Family, Mig has arrived.
The market was lifeless over the weekend. Many brothers asked me in the background: 'Mig, is this going to start going up, or is it playing dead and then crashing?'
Don't rush, today we are not just looking at charts, we need to dig deep into the news and tell you what big funds are really afraid of and waiting for.
News Analysis - The Federal Reserve's 'Eagle Claw' Has Quietly Extended
"Data has its secrets": She said the November inflation data looks good, possibly due to government shutdowns distorting data collection, and the real situation could be close to 2.9% or even 3.0%. What does this mean? The authorities are hinting: 'The apparent cooling is an illusion, inflation is actually more stubborn!' This is a warning shot to the market, telling you not to be too optimistic about interest rate cuts.
'Higher rates for longer': Her core view is that the 'neutral interest rate' is higher than everyone thinks. You can understand the neutral interest rate as the 'comfortable zone rate' for the economy. She says this comfortable zone is higher, meaning the current interest rate level may still not be tight enough, with very little room for cuts, and does not rule out the possibility of the interest rate center remaining high for a long time in the future.
'No rush to act next year': She directly stated her inclination to maintain stable interest rates until at least spring next year. And she will have voting rights next year! This is almost a call to action: 'Those in the market betting on a drastic interest rate cut in the first quarter, you can wake up now.'
Mig's opinion: This 'cold water' has poured down, significantly suppressing liquidity expectations in the global high-risk speculative market. The environment has shifted from 'waiting for water' to 'preventing drought'. So, do you expect BNB to soar independently in such a context? It’s extremely difficult. If it can hold steady without dropping, that’s already considered strong.
Technical analysis precise positioning - four key prices determine life and death.
Considering this larger background, let's take another look at the 4-hour chart, everything becomes clear:
Current position: 845 is the life and death line for bulls and bears, and it is also the axis of today's flat market. If it breaks here, the morale will scatter.
Pressure above: 870 (rebound pressure) -> 900 (high pressure, don’t expect any major positive news). Remember, every step up is an opportunity to reduce positions, not a signal to chase.
Support below: 820 (first line of defense) -> 800 (bottom line of defense).
MACD signal: The yellow and white lines have turned upwards below the 0 axis. This signals a slowing down of the downtrend and a potential technical rebound, but it is by no means a confirmation of a trend reversal! It only indicates that the bears are temporarily resting at this position, and the bulls have a weak resistance.
Mig's personal opinion: Although BNB has been flat over the weekend, the upward pressure is heavy, it's uncertain whether it can surpass 870, and 900 requires substantial capital and emotional support. What about going down? If market sentiment weakens, the possibility of testing 820 or even probing 800 is greater than the potential for a new high.
So how should retail investors play?
If you are a short-term trader: you can try small positions near 857 for a rebound, but remember to set your stop-loss below 845.
If you are a medium to long term investor: don’t rush, wait for clear signals. If it breaks below 845, the next support is at 820, you can stagger your buying in that area.
If it breaks 870 and stabilizes: then look at 880, but don’t be greedy, there is huge pressure around 900.
Market analysis is 'planning', but the market is 'real combat'. If you always feel one step behind in a slow market, constantly experiencing 'buying and then dropping, selling and then rising', then I tell you, you are not lacking analysis, you are lacking a professional guide who can remind you in real-time that 'opportunity is here' and 'run quickly'!
Want to know how I, Mig, led my brothers in the village to dodge spikes and ambush precisely? Follow Mig, participate in every attack by Mig’s villagers! Mig will announce specific entry times and real-time news every day in the village!
