My grasp of trends does not mean I can exit perfectly. Retracements are the norm.
In a bear market, it's best to operate less; the more actions taken, the faster the losses, and the harder one works, the more one gets hurt, because the profit direction and opportunities basically remain in the short-selling path.
In a bull market, there are many opportunities, good trends, large fluctuations, and various projects emerging endlessly, with liquidity being extremely abundant.
In the cryptocurrency world, one should not be overly concerned with temporary gains and losses, nor should one care too much about short-term capital fluctuations. One should not lose confidence because of losses in a particular project or aspect.
I have always calculated the input-output based on cycles. For example, $PALU , I mentioned a loss of 30,000 USDT a few days ago; actually, the same batch $币安人生 should also have a loss of 34,000 USDT, and $ASTER also has a floating loss of tens of thousands of USDT. There are also various small losses here and there. However, if we look at the longer cycle, like an entire year, the capital curve is continuously growing. For instance, in the bull and bear cycles, regardless of how much $btc has dropped from 120,000 to 80,000 today, it does not affect the fact that my large holding bought at 20,000 USDT is still considered profitable based on the cycle.
I have always been very confident in grasping trends and major market movements. The recent shrinkage of my account has caused me some pain, but I constantly remind myself that investing is about walking alongside time, not fighting against volatility. Maintaining long-term stable growth is far more important than short-term wins and losses.






