BTC/USDT

Timeframe: 1H

Overall Structure:

The market is in a short-term downward trend (LH → LL), and the previous break of the trend was not followed by HH → the upward movement was corrective rather than a reversal.

General Context (HTF):

The prevailing trend remains bearish as long as the price is below 90,600 (PDH). Currently trading within the Range Day between PDH and PDL.

Price Behavior:

Strong rejection from 90,600 followed by distribution and then gradual selling pressure. The price is fluctuating above 87,000 in a temporary balance (liquidity accumulation).

Liquidity (SMC):

Clear selling liquidity below 86,000 then 84,450 (potential target).

Buying liquidity above 90,600 but only targeted after a real structural change.

Areas of Interest (POIs):

Potential selling areas: 88,200 – 88,700 (FVG) then 89,000 – 89,200

Reaction Areas: 85,900 – 86,000 then 84,450

Likely Scenario:

Corrective bounce towards supply areas → price rejection → continuation of the drop to target liquidity at 86,000 then 84,450.

Alternative Scenario:

Break and hold above 90,600 with the formation of HH + HL → neutrality leaning towards positivity.

Cancellation:

Sell Cancellation: Strong close and hold above 90,600

Buy Cancellation: Break and hold below 84,450

🎯

Logic: Trading areas + liquidity, no chasing price.