Brothers, this market is making my eyelids fight; look at this horizontal movement resembling an ECG. My market sense is completely gone. But it's precisely at times like this that we need to keep our eyes sharp; there is gold or a sickle in every detail.


1. Core observation of the market: Stick to it, waiting for a change.
Current price 89570, almost just a bit above the 7-period moving average (89554) and the 30-period moving average (89535). It's like dancing on a tightrope; it looks stable but a gust of wind can determine the direction. Here comes the key: look at this price, it’s crawling in an extremely narrow space of just a few dozen points, with an amplitude of 0.01%, a typical 'calm before the storm.' This kind of movement indicates that both bulls and bears are temporarily at peace here, waiting for a signal to break the balance. The trading volume is also sluggish (VOLUME:10.26), indicating that everyone is watching, and big funds have yet to move.
2. My viewpoint and logic: This is not the starting point; it is halftime.
Don't be fooled by this stagnant market. Remember, a sideways market is to choose a direction, not the end of the trend. From the moving averages, the short-term MA(7) is slightly above the long-term MA(30); the overall structure hasn’t broken down yet, barely qualifying as a weak bullish consolidation. But the advantage is extremely weak; a slightly larger K-line can break through. So, my core judgment is: this is not the place for you to go all-in and gamble on direction, but rather to prepare your bullets and wait for the market to provide clear answers. Before the answer is revealed, submitting your test early (predicting direction) can easily result in a zero score.
3. Operation plan for fans: No rabbit, no eagle.
Experienced traders don’t earn from predictions, but from responses. Next, we will make two contingency plans and throw the multiple-choice questions to the market.

  • Longing conditions and actions: The price must effectively hold above the 7-day and 30-day moving averages, and the key is to increase trading volume (the volume bar significantly higher than recent average). For example, if a 15-minute upward bar with volume breaks through that small platform around 89750 on the left of the chart. Then, one can try to long with a light position, placing the stop loss just below the 30-day moving average. The target is to look at the previous high area. Remember, upward movements without volume are just tricks; don’t chase.


  • Shorting conditions and actions: The price must effectively break below the 30-day moving average (89535) and the rebound must lack strength. It would be best to accompany this with a slight increase in trading volume (volume during the decline). Then, one can try to short with a light position, placing the stop loss above the 7-day moving average. The target is to look at the previous low point area.


  • The most important nonsense: Regardless of the side, it must be a light position for testing. In this market, a heavy position equals suicide. A stop loss must be in place, and think it through before entering; don't make impulsive decisions during trading. Take profits in batches; it's fine to catch the mid-section of the move, leave the beginning and end for others.


Summarize


The current big pie is like a dozing tiger. You can observe it, but never stick your head in its mouth before it opens its eyes. The current strategy can be summed up in one word: wait. Wait for the market to find its own direction; we only follow. Opportunities are created by waiting, not by forcing. Control your hands, keep your funds, when the signal comes, we act; if not, we sip tea and watch the show. The market is never short of opportunities, what it lacks is patience and the capital to survive.
Stay alert, but also stay optimistic. The wind is coming.