🚨 BREAKING | JAPAN MACRO ALERT 🇯🇵
Japan is moving closer to a major policy shift.
At the Bank of Japan’s October meeting, officials confirmed that inflation expectations among businesses and households have reached the 2% target. Price pressures are building, and policymakers are increasingly focused on preventing the economy from overheating.
Key signals from the BOJ:
Core inflation is accelerating, though not yet firmly anchored at 2%
Some members believe the target could be sustainably met by next spring, especially if wage growth strengthens
A weaker yen remains a key risk, as higher import costs could push inflation further
Why this matters for markets:
Japan has been the anchor of global easy money for decades. Any shift toward tighter policy would:
Impact currency flows, especially JPY pairs
Pressure global liquidity conditions
Increase volatility across equities, bonds, and crypto
Fiscal policy will also play a role, as government actions can influence inflation expectations and growth forecasts.
Bottom line:
Japan is edging toward a turning point. If inflation continues to firm and wages follow, markets may need to price in a very different BOJ — and that shift could ripple far beyond Japan.
Stay alert. Yen moves don’t stay local.
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