#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争
Exploded! The U.S. economy is staging a "no-job prosperity"; is the door for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates about to fully open?
Morgan Stanley's latest warning: The U.S. economy may be entering a brand new phase — "no-job productivity prosperity." Simply put, companies don't need to hire aggressively; they can drive the economy solely through soaring efficiency. This directly chokes inflation, delivering a "continuous interest rate cut" gift package to the Federal Reserve. #SOL上涨潜力 $BTC
Data has gone viral! The U.S. Department of Labor has confirmed: Non-farm productivity surged 3.3% year-on-year in the second quarter, reversing the 1.8% decline in the first quarter. This wave of efficiency revolution means the economy could continue to heat up without deploying the "employment army," naturally easing inflation pressures.
As a result, Wall Street can't sit still. Investors are betting on interest rate cuts that are much more aggressive than the Federal Reserve's official predictions. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool shows that the market believes the probability of a rate cut by the end of the year is as high as 72%! However, the officials' own dot plot shows that there may only be one cut in 2026. A "market vs. Federal Reserve" expectation showdown has already begun.
Is this productivity miracle a tool for a "soft landing" in the economy, or does it hide potential risks? Do you think the Federal Reserve will bow to the market's fervent expectations for interest rate cuts, or will it stand firm until the end?
