Historical patterns have been broken: $BTC the strongest quarterly average increase of 77%, why has it plummeted this year?
Bitcoin's performance in the fourth quarter this year is quite unusual, facing a historic pressure test.
From historical data, the fourth quarter is usually the strongest period for Bitcoin, with an average increase of up to +77%, and even the median increase is close to +48%. However, the trend this fourth quarter so far has deeply declined, and its weakness is rare in the entire history of Bitcoin, only slightly better than the most severe bear markets.
This deviation from historical patterns highlights the currently abnormally low market sentiment and the special pressure of the macro environment. At the same time, traditional safe-haven asset gold has reached a historic high of $4500 per ounce today. The stark contrast between one weak and one strong further indicates that funds are prioritizing traditional safe-haven assets like gold amid current macro uncertainties.
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