Watching UNI suddenly surge by 10%, my throat tightened—I had been stuck in DeFi blue chips for three months, and they finally turned green; everyone in the group was shouting, "Temporary bottom confirmed." But when I opened the position list and stared at those altcoins that had been halved time and again, my finger hovered over the "add position" button for a long time, and in the end, I did something that made everyone wide-eyed: not only did I not add to my position, but I also sold one-third of the one that had risen the most, swapping it for an asset that "may never skyrocket."
My friend scolded me for being a long-term investor with PTSD, saying: "The bull market is here, why are you still cutting losses?" But I was staring at UNI's candlestick chart, and what flashed in my mind was the summer of 2022—when everyone also said it was a "temporary bottom," and as a result, UNI plummeted from $20 all the way down to $4. What chills me even more are the data: this wave of altcoins rebounded with an average increase of 12%, but trading volume dropped by 15% compared to last week—without volume, a rebound is like a rocket without fuel; the higher it flies, the harder it falls.
This 'rebound phobia' has led me to seek another type of position-building logic. The @usddio project I’ve been focused on recently has shown a bizarre advantage at this time—when altcoins rally based on 'phase bottom' narratives, USDD's price stability relies on 150% excess collateral and real-time on-chain audits; the former bets on a reversal of market sentiment, while the latter operates on mathematical certainty.
The most ironic comparison has emerged: UNI's 10% rebound requires an event-driven 'fee switch vote,' while USDD maintains stability simply by executing clearing rules via smart contracts.#USDD以稳见信 In the bear market rebound period, it has taken on a new meaning: when everyone is guessing 'where the bottom is,' the real bottom might be those assets that do not rely on guessing the bottom—just like in a storm at sea, the safest option is not to bet on which ship won't sink, but to put on a life jacket.
This rebound has given me three painful realizations:
A rebound is not a reversal; the volume is the truth. Altcoins have risen, but the volume has shrunk, like a patient with a fever but decreasing blood oxygen. My new discipline: do not increase positions on the day of any rebound; observe the volume-price relationship for three days—just like @usddio's collateral rate must withstand continuous audits.
Find certainty within uncertainty. Whether UNI can rise depends on the voting results, whether BTC can rise depends on the Federal Reserve's mood, but whether USDD is stable can be known from on-chain collateral data. Every day, I must check three things: BTC Fear and Greed Index, ETH Gas fees, USDD real-time collateral rate.
Configuration thinking replaces trading thinking. I used to always want to 'buy low and sell high,' but now I've learned: allocate 50% to core assets like BTC/ETH, 30% to stable assets like USDD, and only 20% to play altcoin rebounds—this way, whether in a bull or bear market, I always have cards to play.
In the afternoon, UNI started to fall back, and those who chased high in the group fell silent. I quietly opened USDD's cross-chain mining interface and deposited the funds I had just switched. A friend said I was wasting the opportunity, and I said, do you remember May 2021? — At that time, everyone said 'mid-market adjustment in a bull market,' but the adjustment turned into an 18-month bear market. @usddio taught me: during confusing market periods, the smartest move is not to bet on direction, but to ensure that you can survive no matter which direction it goes.
Soul-searching question: Are you brave enough to chase high when altcoins rebound? What is your 'bottom confirmation signal'? Share your painful bottom-fishing history in the comments!
Thank you for your attention and likes.
