BABA is up +2.68% today, trading at 119.36. The funding rate received is 0.0368%. It’s not a huge surge, but it’s a premium structure for long positions. This indicates sentiment has shifted from short covering back toward actively going long.

There’s only one catalyst: global news flows around the timing of the U.S.-China tariff schedule, with expectations of a brief loosening emerging again. Instruments like BABA—directly tied to the policy standoff between the U.S. and China—are extremely sensitive to any incremental developments. This jump up isn’t driven by fresh capital entering; OI is still sitting at 87,000 contracts, with trading volume around 30 million. It looks more like longs inside the market are adding and holding the line, rather than external incremental buyers aggressively chasing.

The core contradiction lies in the accumulation of emotional (sentiment) costs. The positive funding rate keeps hanging there. Every day, longs pay interest to shorts—effectively, holding time is turning into a liability. If, over the next 48 hours, there is no concrete sign of tariff easing on the ground, a premium propped up only by rumors can easily backfire. Price is grinding along near the upper edge of the trading range, while time costs keep rising.

My view is very clear: don’t chase longs at this level. If it pulls back below 118 and the funding rate shows a clear decline, I’ll consider taking a trade—betting on a rebound after sentiment gets drained. If price stays pinned here and the funding rate remains elevated, then that’s the window to reduce exposure.

Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #BABA

How do you think this news impacts BABA?