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UPDATE🚨
The
$ETH
long position is now over $600 million.
Probably nothing.
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🔥$BTC WILL HIT A NEW ATH IN H1 2026: GRAYSCALE Grayscale expects the end of the supposed Bitcoin four-year cycle, with a new all-time high possible as early as January
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$ETH December return has now flipped negative. If December closes in red, it will be the 9th red month for ETH this year. This has only happened once, and that was the 2018 bear market.
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Nearly 90% of crypto lending revenue now originates from $ETH and its Layer 2 network, according to David from the #Ethereum Foundation.
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$ETH price trajectory toward Christmas 2025 remains uncertain, with AI models and analysts divided between a potential 4K rally driven by institutional inflows and network upgrades, or a 2K crash amid macroeconomic headwinds and overleveraged positions. Current trading around $2,917 reflects a bearish tilt, with the asset down 1.6% recently and below key moving averages, but oversold RSI signals could trigger a rebound if support at $2,800 holds. Broader sentiment favors moderate upside over the holidays, though volatility from options expiries and Fed signals could sway outcomes. ✏ Bullish Scenario: Path to $4,000 Several AI forecasts, including those from Changelly and InvestingHaven, project Ethereum climbing to $3,500–$3,770 by late December, potentially extending to $4,000 if DeFi adoption and Layer-2 scaling accelerate. This rally would hinge on Bitcoin stabilizing above $90,000, ETF approvals boosting liquidity, and positive catalysts like reduced staking yields encouraging selling pressure relief. Historical holiday patterns show altcoins gaining 10-15% in low-volume periods, aligning with a 20% ROI potential from current levels. ✏ Bearish Scenario: Risk of $2,000 Drop Conversely, CoinCodex and Cryptopolitan models warn of a slide to $2,500 or lower if resistance at $3,000 fails, exacerbated by global inflation fears and potential U.S. tariff impacts on risk assets. A 2K crash—around 30% downside—becomes likely if leverage unwinds further, as seen in recent liquidations, pushing toward the $2,200 support zone. Technicals like a bearish MACD crossover support this, though extreme fear (Fear & Greed at 16) often precedes reversals. ✏ Overall Probability and Advice Aggregated AI insights lean 60/40 toward the rally scenario by Christmas, citing Ethereum's resilient ecosystem and projected 2025 average of $4,200–$4,300, but short-term risks tilt toward consolidation. Monitor volume spikes and $2,800 support; a break above $3,200 signals bullish confirmation.
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🚨 Aster launches “Shield Mode” for on-chain perps This is a privacy-first trading mode aimed squarely at high-frequency and size traders, not casual users. What actually matters: • Up to 1001x leverage on BTC & ETH • Hidden (off-book) orders — no public order book visibility • Zero slippage on Shield pairs • One-tap LONG / SHORT execution • Isolated margin for tighter risk control Fees (temporary, don’t get used to it): • Zero gas • No open / close fees • Fees waived until Dec 31, 2025 Important caveat (people will miss this): Shield Mode volume does NOT count toward Aster airdrops — because fees are fully waived. If you’re farming, this does nothing for you. What this really is: Built on Aster’s existing 1001x infra, Shield Mode is clearly designed to give CEX-like privacy on-chain, with MEV-aware execution and backing from YZi Labs. Reality check: 1001x + hidden orders = powerful, but also lethal if you don’t know what you’re doing. This is a tool for professionals, not a flex for Twitter screenshots. $ASTER
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