Coin friends, I am Zhao Gongming. Note that a dangerous divergence signal is currently playing out on the chart! Follow Zhao Gongming to help you break through those seemingly glamorous yet secretly misleading technical illusions.
News:
Currently, there are no major sudden positive or negative news directly targeting ZEC, but this precisely makes the market's own capital language and technical patterns seem more real and brutal. The true 'judge' is the flow of funds; the data has already revealed the cruel truth! Take a close look: spot funds have seen a large net outflow over the 8-hour and 12-hour cycles, with significant fluctuations, clearly indicating that large holders are continuously distributing their chips. Although contract funds have flowed in, their short-term fluctuations are severe, more indicative of leveraged funds' short-term speculation, and cannot change the trend of the spot market's 'big ship turning around' in retreat.
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Technical aspect:
On the hourly candlestick chart, although the MACD shows a 'golden cross' trend, two deadly details must be noted: first, after the golden cross appears, the red and green bars' energy not only fails to explode but continues to shrink, indicating a severe lack of upward momentum, which is a typical 'false alarm'; second, the price is firmly suppressed below the critical level of 400, and the rebound resistance at 415 is even more out of reach. The RSI indicator is also in a weak area, showing a lack of buying interest in the market. The 'strong buy' summary given by the technical analysis system forms a significant divergence with the current stagnation and constraints by key resistance, warranting high vigilance.
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Zhao Gongming's comprehensive views and clear operational suggestions:
Zhao Gongming is firmly bearish. The fatigue of the technical aspect and the truth of the capital aspect resonate, and the so-called 'golden cross' and 'buy' signals are likely to be a failed rebound, accumulating momentum for the next round of decline.
Position suggestion: The risk outweighs the opportunity. One should seize any chance of a price rebound towards the critical resistance zone of 395-400 to decisively reduce positions or even liquidate. The primary support below is at 370, and if it fails, it will open up greater downward space.
Observation suggestion: Strictly prohibited to catch the bottom. Maintain patience and wait for the release of bearish momentum. The only intervention opportunity worth noting is: wait for the price to effectively break below the strong support level of 370 and confirm a rebound before considering to act in accordance with the trend.
Remember, when technical indicators contradict the flow of funds, always trust the choice of real money. Now, the funds have already voted.
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