bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has entered a new Bear Cycle while the stock markets remain near their All Time Highs (ATH). The general notion is that when BTC starts a Cycle (either Bull or Bear), the stock market, which on this particular analysis is the S&P500 (blue trend-line) follows suit. But how much truth is in it?
Here we see those Bear Cycles since 2011. As you can see in 2011 and 2022 both BTC and the S&P500 dropped around the same time. In 2018 even though both started falling, the S&P500 recovered shortly after, even made new ATH but dropped again remaining volatile. On the other hand in 2014, the S&P500 kept rising, even though BTC was in a Bear Cycle.
As a result, the above notion isn't 100% accurate, not entirely a 'myth' but for sure not a certainty. We even plotted all previous S&P500 sequences during BTC's Bear Cycle, on today's Cycle and as you can see the worst case scenario based on that is a 2022 type correction (grey fractal), which would bring the index back to the April 2025 lows. Bitcoin will most likely have a typical Bear Cycle, especially with the last two (2022 and 2018) being almost identical.
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$BTC #BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSDT #signals

Price: ~91,192 USD
$BTC is still in an uptrend, but we’re in the middle of a clean correction from the 94k local top.
1. Trend Check
Primary trend: Up only. Structure is intact with higher highs & higher lows.
Pullback trend: Price is following the expected correction path from the 93–94k rejection.
2. Key Levels to Watch
🔵 Ascending Trendline (Major Support)
BTC keeps respecting this line every touch has triggered buyers to step in. That’s where real demand sits.
🟦 Confluence Buy Zone: 86k–87k
This is the golden area:
Trendline supportHorizontal demand zone
This zone is the springboard for the next leg up.
🔴 Target Zone: 98.5k–99k
Strong resistance + ideal TP zone for the next push.

3. What Price Is Telling Us
At ~91k, BTC is stuck in a neutral zone not good for entries. There’s still room for a deeper pullback of 4k–5k before hitting real support. This is where traders often get trapped by FOMO.
4. Trading Plan (No Change)
Wait for the dip don’t long here.
Main entry: 86,000–87,200
Confirmation: A strong 4H bullish reversal pattern when price taps the trendline.
TP1: 94,000
TP2: 99,000
Invalidation: 4H close below ~84,500.
Bottom Line
BTC still follows the projected path a controlled pullback to shake out weak hands before the next run toward 99k and eventually 100k+. Patience remains the real alpha here. Do you guys need more analysis on $ETH I will update right now if you need. #BTC #bitcoin

While the Bitcoin price corrects around $90k, one of the largest Bitcoin dramas in history is unfolding behind the scenes. The major players, whom we call "whales" and "sharks," aren't just buying—they are purchasing Bitcoin at an unprecedented rate, which, according to analysts, is record-breaking.
What does this mean for the market, and is there a reversal signal behind it? Let's figure it out.
A Paradigm Shift: From Distribution to Aggressive Accumulation
Not long ago, large holders were taking profits. But the sharp drop to $80,000 became a trigger. The whales did a 180-degree turn and started buying up the asset at levels not seen in previous cycles.
The key indicator, Glassnode's "Accumulation Trend Score," which tracks net buying/selling by large holders, is approaching 1. This signals maximum buying pressure. A similar pattern was observed in July—and then Bitcoin rose from below $100,000 to a historic peak of $124,500 by August.
Numbers That Speak for Themselves
240% of the annual issuance — this is the rate at which whales and sharks (holders from 10 to 10,000+ BTC) are currently absorbing new bitcoins. Demand is catastrophically outpacing new supply.-130% annual exchange absorption rate — this means Bitcoin is leaving trading platforms at a record pace. Investors are massively moving the asset to cold wallets for long-term storage, reducing selling pressure.1.5 times the annual issuance — this is how much the purchases by holders with more than 100 BTC exceed. This is the fastest accumulation rate in Bitcoin's history.
Who is Behind This Movement?
Activity is not only coming from the "giants":
Institutional Investors: Traditional financial companies and corporate treasuries are increasing their Bitcoin exposure.Medium-Sized Holders (10-1000 BTC): This cohort has also been aggressively buying over the past weeks, adding depth to the trend.
The Contrast: Record Losses for the "Little Guys"
While whales are buying up, another part of the market is in pain. After the drop to $80,000, the market recorded $5.78 billion in realized losses—the largest spike since the FTX collapse in 2022.
The main burden was borne by short-term traders and recent buyers, who realized losses of $3 billion. Interestingly, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) had a minimal impact on selling (about 3%), indicating that the main pressure came from retail investors.
What's the Bottom Line?
We are seeing a classic redistribution picture: weak hands under pressure are selling off the asset, which is immediately absorbed by strong, long-term confident players. The record accumulation speed by whales amid massive withdrawals from exchanges creates a powerful foundation for potential growth.
The Main Question: Will this unprecedented accumulation by "big money" not only stop the correction but also become fuel for a new historic rally in the coming months?
$BTC #BTC #bitcoin #Bitcoin❗

Unexpected Disinflation: 2.8% vs. 2.9% Forecast
The latest U.S. inflation data (Core PCE) just dropped at 2.8%, slightly lower than the expected 2.9%. While the difference is small, the market impact is significant, hinting at a crucial shift in monetary policy expectations.
The Key Takeaway: The lower-than-expected inflation print strengthens the case for a dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) stance, increasing the probability of a forthcoming interest rate cut. This is the primary driver of the "huge market reaction" you're seeing.
Impact on Crypto (Risk Assets)
Lower inflation and the prospect of rate cuts are generally bullish for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Lower Rates = Higher Risk Appetite: When the Fed cuts rates, borrowing becomes cheaper, and the yield on "safer" assets like U.S. Treasury bonds decreases. This encourages investors to move capital into riskier, high-growth assets like crypto in search of better returns.
De-risking the Dollar: A more dovish Fed typically leads to a weaker U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Bitcoin often trades inversely to the DXY, meaning dollar weakness can provide a tailwind for BTC price action.
The Narrative: This data reinforces the narrative that the Fed's tightening cycle is ending, paving the way for easier financial conditions—a highly favorable environment for digital assets.
Market Action:
Expect a surge of volatility. While the long-term outlook is more favorable for crypto, short-term price action will be choppy as traders digest the news and reposition ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Watch this week's FOMC meeting: The true market test will be the Fed's official decision and forward guidance. The market is now pricing in an even higher certainty of a rate cut—if the Fed disappoints, we could see a quick reversal.
TL;DR: Lower inflation = higher chance of Fed rate cut = bullish sentiment for Bitcoin and altcoins. Stay sharp and manage your risk!
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#cryptouniverseofficial #bitcoin #usa

There is always a certain silence in the market right after a major options expiry. It feels like the charts pause for a moment, the liquidity resets, and the market prepares for a fresh direction. Today was exactly that kind of moment. Billions worth of Bitcoin options expired and the market is now repositioning itself for the next strong move.

Whenever options unwind, two things usually happen. First, the forced hedges from market makers get released which often removes pressure from the price. Second, traders quickly rotate into new positions based on where they think Bitcoin will head next. This shift in open interest often becomes the spark that drives a new trend.

Right now the interesting part is how calm the price looks compared to the size of the expiry. This calmness is not weakness. It is the type of calm you normally see before a strong move. Whales are already reshaping their positions and the order books show fresh bids appearing slightly below the current range. This is usually a sign of silent accumulation.

There is also something different about this cycle. Bitcoin is not moving only because of halving or hype anymore. It is moving with heavy institutional weight behind it. ETF flows, corporate treasury interest, and global liquidity cycles are all playing a deeper role. Every time Bitcoin dips, we see new addresses with large balances growing. Smart money is still positioning quietly while retail hesitates.

Another key factor is the macro backdrop. The market is watching inflation prints, interest rate expectations, and liquidity updates very closely. Any signal that the Federal Reserve is shifting toward easing can instantly push Bitcoin back into a strong upward trend. Even the tone of recent comments from policymakers suggests the pressure is beginning to ease.

What makes this post expiry moment exciting is the setup forming on the charts. Bitcoin has been holding its higher time frame support with surprising strength. The structure still shows higher lows and healthy consolidation. Volatility compression like this does not last long. When it resolves, it usually resolves with a decisive breakout.

Whales seem to be preparing for that scenario. Large onchain transactions during the weekend often hint that institutions are ready to adjust their risk into the next week. If spot accumulation continues, Bitcoin might reclaim momentum faster than people expect.

But the bigger story is not only about Bitcoin. Whenever Bitcoin stabilizes after a big expiry, the entire altcoin market starts to breathe again. Traders rotate into higher beta assets, liquidity spreads out, and narratives pick up traction. This is the type of environment where altcoin confidence begins to return.

Right now Bitcoin is sitting at the center of a very clean setup. Option hedges have reset. Liquidity has cooled down. Whales are quietly loading up. Retail is still cautious. And volatility is tightening more and more each day. These conditions usually lead to strong directional moves.

The question is simple. Will Bitcoin break upward and pull the whole market with it or will it flush once more to trigger liquidity before the next run. Both scenarios are possible but the structure looks more like preparation for strength. The market is not showing signs of panic. It is showing signs of patience.

If Bitcoin holds its key range and pushes above the recent weekly level, the next wave of momentum could start earlier than expected. Traders who understand how post expiry repositioning works know that this window often creates opportunities before the move becomes obvious.

Right now the market is preparing for something bigger. This is one of those moments where calm does not mean slow. It means focus. It means positioning. It means the next trend is loading.

If you look closely, you can already feel that Bitcoin is getting ready for its next big move.
#bitcoin
#BitcoinETFs
#BTCVSGOLD
#BinanceBlockchainWeek

BREAKING: $BTC Above $70,000! Is This The End of FUD, Or Just a 'Fakeout'? 🚨
Hello Crypto Community! 👋
Finally, Bitcoin managed to break and sustain above the psychological $70,000 level. This is a very strong bullish signal, but let's take a closer look.
Quick Technical Analysis (Quick TA):
1.New Key Level: The previous strong resistance at $68,500 has now turned into a Key Support. As long as $BTC holds above this level, the bullish momentum remains dominant.
2 Volume: Pay close attention to trading volume. A rally supported by high volume indicates a real move, not just market manipulation.
3.Next Target: If this momentum continues, the next resistance target we should watch is the $73,000 level. Breaking this could pave the way for a New ATH (All-Time High) in 2025! 🤯
⚠️ Remember Risk Management! Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Stop-loss is your best friend in this volatile market.
What do you think?
LIKE if you believe we will reach $80,000 before the end of the year!
COMMENT with the altcoin you think will benefit the most from this $BTC surge! 👇

#BTC #ETH #BinanceSquare #bitcoin

Momentum is back, but $93,000 is the make-or-break line for BTC. Closing above this line may reignite the bulls; failing to do so may trigger a downslide. Eyes on the weekly candle.
Context in a Nutshell
After weeks of sideways drift and weak sentiment, Bitcoin seems to be waking up. The bounce is gaining strength, but bulls need to clear and hold $93,000 to turn this bounce into a breakout. Below that line, all bets are off.
What You Should Know
According to the latest analysis, Bitcoin's momentum appears to be "igniting" again, triggering renewed buying interest and shifting sentiment away from recent caution.Key price levels are now in focus: a weekly close above about $93,000 (the yearly-open anchor) is viewed as critical for confirming the recovery.Other important thresholds: around $97,000, which is the cost basis for many mid-term holders, and $88,000, which analysts label a support zone if the price dips.If Bitcoin fails to reclaim and close above those critical levels, especially the $93,000–$97,000 range, the path remains risky: a break below support could reopen downside toward lower zones.
Why Does This Matter?
Because in markets where sentiment swings fast, key price levels act as psychological anchors, and $93,000 is shaping up as the pivot between "recovery possible" and "risk remains dominant." What happens next could define whether late-2025 becomes a turning point or just another false start for crypto.
Bitcoin's trend may be shifting, but only if the bulls show up and hold $93,000. Everything from here is make-or-break.
#bitcoin #BTC #crypto $ETH $BNB