šMarkets are being pulled in opposite directions.
While inflation cools and rate-cut expectations build, the Fed remains cautious and the US dollar stays strong ā keeping markets on edge.
š Key macro signals:
ā½ US CPI slowed to 2.7% YoY, Core CPI to 2.6%
āŖ Consumer confidence weakened (Michigan index 52.9)
āŖ Inflation expectations (1Y) rose to 4.2%
āŖ US unemployment climbed to 4.6%, the highest since 2021
šFed outlook:
NY Fedās John Williams sees no urgency to cut rates, stating policy remains slightly restrictive despite softer labor data.
USD strength:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades near 98.70, its highest level since Dec 11.
ā Geopolitics back in focus:
Rising USāVenezuela tensions offset cautious optimism around RussiaāUkraine peace talks.
š Bottom line:
Markets remain guided by Fed expectations, USD strength, and geopolitical uncertainty ā a mix that continues to drive volatility across assets.
#Macro #CPIWatch #usd #MarketSentimentToday #Geopolitics

