飞鱼2026祝福版

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10/11 is here again! At this time a year ago, a tariff tweet set off the biggest massacre in crypto history: $19.1 billion liquidated in 24 hours, 1.64 million accounts wiped out, Bitcoin plunged 13% in an hour, and it took just five days to go from an all-time high to a bloodbath. Altcoins wicked down as much as 90%, and USDe briefly depegged to $0.65. That night, gold was the only thing going up. In the aftermath, ZEC rebounded 37% to lead the pack. Looking back a year later: Bitcoin is at 82,800, still 20% below that night’s low. Leverage gets wiped out; spot can ride it out. Respect the market, and you’ll sleep at night. #BTC $BTC

🔥Profits surge 8-fold, but the stock gets hammered: memory stocks bounce back overnight; the “sell the news” curse gets put to the test next Tuesday

(Saturday, October 10 · Weekly recap)

This week’s most surreal plot twist: Samsung’s Q3 operating profit surged nearly 8-fold to a record high, yet its stock got hammered. It’s not the first time: when profit surged 18-fold in July, the stock still fell 10%. The bigger the earnings blowout, the harder the sell-off. Veteran traders call this “selling the news”: good news has already been fully priced in, and the day it’s announced is the day investors sell.

But two things are worth remembering: Micron reported revenue of $54.2 billion at the end of last month, nearly 4 times higher year over year, with an 87% gross margin. Management said outright that the supply-demand balance for memory in 2027 and 2028 will be tighter than this year. On Friday, Micron, SanDisk, and SK hynix all bounced back 2%—the night of carnage didn’t turn into a multiday massacre.

The knock-on effect is clear: when chips stabilize, crypto dares to bounce. Markets were broadly in the green over the weekend, with ZEC leading at +1.6%, and Bitcoin reclaiming 82,800.

📌Key levels for major assets
BTC 82,800: reclaimed ground above the previous low of 82,560; support at 80,550 (50-day moving average); a move above 84,200 opens the way to 85,600;
ETH 2,496: still the weakest of the bunch; support at 2,400→2,320; resistance at 2,552→2,678;
SOL 109.9: hovering around the 50-day moving average at 108; support at 108→100; resistance at 118→125;
ZEC 1,225: back above the 50-day moving average at 1,176; resistance at 1,320→1,439; support at 1,176→1,077;
Gold 4,197: support at 4,100→4,073; resistance at 4,230→4,260; a move above 4,260 opens the way to 4,385;
MU 1,033: support at the key 1,000 level→950; resistance at 1,124.

In a word: is it the curse playing out, or an unjustified sell-off? Tuesday’s CPI report at 8:30 p.m. will decide. Until the cards are revealed, price levels matter more than opinions. Get some good sleep this weekend—don’t watch the charts. #BTC $BTC #比特币反弹至8.3万美元

Bitcoin made a V-shaped rebound and touched 83499! We banked 3144 points on this move, a gain of 3.9%. Remember to take partial profits now and set your stop-loss at break-even. Wait for the next opportunity! I'm going to get some sleep—I'm in a food coma. #BTC $BTC #比特币反弹至8.3万美元

Gold in chaotic times, antiques in prosperous times! 🎉Gold is taking off—it just hit a high of 4212🎉 The other night, I publicly told everyone to buy the dip at 4093, and it’s already close to Target 2. Most of you got in, right? Congratulations to everyone who did! #XAU $XAU

🔥Soaring performance—yet slammed overnight: Samsung’s guidance, chips stocks crashed, and the money quietly moved into two places

Last night’s most surreal moment: Samsung forecast a surge in operating profit—just because it was “a little less than what the market expected.” The stock price plunged on the spot—SK Hynix -5.6%, Samsung -4.8%, SanDisk -4.7%, Micron -4.6%. A three-times leveraged chip ETF fell -10% in one night, while Korean leveraged products dropped -12%.

Absurd? The shortage is real: DRAM is sold out until 2027, and memory modules have risen more than threefold in a year. But the stock market topped in June—Samsung is down 31% from its peak, and Hynix is down 39%. Earnings keep hitting new highs, while stock prices keep making new lows. The market is voting with its feet: the story of price hikes was told all the way to the last page.

Even more worth thinking about is where the money went: gold +0.78% to above 4,144; crude oil +2.2%. Bitcoin (the big one) only dipped 1.7% and held around 81,900. High-beta tech stocks are being dumped, while hard assets are quietly taking the cash. This isn’t a crash—it’s a rotation.

📌 Key levels for mainstream categories
BTC 81,940: defend the 50-day line at 80,550; hold to 82,560→84,200. If it breaks, watch 76,100;
ETH 2,476: both moving averages are broken; the weakest major trend across the board. Support 2,400→2,320, resistance 2,552;
SOL 110.5: hugging the 50-day line around 108; support 108→100, resistance 118→125;
ZEC 1,187: -10.5% overnight. Pressing against the 50-day line at 1,176; support 1,176→1,077, resistance 1,320;
MU 1,042: dragged down by Samsung; support at 1,000 (integer level)→950, resistance at 1,124.

In one sentence: the super cycle hasn’t died, but the phase of “buying the price hikes with your eyes closed” is over. Next comes positioning, not belief. Oct 14 CPI is the next card. #OGN $OGN

It rebounded! It rebounded! Bitcoin has bounced back to 81542! Earlier during the live stream, the aggressive calls were 80,000 and go long! Now it has dropped by 1,193 points that I bought into! Now the partial take-profit is set to break even. Ate gold yesterday, now I’m eating bitcoin! Feels great, right? #BTC $BTC

2:00 a.m. hawkish heavy hammer: minutes—everyone supported rate hikes. Most people think there’ll be another hike before the end of the year. The big bread fell 5.6% over two days back to 80,700. But it didn’t tell you two things: First, it’s for the September meeting—after that, nonfarm payrolls only rose by 29,000, and the hawks are working off the old map. Last line hides the key information: a New York Fed representative intervened in the FX market on behalf of the Treasury—hiking while suppressing the dollar, hitting themselves. End of August: 62,000; end of September: 75,000—each landing point is higher than the last. Panic at dawn—don’t hand over your chips. #BTC $BTC

From ETFs shedding $8.9 billion a month to attracting $18 billion! Many people ask: If central banks have been buying for 23 straight months, why is gold still falling? Because pricing power isn’t in buyers’ hands—it lies in how fast sellers act. Central banks make monthly purchases, buying a record 740,000 ounces in September; leveraged traders dump gold minute by minute, while ETFs shed $8.9 billion in a single month. But look at the numbers another way: central banks bought 345 tonnes in six months, while ETFs shed just 45 tonnes in their worst quarter—volume loses to speed. Here’s the turning-point signal: starting in August, the biggest seller switched sides, and $18 billion flowed back in, a record. The sellers have stopped dumping, while gold buyers never stopped. The spring is almost fully compressed. #XAU $XAU #NEARIntents用户付费超2900万美元

Gold made another V-shaped reversal! 🎉 The trade I called out publicly last night paid off again 🤭 Target 1 reached ✅ (◠‿◠)✌️ Congrats to everyone who followed along, whether you saw the post or watched the livestream. Either way, glad you got the win 🤭 #XAU $XAU

At 2 a.m., the Fed minutes dropped: everyone supported a 25-basis-point rate hike, and most thought there’d be another one before year-end. Inflation risks tilted to the upside, and even tariffs got a mention. The hawkish tone was loud and clear, but the real bombshell was the final sentence—the New York Fed, acting on behalf of the Treasury, had intervened directly in the foreign exchange market. One hand raises rates to prop up the dollar; the other steps in to push it down. They’re fighting themselves. Gold flinched at first, then smiled: interest rates can scare you, but the direction of the printing press has always told the truth. #BTC $BTC #美联储纪要聚焦10月暂停加息

Gold fell to around 4,100, with a year-to-date maximum drawdown of 26%. The RSI is just 23—its most oversold level this year. On the surface, it’s all bad news: the Fed just raised rates, and the 10-year Treasury yield is at 5.17%. But the underlying story is compelling: central banks bought 740,000 ounces in September, marking 23 consecutive months of net purchases and the largest monthly total since buying resumed. Gold accounts for just 8.8% of our central bank’s foreign exchange reserves, compared with a global average of 27%—there’s still a long way to go. After a surprisingly weak jobs report, the odds of another rate hike plunged to 17%. When prices rise, people rush to wear gold; when they fall, they call it tacky. But the one with the money has been buying month after month. #XAU $XAU

【Market Price | Conservative Short-/Medium-Term: #XAU 】
Suggested position size: 2–4% (determine position size based on stop-loss)
Trade recommendation: Long
Win rate estimate: 60%
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Entry levels: 4093 (aggressive) – 3920 (conservative)
Short-term targets: 4134 – 4224
Medium-term targets: 4344 – 4944
Stop-loss: 3884
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For educational and discussion purposes only. Remember to set your stop to breakeven (BE) after taking profit.
@飞鱼2026祝福版

🏦 Gold prices fell for a month, and the central bank bought more than ever

Gold prices fell 6.5% in September. Plenty of people panicked. So what did the central bank do? It turned around and added 740,000 ounces—the 23rd month in a row it’s bought gold, and its biggest purchase yet. The bigger picture is even clearer: gold makes up just 8.8% of its foreign exchange reserves, compared with a global central bank average of 27%. And 45% of central banks still plan to keep buying. That’s what you call playing the long game. Retail investors watch the charts and chase rallies or sell-offs; the central bank is thinking about the country’s fortunes over the next decade—and buying more as prices fall. Next time gold prices dip and your hand starts to shake, remember who was buying on the way down this month. #XAU $XAU

🐋 #BTC In-Depth Analysis: A Double Top Is Capping Prices, but Smart Money Is Already In（10/7 Beijing time 10:39）

I. Latest Market Action
BTC is currently at 83,860. Both attempts to break through 87,000 on 10/2 and 10/5 were rejected, forming a double top at 87,000–87,400. Early this morning, the price dipped as low as 83,577. It is hovering just below the 20-day moving average (84,230), with bulls and bears wrestling around 84,000.

II. News: Calm on the Surface, Shifting Beneath
· A shockingly weak nonfarm payrolls report: September added just 29,000 jobs versus expectations of 84,000, and the prior two months were revised down by 60,000—October rate-hike odds plunged from around 70% to 17%.
· ETF flows: Net inflows totaled $2.4 billion in the week of 9/21–25, the strongest of the year. Year-to-date flows have officially turned positive, as institutions shift from selling to rebuilding positions.
· Headwinds: The fallout from the bankruptcy of veteran mining pool Poolin, and the 10-year Treasury yield at an elevated 5.17%.
· Calendar: Fed September minutes at 02:00 tomorrow morning → 10/14 CPI (forecast: 3.7%) → 10/28 rate decision. Three hurdles in a row.

III. Technical Picture
30-day volatility (σ) is 1.97%, with ATR around 1,889 points, suggesting volatility is coiling near its lows. The upper Bollinger Band at 87,498 is capping the double top; the middle band at 84,230 is the current dividing line, while the lower band at 80,962 provides support. The bullish alignment of the MA50 (80,308) and MA100/200 (around 72,000) remains intact—the medium-term structure still looks like a pullback, not a shift to a bear market.

IV. Key Levels
📍Short-term support: 83,200 → 82,300 → 80,960 (lower Bollinger Band)
📍Medium-term support: 80,300 (MA50) → 74,900 (September low) → 72,000 (MA200 bull/bear line)
📍Short-term resistance: 85,600 → 87,220 → 87,400 (double top)
📍Medium-term resistance: 89,100 → 90,300 → 92,000

V. Overall View
The news (returning inflows + collapsing rate-hike expectations) is at odds with the technical picture (double-top resistance). The direction is unclear at this level, but volatility is likely to expand. The overall bias is bullish, but don’t chase the rally. If 84,000 is reclaimed and then lost again, expect a retest of 82,300; if price holds above 87,400 on strong volume, the double top is invalidated, opening a path straight to 89,100–90,300.

One last heartfelt thought: two failed attempts to take 87,000 show that the bears aren’t beaten yet—but ETF money has already moved in. At levels like these, those chasing highs and those panic-selling often end up losing to the same thing: patience. Let price choose a direction first, and let discipline make the decisions for you. $BTC #币安推出BinanceIntelligence

It's absolutely packed 🤦‍♂️ Come on out and join the fun 🤭 Gold is climbing again! It hit 4183 earlier, getting ready for TP1 again (・∀・)ﾉ💰 #XAU $XAU

Is this the charm of altcoins? #ICP It previously peaked at 3.6. Since we entered, it has risen 48.4%! Whether you're trading spot or futures with a tiny position, congratulations to all our family members! $ICP

Musk's rocket is really ripping tonight #SPCX ! Is it about to take off? Is the divorce/breakup directly fueling a rally? Too bad I only have an ant-sized position left. Are you all still holding? $SPCX