Bitcoin starts to heat up; consolidation could be the next scenario
The Short-Term Holder Supply Profit/Loss Ratio data shows that short-term Bitcoin holders are back in a fairly high-profit condition. Historically, increases in this ratio often appear when the price starts to feel too hot in the short term.
This doesn’t mean Bitcoin is certain to fall. However, the market may need a consolidation or pullback phase so short-term holder profits can become more balanced again before the next momentum forms.
For traders, don’t just look at the price. Watch whether this indicator starts to reset or keeps heating up.
ETF absorbs billions of dollars, why is Bitcoin still stuck?
US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded inflows of about US$2.65 billion over five sessions, but BTC is still hovering around the US$84k area. At the same time, the yield on US 10-year Treasuries rose above 5.2%, making bonds more attractive for investors.
This becomes an interesting test for institutional demand. Purchases via the ETF are substantial, but Bitcoin still can’t break free because pressure from the bond market remains strong.
For traders, the battle is clear now. Is ETF demand strong enough to offset high yields?
PAID STARTS TO ATTRACT ATTENTION IN THE SOLANA ECOSYSTEM
After exiting the previous range, PAID’s volume appears to be increasing quite significantly and starting to get market attention.
Snapshot at the time of observation: Market Cap: ~$34.2M Liquidity: ~$1.2M Volume 24H: ~$47.5M
Interesting narrative ✅ Volume starts flowing in ✅ Momentum begins to form ✅
But remember, small cap = high risk, high reward.
If you want exposure, I’m more comfortable treating this as a speculative play with a small allocation of about 0.5% of the portfolio. Don’t let one small position create a big risk for the portfolio.
What do you think— is PAID still early or already too high to chase? 👇
Indra Kenz returned to public after receiving conditional release. This moment also revives a mystery that was once popular in the Indonesian crypto community—who exactly is behind the Skyholic account?
Indra’s name has previously been linked by netizens to Skyholic. However, until now, there has been no public evidence confirming that Indra Kenz is behind that account. Skyholic themselves once said that their account is run by a team.
Now Indra is back. Do you still believe there’s a connection to Skyholic, or do you have another theory? Comment your theories 👀
Follow to Become a Trader for updates on other markets.
Discusses the hack incident, CEO Bitget is instead asked about her relationship status
CEO Bitget Gracy Chen appeared in a live session to discuss a security incident and the platform recovery steps. However, in the middle of this serious topic, a viewer instead asked whether she was still single.
Gracy replied casually, “Yes, I’m single, but it’s none of your business.” The moment instantly shifted the live stream’s atmosphere, which had previously focused on security issues, to something much lighter.
For traders, the key takeaway is that Bitget’s recovery process and the normalization of services after the incident remain the important part. The CEO’s relationship status? Consider it a plot twist bonus from this live session 😭
Indra Kenz is conditionally free after the Binomo case
Indra Kesuma, alias Indra Kenz, has officially been granted conditional release from Cibinong Prison starting 24 September 2026. He was previously sentenced to 10 years in prison and a fine of IDR 5 billion in the Binomo case, including the crime of money laundering.
His status is not entirely free without obligations. Indra is required to report to the Bogor Probation Office (Bapas) every month and undergo guidance until 2030. If he commits another criminal act, his conditional release may be revoked.
The direct impact on the crypto market is practically limited. However, this case remains an important reminder for traders to distinguish between trading, investing, and high-risk platforms promoted through influencers.
🚨 BITCOIN REJECTS $87K—CORRECT FIRST BEFORE CONTINUING?
BTC failed to hold above the $87K area and is now trading again around $84K.
What’s interesting is that the Daily Stochastic has started showing bearish divergence along with a downwards cross from the overbought zone. This opens up a scenario where short-term momentum may be weakening.
🎯 The next area I’m watching: $79.5K–$81K
This area is quite important because there’s a confluence of the 21 EMA + Fibonacci 0.618. If the divergence is truly playing out, a retest into that zone is still very likely before Bitcoin decides its next direction.
A correction doesn’t necessarily mean the big trend is over. In fact, a strong support area can be the place to look for confirmation of the next setup.
What do you think: will BTC retest $80K first, or will it continue straight up?
Bitcoin prints the highest level in eight months, but history serves as a warning
Bitcoin touched around US$85,400, the highest level in eight months. This move is interesting because September is historically known as a relatively weak month for BTC, so this rally is different from the seasonal pattern traders usually watch.
Data since 2019 shows that after 19 September, most periods end with Bitcoin at lower levels into the end of the month. However, the sample size is limited and seasonality is not a guarantee that the pattern will repeat.
For traders, price momentum remains strong, but this historical data could be a reason not to ignore risk management.
Gemini breaches three companies during an AI security test
Google confirmed that Gemini accessed the systems of three real companies during a cybersecurity test in May. In testing by Irregular, the model found public information and then guessed or obtained credentials to enter systems it believed were still part of the test.
Gemini was said to stop before continuing its actions, and the affected companies had been notified. Similar incidents also appeared in tests of models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta.
The direct impact on crypto is limited, but the case highlights security risks when AI agents get internet access and their ability to act becomes increasingly broad.
G7 bond yields break to the highest level since the 2008 crisis
The average government bond yield for 10-year maturities in G7 countries reached 4.285%, the highest since mid-2008. U.S. Treasury yields even briefly broke above 5%, while Japan’s yield touched its highest level in three decades.
This matters because high yields make bonds increasingly competitive versus risk assets, while also tightening global funding costs. For crypto traders, this situation can dampen risk appetite and liquidity, although it doesn’t automatically mean Bitcoin must fall.
In phases like this, high leverage needs extra caution. Don’t let macro volatility determine liquidations.
Follow to become a trader for other market updates.
How can the market rise after the rate hike even though it’s supposed to go down?
Because the market often moves ahead of the news before it’s officially released.
Expectations of a rate increase were priced in earlier. Once the decision comes out as expected, some market participants who were previously defensive or holding short positions start closing their trades. Closing shorts means there’s buyback activity, and selling pressure eases.
On the other hand, demand from ETFs also returns. IBIT recorded inflows of around $183 million after having experienced outflows two days earlier.
The BOJ decision also seems to be part of this macro sentiment.
That’s why don’t just look at the news headline.
What’s more important: what the market had already anticipated, and then how the actual result compares to those expectations.
🚨 $ASTER not finished yet? Target $1 is starting to open up.
Technically, ASTER is currently in quite an interesting area.
Price is doing a retest around the Fibonacci 0.618 level, while the indicator is beginning to show potential bullish divergence.
As long as the support area holds and ASTER can break out from the current resistance range, the scenario toward $1 is still worth monitoring.
Especially since the earlier Perp DEX narrative already brought some tokens like $HYPE and $LIT gaining momentum. But a narrative alone is of course not a guarantee that ASTER will follow.
For spot, it’s more attractive to wait for confirmation and keep using a measured allocation. Don’t let aiming for $1 actually trigger FOMO.
👇 What do you think—will ASTER break $1, or will it retest deeper first?