The year 2025 was a record year for Bitcoin (BTC) in terms of registering new price peaks, but the decline in the fourth quarter overshadowed these gains and revealed a clear gap between the expectations of major institutions and the actual reality of the market.
📈 Throughout the year, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $126,000, a significant achievement, but it fell far short of the optimistic expectations set by major financial and research institutions, which ranged between $200,000 and $250,000.
🧠 In his latest analysis, Chinese journalist specializing in cryptocurrencies and blockchain pointed out that Bitcoin's failure to achieve these goals is due to several factors, the most notable of which are:
Increase in price volatility
Reduce leverage
Repricing risk
Recurring events weakened the upward momentum
He confirmed that Bitcoin's performance in 2025 showed high sensitivity to any corrections or changes in risk appetite.
📊 Major institutional forecasts for Bitcoin in 2025 (and the actual result):
KuCoin Research: Expected $250,000 → Not achieved
Tom Lee: Expected $250,000 → Overestimated
HC Wainwright: Raised the target to $225,000 → Not achieved
Matrixport: Set a target of $160,000 → Not achieved
Bitwise: Expected BTC to trade above $200,000 → Not achieved
VanEck: Expected $180,000 in Q1 → Not achieved
Galaxy Research: Expected $150,000 to $185,000 → Not achieved
📝 Summary:
Although Bitcoin reached a new historical peak in 2025, reality has once again proven that ambitious forecasts do not always hold against market fluctuations, and risk management remains the most important factor in the world of digital assets.
⚠️ This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
