. Trading Volume Expansion
Vanguard's decision to lift trading restrictions on the Bitcoin ETF triggered a surge in volume on BlackRock's IBIT to $1 billion in just 30 minutes, lifting BTC price by about 6%.

Key Risks

1. Overbought RSI
RSI 6 (80.53) and RSI 12 (76.82) indicate overbought conditions, signaling potential pullback after the recent price spike.

2. Pressure on Miners
Miners' profitability is at a critical point, with revenue per hashrate ($35/PH/s) recorded below median operational costs, which could affect the stability of the mining ecosystem.

3. Large Outflows
Despite increased ETF inflows, previous large outflow periods, including withdrawals of up to $140 million, indicate profit-taking activity from some market participants.

Community Sentiment

Market sentiment tends to be very bullish. Many community participants anticipate a potential price breach of $100,000 as institutional inflows and ETF activity strengthen.

Crypto trading is back strong. In one day, around US$180 billion in market capitalization has successfully increased, indicating a large influx of capital and a recovery of buying interest after previous volatility pressures.

This massive increase usually reflects a renewed positive sentiment, especially from major assets like Bitcoin and large-cap altcoins. If this momentum continues, the market could enter a more stable recovery phase.

Do you think this is the beginning of a major reversal or just a relief rally?

Follow Become a Trader for daily crypto updates and analysis.
#becomeatrader #cryptonews #marketupdate #bitcoin #altcoins

BTC Outlook

Summary
Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility again, dropping more than 3% in the last 24 hours. This decline was triggered by macro factors and market structure adjustments.

1. Moving Macro Factors
The end of the QT program by The Fed and the potential effects of unwinding the Yen Carry Trade are the main triggers for BTC price movements.

2. High Leverage Explosion
The high number of leveraged positions triggered a series of liquidations, while outflows from institutional ETFs added selling pressure.

3. Rebound Signals
BTC has entered an oversold condition, and the MACD has started to turn positive, signaling potential short-term recovery.

Positive Side

1. Fed Policy Direction
The Federal Reserve officially ends quantitative tightening on December 1, 2025, which could help increase liquidity for risk assets like Bitcoin.

2. Fundamentals Remain Strong
Bitcoin's treasury model is described as “hurt but not broken,” indicating that BTC's fundamentals are still solid and institutional support continues to grow as this asset matures.

3. Technical Rebound Opportunities
The RSI on several timeframes (6, 12, 24) has dropped to very oversold levels between 5.5–31.8, while the MACD histogram has started to strengthen, opening opportunities for a short rally from the current price position.

Main Risks

1. Global Macro Pressure
The potential unwind of the Japanese Yen Carry Trade due to projected interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan tightens global liquidity and triggers massive sell-offs in risk assets.

2. Vulnerability of the Leverage Market
Over $640 million in long leveraged positions were liquidated following a sharp decline, indicating that the market is very sensitive to sudden corrections.

3. Institutional Outflows
The Bitcoin spot ETF in the US recorded a net outflow of $3.48 billion during November, the largest decline since February, indicating weakening institutional buying demand and continued selling pressure.

Community Sentiment

The majority of the community shows a bearish outlook, linking the decline and wave of liquidations to the potential unwinding of the Japanese Yen Carry Trade.

BTC Outlook

Summary
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp correction that triggered a spike in volatility and increased market uncertainty. Here are the main points influencing price movements:

1. Downward Pressure
Prices are moving down quickly, accompanied by a surge in selling volume and increased volatility indicating dominance of bearish pressure.

2. Strengthening Bearish Signals
Momentum indicators show continued weakening, while large outflows from the market reinforce the downward trend.

3. Whale Activity
A large address enters with a significant buy limit order, signaling potential price defense areas.

Positive Side

1. Whale Long 196 BTC
A new wallet placed a significant buy order—196 BTC worth about $16.97 million—in the $86,500–$86,750 zone, which could serve as strong support.

2. Oversold Conditions
RSI6 dropped to 9.44 and prices touched the lower Bollinger band, indicating extreme oversold conditions that could trigger a short-term price bounce.

3. Interest from Major Figures
Michael Saylor signals readiness to increase BTC accumulation, while Elon Musk reiterates Bitcoin's value as an energy-based asset, two sentiments supporting long-term confidence.

Key Risks

1. Price & Volume Pressure
A large dump with volume >$1.3 billion USDT caused prices to fall well below several key EMAs, clarifying seller dominance.

2. Broken Momentum
MACD shows deep bearish divergence with a negatively extending histogram, indicating strong and sustained bearish momentum.

3. Large Outflows
Outflows of over $134 million USDT were recorded, with large entities contributing about 60.9% of that selling activity.

Community Sentiment

The sentiment index stands at 13, reflecting an atmosphere of extreme fear following the recent price decline.