Friends, I am Mig.
I just came across a piece of news that caught my attention, and I felt I must share it with you all immediately. Because it might directly determine whether the SOL you hold will make you a big profit!
Message Analysis:
At 10 PM tonight, the Federal Reserve is about to 'disburse funds' again, throwing 6.8 billion USD into the market through repurchase operations. This is not the first time; nearly 38 billion has been released in the past 10 days. Many newcomers feel, 'What does this have to do with the crypto world?' It has a lot to do! This is called 'year-end liquidity management.'
In simple terms, it's the end of the year, and financial institutions are tight on cash. The Federal Reserve is worried that the market won't have enough money, so they're quickly sending some 'fresh water' over. With more money, even if just a little spills over, it's good news for 'risk assets' like Bitcoin and SOL, because market sentiment will become more willing to speculate and take risks.
So, don't think this news is dull; it quietly laid a brick for tonight's rise.
Technical analysis of bullish and bearish scenarios:
Bullish scenario: Currently, the MACD double lines are below the zero axis but have already golden crossed upwards, indicating a slowdown in the downtrend and a brewing rebound. The real sign of takeoff is when the 4-hour K-line can steadily close above 127 dollars. Once confirmed, the rebound strength will increase, and the targets above are very clear: 129 -> 133 -> 135 high-pressure zone. Only then will market sentiment be truly ignited.
Bearish scenario: If it can't even touch 127 and falls below the small platform of 123, that would be bad. It indicates that this rebound strength is exhausted, and the market is likely to test the bottom a second time. The road below could be long: 120 -> 116 -> even 111 bottom support. That’s not a correction; it’s a new round of decline.
Mig's personal opinion: Combining the 'Federal Reserve's easing' warm wind and the 'MACD low position golden cross' technical signal, I tend to be bullish. But the market is always right; my inclination doesn’t mean you should act recklessly. The key is the confirmation of that 127 breakthrough. Until confirmed, treat all rises as 'rebounds' and don’t get too excited.
Retail investor operation advice:
For friends with no positions: You can consider laying a small long position near 126; the stop loss must be set below 123. First target is 127, and if it stabilizes, look for higher. Remember, this is just testing the waters, not ALL IN.
For friends who already hold: Keep your base position and wait patiently. If it breaks above 127, consider adding positions appropriately. If it falls below 123, it’s time to reduce positions; don’t fight against the trend.
No matter what: absolutely do not bet heavily on one direction! Use money that you can afford to lose.
The market changes every minute, just like tonight, where news and technology might resonate. The real turning point often comes when most people hesitate. If you feel like you're always a step behind, struggling to catch the rhythm, and missing out on opportunities with regret...
Then you might need someone who can break down this 'resonance signal' for you in advance. Analyses like tonight's will be placed in my chat room and village at the first opportunity.
I am Mig, an old hand who just wants to use plain language to help you avoid pitfalls and seize opportunities. Follow me, and before the next market shift, you'll know a step ahead of others.
