Brothers, Yi Ge is here! The freshly released heavyweight news has directly flipped the market—Fed governor Milan suddenly makes a bold statement: the current inflation data is all inflated! Policies must shift towards 'dove'; if they don't adjust, the economy is likely to hit a recession, and ultimately it will rely on interest rate cuts to save the situation! As soon as this statement lands, the global market's direction instantly changes, and the bullish and bearish games are directly intensified!
News shock: The Fed's 'dove voice' has sounded, will hot money rush to bottom-fish in the crypto circle?
Let me clarify the news for everyone: this Fed official clearly states that the recent inflation data has been severely distorted due to the government shutdown, and the actual inflation is not that high. This means that raising interest rates is no longer urgent, and even the door to future interest rate cuts has quietly opened!
This is the 'traffic light' of the global capital market! If U.S. dollar policy truly shifts towards easing, then the hot money lying in traditional assets will definitely start to move, looking for higher yield opportunities. Yi Ge has told everyone that the crypto market is always 'sensitive to capital flow'; if this dovish trend can stabilize, mainstream coins like BTC will likely experience a wave of sentiment-driven volatility, potentially gaining support. But the key reminder: this is just 'expectation', not an immediately effective policy; the market is currently in a period of emotional digestion, so don't rush to follow the trend!
Technical struggle: The 4-hour chart shows a life-and-death struggle, is the high-level pullback alarm ringing?
Just looking at the news is not enough; Yi Ge brings the brothers to analyze the 4-hour technical chart, marking key positions clearly for everyone! The current BTC price is hovering around $88210, and these points must be closely monitored; missing one could lead to missing out or getting trapped:
Is the upward pressure welding dead? The range of 90500-91500 is the 'hard bone' strong pressure area for recent rebounds. Without sufficient volume to support it, trying to break through is purely a dream;
The current life-and-death line: $89000 is the psychological barrier for retail investors. If it can't stabilize, it will directly trigger a pullback, without any hesitation;
Where is the support below? 88600 is the first line of defense; if it breaks, strong support at 85000 will be the next. This is the bottom line for recent fluctuations.
Yi Ge wants to say again: The yellow and white lines are still above the 0 axis, indicating that the overall trend hasn't completely collapsed. However, prices have already dropped from the highs, and several volume spikes have been pushed back, indicating that there are people secretly unloading at high positions. The market is now hovering near the pressure zone, hesitating a lot, which also confirms Yi Ge's long-standing view of 'never chasing high positions'; there’s no mistake in that!
Operational strategy: Retail investors, don't rush in! These 3 points are the strict risk control lines.
First, do not chase highs, do not blindly short! This position is a sensitive area for bullish and bearish games; observing more and acting less is the key, don't rush to take sides, as it's easy to get reaped by the market;
Second, keep a close eye on key positions! If there is a volume breakout above 90500 and it stabilizes without falling back, the short-term sentiment will likely turn bullish; but if it falls below 88600 and can't stabilize, the depth of the pullback may exceed expectations. Before these two signals appear, fluctuation will be the main melody, so don't mess around;
Third, step on the rhythm and wait for signals; risk control always comes first! Brothers with heavy positions can appropriately reduce their holdings during the rebound to lower risk; those with light positions should be patient and wait for the market to establish a clear direction before taking action; there's no rush.
Yi Ge's exclusive view: The wind is strong and the waves are high, staying calm is the way to win.
Combining the news and technical aspects, Yi Ge's view is very clear: the short-term market volatility will definitely increase, but the final direction is not yet determined! The Fed's dovish signal is a potential benefit for the crypto market in the medium to long term, but technically, BTC is clearly facing resistance at a key position, and the demand for a pullback is very obvious. Pursuing highs now will likely lead to being trapped at high positions; blindly shorting may also be blown up by sudden news, leaving no good outcome.
The current BTC is stuck in front of a key technical position, requiring a new catalyst (whether news or volume) to determine direction. For retail investors, the best strategy now is: stabilize your mindset, keep your hands steady, don't be swayed by the market fluctuations, and wait for the market to establish a clear trajectory before taking action.
Remember, the market is never short of opportunities; what’s lacking is a calm mindset and reliable judgment. Yi Ge will continue to keep an eye on on-chain dynamics and changes in the news, accompanying the brothers to respond steadily! Follow Yi Ge, join Yi Ge's village community, and every precise attack will not be missed! Yi Ge will sync specific entry times and real-time news in the village every day; follow along to avoid pitfalls!
