According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin's upward momentum does not rely on pullbacks in gold and silver, as per analysts' insights. Glassnode lead analyst James Check expressed this view in an X post, suggesting that Bitcoin enthusiasts who believe otherwise may not fully understand the dynamics of these assets. Macro economist Lyn Alden echoed similar sentiments in a podcast, stating that while many perceive Bitcoin and gold as competitors, she does not share this perspective.
The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio stands at 19.29, highlighting Bitcoin's recent performance compared to gold, which has had a remarkable year. Alden noted that Bitcoin spent the past year in a stagnant phase, while gold experienced significant growth. Both assets have long-term structural narratives supporting their value, according to Alden. On Friday, gold and silver reached all-time highs, with silver surpassing $77 and gold hitting $4,533, as reported by Trading Economics.
Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals, told CNBC that expectations for further Federal Reserve easing in 2026, a weak dollar, and geopolitical tensions are contributing to market volatility. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has seen a decline of nearly 30% since its peak of $125,100 on October 5, currently trading at $87,650, according to CoinMarketCap. Over the past 30 days, Bitcoin has decreased by 3.79%.
Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading Capital, suggested in an X post that as gold prices rise, Bitcoin is likely to follow suit. Despite the close movement of gold and Bitcoin prices between November 2022 and November 2024, the correlation has weakened this year, with gold up about 60% and Bitcoin down 7.2%. Market sentiment differs significantly between the two assets, with the Gold Fear & Greed Index showing a "Greed" score of 79, while the Crypto Fear & Greed Index indicates "Extreme Fear" at 24.
Several industry executives anticipate a reversal in Bitcoin's downtrend by 2026. Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan predicted that Bitcoin will experience an upward trend next year. Additionally, Jan3 founder Samson Mow speculated that Bitcoin might be on the verge of a decade-long bull run.
