$FLNC rises 5.85% to 7.60000, with funding rate at zero. When political tensions heat up, US stocks often tend to fall; yet this rally hasn’t been crowded by longs—purely a sentiment play. Open interest: 238,100 contracts hanging in place. The moment a geopolitical black swan shows up, the stampede will come immediately. The counterargument is that when conflicts make noise but don’t deliver, risk appetite can hold the market. Invalid conditions: funding turns positive or the price moves above 8.00000. Action: try shorting, take stop loss at 7.80000, and keep position size no more than 5%.

Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #FLNC

Where do you think this thesis is most likely to be wrong?