The 77650 level has been tested twice, and what happened?
Not a single time did it hold. Seasoned traders know that if support keeps getting tapped and then softens, it’s basically not support anymore.
Right now, the structure is pretty clear: the bulls around 77800 are as flimsy as paper, and the market is leaning bearish—no secrets there.
Don't expect a V-recovery here; my take is that tonight or next Monday, we're likely to see a swift drop.
The only real interesting level below is around 76600.
The script will most likely play out like this: first, we drop to 76600, triggering panic selling, and only then will we get a decent short-term rebound.
If you're looking to catch that bounce, keep an eye on that zone, but don't rush; wait for a stabilization signal before jumping in.
A few tips:
If you have high position shorts, you can hold on a bit longer—no need to rush to close them all.
For those looking to buy the dip, at least wait for a volume-driven lower shadow or a small reversal structure around 76600 before making a move;
Manage your position size well, don't go all in at this level, or you might get caught in a double whammy.
In short, if support fails → look for a downward probe → bounce at 76600, that's likely the rhythm.
Keep your positions light this weekend, don’t fight the market, and wait for liquidity to return on Monday.
This short on Ethereum has been a perfect win; getting ready for the next setup 🤑🤑🤑 #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
This altcoin's price action had me thinking it was going to keep tanking!!!
But somehow, Bitcoin just held it up!!!
Right now, it's bouncing around that 2180 support-resistance flip zone, and the bulls and bears are totally at a stalemate—no one's daring to make a move.
But if you take a closer look at the MACD—this altcoin is definitely lagging behind Bitcoin by more than a notch; the daily chart has already broken down, and we're just one thin layer of glass away from diving in.
Luckily, this morning's dip didn't break the previous low of 2160, which is an interesting detail, giving the short-term bulls a reason to step in.
For those looking to catch a bounce, make sure to set your stop-loss below the previous low; don’t just hold on stubbornly.
Keep a close eye on the short timeframes: the 30-minute trend needs to solidly break and hold above 2200 to stabilize; if it can, this current downtrend might finally take a breather.
The downtrend line has already been broken, and we’ve seen consecutive green candles on the 30-minute chart, with the 15-minute also showing some upward movement.
You can visibly see the bulls making their entrance in small batches.
There are a bunch of resistance levels ahead: 2205, 2234, 2256… each one’s going to be a struggle to get past.
For support, keep an eye on the 2160-2150 area, and below that, we’re looking at around 2100.
Right now, we’re at a point showing "weak but rebounding signals"; if you're going long, wait for that breakout confirmation before jumping in—don’t chase at resistance levels.
And for those thinking of going short, don’t rush to press at support levels; you might get caught in a rebound sweep.
Pay attention to volume; low-volume spikes can be tricky. Keep your position light, as weekend trading can easily lead to false signals.
I also closed out my Ethereum short, 😎😎 Next trade is lined up!! #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
The daily EMA just smashed through the zero line; one moment we're shouting bullish and the next we have to rebuild the floor.
Don't be fooled by that weekend's 2160 Bollinger middle band; that's just a temporary halt in the downtrend, and the big players excel at shaking out the weak hands at these levels.
Let’s break down the real logic now: if it can hold the bounce and doesn’t break on the retest, then we can think about a low long.
But if the bounce is weak and the highs are under pressure, that’s a death trap; just close your eyes and short it.
Keep a close eye on those key support levels at 2136, 2112, and 2088; if one breaks, move to the next—don't try to catch the bottom.
For my brothers looking to go long on the trend: keep your stop-loss strictly below 2000, don’t place it at those round numbers like 2150, 2100—that's just asking to get wrecked.
There's heavy resistance above this weekend: 2200-2230-2250; in this bearish market, any of these could snap you back hard.
Want to officially flip bullish? Wait until it can hold above 2250; that’s the last defense for shorts, and if it can’t hold, it’s just a trap for the bulls.
This ETH short hit at the right moment and we made a killing, feeling good 😎😎 Next trade is set!!! #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
This chart, the bears are really feasting this time!!!
Since the 79200 level has been broken decisively, think we can reclaim it?
Not likely. Don’t fantasize about a V-shaped recovery, go with the flow.
Today's strategy remains unchanged: short at the highs.
For the aggressive traders, a bounce near 79200 allows for a light short entry.
The more conservative players should set orders around the 80k mark, if it hits, get in, and manage your stop-loss.
Also, keep a close eye on the 78000 level—right now, it’s just a temporary breakdown, don’t rush in.
To confirm a valid breakdown, we need two hourly candlesticks closing below 78000; otherwise, it's likely a false breakdown, leading to whipsaws.
If we see two consecutive closes below, the bullish structure on the hourly chart is toast, and we could be in for a deeper correction.
A small double bottom? Don’t get fooled.
If it's legit, price must reclaim above 78300; otherwise, it's a false double bottom, and after some consolidation, we’ll continue to push down.
The channel strategy is clear: as long as we’re within the channel, it’s just a continuation after a drop, waiting for direction.
Once we see a decisive break below the channel, target around 76130, where we might see the first decent support.
When can we catch the bottom?
At least wait for price to reclaim above 78000 to consider it.
Want a reversal? First, we need to clear the 79500 hurdle; otherwise, it’s just a bear trap. In a tight range, keep your hands off the buy button, don’t get caught in stop-losses.
Remember: after a breakout, every bounce is just adding fuel for the bears. Don’t get too hyped, manage your stop-losses.
This round of ETH shorts has been a real treat, feeling great 😎😎 Next trade is prepped!!! #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
5.17$ETH Evening Market Just took another look at the second coin; tonight's chart is really not that complicated. It's just a battle at crucial levels, both bears and bulls are waiting for confirmation, so let's not rush in too early—let the whales show their cards first.
Right now, the 2200 mark is seriously tough. If we can pump some volume and hold above it, the structure on the smaller timeframes will change, and then we can call it a true breakout. If we hit 2230 and can hold, then the downtrend is officially over, and we can look towards 2270. At that point, even if we pull back, we might just tap around 2200 for some consolidation before heading back up; just hold on tight.
But if we can’t hold it, and fall back into this consolidation zone, that’s exactly what the whales love to do—“high hanging returns,” a false breakout to trap the bulls. Once we fall back, it's highly likely we'll test 2160, which is the target for this pullback at a 1:1 ratio. The first time we hit it, there might be a reflex reaction, but don’t jump in too quickly; if the market feels weak during the pullback, it's likely to break down straight to the 1.618 level. So after a false breakout, don’t go catching falling knives; keep that in mind.
What’s really got me feeling uneasy is the daily chart. The lower boundary of the range at 2175 is crucial; it hasn’t broken yet, so I’m saying the daily for the second coin hasn’t truly begun to drop. But if tomorrow’s daily closes below 2175, the dynamics will change. The daily pullback will officially open up, and the range from 2173 to 1935 is all fair game for a drop—there’s a lot of space to move, which is a bit scary. At that point, every pattern might be ruined. So tomorrow's daily close has to push back above; if it can’t, then my mid-term traders should be aware of the implications.
I’ve also considered a sneaky move: first, a volume spike to fake a breakout above 2200 to lure people into chasing longs, and then a sharp reversal with a needle to break 2160. This kind of hunting is the most ruthless, targeting those who get too greedy. So don’t rush in just because you see a green candle; watch the volume, check the body, and wait for confirmation.
· If we break out with volume above 2197, go long on the right side, targeting 2230-2270, and place your stop loss just below the low of the breakout candle. · If we break down with volume below 2173, go short on the right side, targeting 2122-2077, and set your stop loss just above the high of the breakdown candle. · If we’re swinging in between these two lines without volume or strength, just stay put and watch the whales perform; it’s not worth getting involved in this kind of market.
Brothers, pay attention to this wave. Bitcoin's daily chart shows two consecutive bearish candles, and this morning it even had a lower shadow!!
This isn't a bottoming out; it's the bulls trying to hold on!!! If you're stuck at high levels, is there still a chance to get out?
On the 4-hour chart, the 7.91 level has been tested multiple times and has been rejected just as many times, the selling pressure is insane.
Right now, we're ranging around 7.8, which basically means we're waiting for a signal: will it pump up or continue to dump?
Looking back at the previous wave: it bounced from 7.49 to 7.91 forming a double top, then it retraced back down to 7.49, followed by a big bullish candle reversing to 8.28.
But this time is different; the 8.16 area has formed a multiple top structure. According to a 1:1 head and shoulders distance, the target for a second retest is directly aimed at 7.57!
The technical setup is clear, and the bears are clearly in control. Do you understand the trend?
Just short at the highs.
Left-side strategy: set up shorts around 7.91-8k,
Targets to look at first are 7.76 and 7.69, and hold the last portion down to around 7.57.
Don't ask why; just know that the structure tells you to do it this way.
As for how to allocate your positions and when to scale down,
veterans have it all figured out.
Remember: this isn't the time to fantasize about a reversal. In a bearish trend, every bounce is just an opportunity to get on board.
This wave of 2255 Ethereum shorts was also perfectly executed, prepping for the next setup, ready 🤑🤑🤑 #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
5.17$BTC Evening Market The big coin is just hovering between 78000 and 78300, bouncing back and forth like it's painting the door. My eyelids are getting heavy watching it. This isn't just consolidation; it's like we're waiting for someone to crack.
Look at the current movement; doesn’t it seem like it's secretly forming a W bottom around 78200? The neckline is at 78339. But right now, don’t get too eager. As long as it doesn't firmly break above that, this W is just wishful thinking—better to watch and not jump in too early.
It's moving sideways, which basically means it's cornering both bulls and bears, waiting to see who blinks first. It’s dropped almost 5000 bucks from 83000 down to around 78000. Even bears need to catch their breath, right? So a bounce back up to around 79500 isn’t unreasonable. After that, if it wants to drop again, that’s a different story, but at least the rhythm will be back on track. What worries me is if it doesn’t even give us this small bounce and just crashes down; that’s usually a sign of something we don’t know about. If that happens, don’t blame anyone; the market is always right—just go with the flow.
The trendline from the high has already broken its first step, and now we’re waiting for a retest without breaking the previous low. If it can hold steady around here and then push out a green candle to hit a new high, then this long position tonight will be comfortable. Don’t get too caught up in the order; the key is for the market to show that “no break” and “new high.”
Keep it simple; just focus on these two actions: Upward, if it pushes past 78238 with volume and doesn’t fall back down, then we can enjoy a little soup tonight, aiming for 79521 to 80369. If it can’t break through, it’s just playing games—keep watching. Downward, if a big red candle with volume breaks through 77737 and fails to reclaim it on a bounce, then run for it—no hesitation, we might see 76027 or even 74934.
Lastly, remember this level. Just in case the iron support at 78000 actually breaks, don’t panic, and don’t ask around if it’s time to buy the dip—just keep your eyes on the range between 74222 and 75000. This is the launch point from the last explosive move and the stronghold of the whales. When we get there, I don’t care how panicked everyone else is; I’ll close my eyes and scoop up some spot. I can’t guarantee it’ll bounce back to 80000 immediately, but there’s definitely a juicy rebound to be had here. If I’m wrong, I’ll own it because getting trapped here costs way less than catching a falling knife halfway down. If a loss happens, it’s just a loss—don’t hold on to it.
Stay disciplined; when the signal comes, don’t hesitate.
Lost 3200 wu, and is my buddy hitting the market again?
This guy really is the most stable contrarian beacon in the crypto space; as soon as he opens a position, the market shakes three times!!!
$250,000, 25x leverage going all in on ETH long, trying to change his fate?
And what happened? The market didn’t even make a splash, giving all the trend-following bulls a harsh lesson:
The big guy's faith is just a joke in front of institutional selling pressure.
In the last 24 hours, BTC liquidated $170 million, ETH $140 million, with $130 million being all longs!
My buddy's position is now being ground into the dirt, stuck and unable to move.
Isn't this the classic play?
In a weak market, drop news of a big name going long to attract retail to follow in, and then the big players reverse and smash the price, perfectly harvesting.
To be blunt, anyone trying to counter-trend and buy the dip now is just offering themselves up.
The bearish pattern is clear, funds are continuously fleeing, and the bulls don't even have the strength to fight back.
Trade advice is simple: don’t go against the trend; recognize when it’s time to accept reality.
If my buddy can't hold this position, who do you think will get cut next? You know the answer.
This wave of shorting ETH was also perfectly executed; getting ready for the next setup 🤑🤑🤑#比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
Will it break 78000? Is there still a chance to bounce back to 80k?
Guys, take a good look—on the hourly chart, we haven't even closed three solid candles below 78000, so this isn’t a valid breakdown yet!
Watch out for those fake breakdowns that can trap you.
We’re in a phase where both bulls and bears are getting wrecked, so don’t get too hyped.
For a small double bottom to form, we need to reclaim above 78200; otherwise, it’s all just a mirage.
If the price keeps oscillating within the channel, it’s just buying time. But if we break the lower edge of the channel, we’re heading straight for around 76100!
At that point, wait for a stop-loss signal; the prerequisite for that is getting back above 78000. Want to start a bounce? Let’s talk about breaking 79500 first.
Resistance levels for Bitcoin are at 78300 and 79500, while support is at 77600 and 76200.
This wave of ETH shorts has been a blast, feeling good 😎😎 Preparing for the next trade!!! #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
$ETH ETH is looking weaker here, continuing to bleed out. It's stuck in a converging range right now. If it breaks below the previous low at 2160, we could be heading straight to 2111. Conversely, if it manages to break out of the convergence and reclaim 2200, then this downward trend might just catch its breath, opening up chances for a reversal.
If it breaks 2181, consider chasing longs on the right side with targets of 2215-2233. If we see a pullback to 2155 and it holds, you could add a small long position, but if it drops below 2118, cut it—no holding the bag. For shorts, if it can't get above 2233, you can try shorting there, but if it breaks 2269, just accept the loss. I have a long position set at 2088, and if it drops below 2057, I'm cutting it without hesitation.
Key levels for ETH: Resistance above: 2181, 2215, 2233 Support below: 2168, 2121, 2085
Overall, it’s a waiting game right now—avoid hopping around in the middle zone, as it increases the chances of mistakes. Wait for a signal to make a move; it's better to miss an opportunity than to make a wrong trade. Keep an eye on the market this afternoon, and we'll reassess if anything changes. #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
5.17 $BTC Let's chat about the market at noon, Bitcoin and Ethereum are really testing our patience.
For Bitcoin, it looks like 78000 has been breached, but whether it’s a real break or a fake one is still up in the air. Don’t rush to conclusions; we need to see three solid bearish candles close below 78000 on the hourly chart to confirm we’ve truly lost ground. Otherwise, it could just be a classic whale move to scare us before bouncing back.
If it does break effectively, the hourly bulls will likely take a breather, and we might see further dips ahead. Let’s see if we can form a small double bottom, but first, we need to reclaim 78148. If we can’t break back above and continue to experience choppy bearish action, it might just be a false double bottom, so don’t get caught off guard.
At this point, both longs and shorts are feeling the pressure, and I’m not keen on forcing any trades; I’ll wait for the market to reveal its hand.
If Bitcoin keeps oscillating within this range, it’s just a consolidation after the downturn, waiting to choose a direction. If the lower boundary breaks, we’ll need to watch for further drops, targeting around 76130. Want to stop the fall? We need to climb back to 78000 first. Looking for a reversal? A volume breakout above 79538 is necessary; otherwise, we’ll just keep grinding.
If we see a volume breakout above 78313, it’s time to chase longs, aiming for the 79540-80685 zone. If we see a volume breakdown below 77730 and can’t reclaim, then it’s time to chase shorts, targeting 76863-75237. In other scenarios, I’d rather sit back and watch the show.
Key levels for Bitcoin: Resistance above: 78313, 79540, 80685 Support below: 77665, 76233, 75226 #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
These three big bearish candlesticks just hammered BTC from 8.05 down to 7.8, wiping out two thousand points in smoke!!!
Some folks are saying it's due to the US-China meeting with all the good news priced in and a shift in policy...
I'm telling you, that’s not the case at all.
The charts were already giving signals: bouncing within a range, if it pumps up, it’s bound to dump down, and if it drops, it’ll get pulled back up.
Otherwise, what do you call it? Technical turbulence?
The big players are just playing hopscotch, do you really think a breakout is coming?
They'll just turn around and school you.
Heads up, the previous support at 7.95 has now flipped to a ceiling, and this weekend it’s highly likely we’ll just be grinding around 78-79, painting the range and repeatedly triggering stop losses.
How to play this? Wait for the right side!
Wait for the price to stabilize at 7.95 and confirm it’s holding before jumping in long.
Don’t guess the bottom on the left side, and don’t chase pumps or dumps.
In a volatile market, whoever loses their cool first becomes the cash cow.
This wave with ETH at 2290-2250 was a sweet short, haha, just casually snagged a hundred points profit!!! Getting ready for the next wave 🥳🥳🥳 #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元
5.16$BTC Evening Market This market's tanking so hard that even my mom wouldn't recognize it, it's a total mess. But you know what? The more I look, the happier I get. Seriously, let it drop, the more the better, as long as it doesn't breach the crucial support level of 74000-75000. To me, it's like a discount sale, a chance to hop back on the train. Think about it, if it was floating at the top, would I dare to jump in? I wouldn't. Now that it's dipped, isn't this the opportunity we were waiting for?
But remember, if you want to go long, don't just rush in screaming at the sight of a bearish candle, that’s not bottom fishing, that’s a head-on-a-platter moment. Keep those greedy hands in check and exercise some patience. Wait for what? Wait until it stops dropping, wait for a nice long shadow to form, or for the MACD to show a divergence – that’s the signal to start partying. If the signal hasn't popped, jumping in means you’re just getting ground into the dirt by the whales.
The key level right now is 78000. Don’t panic just because it dips below that, it’s all a fake-out. What do we look for? Hourly level solid closes. As long as that candlestick doesn’t firmly settle below 78000, the bulls are still breathing; it’s hanging by a thread, but it’s not done for yet. How can it survive? The bulls need to step it up and pull back a nice green candle back into the consolidation zone around 78800; if it does, we can temporarily lift the alarm and eye 79538 and 80059. Can’t get back? Then just hold steady around 78000 to the lower consolidation zone, and for the bulls, that’s like burning incense. Remember this: if it breaks 78000, all bets are off, and we’re straight down to 76937 looking for signals.
We haven’t found the bottom yet; look at that MACD, as prices slide down, it’s also flopping down without a hint of divergence. That’s a sign it hasn’t fully dropped! If you’re itching to go long, I’ll say it again, tie those hands up and watch the show. If you really can’t resist, play with a few hundred bucks, but don’t get carried away. #比特币ETF净流入1.31亿美元