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Thedoday
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生财王者
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我们常在两种场景中错误评估风险:
1、在低信念的事情上押注太重(过度冒险);
及时放弃,是防止人生“尾部风险”扩大的必要技能。
所谓“割肉”,不只是金融术语,它是生活的硬道理。
2、在高信念的事情上押注太轻(错失机会)。
但当信号足够清晰时,要敢于果断all-in,因为:人生回报分布符合幂律(Power Law);
真正改变命运的,是极少数几次下注。#九月加密市场能否突破? $BNB
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