ON-CHAIN FLOWS ARE SUPPORTING THE RECOVERY
According to data recorded by BTCVN4 around the $83,450 price level:
• Large orders are net buyers
• Medium-sized orders are net buyers
• Small orders are net buyers
• Total net inflow: +1,925 BTC
More notably, large-order flows over the past five sessions have reached approximately +4,231 BTC.
This is a significant improvement from earlier, when large orders were selling heavily on a net basis.
This shows that buying pressure is returning and is no longer concentrated in just one order group.
The next thing to watch is whether positive inflows can persist as BTC enters the resistance zone.
WHAT IS THE 4-HOUR DATA SHOWING?
When BTCVN4 recorded the data, BTC was trading around $83,450, having recovered from a low of $80,393.
Technical indicators are improving:
• RSI(6): 53.62.
• RSI(12): 52.05.
• RSI(24): 49.98.
• MACD histogram: +50.98.
The RSI has returned to the neutral zone, while the MACD histogram has turned positive. This indicates that downward momentum is weakening and a recovery is underway.
BTC has also moved back above the EMA20 and EMA100 on the 4-hour chart.
However, the price still needs to break above the EMA50 zone around $83,476 and the next resistance levels.
Current signals support the possibility of a recovery, but they are not yet enough to confirm a new uptrend.
BTCVN4'S BTC SCENARIO: BTC TARGETS $90,000–$93,000
BTCVN4 has divided the next moves into three stages.
Stage 1: Break above the $83,500–$84,500 zone
This is the nearest resistance zone and the first test.
If BTC breaks above this zone, holds its price after the breakout, and buying inflows remain sustained, the recovery could gain strength.
Conversely, if BTC is repeatedly rejected here, it may need more time to consolidate.
Stage 2: Test the $86,500–$87,700 zone
This is an important area for assessing whether the rebound has enough strength to turn into a stronger rally.
If BTC breaks through this zone on strong trading volume and spot inflows improve, the market may begin to reprice the bullish outlook.
Stage 3: Targeting $90,000–$93,000
If the first two stages are confirmed, the $90,000–$93,000 zone will be the next target BTCVN4 is watching.
The market may see profit-taking, sharp volatility, or a new consolidation phase here.
BTCVN4 wants to emphasize that $93,000 is not a price BTC is certain to reach. This is a conditional bullish scenario that depends on the strength of inflows and BTC's ability to break through resistance zones.
However, recent ETF inflows have been unstable, and the market still needs strong enough spot buying to break through resistance. If inflows weaken or BTC falls back below the support zone, the scenario of a move up to $93,000 will need to be reassessed.
CONCLUSION
BTCVN4's current view is that BTC has a chance to continue recovering and move toward the $90,000–$93,000 zone before the market determines its next direction.
Let inflows and price action at resistance zones confirm the scenario, rather than relying solely on emotion.
If BTC breaks through the key resistance zones, the $93,000 target will be worth watching.
BTCVN4 wishes you good luck
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