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KaiZXBT
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This chart predicts
$BTC
will dump to $35,000 next month.
Are you prepared for this scenario?
$BTC
BTCUSDT
Perp
88,060.5
-0.10%
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Analysts: Declining Demand for Bitcoin Signals a New Bear Market According to experts at the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s (BTC) demand growth has weakened significantly since October 2025, signaling that the market may be entering a new bear cycle. In the current cycle, investment demand for BTC experienced three major waves. The first wave emerged in January 2024, shortly after spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved and launched in the United States. The second wave followed the results of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, while the third wave was driven by a “bubble” of publicly listed companies accumulating Bitcoin as a treasury asset. However, CryptoQuant noted that demand growth has fallen below its trend level since early October 2025, indicating that most of the additional demand in this cycle has already been absorbed, weakening a key pillar supporting BTC’s price. At the same time, institutional demand has also started to cool. Bitcoin holdings in ETF products declined by around 24,000 BTC in Q4 2025, a clear reversal compared to the strong accumulation seen in Q4 2024. In the derivatives market, funding rates for perpetual futures dropped to their lowest level since December 2023, reflecting increasingly bearish sentiment among traders. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin breaking below and remaining under the 365-day moving average — a critical dynamic support level — further reinforces the bearish outlook. Nevertheless, some experts remain optimistic about a potential recovery in 2026, driven by expectations of lower interest rates and a return of investment demand. In the near term, however, fear continues to dominate overall sentiment in the crypto market. $BTC #USNonFarmPayrollReport
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What a year Worst performing narratives for 2025. - DeFAI -97% ( $GRIFFAIN, $LMT) - Modular -92% ( $TIA, $AVAIL, $DYM) - DeSci -91% ( $URO, $YNE, $LAKE, $CRYO, $RSC) - AI -87% ( $LAI, $SPEC, $DEAI, $AIT, $PAAL) - GameFi -85% ( $PRIME, $BEAM, $PORTAL) - Low Float Tokens - 84% ( $JTO, $PRCL, $W, $ENA, $STRK, $WLD) - LRTs -83% ( $ALT, $EIGEN, $REZ) - Data -81% ( $ARKM, $GRT, $COOKIE) - L2s -81% ( $MODE, $MOVE, $SCR, $BLAST, $MANTA, $TAIKO, $CORE, $METIS, $ZK, $OP, $STX) Clearly a purge was needed I hope 2026 is kinder to the space
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TGE in 2025 is considered a "massacre", the majority of tokens plunge after launch The crypto market in 2025 is witnessing a harsh reality: issuing new tokens is no longer an “early ticket” as it was in previous years. The latest data from Memento Research shows that the majority of tokens launched this year have significantly underperformed expectations shortly after listing, with losses far outweighing their initial valuations at the time of the token generation event (TGE). According to Ash, an analyst at Memento Research, among 118 TGEs tracked from the beginning of 2025 until now, as many as 84.7% of tokens are trading at a fully diluted valuation (FDV) lower than their valuation at launch. In other words, roughly four out of every five newly issued tokens are currently trading below their TGE price. More importantly, the scale of the decline is substantial. The median FDV of these tokens has dropped by around 71% compared to TGE levels, while the median market capitalization has also fallen by approximately 67%. This highlights strong selling pressure immediately after listing, despite aggressive marketing campaigns, popular narratives, or development promises made prior to launch. In contrast, only about 15% of the tracked tokens have managed to maintain an FDV above their initial valuation. This clearly indicates that “profiting at TGE” has become the exception rather than the rule. Overall, the data suggests that TGE is no longer a guaranteed early entry point. Most of the upside has already been captured in private, seed, or strategic funding rounds long before public issuance, while market liquidity in 2025 remains limited and investors are far more cautious than in previous cycles.
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Selling pressure overshadows XRP despite ETF launch, whales suspected of taking advantage of profit-taking XRP’s price continues to face persistent selling pressure despite the official launch of XRP ETFs and the steady inflows recorded by these funds. According to a recent analysis by PelinayPA, an analyst at CryptoQuant, expectations of a price surge driven by ETFs have not materialized, at least in the short term. Data from the Binance Inflow-Value Band indicator shows that most of the XRP deposited to exchanges recently has come from large wallets, specifically those holding between 100,000 and over 1 million XRP. This is a typical characteristic of whale activity rather than retail investors, suggesting that large holders are actively moving XRP to exchanges. In on-chain analysis, large exchange inflows are often viewed as a signal of potential selling pressure. PelinayPA noted that previous spikes in inflows were followed by bearish price structures, with lower highs and lower lows. Currently, XRP is facing strong resistance around the $1.95 level, while the nearest support zone is located between $1.82 and $1.87. If exchange inflows continue, a deeper pullback toward the $1.50–$1.66 range cannot be ruled out. $XRP
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According to monitoring data from Onchain Lens, over the past two days, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has carried out a series of sell transactions involving a wide range of crypto assets. The tokens sold include familiar names such as UNI, ZORA, BNB, KNC, and OMG, along with several meme tokens. These transactions quickly drew attention from the crypto community, especially as the market remains highly sensitive to large movements from influential figures. Following the sales, Vitalik transferred approximately 564,672 USDC and 27 ETH, valued at around $80,364, through RAILGUN — an on-chain protocol focused on transaction privacy. The use of RAILGUN reflects a growing trend among market participants to prioritize privacy when executing high-value blockchain transactions, even when wallet ownership is publicly known. At the time of writing, Vitalik has not made any official comment regarding the purpose of these transfers. However, based on his past behavior, such sales are often associated with donations, funding for public goods or research initiatives, or portfolio rebalancing, rather than signaling any negative outlook on the broader crypto market or the Ethereum ecosystem.
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