
— Yesterday’s recap worked ✅
Yesterday I wrote: the upward impulse is running out; above there is an active bearish OB 1810–1794. The key support is 1782–1776.
Today: support submitted, $ETH −2% per day, the price at the day’s low is 1733. Levels were worked. I’m fixing it publicly — both hits and misses.
🔎 What’s going on now
— Price 1733, daily range 1730.00–1813.16; we’re negotiating at the lower end.
— The last 1h candle closed at the low — sell pressure remains; no reversal yet.
🧱 Structure
— Ceiling: 1787.98–1813.16; inside, active bearish OB 1798.54–1813.16.
— FVG 1778.57–1781.39 is filled; above that, a partially filled bearish FVG 1792.39–1798.54.
— Liquidity magnet at the bottom 1730.00 — price is already close. Local support 1730–1741.
⚖️ Scenarios
— Base: short ~60%. The daily impulse is behind the seller; price is under the offer. But no chasing — part of the downside move has already happened.
— Alternative: long ~40%, only if 1730–1741 holds and price quickly returns above 1750–1760. Then the drop is a sweep of liquidity before a recovery.
🎯 Plan
— Area of interest: 1730.00–1741.21.
— 1730 doesn’t hold → continuation toward lower liquidity.
— Hold + return 1750–1760 → recovery.
⚠️ Where it breaks
— A close/hold above 1750–1760 weakens the short.
— Return and hold 1787.98–1813.16 fully removes the bearish scenario.
Not an investment recommendation.
#ETH #Binance #CryptoNewss #TradingOS
